NZDUSD moving south?Analysis is based on multiple fibonacci plots: monthly, weekly, daily and hourly intervals.
Short-term analysis:
Please pay attention to the main trend and don't get scared of the short term noise.
NZDUSD will move according to arrows visible on the plot it means there will be a chance to enter longs and shorts.
Long-term analysis:
In my perception NZDUSD is loosing momentum (daily/weekly) and will continue going down.
Moreover, pattern of stock market from 1996 to 2001 looks very similar to what we have at the moment 2014 onwards - please have a look at monthly chart of NZDUSD.
1996 top price was 0.715 while bottom was reached at 0.391 in 2000 - ratio of -1.82
2014 top price was 0.882 if ratio is going to repeat itself then price may reach 0.48
I expect similar pattern in the next financial crisis. Nonetheless, NZDUSD is moving down already that could only mean we are already in hidden crash and there is more downwards move to come.
Newzealand
NZD/JPY, DAY CHART, SHORT (18-FEB-2017)From the Price Action, there are more selling
pressure than buying pressure in this consolidation pattern.
From COT Report,
For JPY, there are more non-commercial positions
added to long side.
From both Price Action and COT Report, there is
confluence that NZD/JPY might go down further.
Here are 2 trading plans for you:
1. When the price break the support level, short
2. If the price pull back to previous resistance level,
wait for bearish signal to short
NZDUSD Possible Shortterm BottomingFX:NZDUSD looks like it held well on the 0.719 support especially the possible crossover of the 50ma/200ma confirming the bottom. Will take a long position once markets open on Sunday night.
Preferred Entry: 0.7190-.7195
SL: 0.717
TP: 0.723-0.729
Any feedbacks are appreciated
Short KiwiMight not have the best cypher pattern, but it is very close (it is off by 0.02-0.03 in both extentions, but spot on the retracement).
We are at very crucial point as we are hitting multiple resistance lines around the 0.73 level. USD looks like it is going to continue its bull run and I think one of the best pairs to go Long USD is this one.
Again we have an RSI divergence, volume is going down overall but sell volume is growing. Lots of news are coming out this week and I expect to have a clear view about the direction of the market by the end of the week.
A break below 0.7236 would be a clear sell opportunity, but selling now or near 0.73 has the potential to win a few more pips.
H4 Cypher Pattern This is one of my very first ideas that I have shared that I felt has been deeply analyzed and calculated. This Pattern will go long, but I expect it to go short after the pattern has completed. Why? to retrace and hit fibonacci levels such as the 0.5 and 0.382. For those are common levels that the market loves to hit before continuing its destination.
You can easily still trade within this pattern on lower timeframes, just use this as a guide to look at the overall viewpoint of a long trend.
NZDUSD GREAT SELL TRADE IS COMING SOONER OR LATERIs it going to turn at 7125? 7150? 7240? 7260? 7300? 7400? Its also possible that it doesn't turn and it simply breaks the 7480 high.
Nobody knows and i dont like to play guessing games, and thats why i prefer to wait for a topping pattern, and for the break of the red shortterm uptrend line before initiating a sell position.
Patience is a virtue, and it makes you money.
NewZealand Kiwi - January 2017 NZD is a currency that I do not want to long right now. It is now approaching its strength resistance from 2013. There is a small room for strength. I would prefer Australian Dollar though. So in case we want to be bullish Euro, Pound, or US Dollar, the Kiwi can be the currency to short with.
NZD can still appreciate further towards the red bar before any momentum stalling would occur. This is a watch out for NZD bulls.
NZD/USD, DAY CHART, SHORT (2-JAN-2017)Note:
Congratulations to those who follows our winning trades
on this pair last few weeks.
Again, the price having correction as per our prediction previously.
Now, we have 2 trading plans for this:
1. The price pullback to both the resistance zone and
20-EMA, followed by a bearish signal. A good signal to
short with right risk amount.
But caution on the 1st opening week on forex market
behaviours.
2. When the price breaks the immediate support line,
we can look for opportunity to short again.
HUGE EURNZD BULL MOVE COMINGAfter an impulsive 5 wave move higher, we have been for more than a year in a corrective pattern.
This falling wedge pattern is in my opionio coming to an end.
Several hints are showing an exhaustion around the 1.50 handle. Including the 78 fibo retracement level, and a big monthly trendline acting as support.
I think in the coming weeks, months there might be a huge move higher coming.
Patience is key and play it wisely with decent money and risk management.
NZD/USD, SHORT, DAY CHART (24-DEC-2016)Note: Congratulation to those who follow our winning
trade last week.
Overall, we are bearish on this pair due to both H&S
pattern and the trend following.
We have 3 Trading Plans for this trade now:
1. Wait the price correction back to resistance zone,
followed by bearish signal to short. Short with right risk
amount.
2. Watch the immediate support line at 0.683 level,
pullback high likely happen here. Wait for bearish
signal to short after breaking this support line.
3. Short now with little risk amount.
AUD/NZD, SHORT, DAY CHART (24-DEC-2016)Note: AUD/NZD follows what we predicted last week
and previously.
Overall, we are bearish on this pair.
Here are 2 Trading Plans for this trade:
1. Wait for pullback to the upper line of this
downward channel, followed by bearish signal
to short with right risk amount.
2. Zoom into H4 or H1 chart and look for pullback
to 20 EMA and short with right risk amount.
AUD/NZD, DAY CHART, SHORT (18-DEC-2016)Note: AUD/NZD follows what we predicted early
and congratulation to those who follow our previous
earning trade.
Overall, AUD/NZD still in bearish mood.
We need to wait the price move up to the upper
of the downward channel.
After that, wait for 1 strong bearish signal or 2-3
bearish signal to short!