(ARM) arm holdings plcArm semiconductors looks like real prospect for long term investment strategy based investors similar to NVidia, intel, and major computer companies. I kind of figured this would happened and yet I stayed away from stocks in favor of cryptocurrency. ARM is a strong contendor for future gains up to $1000 (*speculation) and stock splits followed by gains and stock splits and the future is endless.
NEW
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback.
On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone.
But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up.
Now my Analysis:
As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action.
In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade.
But what happens if the zone fails..?
Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade.
In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone.
Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Bitcoin - Beginning of a new cycleBeginning of a new cycle
I am starting from time cycles. I have been talking about November 2022 since December 2021. November is not over yet, and we are near the bottom or at the bottom.
Catch the very bottom - it would be great, but based on the experience of the previous cycle, buying at 3k, 4k, or 5k was not a mistake. Of course, I have been waiting all this time for the 13-9k. I do not rule out that this goal can be achieved through cascading liquidations on some bad news.
Yes, I am starting to accumulate both Bitcoin and some other tokens of promising projects at these levels.
In general, I decided to make a public portfolio with a 100k initial deposit in which I will make spot trades and share it with you and see what profit I can make in a few years. Let's call it a public experiment.
Logistic curve
Speaking of BTC's future targets, we cannot ignore the stock market. Following my analysis, I see a local correction in the SP500 index. In previous times, the crypto followed him, but I would like to assume that a certain number of traders in the stock market will decide to invest some of their funds in a deflationary financial instrument - Bitcoin at some reasonable price levels. I think it is a smart idea against the backdrop of upcoming events.
I'm expecting targets around 28-32k closer to May 2023. After that, there will be a correction not lower than the last bottom and then only up.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
MAPO CAN SHOWS NEW INCREASEI hope you all are doing well and navigating the crypto market with your best strategies that are possible.
This update is for MAPOUSDT.
This coin seems to be new on some exchanges and can be high risk for the short term and 100% risky when users trade and invest with not a plan.
MAPO seems to be at an important key level, where it has a high chance of breaking in the coming time.
WE will follow this coin with the possibility of the trend increasing and breaking.
Remember, there are no guarantees in the market. Always follow a consistent system based on your own strategies and analysis that are at long term profitable.
The reason for expecting this coin can increase
Activation of a new trend with the possibility of starting a new cycle.
Good times, everyone.
This update is not trading or financial advice.
BRK.B "always bearish" Based on a bull baer power indicator of "push/pull" type; after I edited the dimensions of the indicator for volume instead of moving average I found BRK.B new to always be Bearish. Unlike BRK.B NEW, the BTC indicator had bearishness many years ago and since is Bullish. Too bad I can't overlay to different charts to show each individual indicator representing each in the same image; if only. It appears people are always trying to defeat Berkshire Hathaway with volume. Unless the edits I made to the indicator represent nothing. Sometimes a nothing indicator an imagined concept reveals as much information as if it was real.
(BRK.B) berkshire hathaway_newThe orange line is a same price % scale of BTC overlayed on top of BRK.B. The long term success of BRK.B is harder done than said. The volatility of Bitcoin is hellish compared to so many years of BRK.B succeeding including stock splits to keep the price down. If marginal shares were available to all people where a person could invest any amount of money they wished into the stock market perhaps more people would have become interested in stock trading before cryptocurrency succeeded. Cryptocurrency affords anyone to invest for any amount of money on any trade of cryptocurrency regardless of the price per share cost, unlike stock market. I know that marginal shares became a thing on Robinhood a couple years back. I am unaware of the progressive push by Robinhood and how their work influences other stock trading companies to improve their business model to appeal to a younger audience. Ironically, there is no way to put "BRK.B" into a tag. There is an understatement of percentage earned here as seen on the BRK.B chart because it doesn't account for all the stock splits over the years. One would have to create a modified chart to have a way to compare stocks that split versus cryptocurrency that does not, kind of like the, 'adjust for inflation' thing people always say and do.
MPC - Wait For The Bulls 📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📦 After finding support around the $0.5 round number, MPC has been hovering within a narrow range.
📈 As long as the $0.5 support holds, we anticipate a movement towards the upper bound of the range at $0.7 , which would also be a strong supply zone.
🏹 For the bulls to confirm medium-term control, a break above the red trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TSLA Stock going upDespite Tesla (TSLA) hitting the resistance level at $208, my analysis suggests the stock won't break through this barrier just yet. However, I'm optimistic about its trajectory. The resistance has tested the stock's resilience, and it's holding steady, indicating a solid foundation. The current market dynamics, combined with Tesla's robust fundamentals, lead me to believe we're on the cusp of an uptrend. While it's essential to approach with caution, given the resistance hurdle, the indicators I'm observing support a positive outlook for TSLA's near future.
BIG TIME VOLUME INCREASINGThank you for taking the time to review our update. It's essential to emphasize that the following information is not intended as trading advice.
BIG TIME is currently demonstrating significant changes in trading volume, representing a new cryptocurrency with inherent high-risk potential. It's worth noting that when trading below $0.16, the risk factor may escalate. However, if BIG TIME manages to sustain a value of $0.18 or higher, there is the potential for upward momentum and a potential breakout. Please approach this information with caution and conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
BINANCE JAPAN TO ADD 13 NEW TOKENS TO SPOT TRANSACTIONSBINANCE JAPAN TO ADD 13 NEW TOKENS TO SPOT TRANSACTIONS
Binance Japan is expanding its offerings by adding 13 new tokens to its spot transaction services, increasing the total to 47.
The expansion includes diverse digital assets and some will also be available for lending via Binance Japan’s Simple Earn feature.
This move aligns with Binance Japan’s goal to handle 100 currencies and strengthens its position in the Japanese crypto market.
Binance Japan, the Japanese arm of the global blockchain and crypto asset infrastructure leader Binance, is set to significantly expand its offerings. Starting November 27, the platform will introduce 13 new tokens to its spot transaction services.
This expansion will increase the total number of tokens available for trading on Binance Japan to 47, making it one of the most comprehensive lineups in the Japanese crypto market.
The addition of these new tokens marks a strategic step in enhancing the trading options available to Binance Japan’s users, reflecting the company’s commitment to broadening its services and maintaining its position as a key player in the crypto space.
Are The Bulls Ready to Come In, Or Is This Another Fake Out?On this pair, we see that the market is on bullish swings on both the 1 hour and 4 hour charts. Price is currently testing the large 4-hour zone and looks like it is beginning to slow down on the bearish dive. Below the current zone is a refined 1-hour zone.
From my experience in the market over the years, I have come to the conclusion that there is a strong likelihood that the market will dip to the refined 1-hour zone and look to reverse from there. That would mean the current top zone reversal would be breached.
If that is the case, then we would be looking to buy in the refined 1-hour zone.
On the other hand, in the event that the market reverses at its current top zone, we will create a trade plan around that move and look to trade in the direction of the market.
When jumping on this trade, our target would be the 4-hour liquidity target above.
The Bearish Run Resumesin our last analysis, we saw this pair breach our zone and go higher for a deeper retracement. According to our analysis, we refused to see the 1 hour zone as a reversal in itself but rather as forming a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
From our current analysis, it is clear that that was the intendment of the market. We have seen prices go all the way to our refined zone at the top and from there made a sharp reversal to continue the beraish run.
We are in on this position,even though we did not catch it from the top as displayed on the chart. The trade depiction on the chart is just to show the entire trade from the zone to liquidity target.
The bearishness has resumed, the bears are back, ready to drive the market to new lows, and we are right here, ready to hop on the slide down, all the way into the money
Another Chance to Catch the TradeWe have been bearish on this pair since last week, when we started sharing our analysis actively.
Yesterday, we caught the trade from the top and were able to watch it progress to where it stands currently.
You missed the trade entry yesterday. That's ok. Because right now, you have a chance at joining the trend.
With the market making a pullback into our PB and entering our zone, we have begun to see signs of a bearish reversal that should see prices melt towards our liquidity target below. We are setting up to catch another entry off this pair, and our setup is seen on the chart.
Our trade entry is a SELl STOP and we are looking to get taken in when the market reverses.
Looking to go the full length of what is left, our target remains the liquidity target below.
The Bearish Clock is Ticking...A quick re-cap of where we have come from and how long we have followed the analysis on this pair.
The market is Bearish and is currently in a bearish PB. After the bearish impulse, the market has continued to push bullish to give us a retracement. From our earlier analysis, we saw the market dip to make a low, and we had established that from that point on, we would expect prices to begin to retrace bullish towards our refined zone of the 1 hour PB.
The market is still on that bullish retracement. It would have been a great idea to have caught a long on that bullish retracement, but I didn't. lol.
So now the market is almost in our zone. We should see the bullish move experience some slowing down as it draws closer to our target.
As a trader, patience is one of my virtues. A second one is that I trust my tradin system and I always stick to my rules. So on this one, I will stay disciplined. I will wait for the market to get into the zone and from there I would begin to look for possibilities of a bearish u-turn to set us off on our swing towards the extension.
When the market gets into our zone, we will use one of the trade entry methods from Panzy Pips to catch this beautiful bearish trade; and boy, we are gonna milk this trade dry... lol
The NZDUSD Continues to Dip FurtherFrom our previous analysis of this pair, we witnessed prices dip with a Bearish swing in place.
With the completion of the last Bearish swing on the 1-hour chart, we are ready for the next. We can see the price begin to retrace towards our PB. When price comes into our PB, we will use our method to refine to a valid zone from which we will expect to see reversals. And when we get the reversals, we will look to enter the trade using one of the entry methods learned.
The good news is, "This market has strong BEARISH potential."
Macro Monday 18~Durable Goods SignalsMacro Monday 18
Using New Orders for Durable Goods to Anticipate Market Direction
This week we are using the Manufacturers New Orders for Durable Goods Survey data (“Durable Goods”) to help anticipate price movements on the S&P500. The 30 month moving average for Durable Goods can act as a threshold level for buy and sell signals for the S&P500 whilst also providing advance warnings of recession and/or capitulation events. This has been clearly illustrated in the chart.
Durable Goods Explained
Durable goods orders is a broad-based monthly survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau that measures current industrial activity which proves to be is useful as an economic indicator for investors. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future.
A high durable goods number indicates an economy on the upswing while a low number indicates a downward trajectory.
Durable goods orders tell investors what to expect from the manufacturing sector, a major component of the economy, and provide more insight into the supply chain than most indicators. This can be especially useful in helping investors understand the earnings in industries such as machinery, technology manufacturing, and transportation.
What’s Included in Durable Goods?
Durable goods are expensive items that last three years or more. As a result, companies purchase them infrequently. Examples include machinery and equipment, such as computer equipment, industrial machinery, and raw steel, as well as more expensive items, such as steam shovels, tanks, and airplanes—commercial planes make up a significant component of durable goods for the U.S. economy. Many analysts will look at durable goods orders, excluding the defense and transportation sectors as large once off orders can often skew the figures.
Durable goods orders data can often be volatile and revisions are not uncommon, so investors and analysts typically use several months of averages instead of relying too heavily on the data of a single month. In our chart we have found the 30 month moving average to be particularly apt as a threshold level
The Chart
In the chart we have the Durable Orders metric in blue and the S&P500 in baby blue. The 30 month moving average on Durable Goods (Dark Brown Line) is used as a threshold level for buy and sell signals.
When the blue line for new orders of Durable Goods definitively passes the 30 month moving average (Dark Brown Line) this provides the buy or sell signal based on whether it moves above or below the average.
Main Findings
1. When Durable Goods Orders(blue) fall below the 30 month moving average(brown) this is sell signal
2. When Durable Goods Orders(blue) break above the 30 month moving average(brown) this is a buy signal
3. Declining durable goods and/or a fall below the 30 month moving average has offered advanced warning of recession and/or capitulation.
Sell Signal Record
(Blue line crossing below Dark Brown Line)
▫️ In Oct 2000 five months before the Dot.Com Crash which commenced in Mar 2001, the Durable Goods Moving Average provided a sell signal offering an five month advanced warning of recession.
▫️ In Dec 2007 the Great Financial Crisis (“GFC”) commenced and whilst New Orders for Durable Goods had not passed below the moving average before the recession it did pass the moving average mid recession signalling an advance warning of the major capitulation event of the GFC crash. Once again Durable Goods was of great utility in avoiding unnecessary losses.
▫️ A sell signal triggered in Oct 2014 and whilst there was no crash, the S&P500 price oscillated sideways for >24 months post signal and only increased in value by 9%. During this 24 month period capital would have been better allocated somewhere offering a better than 9% return.
▫️ In Feb 2019 one year before the COVID-19 Crash the Durable Goods Moving Average provided an advanced sell/recession signal, and whilst the S&P500 did rally c.13.5% after the signal over the subsequent 12 months, the S&P500 ultimately fell 23% thereafter in a matter of months taking back all those gains and more.
Buy Signal Record
(Blue line crossing above Dark Brown Line)
▫️ As you can see from the chart the buy signals provide a great confirmation of trend, that price on the S&P500 will likely continue in an upwards trajectory.
▫️ For the four buy signals confirmed we had 50 months of upwards price pressure on the S&P500 on the first two occasions and on the latter two 18 months and 15 months of upwards price action.
▫️ Taking the four aforementioned buy signals, an the average return was 60.5% f(max return possible from a buy signal the market high).
▫️ The performance from a buy signal to sell signal was an average of 43% across the four instances.
The chart demonstrates that using the 30 month moving average for Durable Goods New Orders can very useful in determining market trend.
At present we are well above the 30 month moving average and appear to be trending upwards. We can continue to monitor this chart and watch for a cross of the 30 month moving average as an additional confirmation of a change to a bearish trend for the S&P500 when it happens. For now this is just another chart to help us identify bearish/bullish trend changes by using the economic data from Manufacturers New Orders for Durable Goods.
As always folks, stay nimble
PUKA
BUY GbpNzd from trend line bottomThe price is approaching the rising channel line, and at the same time, the Fibonacci 23.6% level intersects with the channel line. On the H1 and H4 charts, the 21-period RSI is in the overbought zone.
There is a high probability of the price encountering resistance to the upside from the intersection of the channel bottom and the Fibonacci 23.6%. This is supported by the upward movement in the RSI.
Additionally, the 100-day simple moving average supports the uptrend and acts as a resistance level for the price.
The New Zealand current account balance data, which was released a few hours ago, came in better than expected, leading to some strength in the NZD. However, the data is not likely to have a lasting or medium-term impact.
Pending buy order: 2.0780
Stop Loss: 2.0710
Take Profit: 2.0950