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EUR RALLY ON ECB MEETING?Trading Plan for ECB Rate Decision 1. BASELINE 📊 - Market Expectations for Interest Rates: The market is anticipating a rate cut by the ECB, with a forecasted main refinancing rate of **2.90%** down from **3.15%**. The STIR markets have priced in a 50 bps cut, suggesting strong expectations for a reduction. - Upcoming Event Predictions: Consensus is that the ECB will cut rates by either 25 bps or 50 bps to stimulate the economy due to lower inflation and weaker-than-expected growth. - Trend Analysis: The ECB has been lowering rates since last year in response to economic challenges. This trend is likely to continue. - Pre-positioning Observation: The flat movement in the proprietary euro index suggests cautious pre-positioning, indicating that significant moves might occur post-announcement. 2. SURPRISE⚡ : - 25 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, it could lead to an upside in the euro due to repricing, as the market has priced in a 50 bps cut. - 50 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **50 bps**, it might be seen as expected, leading to a less significant market reaction. 3. BIGGER PICTURE 🌐 - Short-term Play: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, initiate a short-term intraday trade on the predictable directional volatility, taking advantage of the potential upside in the euro due to repricing. - Long-term Play: The broader expectations for future interest rates remain unchanged, suggesting that neither scenario will alter the bigger picture significantly.
Long
by Midas_Macro
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ? Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition.. Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/ noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone. How you approach the market is very important. Have a set of rules for yourself. - Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out. - Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses. - Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions. - Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important. - Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades. One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions. Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are. Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed. Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money. So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey. Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved. Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker. Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed. What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading? You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions. The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market. Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions. Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out. Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself. A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE . patience /ˈpeɪʃns/ (noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious. That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc. How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient? Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit? Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose. From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account. We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far. Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories. Work on your patience, and you will get far. For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience. This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post. FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
1
Gold Analysis Update: Resistance Levels and Market OutlookHello Everyone! How are you all? I hope everything is going great! I'm excited to announce my return with a new TradingView account. I hope you’ll show the same love and support as you did with my previous account. Gold Analysis I'm observing that gold is facing resistance at 2762 on the H1 chart. It has been retesting this level repeatedly and pulling back to 2756. If gold fails to break 2763 on the H4 candle, we can anticipate a bearish market movement in the next few hours. All targets are clearly explained in the chart above for your easy understanding. Please like, comment, follow, and support! Thank you for your love and encouragement! 🙏
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
3
"FTM eyes a rebound with Sonic conversion and airdrop catalysts! Fantom (FTM) shows a recent downtrend, but the upcoming Sonic (S) conversion and the associated incentives like the free swaps and airdrop could catalyze significant price action. Here’s a detailed analysis: Current Technical Overview: 1. Price Action: - The price is currently trading at $0.74250, down significantly from its recent highs, but it appears to be nearing a support level. - Historically, these levels may attract buyers looking for value or anticipating upcoming events. 2. Moving Averages: - The yellow line represents the 50-day moving average (MA), while the red line is the 200-day MA. - The price is below both MAs, suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. However, a catalyst like the Sonic conversion could reverse this trend if it sparks significant buying activity. 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): - The RSI is near 38.93, which is close to the oversold region (below 30). - This indicates potential for a rebound, especially with the upcoming news providing a fundamental driver. 4. Volume: - There is moderate volume, but it hasn't yet shown the surge that might accompany the January 19 event. If trading activity picks up in anticipation, this could signal increased interest. Impact of Upcoming Events: 1. Sonic (S) Conversion: - The free swaps for the first 90 days provide a strong incentive for current holders to stay invested and for new investors to join. - This could reduce selling pressure on FTM while potentially driving demand. 2. Airdrop*: - A points-based airdrop with 6% of the supply set aside can encourage accumulation of FTM to qualify, likely increasing buying pressure over the coming months. 3. Psychological and Market Sentiment: - Such large-scale events often generate positive sentiment and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), potentially pushing the price upwards as we approach the event. Strategy and Outlook: 1.Short-Term: - As the January 19 date approaches, there is a strong possibility of a price rebound if volume picks up and sentiment turns bullish. - Traders may look for entries near the current support level with tight stop-losses in case of further downside. 2. Mid-Term: - The incentives from the free swaps and airdrop could sustain higher interest in FTM through Q1 2025. - Monitor for a breakout above the 50-day MA as a confirmation of trend reversal. 3. Risks: - If the broader market remains bearish or if the events fail to meet expectations, the price could consolidate or continue its downtrend. - Keep an eye on the volume and RSI for early signals of a move. Key Levels to Watch: - Support: $0.70 (current zone) and $0.60 (major support). - Resistance: $0.95 (50-day MA) and $1.20 (recent high). With the January 19 event on the horizon, this could be a pivotal moment for Fantom's price action. It's a good opportunity to prepare for potential volatility and capitalize on positive momentum.
FLong
by PROFITPULSE10X
XAUUSD 1 HR STRUCTURE CHANGEXAU/USD on the 1-hour chart has shifted its structure back into the established range, signaling a period of consolidation. With the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release on the horizon, there is a high probability of a liquidity hunt around the 2655 level. Traders should exercise caution and wait for clear confirmations before entering positions, as volatility is likely to spike during the NFP event. This could present opportunities for sharp moves, but patience and a well-defined strategy will be key to navigating these conditions effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
TCS Analysis - Multi-Year Deal with Air France-KLMTrend: TCS is in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel since 2021, signaling steady growth potential. Technical Signals: EMA Support : Price bounced above key EMAs (20/50/100/200), showing strong support. Volume Surge : High buying volume after the Air France-KLM deal indicates increased investor confidence. RSI : Above 50, supporting bullish momentum. Levels to Watch: Support : ₹3,995.45 – Reliable base. Immediate Resistance : ₹4,411.25 Final Target : ₹4,587.95 – Top of the channel. Trade Setup: Entry: On pullbacks or above ₹4,217.30. Stop Loss : Below ₹3,995.45. Target : ₹4,411.25 - ₹4,587.95.
NSE:TCSLong
by AngshumanSaikia
A significant update on Nasdaq today Hello traders, This is a new update of the NASDAQ market after the release of the data news.Uh uh, that came uh, stagnant stable as expicted 241K, not much happened, but as you can see from the chart, the NASDAQ market really bounced.Off of the 50 moving average and went down a little to stop out traders who were putting their stop losses.Right below the 1 hour level 20300 and that is a trick that institutions, financial and money institutions and funds due in order to stay alone in the market and get rid of all the.Other traders and as I told you before, the market may go down for a correction and still move up since.There is no real impact on the market. I'm pretty sure that the target will be still the daily level that we.Talked about.Earlier, which is?Umm. 20474.And if that level is.Are broken. We should wait for a Pull back and then look for a long trade.to go and seek the next level which will be 20744.So please keep watching that level. As long as we have a bullish momentum, we should look only for a buy trade, not a sell since the four hours. the daily chart are still bullish and there is still a bullish momentum, so we should look for a buy.trade not sell trades. Thank you for your attention and good luck for everyone and take care.
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
4
MAZDOCK Breaks Downtrend Channel After Securing Major OrderMazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd (NSE: MAZDOCK) has shown a strong price action today, breaking out of the downward trend channel after securing a significant order worth ₹1.22 billion from Maharashtra State Power Generation. This news has spurred bullish sentiment, driving the stock up by +4.55% to ₹4,472.40. Technical Insights: Downtrend Channel Breakout: The stock has successfully broken out of the descending channel that has been intact since early July, signaling a potential reversal of the downtrend. Key Support Levels: The stock bounced from a strong support level at ₹4,248.30, which held firm despite recent downward pressure. Resistance Levels : Immediate resistance lies at ₹4,714.40, where the stock previously faced selling pressure in late September. A breakout above this level could push the stock towards ₹5,147.20 and then ₹5,555.05. Volume and Momentum: The recent price surge is accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that the bullish move is supported by strong buying interest. RSI is moving upward, currently near 60, indicating room for further upward movement before overbought levels are reached. Fundamental Catalysts : The order from Maharashtra State Power Generation strengthens Mazagon Dock’s business outlook, providing long-term revenue visibility and boosting investor confidence. Outlook: If the stock manages to sustain above ₹4,248.30, it could see further upside in the short-to-medium term, targeting the next resistance at ₹4,714.40 and beyond. However, a failure to hold above this breakout level may see the price retest support around ₹4,000.
NSE:MAZDOCKLong
by AngshumanSaikia
Dollar CPI Alert: Potential Buyside Draw for DXY🚨 High Impact News Alert! 🚨 News Release: Core CPI Time: 08:30 NY Time Attention traders! Core CPI news is slated for release at 08:30 NY Time . 🕣 Brace yourselves, as this news is known to inject significant volatility into the market. My analysis indicates a potential upward movement for DXY. The aim is to address inefficiencies lingering from last week's downward trend, which specifically targeted the Daily Sell Stops and mitigated the Daily Order Block. Adopting the perspective of Smart Money, we have the understanding that Smart Money used the Buy Stops for Order Pairing . Capitalizing on market inefficiencies such as Volume Imbalances and Liquidity Void will be the objective. Our target is the Daily Bearish Order Block, marking a return to Fair Value (Liquidation Zone). This strategic approach positions us to anticipate directional moves in USD-based pairs, potentially signaling a Bearish Idea, I will be looking at a Bearish Idea on GBPUSD. Stay tuned for a detailed video analysis and further updates as we navigate these dynamic market conditions. 📈💼 Kind Regards, The_Architect
TVC:DXYLong
by The_Archi-tect
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/13/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2023 - PR High: 15510.00 - PR Low: 15498.75 - NZ Spread: 25.25 Margins increased 25% ahead of pre-RTH news - 08:30 – CPI (2x) Daily rollover, breaking prev session low - Strong inventory interest off PR-2, 15480 (MNQ) - Slight volume increase - Holding low volatility, expecting boost from news Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.05% (closed) - Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 234.65 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 187K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -7.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 16105 - Mid: 15247 - Short: 14675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQZ2023Short
by mv3trader5