NEWS
GBPNZD testing support + newsPrice is testing the support for the 4th time, such as MACD.
We can see the columns in MACDS indicator losing power, and the line crossing each other.
About candles we've a three inside up after testing the support, show us a bullish signal.
And to conclude the Reerve Bank of New Zeland says "economy will slow as rising rates curb consumption", the houses prices are still expensive; and this morning in NZ we had data about unemployment and employment, and:
Unemployment: 3,3%, higher thand expected (3,2%). They though the rate was lower than last Q, but is the same as the previous and higher than expected.
Employment: Higher than expected with a change of 1,3bp and the forecast was 0,5%
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Dont forget about yesterday:
BOE made a £838b stimulus and sold £750m of gilts
APTOS Price - Bad News Are In Effect Hi
I am neutral on APTUSDT. I just want to post this chart. You can see that it could go up/down from here. Their found raising project was unsuccessful and there are negative news. There is a talk about a possible rugpull. I don't know if I can link to google news from here, but do some research if you are interested. Always use risk management when trading.
EURUSD before FED Today, we have news that will determine the next move on the dollar.
There is a higher probability for a strong USD but the market could also surprise us and that's why it will be probably best to trade after the news.
The main sell scenario would be to wait for price to reach the parity level and leave a rejection wick there.
However, if it reaches the parity level with a bullish impulse and it doesn't show rejection, we won't be looking to sell!
We may see tricky moves in both directions and that's why we need patience!
Trading the FOMC MeetingTomorrow we have another FOMC meeting. In 2022 we've seen ~3% moves during and/or by end of next day (shown on chart).
In my opinion (not financial investment advice)... There will be an initial move and then a rip in the opposite direction for a big move, as has happened in the past.
As bearish the economy is and I am personally, we may hear pre-midterm political "pivot" talk to drive markets up for voters. That said, tomorrow we could see a fast move lower followed by a rip up to ~4100 to fill that gap you see in the chart.
Whatever happens it will be extremely volatile.
Keep your stops tight and/or entry's accurate.
What you'll see on the chart is a gap indicator along with a market breadth indicator. We're finishing up these 2 free indicators and will be posting them for people to use very soon.
Good luck trading!
EURUSD awaiting the news Like we already said, we have important news this week.
Before that we are probably not going to have any clear moves.
Yesterday we saw EURUSD moving to the downside and this will be the direction in which we will be trading.
We will wait for the news to pass and then for further confirmation before entry!
Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading
Economic indicators and announcements are an essential part of fundamental analysis. Even if you’re not planning on finding trades using fundamentals, it’s a good idea to pay attention to how the overall economy is performing.
Here’s a cheat sheet covering six key indicators and announcements to watch out for.
1. Non-farm payrolls (NFP)
The non-farm payrolls report estimates the net number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month – excluding those in farms, private households and non-profit organisations.
2. Consumer price index (CPI)
The chief measure of inflation is the consumer price index, which measures the changing prices of a group of consumer goods and services.
3. Central bank meetings
As we’ve seen, most traders follow economic figures so they can anticipate what a central bank might do next. So, it only makes sense that we pay attention to what happens when they actually meet and make decisions.
4. Consumer and business sentiment reports
Multiple organisations are constantly surveying consumers and business leaders to create sentiment reports. While the number of reports they produce is staggering, they all play their part in shaping the markets’ expectation for the future.
5. Purchasing manager index (PMI)
Purchasing manager indices measure the prevailing direction of economic trends in a given industry, according to the view of its purchasing managers. They are used as an indicator of the overall health of a sector.
Pay close attention to these fundamentals.
They play a crutial role in trading.
very strong sginal for long postion EUR/USDwow depend on our deep analysis in news and indecators >> we found very good apportonatiy for long postion
as you see in the chart the price borke downtrend and moving up also today the price make backtest for the trend and keep moving up so in this condition the price confirm long moving
also you see in rsi indecator the price broke 50 line so this very good signal for long moving
and in adx indecator you see the price broke 20 ine and also ad+ and adx line moving up 20 line this very good signal for long moving
in the end we advice our investor to open long postion and take profit to ema 200 on daily time frame
this postion 1.5 reward ratio / see the postion on the chart
Important news for EURUSD Today we have ECB Interest Rates decision.
We should see them going up by 0.75%.
No matter what will be the bank's decision, we're going to see big moves on EURUSD.
We could see more bullish pressure on EURUSD, but we have to keep in mind that FED is also coming out with their decision soon.
That means, whatever upside move we see today, it could reverse pretty soon.
That's why, we think the best decision today would be to wait for the news and look for entries after that.
Also, price reaching higher levels will only give us a better sell opportunities.
NZX to end 2022 with strong headwindsNew Zealand's stock exchange (NZX) could be facing strong headwinds toward the end of 2022 as third-quarter inflation figures suggest an 75-basis-points hike in the central bank's Official Cash Rate (OCR) in November.
In anticipation of the Reserve Bank rate decision earlier in October, the S&P/NZX 50 fell 106.3 points or -1% to 10,959.71. A similar scenario could happen again in the lead up to the November rate decision.
While the index, indeed, recovered following the announcement of the third-quarter inflation figures for the country, it was largely due to strong overnight rally in the US. However, It did not entirely dissipate concerns that a further interest rate hike is fast approaching, potentially adding uncertainty to an already volatile market.
NZX's reaction to rate decisions and inflation figures
Following the announcement of the third-quarter consumer price index for New Zealand, the S&P/NZX 50 index rose 61.4 points or +0.57% to 10,847.34. The strong overnight rally in the US helped offset the reveal of a marginal decline in inflation figure to 7.2% from 7.3%.
The index fell 55.8 points, or -0.51%, to 10,817.23 in the lead up to the announcement of the inflation figure, proving that if not for the strong overnight rally, closing results for the index would have been very different as a still-high inflation number was expected to dampen sentiment and market activity.
The inflation data has elicited expectations for a 75-basis-point hike in the official cash rate when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand makes it monetary policy decision in November. A hike above 50-basis-points is all but guaranteed.
"If interest rates move higher, stock investors become more reluctant to bid up stock prices because the value of future earnings will look less attractive versus bonds that pay more competitive yields today," explained Rob Haworth, senior investment strategy director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.
"If higher rates are anticipated in the future, the present value of future earnings for stocks are reduced. If this occurs, it may put more pressure on stock prices," he added.
Most sectors emerge as losers when interest rates are increased, except for some exceptions such as the financial sector. As such, the Finance is the NZX’s leading sector for the previous 3 months, racking up gains of +11.34%. Only three other sectors are in positive territory for this time period; Consumer No-Durables (+6.97%), Transportation (+2.74%) and Communications (+1.39%).
What awaits the NZX?
The further rate hike to 4.25% as almost a certainty at this point. At least two Reserve Bank committee members already expressed they are in favor of a 75-point rate increase.
ASB Bank analysts are even expecting the upcoming rate hike to be followed by two more 50-point increases early in 2023 for an expected official cash rate peak 5.25%.
Economists from the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group are joining the consensus for the rate hike in November and adds that a similar decision is anticipated in February 2023. "Both hikes are contingent on global financial markets keeping it together," said ANZ economist Finn Robinson and chief economist Sharon Zollner.
Nothing has changed on EURUSDRight now, the situation on EURUSD remains the same as yesterday.
It's heading towards 0,9950 - the level where we should see a reaction.
It's also important to know that this week, we have ECB Interest Rates.
This will definitely bring some volatility and it also makes the entries before the news more risky.
That's why we have to wait for the right moment only after confirmation.
EURJPY A long sell on EURJPY expected this coming week lets hope momentum on JPY stays and this might lead us to a bullish trend line taking us straight into profits with a big bunch of PIPS in our name i personally think tis will be a steady road for us sellers no bearish or anything funny to expect
Gold Short-term Downtrend As stated on my previous trade idea the USD has better control of inflation and is maintaining relative strength over other top currency pairs. With this in mind the USD will be more popular than the Gold as Gold generally goes the opposite direction to USD due to the intrinsic value it can hold the Dollar currency.
This trade is merely speculative and has somewhat of an entry shown by the 4-hour candle closing underneath the "Buy Zone".
- Note to never risk more than 1-3% of your account on any given trade.
Please form your own research but I hope this can give some advice or fuel for ideas to be generated.
A Follow would be appreciated if this helps!
ZENUSDTHello dear friends
This graph is very attractive! You don't think so?
Our downtrend is not yet complete!!! In my opinion, this trend will continue until the price range of $12.76, and from this area, provided that $11.24 is maintained, I expect to react and form an increasing trend similar to the drawn scenario.
What do you think?
⭐️BTCLive: Bitcoin Hitting Multiple Bearish Signals⭐️BTCLive: Bitcoin Hitting Multiple Bearish Signals
TLDR
(Bullish:Bearish)
Short Term (Less Than 1 Week)
40:60
Long Term (More Than 1 Week)
50:50
Overview:
We need to break up aout of the macro trendline and hold to pump to $20k if we break down out of the ascending wedge then it will dump to $19k region
Technical Analysis:
- Ascending wedge on the 1hr
- Macro Trendline Resistance
- Bearish Divergence
- Bought on the 1hr
- Unfilled weekly pivot to $19k
+ Bullish CME Gaps
- Alpha Wave Sell Signals
- Decending Triangle pattern on the Daily
+ Descending Wedge pattern on the Weekly
+ Bullish Divergence on the Weekly forming
+ 200 EMA Support
+ 20 DEMA Support
News:
+Dormant Bitcoin moved out from Coinbase Pro
"The outflow of 48K $BTC is coming from Coinbase Pro and has a dollar value of $940.032.000,00"
/ 🦄 🇺🇸 US launches investigation into bankrupt #crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital. t.co
/ 🦄 🇺🇸 Texas securities regulator launches investigation into FTX US and CEO Sam Bankman-Fried.
/🦄 🇫🇷 France's finance minister says the government will review #crypto tax regulation next year.
+🦄 Mastercard to help banks obtain regulatory compliance to offer #crypto trading, CNBC reports.