NZDUSDThe New Zealand Dollar saw some uncertainty lift Monday (March 26) with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s formal adoption of a duel monetary-policy mandate.
On government instruction the central bank will now have to consider not only its old inflation target when setting interest rates, but also the “maximum, sustainable” level of employment. This addition was proposed by the incoming government which was formed last year following considerable coalition horse trading when September’s election produced a hung parliament. Reports in the interim suggested that the RBNZ might have liked Auckland to stop short of making the mandate official, but the government has always held firm and said that whoever became the new RBNZ government would have to accept it. Well, now Adrian Orr is installed as that governor and has indeed accepted it.
What this may mean is that interest rates remain lower than they might otherwise have done as the second part of the mandate inclines the RBNZ to wait before raising interest rates to secure the first part. With NZ interest rates already at record lows, inflation docile and import levels below expectations, the dual mandate is likely to weigh on NZD/USD.
The pair is already looking a little week on its daily technical charts, having been in a steady, well respected downtrend since February.
Newzealand
GBPNZD continuation pattern?I see GBPNZD to have made the 5 wave elliott structure.
It appears to be making an ABCDE flag pattern (correct me if I am wrong or you see different).
I am not fully convinced that the E wave has finished and it may continue down for a short period of time to create a 'throw-over' before resuming the upwards trend.
I would wait for consolidation just below/just above the top trendline for the flag to confirm the trend is resuming.
The arrow finishes at the 23.6% extension and it could continue well past there.
Any advice or feeback is appreciated.
Thanks.
EURNZDAs idle cash looks to find a strong and secure yield, it is no wonder that the New Zealand Dollar has benefited from the current Euro-Zone crisis. Pairs such as the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are often viewed as a proxy for Chinese growth and thus have performed well against the Euro in recent years. Although Chinese growth may become a cause for concern as the nation shifts away from export led growth, weakness in the Euro-Zone may cap any significant reversal.
AUD/NZD 4H Chart: The upwards channel continued After meeting with the lower trend line of a dominant channel up pattern, AUD/NZD currency exchange rate began a surge on January 12.
This movement is likely to continue since it already tested the weekly and monthly pivot point resistance at 1.098. However, the pattern is drawing closer to the dominant downward channel.
Meanwhile, regarding the long term, the movement is likely to continue upward. That is due to all technical indicators confirming the price movement. The 55-hour SMA is providing support at 1.092 and both 100 and 200–hour SMAs are located under the exchange rate.