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NFLXNetflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) shares surged over 10% in after-hours trading after surpassing profit expectations and seeing a rise in subscribers. In Q3, they reported an EPS of $3.73 and revenue of $8.54 billion, exceeding analyst predictions. Paid subscribers grew by 8.76 million, well above expectations. While industry challenges persisted due to strikes, Netflix is committed to resolving issues and anticipates a Q4 EPS of $2.15 and revenue of about $8.69 billion, with a 2023 operating margin near the top of its range at 20%. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by legacyFXofficial
Netflix user growth to prove recent correction is a spikeNetflix's third-quarter 2023 results will be announced on Wednesday after the stock market closes The company has implemented a policy prohibiting the sharing of accounts outside the household Will that reflect in the earnings, making the stock correction a buying opportunity? The global entertainment landscape has undergone a transformative shift with the rise of streaming platforms, effectively eclipsing traditional media such as television. Leading this digital revolution is Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), providing audiences access to an extensive library of movies and series for a modest subscription fee. As we approach Wednesday, expectations are running high for the release of Netflix's third-quarter results, a key event in light of the platform's recent policy shift regarding password sharing. Introduced in May of this year, this change aimed to curb the unauthorized sharing of accounts and appears to be having the desired effect, as user numbers continue to grow – a change that is poised to manifest itself in the forthcoming third-quarter figures. Yet, intriguingly, despite Netflix's robust user growth, its stock has been navigating a broad correction phase, prompting speculation that the conclusion of this adjustment may yield results exceeding current forecasts. In the lead-up to the results, all eyes are on Netflix's projected earnings per share, which currently stand at an estimated $3.48, alongside revenues totaling $8.53 billion. Notably, the forecast has experienced a remarkable 24 upward revisions, with only 3 instances of downward revision, indicating a high level of market anticipation.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DEXWireNews
NETFLIX: Buy opportunity on a 4 month stretch.NFLX is trying to find support on the 1D MA200, which is at the bottom of a (longer than a year) Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D technical outlook is red (RSI = 36.027, MACD = -9.900, ADX = 36.923) signifying considerable upside potential and the rebound on the 30.00 oversold RSI level indicates the reversing momentum. We expect an immediate rally as part of the new bullish leg that will target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by InvestingScope
1
Netflix's Bullish Trend Ending: Traders, Prepare for Downtrend!Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on Netflix In our close examination of NFLX, the streaming titan, a compelling narrative unfolds. Initially, a double-top pattern emerged between July 2020 and January 2022, followed by a significant breakout from the neckline. This breakout confirmed a bearish reversal, resulting in a remarkable 70% decline from its peak. However, the plot deepens. NFLX recently revisited its double-top pattern's neckline while concurrently crafting a channel chart pattern. Adding to the intrigue, NFLX struggled to regain its former heights and descended below both the lower trendline and the dynamic support line, a classic sign of a sustained bearish trajectory. Not to be overlooked, the Stochastic indicator chimed in with a bearish divergence, providing further validation for the impending downward movement. Our target price? Set conservatively at under $300. Traders, prepare for a captivating journey ahead! It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached. Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below! Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on NASDAQ:NFLX ."
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by financialfreedomgoals101
4
NETFLIX Is the streaming Giant a buy again?Netflix (NFLX) had a great run since our March 23 long (see chart below) and gave us more than +51% return in 4 months: The long-term pattern remains a Bullish Megaphone and right now the price sits on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) as well as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been unbroken since November 10 2022. On top of that, the 1D RSI is oversold on the 30.00 Support. Last time it was this low (March 10), the Megaphone priced a Higher Low bottom. As you realize, along with the 0.382 Fibonacci, we currently sit on a quadruple level Support Cluster. Based on the 93 candle (roughly 135 days) rule within this Megaphone, which suggests that at the end of the 93 candle count, NFLX will either be near a High or a Low, we still have around 2 months to call a bottom. As a result, if the 1D MA200 and Megaphone break, we can see a slow descend along the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) and then pick up a reversal. Either way, the once mighty streaming giant is entering a new long-term Buy Zone. Our target is the 0.786 Fibonacci extension ($587.50) even though we wil most likely see the Megaphone peak higher by Q2 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingShot
NetFlix - Come in, the Water is fine!Below the Lower-Medianline-Parallel, the Water is fine! ,..you think? Maybe, but there's a Shark waiting for you. He's Name is "FOMO"! If you waited for a retest of the L-MLH, then you wasted your time. Here is how you trade a open/close below the L-MLH: - short immediately with a money Stop/Loss or - wait for a re-test of the L-MLH, and short from there on obvious weakness. Put your Stop behind the re-test high. But don't jump in the mouth of the "FOMO" Shark! I added the Members material on my website. Check it out, it's free for all, but you must be a brave Trader §8-)
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
NFLX, Breakout Of The Triangle, Aiming For Targets In The Range!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this important analysis about the current price-action situation within NFLX, it is clearly one of the profiteers of the corona-crisis as people staying at home in the lock-down and watching netflix-series. It is a good thing to relax especially in the current crisis where there is so much time left on the hand and nothing to do. So anyway this should not be a recommendation from my side but it is a growing economic field in the current crisis which shouldn't be ignored similar to the retail business like amazon or alibaba. On the technical side, I discovered some important bullish signs which made it clear that NFLX will develop some more moves to the upside, as it is at an all-time-high-level we are looking at the weekly perspective. As you can see marked in my chart with the blue lines netflix just broke out a major ascending triangle which you can see marked with the blue lines in my chart. Netflix saw some good volume which confirmed the overall breakout and activated the target at the 580 level marked in green. This is the overall triangle target we have in the structure and it will also be the new all-time-high. To confirm it regularly we need to confirm the upper boundary of the ascending triangle, in this range we also have support from the 50-EMA, therefore, it is building a coherent bearish confluence-cluster in this range which you can see marked with the orange box in this level. After the triangle target has been reached which is highly possible at the moment we need to see how NFLX develops further and if we can manage to climb above the triangle target and continue with its established uptrend. When we get some serious bearish pressure signs in that level it will be a interesting consideration to open up a short in this area otherwise the overall shape in trend is still in the direction upwards. The confirmation of the triangle can be used as a good conservative entry point to aim for the overall triangle target, otherwise the more conservative approach will be after we formed another high with good volatility after the triangle confirmed. This price-movement in NFLX which we see here is anticyclical to the vast rest of the market because we established already an all-time-high in NFLX here. As I pointed out already in recent analysis there are gainers and losers in the current crisis and when considering something on the long-side we need to search to the truffles and hidden guesses we have in the market. It makes no sense to buy something which is cyclical with the market and don't profits from the current crisis like airlines which one of the smartest investors, warren buffet just sold recently. Therefore we should not fall for the illogical speculative approach like many people these days and look for stocks with a solid fundamental and technical base like NFLX in this case. Thanks for watching everybody, support for more market insight and all the best! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by VincePrince
7
The Evolution Of Streaming Platforms For Movies And SeriesIn this work, we will analyze the evolution of streaming platforms for movies and series, from the emergence of the first video rental stores to the present day. We will compare the main companies in the sector, such as Amazon, Netflix, Warner Bros. and Disney, and evaluate their technical and fundamental performance in the stock market. Our thesis is that streaming platforms are a phenomenon that revolutionized the entertainment industry, but that also face challenges and controversies in a turbulent economic and social scenario. 1. The origin of streaming platforms Hollywood, located in Los Angeles, in the state of California, became very famous for producing movies and series that are consumed worldwide. This made Los Angeles one of the 5 most profitable cities in the world. In the 80s, there was a popularization of VHS tapes and, because they had a slightly higher cost, several video rental stores appeared, where they lent these tapes in exchange for a monthly fee or separate rentals. And so, with technology maturing, they started to integrate these movies into DVDs, where access became much easier than VHS tapes, but also brought the entry of piracy, which became very popular in countries with underdeveloped governments, such as Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Turkey and among others. Even with the advancement of technology, the film industry did not stop, which brought a lot of profitability to the state of California and to the city of Los Angeles, which was the main film hub in the world. And while this was happening, the internet evolved. What was already something interesting with telephone stairs lines or radio signals gradually became what would replace video rental stores, giving rise to the first streaming platforms. Netflix, which originally was a physical video rental store, started to integrate a very well-designed library of movies and series for a low subscription cost. 2. The popularization of the internet and online content Over the years, it seemed that this internet thing would work out very well. The Justin.tv platform allowed people to broadcast everyday and normal events. This site saw a significant increase in internet users, which led to the creation of Twitch, focused on games and interaction with viewers. Note that at this point there was still no transmission of movies, as it was not something that happened much at the time. Also with the popularization of YouTube, from Google, which belongs to Alphabet Inc., people started to consume videos made by ordinary people about some content made by these same internet users. And there was a maturation on the part of people, who hired platforms like Netflix to watch movies and YouTube to watch other types of content that did not air on television. Since this type of content was for cable TV, where there was a variety of exclusivities. With abusive prices for cable TV and several repetitions by broadcasters, since the content of closed channels always repeated programming, where it became a snowball of reruns and that gradually stressed the consumer, who gradually abandoned the idea of using cable TV and switched to the internet. There were several clandestine sites, where people started watching movies and series online, without having to resort to cable TV. However, with many annoyances of ads and pop-ups with an unpleasant courtesy to those who watched. With that, with the popularization of these clandestine sites, Netflix also became popular, which offered its services without having any type of annoying ads. So, people started to pay for it so they don’t have to resort to clandestine sites. And those who didn’t pay watched within these sites anyway. What happened was that since DVD, where piracy was born, the internet also managed to mature it a lot with these clandestine sites that pirated content. 3. The competition and diversification of streaming platforms Obviously, the strike will hinder some plans for major streaming platforms. Well, this shows that with all the evolution we described here, the fight for exclusivity and copyrights has become increasingly fierce and competitive. And of course competition also generates performance and what also attracts investors. Bringing now 5 actions from these respective companies. Starting to do a study, where we will analyze first the paper from Amazon. Because it acquired Justin.tv, launched in 2007, and Twitch, being a branch, being launched in 2011. And so in 2014, Justin.tv being discontinued. Also in the same year, it was acquired by Amazon. It also has a streaming platform that has rivaled Netflix quite a bit, which is Amazon Prime Video. In addition to having another streaming system aimed at music, which has also rivaled Spotify quite a bit, which is Amazon Music Unlimited and Amazon Prime Music. Speaking now about Netflix, which is a company that has a great history and that has been around for a long time. In addition to a streaming service, it also now started to develop movies and series to fill the catalog that were removed due to copyrights. Of course Netflix is a controversial company, loved by many and hated by others, for addressing issues that are not very receptive by a large part of the public, such as gender ideology or something related to the queer public. And even with all the controversies and controversies about Netflix, it is a great company with good numbers. Speaking now about Warner Bros., which is another company that is in the streaming business, betting heavily on HBO Max. What worked out very well in 2021, where the paper rose a lot. Warner is a very reputable company, which has been around for a long time, owning several successful movies and brands. In addition, they are also in the music business, calling themselves Warner Bros. Music Inc. But we can’t say that just like Amazon and Netflix, Warner suffered a lot from the American macroeconomy, with high inflation acceleration. Also dropping the paper, going from 74 to below 9 USD. Having a devaluation of 81.9%, which is a very high value for the investor who had a lot of losses by holding this paper. Despite all this, Warner is trying to reinvent itself, as it has made productions that have not pleased the large community. So they have bet on a reboot in the cinematic universes of their respective scripts. And lastly, now we will talk about Disney. It is a mega-company, not only acting in movies, but also it has several amusement parks. Being the most famous Walt Disney World, located in Orlando, Florida. Just like the other companies mentioned here, Disney was also badly hurt in 2022 with some economic problems in the United States. But with the high of 2021, which was a placebo effect of pandemic recovery. And also with the success of the Disney+ platform, which made the company rise to the level of 200 USD. Just like Netflix, Disney has been heavily criticized for tirelessly addressing gender ideology issues, changes in ethnicity of consolidated characters, in addition to several controversial accusations about reproducing content to sexualize children. The path of diversity and liberalism has bothered a large part of investors, who are not pleased with the company’s policies. In addition, it also felt the effects of high American inflations, causing the paper to plummet a lot. All this together with the effect of fundamental analysis. 4. The technical and fundamental analysis of the main companies in the sector Let’s look at the technical and fundamental analysis of each of the companies we mentioned, and see how they have behaved in the stock market. 4.1 Amazon Let’s look at the technical analysis of this asset: Notice that in 2022 there was a drop in Amazon. This was normal, since the S&P itself felt this drop. So all companies in the index were affected, including the Nasdaq Composite asset. Within this downtrend channel, in November 2022 they started to form a range, where the first test is done without enough supply for the price to drop further. And again in March we have another test with lower sales than the last purchases. With that, an uptrend channel started, where it returned to the top of September 2022 and to the region of the VWAP of 750 periods. It seems that we can see Amazon’s paper plummet a little. Maybe there in the range of 120 to 125. And if there is no buyer interest in this price range, we can see the market fall further. But reaching this price range and happening to enter buyer flow, they can hold the price at 125 and make it return to the same top of the region of 135. Now we will be analyzing the fundamental data. Source Yahoo Finance The company has a strong market, good cash generation and high growth, but it also has an uncertain valuation, high costs, high risks and high debt. This means that it can be an investment opportunity for those seeking high long-term returns, but it can also be a pitfall for those unwilling to take the risks involved. The company does not pay dividends, which can be a negative point for those looking for passive income Well, this is not a good foundation, but it is open to interpretation. Seeing this and the technical scenario, things may not be so good for Amazon. In addition to a very stretched price at a top of the VWAP of 750 periods, it is also not very convincing in fundamentals. But that doesn’t take away from the fact that the Amazon empire is a wonderful and successful company. 4.2 Netflix Let’s look at the technical analysis of this company and see what the chart along with the fundamentals want to say? Source: Yahoo Finance The company has good growth, good profitability and good cash generation, but a poor market value and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE, and ROIC metrics are good, but your asset turnover is bad. Its current liquidity is good, but its total debt to equity is high. Therefore, the company may be a good fit for investors looking for growth, but not for those looking for passive income or low risk. It is a company that, doing a technical study on it, has not corresponded so much. If we look closely, the part where Netflix had more appreciation was after the pandemic, where there is a spike in price and forming a very common pattern in technical analysis called zig zag pattern. Which is very common during reversal movements. From 2022 it was very bad for Netflix, which suffered a very abrupt drop, leaving 696 and coming to fetch 171. Which was indeed very worrying. She even managed to return to 416. However, this top, as we saw in the first chart, Netflix may be heading for another reversal. That is, being this high just a corrective movement. Because if we notice well, buyer interest has been falling more and more. And besides, she lost the region of the VWAP of 50 periods, showing that there is an acceleration in price. So in the most optimistic hypothesis, she could look for 360 USD. Source Yahoo Finance The company has good growth, good profitability and good cash generation, but a poor market value and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE, and ROIC metrics are good, but your asset turnover is bad. Its current liquidity is good, but its total debt to equity is high. Therefore, the company may be a good fit for investors looking for growth, but not for those looking for passive income or low risk. Observing that Netflix’s fundamental data have been good, despite some bad indicators. Even with good fundamentals, it has conflicted a bit with the technical part. However, as I said, being very optimistic, she may look for 366. And of course, if buyer interest appears there, they can accumulate. Even looking at the good fundamentals that the company has. This is because investors make decisions not only because of the good fundamentals of the company. They also take macroeconomics into account. 4.3 Warner Bros. Let’s look at the technical analysis of this asset: It seems that things are not very good. We will now do a fundamental analysis. Source Yahoo Finance The company has a bad market value, negative profitability and does not pay dividends. Your margin, ROE and ROIC metrics are bad, as is your EV/EBITDA. Its cash generation is good, but its current liquidity is poor and its total debt to equity is very high. Therefore, the company can be a bad option for investors, as it presents high risk and low return. With regular to regular fundamental data, fundamental analysis confirms the downward bias along with technical analysis. We know that Warner has a lot of growth potential and that despite all the problems she went through, she can turn things around. If you do good management of the company. 4.4 Disney We will be doing a technical analysis study on the asset. Here we have the presence of 3 charts, where we can clearly see that Disney has been going through a very worrying moment. At least on the technical analysis part, it has shown decline. You can’t tell how far it really goes, due to some proportions. For example, we know that Covid Bottom’s barrier is a psychological support, where participants took advantage of a panic moment there in 2020 to be able to spin the market. However, it seems that it is becoming unsustainable and we can see Disney fall a lot if it happens. It can also happen not to fall and there is buyer interest. But we have no technical evidence to show us buying at the moment. Now we will be observing the fundamentals: Source: Yahoo Finance The company has good market value, good cash generation and good EBITDA, but low P/E and low ROE. Its operating margin and current ratios are fair, but its net profit and total debt-to-equity ratios are weak. Some indicators are not available like DY, DP, ROIC, gross margin and asset turnover. Therefore, the company may be a moderate option for investors but the technical analysis leaves a lot to be desired, which can be worse. We can see that Disney’s fundamental data are regular, but not exactly the worst on the list. But it also does not present security to investors in a turbulent economic moment. 5. The conclusion and future prospects In conclusion, we can affirm that streaming platforms are a phenomenon that revolutionized the entertainment industry, but that also face challenges and controversies in a turbulent economic and social scenario. Through the technical and fundamental analysis of the main companies in the sector, we saw that they have presented varied performances in the stock market, depending on factors such as the quality of service, the diversity of catalog, customer loyalty, competition, innovation, reputation and macroeconomics. For the future, we hope that streaming platforms continue to grow and adapt to the demands and preferences of consumers, but also that they are responsible and ethical in relation to the content they produce and distribute.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:WBD
by Victoredbr
8
Netflix Weekly Support Convergence Test so far so goodHi guys. This is a MACRO Technical Analysis on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 Week TImeframe. This week we have TESTED Support on the 21 EMA and the Support trendline of the UPTREND channel. Netflix is heavily supported not only by these 2 mentioned SUPPORT lines but also a 3rd Support, the black horizontal support line as well. Everytime we've touched the Support line of the Channel, we've bounced to the Top of the Channel. EXCEPT our most recent touch, that took us only half way before printing a Topping Tail Candle and selling off. Watch how we close this weeks candle. If we close around or above $428. That would be the best case scenario, as that would indicate an Engulfing Bullish Candle. This could invalidate the Topping Tail Bearish Momentum. BUT for now we need to watch what happens. Keep in mind that the Topping Tails can cause further price DECLINES. AND we absolutely don't want a UPPER WICK for our current weekly candle. This would imply selling pressure and may indicate continuation of the TOPPING TAIL. Watch also the VOLUME -> From here we should see increasing volume and or SPIKE in volume so price can continue up the channel. For whatever reason if we BREAK DOWN from this SUPPORT CONVERGENCE area, the next level would be the 50 SMA. Also NOTE, along with Topping Tail Candle, indicators are showing BEARish signs. MACD has crossed BEARISH RSI Broke BELOW Support Trendline. For us to continue our UPTREND MACD needs to CROSS BUllish and print green bars RSI cannot print below the Horizontal Black line, as that would indicate a Lower low. And Ideally, get back above the Support Trendline and or continue UP. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by SafofAllTrades
2
Netflix Identifies ResistanceWe have been watching this stock for a while during my weekly Livestreams (Fridays 4pm EST UTC-4). Last Friday, we noted that NASDAQ:NFLX has pulled back up to retest the 50% of the July Weekly Spike price action. This is happening following a long bullish recovery trend up to the MAJOR Weekly 50% Retracement Resistance of the November 2021-May 2022 bear trend. The price action has defined itself clearly with the July high. The risk and wrong occurs with a breach of the July high. With this in mind we can define a high risk/reward trade to at least a 3 to 1 down to 257 and possibly beyond to retest the major low from 2022. Implied Volatility is below average which is good for options. However, this is NOT a trade that can be effectively expressed with low duration expiries even though it might be tempting due to the high cost of the stock. To express this trade one must go well into 2024 expirations or short shares.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by norok
4
Netflix to breakdown?Netflix - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 410.77 (stop at 430.77) We are trading at overbought extremes. 485 has been pivotal. Prices have reacted from 485. Short term bias has turned negative. Short term momentum is bearish. 411.50 has been pivotal. A break of the recent low at 411.50 should result in a further move lower. The bias is to break to the downside. Our profit targets will be 360.77 and 350.77 Resistance: 430.00 / 445.00 / 455.00 Support: 411.50 / 390.00 / 370.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by VantageMarkets
Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, KillsFirst, I understand that Amazon had an excellent earnings report, whether analyst estimates were gamed to the downside and it was easy to beat notwithstanding. What you have to be really careful of right now is the excess greed that abounds in the markets. Greed is the thing that kills accounts the fastest, and when you blow your account, there won't be any use for TradingView anymore, and nobody will be able to have fun until you can save up to reload. I am not saying any kind of bearish commentary on Amazon, although you should have reservations on this company because a lot of its business model is just to serve as an export faucet for stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's land. And you have to be careful with anyone whose business is tightly knit to communist China, because the International Rules Based Order is chattering disaster about "de-risking" from China. Because the narrative about "Taiwan Invasion" really means that the CCP is close to falling and everyone is thinking about how to take control of that country. But to take control of China, you need someone Chinese, which means you need a handpicked appointment from the Republic of China who will serve the globalists. All this, and the 24th year of persecution against Falun Dafa by the CCP's Jiang Zemin faction just completed on July 20. In 1999, Jiang began a full genocide and organ harvesting campaign against 100 million spiritual believers, and it's persisted to this day despite Xi Jinping never participating. In fact, Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign has been hitting the corrupt officials involved in the persecution ever since he took power in 2012. Consider that the next time you see the media going off about what a Mao Zedong Xi Jinping is. Amazon's monthly provides some clarity. The most notable thing is that the 2021-2022 distribution bars during the rest of the market's bull run indicates a proper and clear topping pattern. And despite that, price never took out the most critical of lows, the COVID pivot at $81.30. Instead, it spared it by 13 cents. Because numerology. What it means is that long term, $80 becomes a target. What's notable about price action before today's earnings report pump is that Amazon maintained the July low, albeit barely. And this creates three weekly lows of equal "support." Which also becomes a target. Bear in mind, with Nonfarm Payrolls also being tomorrow morning, you may get yourself a trade setup that looks something like what happened to AMD on Wednesday: AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed When its ER came in hot in premarket and at open, and turned into a huge sell off and red day: So the point with this call is to say that the August '22 $146 pivot may really hold. And if it doesn't hold, it might just get raided. Which makes buying the top tomorrow morning something that isn't a particularly intelligent thing to do. Worse, it means that buying the dip may be trading in the wrong direction, while selling the dump's retrace might actually be an optimal short entry. Just keep in mind that we may have as much as another 2-3% of downside left in the SPX before we retrade towards/take out the tops: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg If the markets really get blown to pieces heading into the end of Q3 in accordance with the JP Morgan collar, stuff like Amazon is going to head to a 5-handle by next year. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' You'll know the truth, in my opinion, when Amazon breaks the $125 flat bottoms, price won't come back, just like what happened with Netflix: Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching Knives What I really want to tell you all is that life still seems stable, it seems like all there is to worry about is making money and entertainment. But our world may very well change overnight, with no warning at all. And what we've all done while the cards were still face down will be what determines who wins the pot and who loses their stack.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by LordWrymouth
NASDAQ 100’s special rebalance On 24 July, the NASDAQ 100 Index conducted a special rebalance to reduce the concentration of the so-called ‘magnificent seven’ in the index. The seven stocks whose strong performance this year has driven the index are Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, Nvidia, and Meta. The index is typically reconstituted annually in December, with additional rebalancing opportunities each quarter. A special rebalance outside the usual schedule is only happening for the third time in the index’s history, with the first two having been in December 1998 and May 2011. According to NASDAQ, a special rebalance may be triggered if the aggregate weight of companies individually accounting for more than 4.5% of the index tops 48%. Based on this, NASDAQ announced its plan to rebalance the index on 7 July. The new weights were applied before the start of trading on 24 July. What happened in the past? Strong rallies in tech stocks were behind the special rebalances both in May 2011 and December 1998. In 2011, Apple was among the stocks that saw its weight being reduced notably following a period of strong performance. And in 1998, it was Microsoft1. Performance of the index following the two rebalances does not give much to go by. Following the rebalance in December 1998, the NASDAQ 100 continued on its upward trend while the index was weighed down following the rebalance in May 2011. What it means for investors For investors looking to position themselves tactically to benefit from this development, arguments can be made to support both bullish and bearish cases. Passive money tracking the NASDAQ 100 Index will be forced to sell the biggest names on Wall Street which have made a significant contribution to the index’s performance this year. This could create some volatility in the short-term especially given the special rebalance has happened in the middle of the earnings season and market sensitivity to announcements may be heightened. Already in the week of 17 July, when Tesla and Netflix announced their earnings, markets reacted adversely to their cautious outlook for the third quarter. This also means that it would be hard to completely isolate the impact of the rebalance on stock prices. A dip in prices may, however, may be seen by some investors as an entry point. But while the move from NASDAQ is aimed at reducing the concentration of the biggest tech names in the index, the special rebalance does not mean that the NASDAQ 100’s risk profile has changed materially. The index follows a modified market capitalisation methodology which means that, subject to some limits of influence, the biggest companies will still occupy the largest weight. The index, therefore, continues to give investors a way to capture the sentiment in growth stocks, bullish or bearish. In some of our recent blogs, we have also emphasised how the NASDAQ 100 is not a way to capture specific tech megatrends such as artificial intelligence (AI), despite investor sentiment towards AI driving the fortunes of some of the top names in the index. Dedicated AI strategies, such as the NASDAQ CTA Artificial Intelligence Index, tend to have relatively low overlap with the NASDAQ 100. Again, the rebalance does not fundamentally change this. Closing word The NASDAQ 100 Index was launched in 1985. This is only its third special rebalance in almost four decades. For an index which is focused on growth stocks, it signifies how contributors to performance have been concentrated right at the top this year. For tactical investors, there may be opportunities in the short-term resulting from this. For others, it may be a reminder of the need for diversification. Sources 1 Source: CNBC report from 05 April 2011 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
FRED:NDQ100
by aneekaguptaWTE
Netflix Overbought and Facing Resistance Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX EARNINGS RELEASE TODAY (AFTER THE CLOSE) Entry Pending Until: - Break above overhead resistance, making it support - A revisit of the 200 Day SMA - In both, tight stop required We are currently oversold on the RSI and whilst the stock could remain oversold for weeks the last 2 times we reached this exact RSI level we were rejected. For this reason I see no reason to be rushing into this trade. If you put on a trade you need a tight tight stop loss. The head and shoulders pattern could take another year to play out. For the moment I am focused on the immediate resistance overhead, the overbought RSI signal and the 200 SMA. Its amazing we don't see more Netflix in feeds, we are up 200% over the past 12 month period. Hope this helps anyone trying to build a structure of the chart for a potential play. PUKA
NASDAQ:NFLX
by PukaCharts
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