Netflix Crushes It Again as Shares Near $1,000. Where Rivals At?The smash-hit nail-biting Korean drama Squid Game, French mystery thriller Lupin or VR-infused 3 Body Problem. These are all Netflix Original titles that take us out of the ordinary and into a whirlwind of sensations and visual and emotional excess.
Only that we can have those sensations IRL thanks to the hype train called Netflix stock NFLX — the streaming pioneer schleps us on wild gyrations across the chart — sometimes super scary but sometimes unbelievably good. This time it was the latter.
“I can’t hear you over the sounds of ♫ RING-A-RING-A-RING ♫ blasting out of the speakers of more than 68 million viewers” — Netflix to its competition, probably, as it reported a bombastic quarter with a record number of subscribers.
The very-fabulous, bumper three months to December picked up 19 million paid users (how many of these were day trading while binging?) as Squid Gain Game dialed up more than 68 million views in its first week. The other big hit, Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson boxing live, whipped up 65 million streams.
It was also the perfect quarter to end the practice of reporting subscriber growth. Starting with the current three months to March, the streaming platform won’t be announcing how many new users are onboarded as it shifts the focus to traditional financial metrics like revenue growth and profits.
The shares soared as much as 15% in after-hours activity following the earnings report. They opened for regular trading on Wednesday and hit an all-time session high of $999 a piece. On the way, Netflix crossed a $400 billion valuation.
Here’s a quick rundown of the numbers for the fourth quarter:
Earnings per share: $4.27 vs. $4.20 expected
Revenue: $10.25 billion vs. $10.11 billion expected
Total paid memberships: 301.63 million vs. 290.9 million expected
It was the tech titan’s seventh consecutive quarter of rising profits, up 27% from the year-ago period. Looking ahead, Netflix plans to spend $18 billion on new content in 2025 while revenue is expected to be between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion, up 14% from last year. Operating margin is projected to hit 29%.
Besides ads, one other thing is supposed to help Netflix get to its lofty guidance — price hikes. The streaming platform will be asking for more cash in the US, Canada, Portugal and Argentina. Here’s what’s changing in the US:
Ad-tier $6.99 > $7.99/mo.
Standard $15.49 > $17.99/mo.
Premium $22.99 > $24.99/mo.
“We’re fortunate that we don’t have distractions like managing declining linear networks and, with our focus and continued investment, we have good and improving product/market fit around the world,” the company said in its earnings report Tuesday.
“We enter 2025 with strong momentum, coming off a year with record net (subscriber) additions and having re-accelerated growth,” it added.
Where’s the competition at? Let’s look at Disney DIS , the closest rival. Disney expects to spend about $24 billion on new content in 2025, up from $23.4 billion. Yet it has about half the subscribers of Netflix — around 154 million.
Other prominent contenders in the streaming war are not even close — Apple AAPL and Amazon AMZN . Apple doesn’t disclose Apple TV+ subscribers and Amazon doesn’t disclose Prime subscribers.
Third-party estimates point to about 50 million to 75 million Apple TV+ users. Amazon Prime, which is tied to the ecommerce platform’s delivery service, has about 200 million customers.
But let’s give it to them — Apple and Amazon have got a bunch of diversified revenue streams, while Netflix has stuck to its OG mission of being a streaming platform.
In any case, this streaming war is not over, so it's worth keeping an eye on company updates and reports in the earnings calendar . (Hint: Disney earnings arrive February 5.)
Where do you think the streaming wars are headed in 2025? Share your thoughts on Netflix, Disney, and the rest in the comments!
Netflix
Netflix - We Know What Will Happen Next!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the trendline next:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
About six years ago, Netflix started the creating of a reverse triangle pattern, perfectly trading between the two trendlines. We already witnessed such a behaviour back in 2012 and following this previous bullish cycle, it is super likely that Netflix will head even higher.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Surge After Earnings ReportNetflix (NFLX) Shares Surge After Earnings Report
After the close of the main trading session on the stock market on Tuesday, Netflix released its Q4 2024 results. The report was exceptionally strong:
→ Analysts expected the company to add 9.18 million paid subscribers during the quarter, but the actual figure reached 18.91 million, which is 15.9% more than in the same quarter last year.
→ Total subscribers reached 300 million.
→ Earnings per share amounted to $4.27 (expected: $4.20).
→ Gross revenue: actual = $10.25 billion, expected = $10.11 billion.
The company’s success was supported by products such as Squid Game, Bridgerton, and Nobody Wants This. During the quarter, 55% of customers chose ad-supported plans, and subscriptions to this plan grew by 30%. Netflix executive Gregory Peters believes that advertising revenue could double between 2024 and 2025.
As shown by the Netflix (NFLX) stock chart, the market has experienced increased volatility following the release of the report. On 22 January:
→ Trading opened with a wide bullish gap – approximately 14% higher than the closing price on 21 January.
→ However, during yesterday’s trading session, shares fell by approximately 4%, indicating that the initial reaction to the positive news might have been overly optimistic.
According to technical analysis of the NFLX chart, it is reasonable to assume that after a rise towards the psychological level of $1,000, the market is vulnerable to a correction. After touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price could retreat to its median around the $910 level, which also corresponds to a 50% retracement of the A→B impulse.
According to TipRanks:
→ The average price target for NFLX shares in 12 months is $986.
→ 20 out of 29 analysts recommend buying NFLX shares.
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NETFLIX New Bullish Leg to $1140 has started.Netflix (NFLX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 18 2023 Low. Every time that the price broke below and later recovered the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it was the most efficient buy signal of the pattern.
This is what took place yesterday, we had the first recovery above the 1D MA50 since the break below it on Jan 10. Along with the inevitable Bullish Cross below the 0.0 level on the 1D MACD (which again has been the best buy signal all these years), we expect the new technical Bullish Leg of the Channel Up to start.
So far we've had 5 core Bullish Legs and as you can see the tend to rise by roughly the same amount two at a time. The first two have been roughly +40%, then the next two +25% and the one before +38.71%. It is fair to assume that the one that has just started will be of around +38.71% too. As a result, we can place our Target a little lower for less risk and aim at $1100.
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Netflix Stock Up 14% Premarket Following Record-Breaking QuarterNetflix Inc. ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is making headlines with a significant 14% surge in premarket trading, fueled by the company’s record-breaking fourth-quarter performance. This milestone, driven by live sports programming and the return of its flagship series, *Squid Game*, marks a pivotal moment for the streaming giant. Here’s an in-depth look at the technical and fundamental aspects behind this remarkable rally.
Record Subscriber Growth
Netflix added an unprecedented 18.9 million subscribers in Q4 2024, bringing its global subscriber base to over 300 million. This growth, more than double Wall Street’s expectations, surpasses the company’s previous record of 15 million new subscribers in Q1 2020. Notably, this quarter marked the final time Netflix will report subscriber numbers, signaling a shift toward emphasizing financial metrics such as revenue and profit.
Revenue and Profit Surge
Netflix reported a 16% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $10.2 billion for the quarter—its most substantial growth since 2021. For 2025, the company projects revenue of up to $44.5 billion, a 14% increase, with an operating margin of 29%. These robust financials underscore the company’s ability to sustain growth amidst a competitive streaming landscape.
Key Drivers of Growth
1. Live Programming: Netflix’s venture into live sports, including its first major National Football League games and the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson boxing match, has proven to be a game-changer. These events attracted record sign-ups, highlighting the potential of live programming to drive subscriber growth.
2. Content Strategy: The return of Squid Game and the success of the hit movie Carry-On further bolstered subscriber numbers. Netflix’s diverse programming mix ensures broad audience appeal, while no single title dominated subscriber additions.
3. Password Sharing Crackdown: The company’s crackdown on password sharing contributed to its best-ever year for subscriber growth, with 41 million new customers added in 2024.
4. Advertising Revenue: While still in its early stages, Netflix’s advertising business is gaining traction. A majority of new subscribers in markets with ad-supported tiers opted for this model, signaling growing acceptance of ad-supported streaming.
Price Increases
Netflix is boosting prices across several markets, including the U.S., Canada, Portugal, and Argentina. The most popular U.S. plan now costs $17.99 per month, a $2.50 increase. These price hikes are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth in 2025.
Market Reaction
Netflix shares closed at $869.68 in New York on Tuesday and are set to open with a 14% gain in premarket trading. If sustained, this would mark the stock’s most significant gain since October 2023.
Technical Analysis
As of premarket trading, NASDAQ:NFLX is up 14.70%, reflecting bullish sentiment driven by the record-breaking quarterly performance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 48.99 before this surge, indicating the stock was neither overbought nor oversold.
Bullish Gap-Up Pattern
The premarket rally sets the stage for a potential gap-up pattern at market open. This technical phenomenon occurs when a stock’s opening price is significantly higher than its previous closing price. Historically, gap-ups are strong bullish indicators, often followed by brief pullbacks as traders digest the news.
Resistance and Support Levels
- Resistance: The stock is eyeing its one-month high as the next resistance level. A breakout above this point could trigger further bullish momentum.
- Support: Immediate support lies at the $776 level. A breakdown below this level could lead to a retest of lower support zones, but this scenario appears less likely given the current bullish momentum.
Market Outlook
With the broader stock market expected to rally following Donald Trump’s inauguration earlier this week, NASDAQ:NFLX is poised to capitalize on favorable market conditions. The combination of strong fundamentals and bullish technical indicators suggests a continued upward trajectory in the near term.
Conclusion
Netflix’s record-breaking quarter underscores its resilience and adaptability in an evolving streaming landscape. The company’s strategic focus on live programming, diverse content offerings, and advertising is paying off, driving subscriber growth and revenue to new heights. From a technical perspective, the stock’s premarket surge and bullish patterns point to a strong start for 2025.
As Netflix pivots toward prioritizing financial metrics over subscriber numbers, investors have much to look forward to in terms of sustained growth and profitability. With NASDAQ:NFLX setting the stage for a historic year, the streaming giant remains a compelling investment opportunity for traders and long-term investors alike.
Netflix (NFLX): Explosive growth, but caution aheadNetflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to open 14% higher after adding a record-breaking 18.9 million subscribers in Q4—nearly double Wall Street’s expectations and well above the early 2020 peak of 15.8 million. These incredible numbers have sparked a strong market reaction, and the enthusiasm is well-justified.
Following this update, we’ve re-evaluated the chart. While we anticipate the potential for more upside, it’s unlikely that NASDAQ:NFLX will continue climbing without a significant correction at some point. The trendline since May 2022 has proven its importance, serving as resistance nine times before being flipped into support and holding firm on a key retest.
Currently, Netflix is approaching the significant psychological level of $1,000. If this level is reclaimed, a further push toward $1,070 and even $1,300 could materialize. However, we’re exercising caution as major levels and target zones have already been achieved. There is a chance—albeit slim—that today’s earnings gap could mark the top of wave ((v)) and wave 3.
For now, we’re waiting for further developments and will decide our next steps as the stock’s trajectory becomes clearer. Stay tuned for updates.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t entered NFLX in the buy zone:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 850usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-24,
for a premium of approximately $41.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Netflix (NFLX) AnalysisNetflix recently experienced a pullback, dropping to a significant demand zone around $820-$850, which has historically acted as strong support. This drop has attracted traders eager to capitalize on the current discounted price, anticipating a potential bullish rebound.
Looking at the chart:
1️⃣ Previous Earnings Reaction: The last earnings report sparked a 12% spike, showcasing Netflix’s potential for strong momentum following positive results.
2️⃣ Demand Zone Support: The stock is consolidating around this key level, indicating that buyers are stepping in to defend it.
3️⃣ Bullish Expectations: Traders are positioning themselves for the upcoming earnings report, expected on 01/21/2025 after market close, which could act as a major catalyst for upward movement.
If the earnings report meets or exceeds expectations, we could see Netflix rally toward all-time highs, with the first resistance zone around $940 and a longer-term target of $1,020.
NETFLIX: I want to enter!! When to enter??The question we all ask ourselves in companies with a similar graphic appearance to Netflix is:
--> I WANT TO ENTER!! WHEN TO ENTER?
We are all eager to get into Netflix. No one wants to miss out on the gains that could accumulate during 2025, but one of the factors to consider, and for that, YOU MUST BE VERY CALM, is PATIENCE.
That is to say, when the price is in a retracement phase, as is the case with Netflix, no one is a fortune teller to know when it will end. We can identify important support areas, but nobody knows with 100% certainty if they will be broken down, or conversely, if they will be the turning point for a new upward impulse.
--> What point is Netflix at now?
If we look at the H4 chart, the trend is still clearly bullish, but the price is in a retracement phase. The area it is currently in is the first important support zone; that is, IF THIS AREA HOLDS, and the price BREAKS ABOVE THE RED TREND LINE on the chart, we would get the first bullish signal (Bull), and it would be the start of a new upward impulse towards new highs. But for now, we need to wait for the price to indicate a turn upwards because if we enter now, it could lose support and continue to decline.
--> SUMMARY
PATIENCE and waiting for the chart to show us an upward turn (Bull). When this happens, I will publish an analysis with the ENTRY SETUP again.
NETFLIX: testing the 1D MA50. Buy?Netflix is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.757, MACD = 4.950, ADX = 42.375) as the December correction is testing now the 1D MA50. Technically this has been the trend's support since mid August 2024. The 2 year Channel Up offers useful conclusions here. Each of its past January months (2023 and 2024) saw a surge of +38% from their closest low. If this is repeated again, then the price will test the Channel's top. Aim for that +38% rise (TP = 1,200).
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NFLX Elliot Wave, Wyckoff Method with Head & Shoulders PatternIt is not always easy to time a short, but looking at this chart I will share a couple of confluences that are interesting from a technical analysis point of view.
First, there is a 5 wave completion of the Elliot Wave pattern.
Then, based on the Wyckoff method of accumulation to distribution, we can gauge areas of UTAD and LPSY takes place.
Lastly, we can form a Head & Shoulders pattern (a small one) and a neckline.
One can carefully enter the short after the break and retest of the trendline, which is the safest way.
Netflix Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Outlook 2024.12.29Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on Netflix (NFLX).
Weekly Chart Analysis
Looking at the weekly chart, Netflix is currently consolidating within the 884–944 range, which represents about a 5% range of sideways movement. This consolidation has lasted for approximately one month.
Since the sharp decline in 2022, Netflix has been following a newly established ascending trendline, which remains intact and shows no signs of breaking.
Key observations:
Netflix has climbed approximately 35% beyond its all-time high in 2021, reaching new highs.
However, the price is now in a consolidation phase, which raises the question: is Netflix preparing for further upside, or is this a period of rest before a potential pullback?
If this sideways movement continues for an extended period, a trendline breakdown may occur. Based on current prices, this breakdown is projected around July 2025.
Weekly Chart with Indicators
When we include indicators such as the 60 EMA, we notice that it aligns closely with the ascending trendline. This alignment increases the reliability of the trendline as a key support level.
However, at this point, entering a new long position appears less attractive due to the following reasons:
Netflix has already risen 35% beyond its previous high of $700, making it difficult to justify additional upside based solely on past data.
Without historical data to support further gains, investors would likely rely on fundamental analysis and the belief that Netflix is undervalued as a company.
Ideal Buy Zones
Where are the best entry points for a buy position?
While Netflix’s current uptrend may suggest continuous growth, corrections are inevitable, even for large companies. Based on this, I’ve identified two potential buy zones marked as blue boxes on the chart:
First Buy Zone: $700
This level was the all-time high in 2021, which now acts as support after being broken to the upside.
Even if the price drops, it’s unlikely to fall below $700 easily, as this level is supported by the ascending trendline from 2022.
Second Buy Zone: $350
The first green box shows a sharp drop followed by a temporary rebound.
The second green box highlights a key support level that held during a previous consolidation phase. Both zones indicate strong support and potential for a bounce.
Reversal and Sell Perspective
The red box zone highlights an area for potential reversal or sell positions.
If Netflix breaks the $700 level and the ascending trendline, it would signal a significant shift toward a bearish trend.
A breakdown below $700 could lead to a sharp decline, with the first buy zone ($700) and second buy zone ($350) representing a potential 50% difference.
This suggests that a trendline breakdown could trigger a substantial bearish reversal, making short positions or hedge strategies worth considering.
Conclusion
While Netflix has demonstrated strong upward momentum, history shows that even the largest companies can experience corrections of 70% or more.
Instead of chasing continuous rallies, it’s crucial to consider both bullish and bearish scenarios and plan trades accordingly.
Let’s make 2025 a successful trading year together. 🚀
GOOD BTC ENTRY !! SL 59K TP 72KREASONS WHY !!
Market Sentiment and Momentum:
Bitcoin soared in 2023, and experts predict further gains in 2024, potentially reaching $80,000.
Despite long-term optimism, Bitcoin experienced a recent dip.
Technical indicators suggest potential downside, but the market remains in a tug-of-war.
If buyers can push past the $44,700 resistance, a jump to $48,000 is in sight.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Launch:
The launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024 is poised to revolutionize the crypto landscape.
This move is expected to attract significant capital from both retail and institutional investors, further fueling Bitcoin’s ascent.
Bitcoin Halving Event:
Scheduled for April or May 2024, the Bitcoin halving event will curtail the yearly supply of new Bitcoin.
This reduction in supply could establish conditions where demand potentially outstrips supply, a fundamental factor in the optimistic price forecast.
Investor Confidence and Accumulation:
Investors are holding on to their BTC with conviction stronger than in 2021.
Relative realized profits show that despite a new all-time high, selling has not been as significant as during the previous cycle.
Consistent accumulation since February 2024 indicates confidence among investors, expecting further price growth.
NETFLIX historic pattern targets $1500 in 2025.Last time we looked at Netflix (NFLX) was on its earnings release (October 21, see chart below), when we gave a strong bullish signal that easily hit our $840.00 Target:
Since 3 week ago, the price even broke above the dominant 1-year Channel Up and is now in search of a new pattern. This pattern can be found if we zoom out considerably on the 1W time-frame, where the underlying pattern since the U.S. Housing Crisis is a 25-year Channel Up.
The symmetry within this pattern is high and in fact since the June 2022 market bottom (which was a Higher Low on the Channel Up), the stock has been on a Bull Cycle. The Bear Cycle that preceded it had a massive decline of -77%. The last correction of this magnitude was the July 2011 - August 2012 Bear Cycle, which declined by -83%.
The two Bull Cycles that followed Netflix's golden years were identical (+825% and +847%). As a result, we assume that the current Bull Cycle will also rise by at least +825% from its bottom, which gives us a $1500 Target towards the end of 2025.
Notice also how both the 2012 - 2014 and 2022 - 2024 Bull Cycles had a 1W Golden Cross.
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Netflix - Please Buy This All Time High!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the resistance trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Netflix is currently perfectly breaking above the previous all time high and with a +16% candle of November, bulls are totally in control of this stock. If we look at previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that Netflix will now retest the upper resistance trendline of the reverse triangle.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen:
Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate.
Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11.
Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology.
Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market.
Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR.
Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
The #1 Reason To Master Candlesticks The young people in my neighborhood are unemployed and this is really
Making me sad.
Meanwhile in other countries the youth have online television to numb the pain of unemployment
It's true when I read in an organizational behavior text book that stated that poverty is relative.
It means every place has its own "type" of poverty.
Wether that's true or not is up for debate.Being an academic is way way different from capitalism and learning about capital markets.
If you look at this chart NASDAQ:NFLX you will see a candle stick pattern based on momentum.
This pattern I called a "Hammer"
Used to signal support.
Yesterday I decide to walk to clear my brain.
And then as I was reading the book by Steve Nisson On Candles stick patterns
This question kept lingering in the back of my mind.
"Can you trade in the opposite direction?"
This question made me freeze.
You see when I began studying about trading and learning a new system..
This is the question that brought fear to my mind, because if I can not trade on the opposite direction then the system wont work.
On my kindle device it says am 50% into the book and already..in
my mind I am getting flash backs as I am trying to "mirror"
The candle stick patterns to the systems of trading I have already mastered.
One of them is called the 🚀 Rocket booster strategy.
--
To learn more about it check out the resources below ⬇️
--
As I was walking a lightbulb "clicked"
" Candlesticks can be used as a tool of Momentum"
I thought to myself
"Candlesticks are like a river they are strongest in the middle"
Remember that quote.
Candlestick patterns are essential and mastering them finally has given me an asernal tool that will help me have an edge
Over the competition in the financial markets.
Trade safe.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
Also practice on a simulation trading account before you use real money.
Boxing Matches, Chart Patterns, And The 3 Step SystemIn this video we look at the following:
1.Catalyst News
2.Rocket Booster Strategy
3.The #1 CandleStick Chart Pattern
Watch this video to learn more.About NASDAQ:NFLX
Trade safe.
Also rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Please use the simulation trading tool
before you use real money for trading.
Because trading is risky, and it will help
you learn more about risk management
and profit-taking strategies.
Because in trading you will lose money
whether you like it or not.