NEWS
EUR/USD Heading into Friday - Can we push higher?OANDA:EURUSD
Past weeks' price action on the EU.
Heading into London open, with NY news releases, this Friday, to end the week.
Will London put the brakes on this bull momentum?
Or push higher knowing the fundamentals have not changed with our economy?
Will we see a News Correction? 🙊 Inflation Data EU has been moving quite violently and was expected with inflation data. We took advantage of the momentum and took 4 buys as price left the 1.0922 key level. We originally took Sells from this level which played out nicely. However, just as we did last week, Price dips hard early in week. Then soars as the week progresses using news as a catalyst for a continuation of momentum. With new 4hr candle here, we may anticpate a top wick on the next 4hr candle. We may stretch to 1.103 daily/weekly wick fill today or tomorrow. That's short term target with this momentum. Most of the time the news corrects but also the market is very sensitive to cpi data . especially in recent months for obvious reasons.
More Analysis: It is a good for bulls that the 4hr candle is closing above our daily Level at 1.09885. We also have clean traffic to the left hand side on the 4hr for bulls. For Bears we have the argument that we already have significant engulfing daily bullish candle. Additionally , fomo after some missed the entry from 1.0922 pre-news. Also 1.10 is a psycholigcal level for bulls and bears. So we may see some profit taking before heading any more north to Weekly wickfill at 1.103
Day ShortKing W. Harbmayg's Journal Entry#14
Day Position
1. Thesis:
Short— Price is at yesterday’s supply zone and has liquidated higher level price with the aid of news. This is a risk entry and I look to use the momentum of the news event to help push price.
2. Performance: (1 out of 5)
Confidence— 4
Discipline— 4
Communication— 4
NFP March 7th, 2023'In yesterdays publishing you can observe that our short term target was at 1.0938. Some buyers are taking profit as we have reached this minor zone 1Hr level. The bullish 4hr candle closed above 1.0918 which has been our Fakeout sell side entry area. This is bullish technically speaking. Looking at market structure it looks great. So we had a fakeout market strcutre display, but now look where the 4hr candle closed. EU being tricky. In larger context, I don't like buys as much at these prices. I like retests of 1.0867 to end the week off with NFP tomorrow. Price is consolidating near the Daily/Weekly highs and playing games. If we go Long, I like Bulls respecting 1.0918 , possibly wicking back down again to 1.089 and then rocket to mars at 1.103, Weekly timeframe wick fill.
Trading : Fortunately, I did trade and anticipate sells off this level after news was released this morning. Price wicked up violently triggering my buy stop. In profit for two seconds then hit SL. Only half risk here. Consequently, I took sells after we whipped back down and created a low to go fill in momentum. I scaled in with full size effectively and picked up 7.3 pips in 6 minutes. I took one more sell for +2 pips with higher risk which worked out well. Took 1 more trade with half risk and closed for small loss. Called the day there.
Catalytic effects of NFP DaysAs you see NFP release days often generate reversals, minor pullbacks on daily or are at the beginning of big moves, acting as catalysts.
Though I dont believe in big NFP reversal starting on low volume trading days, as we are in Easter Holidays. Hence today´s NFP day may go unnoticed as most of traders are gone for Easter holidays.
But otherwise we could see a catalytic move.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
Solana ideaWaaaaSUP everyone, heres another idea out ther based on the 4 hour time frame.
So here we go, what do i base my anylsis ideas on and where do i think price is going to go towards based on probabilty.
1. Bouncing off good support
2. bounce/bouncing off bottom symetrical triangle pattern 50/50
3. macd histobars look like they want to curl up
4 stochastic rsi low
5 hidden bull div
6. money flow back in the green
7. vwap coming up
so ..... SOL could touch support (VAL) again at around $20.30 before making a move up to the top tendline of symetrical triangle pattern which is local VAH at 21.1, top violet line
sorry i should of marked these lines.
I see SOL breaking out and moving up to higher top trend line at around $21.5 to resistance 22.41
So there you have it my idea based on these probabilities :)
happy good friday everyone
Here come the Bears ? 🐺Per Analysis of yesterday I warned about buying at the higher prices. After we have a spike and people bag up, we have some hold the bag. Price nearly stretched the whole range up to 1.098 Daily Zone. Price just couldn't quite make it. Completely Missed this news correction move - was away from computer and totally didn't see it anyways. I did know it was likely we would have selling pressure after news like I have studied in the past (check bias from yesterdays' post). Another News Correction in the books, and another piece of art to learn from. This news correction contained 2 red folders to complete the campaign.
More Analysis : It was very possible to jump on the train for sells after the 7am PST 1Hr News Candle closed bearish underneath our 1h/4hr zone. We consequently came up for a retest at 1.0918 4hr zone . We have the Daily cnadle closing Bearish , nearly completely retracing yesterdays candle. We would like to see the daily candle to at least close above 1.0904 so bulls at least have a reason to hold. 1.089 4hr level appears to be holding steady for the time being. For Bears we would like to see the 4hr chart do a fakeout and respect 1.0918 4hr level. However I can still see weekly target for bulls. We do have clean traffic on 1Hr chart up to 1.0957. NFP holds more weight here for me at least
EU Entered HyperSpace ⛩️ News --> the Catalyst We have entered HyperSpace and are now transcending into the stars. We are ahead of schedule as our weekly target remains as 1.103. Weare in the middle of a range between 1.093 and 1.098. If I was swing I would like break and retest of 1.093. But I'm not swing. Volume comes into the market in disproportionate balances at specific times and this is why I enjoy scalping and stick to it. Stick to what works based off your personality. Aiming for 1.103 which would be a monthly wickfill. Be cautious for buys at these prices. Price must setup exactly how your plan and parameters permit.
More Analysis : Took multiple buys and majority played out for a good RiskReward. I set a sellstop as the news popped off and earned 13 pips in 1 second. Consequently I placed 2 more proftile trades as we had determined direction and saw good momentum shortly after the news release. We have clean candles to the left on 1/4hr TF's from 1.093 to 1.098 Daily Zone. That was very encouraging for bias.
Opportunity to jump on the Train or get ready for Sell side? 🕛We have corrected the GDP volatility and continuation at 530PST. However, We have pulled back to a 1Hr/4Hr zone at 1.0895 and this woulnd't be a bad place to jump on the bullish train. I'm just watching for the rest of the day. I jumped off the train already with Buys. With all this said, we have increased 145 pips on the week. Wouldn't be surprised if Price drops from these prices tbh back to 1.0854 Daily Zone. We'll see what happens as we move into CPI data tomorrow. Safe trading. Not Financial Advice. Just education.
Weekly SPX Trade(another A ICT setup) 3/29/23Beautiful setup today and was able to catch a nice price swing. Here was once again my thinking for today and my reasoning for entry: Factors for trade:
Big London/Asian Session or Afterhours-Premarket run up.
Swept liquidity(high of day, premarket high)
bearish news
Will Bitcoin Touch The Sky ? (Read The Description)Hey Traders , Bitcoin has been leading the charge, with dominance over the rest of crypto increasing over the past week. Bitcoin climbed to hover around $27,000 Friday morning as cryptocurrencies in general continued to rally. Traditional markets were trading lower. Bitcoin on his bullish mode while bank crisis keeps falling , so he just breaks a new resistance then he's too close for the next resistance , so bulls are running don't miss the shot ;)
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