Short-term top of NFLX has already appearedShort-term top of NFLX has already appeared
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix's stock over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of Netflix's stock is exactly 3.618 on the golden section in the figure! The weekly pattern of Naifei stock last week showed a very long up shadow, indicating that the short-term top has already appeared, and the probability of maintaining a relatively high level of major volatility consolidation in the future is likely to be maintained!
Netflix
Netflix Long will move and reach Target 1 is 1200$,before....New 52-week highs this week, powered by the Dow which, on Friday, extended its streak of positive days to ten — something the blue chip index has not done in almost six years. The Dow has been powered by, among other things, a slew of corporate financial results, particularly from the banks, which showed not only improved profitability, but also strong guidance for the next quarter and full year.
I have explained 2 bullish scenarios,1 bearish(worse case).
Bullish:
higher highs higher lows
poc uprising
volume increasing
capital flow rising
In case the Take profits hit, and we have increased volume, I will ride the trend.
I will only take profit 10% of the microsoft portfolio and let the profit run.
Exit :Stop loss or trend change signal
The mid and long term horizon is bullish. If any Profit taking level reaches, and trend continuation is signalizing that the uptrend will be continued, I will increase agressively my positions and take only 10% profits of each position.I will let the prfoits run.
This trade setup is only for trend followers and on daily TF.
Keepit easy: NETFLIX long goes to 1156USDNetflix uses jump massively amid account sharing ban
Sentiment is cautiously bullish into the next US CPI figure, due tomorrow, and the next FOMC decision due Wednesday.
Investors are flocking into call options because no one wants to miss a further rally in stock markets, but no one is sure that the rally will continue given the fact that the Fed has hiked rates at a record speed since last year, leading to the failure of a couple of US regional banks on the way.
Across the Atlantic Ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to hike its interest rates by 25bp when it meets on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep its policy rate at the negative territory despite the rising inflation.
Netflix’s share price could benefit from a mild fall in the US economy. The logic is based on stay-at-home dynamics and fading competitors in tougher economic conditions
The risk to this outlook is that unnecessary subscriptions are one of the first expenses that consumers are likely to cut back on. Netflix fell significantly in 2021, but there has been a decent bounce recently.
Netflix Stock Forecast By Month
Year Mo Min Max Close Total%
2023 Jul 432 511 482 9.55%
2023 Aug 476 536 506 15.00%
2023 Sep 499 563 531 20.68%
2023 Oct 525 591 558 26.82%
2023 Nov 534 602 568 29.09%
2023 Dec 560 632 596 35.45%
2024 Jan 583 657 620 40.91%
2024 Feb 612 690 651 47.95%
2024 Mar 625 705 665 51.14%
2024 Apr 656 740 698 58.64%
2024 May 689 777 733 66.59%
2024 Jun 705 795 750 70.45%
2024 Jul 717 809 763 73.41%
2024 Aug 753 849 801 82.05%
2024 Sep 768 866 817 85.68%
2024 Oct 778 878 828 88.18%
2024 Nov 817 921 869 97.50%
2024 Dec 825 931 878 99.55%
2025 Jan 864 974 919 108.86%
2025 Feb 907 1023 965 119.32%
2025 Mar 914 1030 972 120.91%
2025 Apr 939 1059 999 127.05%
2025 May 986 1112 1049 138.41%
2025 Jun 1035 1167 1101 150.23%
2025 Jul 1087 1225 1156 162.73%
Impact of Netflix Subscription Increase on Stock PriceFirstly, let's acknowledge that as a leading global streaming platform, Netflix has experienced tremendous growth and success over the years. However, the recent announcement of a subscription price increase raises concerns about the company's future profitability and market dynamics.
While the subscription increase may seem logical to counter rising content production costs and maintain profitability, it is essential to consider the potential consequences. Historically, price hikes have been met with mixed reactions from subscribers. In some cases, these increases have resulted in customer churn as consumers seek alternative, more affordable streaming options.
Given the intensely competitive nature of the streaming industry, with established players like Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, and Disney+, it is essential to assess the potential impact on Netflix's subscriber growth. A possible slowdown in subscriber acquisition or an increase in customer churn could negatively impact the company's revenue and, consequently, its stock price.
Therefore, please exercise caution and consider holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more clarity on the market's response to the subscription increase. Monitoring key metrics such as subscriber growth, churn rate, and competitive positioning will be crucial in making informed investment decisions.
As investors, it is our responsibility to assess risks and opportunities objectively. While Netflix remains a dominant player in the streaming industry, the potential repercussions of its subscription increase must be noticed. By adopting a wait-and-see approach, we can better evaluate the long-term implications on the company's financial performance and stock price.
In conclusion, I encourage you to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments surrounding Netflix's subscription increase. Holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more visibility on its impact will allow us to make more informed investment decisions.
$NFLX approaching a topI do think there is likely a small move higher coming next week prior to topping. I'm looking for one last push higher into $457, at which time I think is a good time to go short, because after that, the move down should be a big one.
Most likely scenario IMO is that we break the previously lows in the $170ish range and form new lows down between $139-$111 before bottoming.
All of this should play out within the next 6-9 months.
Let's see what happens.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NFLX here:
or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 450usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $16.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NFLX testing significant overhead resistanceNetflix Inc. (NFLX) testing significant overhead resistance, able to absorb monthly buying pressures. From here (NFLX) can fall back to channel support eliciting losses of 15 - 20% over the following 2 - 3 months. A settlement below a near-term channel bottom would be the signal of this downward trajectory. Inversely, a weekly settlement above the significant overhead resistance occurs, gains of 20% would be anticipated over the following 2 - 5 months time.
NETFLIX is heavily bullish. Buy this pullback.Netflix is trading inside a Channel Up for more than 1 year and is headed for the historic January 20th 2022 Gap of 508.45.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy on the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 508.45 (Resistance 1 and January 2022 gap).
2. 621.00 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) resembles the late August 2022 consolidation that led to a Higher High. Another bullish indication.
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Netflix: Are you still watching…? 👀Well, the question should rather be: “Are you still climbing?” Indeed, Netflix still has got some room left to expand wave 1 in turquoise further upwards, although the next top can be placed anytime now as well. As soon as this is done and dusted, the share should turn downwards to develop wave 2 in turquoise before the next stage of ascent can start. However, there is a 34% chance that Netflix could continue to climb higher than primarily anticipated. In that case, we would expect the share to already develop wave alt.3 in turquoise, meaning that wave alt.1 and alt.2 in turquoise would be finished by now.
NETFLIX: Sell conditions emerge. Bearish rest of Summer.Netflix is trading inside a Megaphone pattern since the May 2022 bottom and is approaching the formation's top. The 1D time frame is on green technicals (RSI = 68.406, MACD = 15.870, ADX = 40.286) but just 2-3 weeks ago it was massively overbought, showing that the massive bullish leg is getting exhausted.
Be ready to sell and buy back on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 370.00). That will make a technical Megaphone bottom on the HL trendline while approaching or touching the 1D MA200. This is where we will buy again and target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00).
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I might want to own DisneyI might want to own Disney as my first stock. Now this is why!
Are you aware that Netflix stopped allowing users of different IPs to log in and watch the show, even when you had a premium subscription?
That means, even if you are from the same household, but one of you has an extended overseas trip, he could be booted out after he has "used up" the overseas button.
In some countries, the subscription fee of Disney is 3 times cheaper than Netflix. I'm unsure if that's what Disney offers for the first-time sign-up client, but it is worth noticing.
Disney owns some of the biggest brands, such as Marvel, Starwars, 20th Fox Century Studio, and more.
Although I'm not optimistic about some of the new Marvel series, there is so much more potential with Disney.
So when the Bullish Shark Pattern has confirmed at $87.90, it is great news for me to own my first stock and it might be Disney.
What's your take on this?
Research firm claims Netflix adding new subscribers According to a recent report by a research firm, Netflix has added a significant number of subscribers after their password crackdown.
This is excellent news for investors as it shows that Netflix is taking proactive measures to protect its content and attract new subscribers. As we all know, a growing subscriber base is crucial for the success of any streaming service.
With this in mind, I encourage you to consider investing in Netflix. The company has a proven track record of success and constantly innovates to stay ahead of the competition. By investing in Netflix, you can be a part of their continued growth and success.
I hope you will join me in investing in Netflix and taking advantage of this exciting opportunity. I look forward to your comments.
msn.com/en-us/money/technology/netflix-added-subscribers-after-password-crackdown-research-firm-says/ar-AA1cleMG?li=BB16M4hs
Netflix's Shorting Potential Slipped Away by a Mere Two DaysMissed the Mark: Netflix's Late Entry Foils My Shorting Plan, and Now It's Breaking Bullish Boundaries!
Oh, the frustrations of timing! Just two days too late, Netflix seems to be defying my expectations. It's now poised for a structural breakout, potentially closing above the X point of my carefully identified Bearish Bat Pattern.
While this turn of events may be advantageous for Netflix, discouraging more traders from shorting, it's a letdown for me after patiently awaiting this setup for weeks.
But hey, that's the nature of trading. Time to swipe left on this missed opportunity and patiently await the next promising setup.
That said, the weekly resistance level holds(right).
Netflix NFLX Next MovePair : NFLX ( Netflix )
Description :
Bearish Channel in Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Retracement
Break of Structure
RSI - Divergence
Completed " ABC " Corrective Wave
Bearish Channel in STF with the Breakout of the UTL need to wait until it Completed its Retest
Impulse Correction Impulse