NFLX More Correction or Rise?Netflix is in the uptrend and currently, price has been pushed to the upside, after touching the ascending trend line and also the first support zone (S1).
On the other hand, the last 4H candle has been closed a little lower, below the trend line.
We still don’t know if this is a fake breakout or not… we should wait for the current 4H candle to see if it will be closed below the last candle and also below S1 or it will be closed above them.
If price closes a bearish candle below S1, we can expect more downside move and retrace around the second support zone (S2) which is around $615.
If price could close a bullish candle above S1, we can expect a rise towards the last high which is $690, and in the case of an upside breakout on that level, the next target would be $740
Netflix
Up and UpNetflix is steadily going up. The price is moving in an uptrend and has now bounced off the resistance. Most likely, the price will consolidate to $ 646, bounce and go up to new highs: $ 700, $ 720, $ 740.
New target $705Netflix stocks are steadily going up, hitting new highs. The price will again accumulate in the zone, and after that, there is a possibility of a breakout and further growth upward to the $705 area.
nflx analysethere is a break of the up trend . i think it will go down to 625. or 620. it's just a guess . Hope You Like it.
S/t NFLX route@wardaK This one is for you. You asked what's my current though on NFLX S/T.
I believe we see NFLX show some sign of consolidation possibly after it goes towards 700 pysc lvl.
Expect Support to be held from 662-672 to be held and bot up for the next rips.
Market leader iMO -- alongside FB , TSLA , COST
NFLX s/tShort term trade , possibly can happen today. NFLX over highs will be targeting 690 $ .
Been on fire . Currently in ROKU , don't personally like Nflx options , only commons for this one.
Less room for movement, Ascending Wedge NFLXHello everyone! A rising wedge is commonly know as a reversal pattern, I'm looking to short NFLX once we reach the resistance zone in this rising wedge. Even with all the hype from Squid Game numbers and positive earnings, price is not moving much as weeks before. Today Oct 19 NFLX rise in post-market trading to the 663 (wedge resistance zone) and pullback immediately, coincidence? Just an easy setup, remember to have a stop loss!
Not a financial advisor, just my personal idea. Enjoy your week.
$NFLX | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 10/25If markets show signs of weakness at any point in the near future, I believe Netflix will be one of the most prime short setup out there. Many signs pointing to downside here for the stock.
- Recent run-up due to overall hype and the massive success of Squid Games (believe we need to cool off a bit)
- Concluded all Minute, Minor and Intermediate EWT counts (assuming my count is correct)
- $VIX sitting on major support and is at it's second lowest weekly close since 2/10/20 (market is susceptible to a pullback)
With that being said, I will wait for downside confirmation as well as volume before entering a short position on Netflix. I would also want the indices to be confirming on a downtrend as well as $VIX to be in an uptrend. These factors combined would get me short. All in all, I'm still bullish in the long-term as shown.
nflx analysein my opinion there is 2 possibilites the first is going down for a retest then start an up trend to 700. the second is to go back in the rectangle so we could have a fake break . that's my personnal opinion.
Q3 Earnings Report Recap; TSLA, NFLX, JNJ, PGQ3 earning season is currently underway, and most high-profile companies are delivering revenue beats. Yet, Q3 revenue is not the only thing investors are watching. Investors are interested in revenue growth, customer acquisition, and pace of growth alongside the balance sheet. Inflationary and supply chain pressures that may affect the outlook of reporting companies are an additional concern for investors.
TESLA (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Reported: Wednesday, after trading
Revenue: $13.8 billion
Earnings per share: $1.86 profit per share (Non-GAAP)
Tesla’s Q3, 2021 earnings were, once again, record-setting for the Company. The Company is increasing sales and has stated it is on track to “achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries” at a time when chip shortages are hampering other automakers ability to do so. Improving gross margins (up to 30.5%) was also a significant factor in Tesla performance in Q3.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Reported: Tuesday, after trading
Revenue: $7.5 billion
Earnings per share: $3.19
The popularity of Netflix’s series Squid Game hadn’t completely filtered into the Company’s finances at the time of its Q3, 2021 earnings report. Yet, Netflix delivered a favourable report, with revenue coming in on par and subscriber growth beating expectations. Squid Game IP is estimated to be worth $900 million to Netflix and should help boost its Q4 earnings, which typically get a seasonal bump anyway.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $23.3 billion
Earnings per share: $2.60
Johnson & Johnson’s Q3 earnings-per-share beat expectations, with revenue climbing 10.7% from the previous corresponding period. J&J increased its (bottom-end) revenue guidance for the full year from $93.8 billion – $94.6 billion to $94.1 billion to $94.6 billion. J&J noted that its Covid vaccine would be responsible for $2.5 billion at years end and $502 million of its Q3 revenue.
Proctor and Gamble (NYSE: PG)
Reported: Tuesday, before trading
Revenue: $20.3 billion
Earnings per share: $1.61
PG beat revenue estimates, increasing sales revenue by 5% over the last quarter, but expects to fall short of 2020 revenue. The consumer goods Company also noted that rising producer costs, particularly as it relates to shipping and raw commodity prices, has already had and is going to continue to have a larger-than-anticipated effect on its earnings. In response, PG has begun raising the prices of some of its premium products as a quick remedy to help offset its rising costs.
Earning Seasons continues next week:
There are plenty more juicy earning reports due next week.
Facebook, after the bell Monday
Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Texas Instruments, and AMD, after the bell Tuesday
Thermo Fisher Scientific, Coca-Cola, McDonald’s, and Boeing, before the bell Wednesday
Ford, after the bell Wednesday
Shopify, before the bell Thursday
Apple, Amazon, and Starbucks after the bell Thursday
$NFLX Follow up - Going according to plan so farNetflix seems to be following my previous prediction after bear trapping a lot of people out of their positions. With a break above the supply zone and double confirmation from RSI and MACD, we can expect to continue seeing growth from Netflix tomorrow and next week.
Happy Trading Everyone!
Stefan
( NFLX ) NETFLIX analysisTechnical analysis: the price has reached a historical resistance , with a bearish divergence signal on the RSI indicator , this could lead to a re-test of the yellow zone located between 580$ - 560$
Fundamental analysis : NETFLIX'S PE ratio is relatively high compared to tech industry with respectively 65 for netflix and 25 for average tech industry's PE ratio
analysts says that new subscribers gains in netflix are already priced into the stock price (source : Deutsch bank)
Netflix Post Q3 Earnings Analysis$NFLX - Netflix neared a record all-time high after market close - as the largest streaming service brought in more subscribers than analysts projected in Q3. Profit also beat forecasts, while Revenue was in line with estimates.
EPS of $3.19
Sales +16.3% to $7.48 billion - anticipates another +16% gain in revenue Q4
Profit of $1.4B
Revenue of $7.5B
Netflix added +4.4M subscribers globally to total 213M - expects to increase its subscriber base by +8.5M in Q4
$ROKU NEXT STOP THE MOON! 🚀🌕 - Swing Trade
- Price Action bouncing from support (GreenBox)
- Greenbox serving as support since late January.
- The last daily candle looks bullish and pinned.
- Earnings on 10 Nov 2021
PT Inside RedBox.
$DIS: America's Sweetheart is WobblyLabor shortages, increased streaming competition, sub par content as of late. Will value investors step in and save it at 170 or is this a major crossroads in the future of this giant. The bullish case here mostly lies in whether or not inflation will persist. If we see the dollar continue to improve, value names may be on the table which will involve this getting snapped up. However, if inflation is persistent it may be a huge struggle to retain labor and could put a dent in streaming profits
NETFLIX shortNETFLIX short
1:1
Looks good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use Proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
$NFLXShares of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) were up 4.8% as of 1:14 p.m EDT on Tuesday. The streaming media veteran saw a bullish earnings preview from analyst firm Cowen & Co., which included rosy results from Cowen's proprietary media viewership survey
In a third-quarter survey of 2,500 U.S. consumers, Cowen asked which media platform has the best video content right now.
Netflix led the pack with 28% of the vote, far ahead of YouTube's second-place tally of 15% and basic cable's third-place showing at 10%.
The "other" category, which includes social networks and various smaller video publishing platforms, added up to 13% of the vote.
Netflix was also found to be the leading service that consumers use most often for viewing videos, ahead of "other" platforms and basic cable.
This figure rose to 33% when zooming in on the important age group of 18- to 34-year-olds.
The stock reached another all-time high today, having posted a market-beating gain of 11% in the last three months.
Whether Netflix meets or misses Wall Street's expectations on Oct. 19, the stock is primed to make a big move on the news. Either way, Netflix remains one of my favorite stocks in the digital media space.
On the technical side of things Netflix is looking extremely bullish on the higher frames.
Breaking above previous resistance with a continuation up, I can’t see why this wouldn’t stop here.
It’s a little on the overbought side of things on the daily chart so could see slight pullbacks but overall should continue it’s way up.
MACD bullish.
RSI overbought.
Next point. $700
Watchlist this.
The Squid Game Shows Why Most People Don’t Make Money TradingSquid game is the hottest series on Netflix ($NFLX) right now, in which 456 players join a game of death, where they have a chance to win 456 Billion Korean Won (KRW), or 38.5 Milllion US Dollars.
What’s interesting about this series is that it depicts human sentiment in a very realistic way. We could see how market participants think and act by looking at the participants of the squid game.
A random guy appears at the subway station, and offers to play card flip, where he’d slap the player if he wins, and pay $100 if he loses. He actually ends up paying the players, stimulating their curiosity. Later, players are taken to a remote island where they have no clue what game they’re playing, with hopes of potentially winning life-changing money.
Beginners Luck turns to Attribution Bias
People who join the stock market are not different. They don’t know what game they’re playing, and what rules there are. Just as the subway guy invokes curiosity from the players by paying them small amounts of actual money, people are dragged into the stock market through stories of their friends and acquaintances making life-changing money by trading.
You try to remember the name of the stock or cryptocurrency your friend mentioned, and buy it without doing any due dilligence. You participate in the game of the market with 0 understanding of the game and rules.
When the stock/crypto you bought goes up (by chance), you fall into the trap of beginner’s luck. Beginner’s luck refers to a phenomenon or situation in which a beginner experiences a disproportionate ferquency of success against even experts in a certain field or activity. It’s often used in gambling and sports. But beginner’s luck leads to overconfidence and attribution bias.
Overconfidence refers to one’s excessive trust in his decisions based on gut-feeling and his cognitive abilities. This often leads to overtrading, and the market participant ends up paying excessive trading fees. Overconfident traders also tend to neglect statistics, and put all their eggs in one basket. They hardly listen to other people, and tend to choose the stocks/crypto they invest in themselves.
Attribution bias, or cognitive bias, is when people find reasons for their own and others’ behaviors. So when they’re in profit, they think that it’s all thanks to their amazing prediction. When they’re at a loss, it’s because the market was in an unfavorable situation, or simply because they were unlucky. Essentially, they constantly come up with excuses for every situation.
We all know Isaac Newton as a genius physicist, but he was a failure as an investor. He made the wrong investment decision when he invested in South Sea stocks, which led him to lose 20,000 pounds (about $4M today). He lost most of his life savings and famously said that “you can calculate the motions of heavenly stars, but not the madness of people” - a classic example of someone with attribution bias.
Mob Psychology and the Bandwagon Effect
This is accurately reflected in Squid Game. When players play ‘Red Light Green Light’, they are shocked to see other players get massacred. After the game is over, they later vote whether they want to continue playing the game or not. The surviving players fall into the trap of overconfidence and attribution bias.
Only 1 person out or 456 will survive and win the prize money. Statistically, every player has a 0.22% chance of survival. While this is statistically low, they’re taken away by the pile of cash hanging from the ceiling, and start believing that they’re special, and that they can win. Lotteries and gambling work in the same way, in which people bet on a probable case that is close to impossible. Sadly, most people approach trading like gambling.
In Squid Game, right before they play tug of war, a riot breaks out, and players are split into different factions. So when they’re told to team up for tug of war, teams are formed based on the factions that were formed the day before. This shows us mob psychology and the bandwagon effect.
Mob psychology, or mob mentaility, is when people follow the actions and behaviors of their peers when in large groups. The bandwagon effect falls within the scope of mob mentaility, and is a phenomenon in which people do something primarily because others are doing it , regardless of their own beliefs.
The same psychological phenomena can be applied to investors and traders in the market. Instead of trading based on their own trading rules, strategies, and analyses, they simply follow the actions of other market participants. These are the people who end up panic buying or selling, and falling victim to pump and dump schemes.
Conclusion
These psychological phenomena prevents us from making the right decisions in the market, and making the wrong decisions indicates that we lose money. Just like how most people in the Squid Game end up dying, there are many other people who entered the market with dreams of becoming a millionaire, only to lose everything. But unlike the Squid Game, the financial markets isn’t a winner-takes-all. If you can understand the characteristics and rules of each market, and do your due diligence on different ways to beat the market, you can have a statistical edge. As a trader, I would say that technical knowledge accounts to less than 5% of what it takes to be successful. It’s more about understanding your cognitive bias and controlling your emotions and psychological state.
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ntflx analysethis week ntflx will go down to 600 for the first day we can use 620-615 as a taking profit area .
ntflx analysei think ntflx tomorrow will go up to 644 then it will start a down trend to 615 if . it doesn't break the range area tomorrow then it will do with the down trend starting tomorrow
Netflix Investment Outlook Assets move in 5 and 3's (Elliot wave simplified). From the macro view, it appears that we are in our 4th wave, and we have 1 more wave up to go. The leg of our bull pennant at minimum gives us a target of $681, which is confluent with the 1.146 fib.
If the stock market melts up and Netflix impulses, the Price target will be significantly higher!
Based on our Indicators, If the case is indeed bullish, we will bounce off the wolfpack baseline, and start another green streak. This leaves room for the RSI to go overbought one last time!
Overall, the chart is bullish, and a position should be taken once the breakout is confirmed. If a stock market crash was to occur, utilize the EMA's and support lines for positioning. The TA is overall optimistically favoring the long side!
NFLX ShortEntry price: 610-615$
Target price: 575-580$
Stop loss: 620-625$
Bollinger Bands: The price is approaching the upper band.
RSI: Indicator is approaching 70 level, therefore the market is near to be overbought.
Fibonacci Retracement: The price is approaching the resistance level (Fib 1.618 level).
Conclusions: Bollinger Bands and RSI suggest the trend reversal in the near future. Moreover, the price is approaching Fib resistance level, thus the short position is recommended with the stop loss above Fib 1.618 level.
No financial advice.
