GBPNZD: Rising Wedge pushing the price higher.GBPNZD is neutral on the 1D time-frame (RSO = 52.651, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 24.344) as the price is consolidating after the rebound on the 1D MA50. The Resing Wedge pattern is constantly pushing the price higher and as long as the 1D MA50 holds, this is the bullish wave to a HH. The two HH prior were formed on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, all validated by a 1D MACD bullish cross. We are long, aiming yet again at the 1.5 Fib (TP = 2.13800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Newzealanddollar
AUDNZD: Channel Down top rejection.AUDNZD is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.715, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 36.182) as it started pulling back after the price got rejected at the top of the June-initiated Channel Down. All same RSI based pullbacks hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level and declined by at least -2.62%. Under those conditions, we are short on AUDNZD, targeting the closest of the two levels, the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07200).
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NZDJPY: Channel Up bottom buy.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.679, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 31.385) as it trades between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA100. Despite the neutrality, the price sits at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern, having made its 2nd contact this month. The 1D MACD has been squeezed and is past a Bullish Cross, which has been a buy signal inside this pattern 2 out of 2 times it was formed. Consequently we turn bullish on the medium term aiming at +6.00% profit (TP = 95.500).
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GOOD LEVEL FOR LONG we expect the price gone down with correction to reach our setup
the accumulation setup following the trend
as shown on the chart the level is very important for long just
follow my instructions for mange the trade
price move 20 pips in profit breakeven
price hit the sl 40 pips than reversal setup
target is 100 pips
GBPNZD Dip buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The GBPNZD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we called on it (January 05 2024, see chart below) and even broke above the former Channel Down pattern:
The trend transitioned into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) and recently broke above its top. It has formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 1 year (since March 27 2023), so on the long-term we have confirmed a new bullish trend.
Right now we are looking for a short pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) followed by an aggressive expansion towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the typical target of the IH&S. Our target is lower on Resistance 1 at 2.15900.
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NZDUSD: Short term buy opportunityNZDUSD has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.582, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 53.918) as up until two days ago it was on the 2nd Bearish Wave of the 2024 Channel Down. This wave appears to have ended as the price hit and rebounded on the S1 level, posting so far two very strong green 1D candles. The pair may make one more Lower Low as on February 5th but shouldn't be much lower than the S1 level. We are aiming at a similar +2.48% rise to the LH (TP = 0.60850).
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AUDNZD Reversal expected. Cyclical bearish signal emerging.Has been a while since we looked into the AUDNZD pair, following our Sell Signal on November 16 2023 (see chart below):
The price has now reached the 1.093250 Symmetrical Resistance, which has basically only broken once in the last 12 months. Ahead of a potential 1D MACD Bearish Cross, we see a high resemblance of the current High with the June 20 2023 peak.
As a result, we are turning bearish on this pair, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (as the July 14 2023 Low) at 1.07100.
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NZDJPY Channel Up Buy SignalThe NZDJPY pair is on a Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term support. In fact the latter has been holding since June 02 2023.
The minimum Bearish Leg decline within this pattern has been -3.77% so having almost completed this fall during the current pull-back, we now turn bullish on this pair, targeting 94.500 (+5.44% rise, which has been the minimum % increase of Bullish Legs within this pattern).
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EURNZD Bearish Heish Plan to Loot MoneyHola LOOTERS,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of EUR/NZD Market. Guys U can enter at any points, Our target is 1 and 2 Green Zone. My Dear Robbers loot and escape if u make money in this market, Don't wait for Target Point because its Dangerous place.
NZDUSD Strong medium-term buy opportunity.The NZDUSD pair easily broke above the former Channel Down on our last buy signal (October 27 2023, see chart below) and then went on a slow long-term retrace:
The restructured pattern is close to forming a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, which would be the first since July 06 2023, a formation that turned out to be a buy signal. As the 1D RSI broke below its former Higher Lows trend-line and went below 35.00, a bullish pattern arises. As you can see such RSI pattern priced the Lows of October 26 2023 and May 31 2023, which where bottom buy opportunities that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous High of the Channel Down.
Assuming the price soon hits its Lower Lows trend-line, a projected 0.786 Fib is around 0.6280 but we are targeting marginally lower at the top of the Channel Down at 0.62350, as until it breaks, it remains the dominant pattern.
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New Zealand Dollar Bearish Sentiment and Trade Plan
Based on the latest COT report, non-commercial traders (speculators) have significantly increased theirlong positions in the NZD. This suggests that they are becoming less bearish on the New Zealand dollar and may be anticipating a potential rally.
Open Positions Retail Sentiment data also shows a decrease in short positions and an increase in long positions among retail traders. This is a contrarian indicator, as retail traders are often wrong at market turning points. Therefore, the increase in long positions among retail traders may suggest that the NZDUSD downside has further to go.
The NZDUSD pair is currently trading below a triggered BUY level at 0.6157. An upside move and testing this level could make a fine signal to entry point for a short position.
NZDCHF Strong buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The NZDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 23 2023 Low. After breaking above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since January 31 2023), the pair confirmed the trend shift from long-term bearish to long-term bullish. The recent 3-day pull-back to the 1D MA200 is a technical buy opportunity.
As long as we close 1D candles above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is a buy opportunity, targeting the top of the Channel Up and Resistance 2 at 0.55140. Notice how this is exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which is the level that the November 29 2023 Higher High was priced at. Also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is the level where it double bottomed (November 17 2023) and started the rebound to the Higher High. We are at the 0.5 currently, which indicates a strong Support case.
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NZDCAD Bullish, dip buy opportunity targeting 0.85400The NZDCAD pair has hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again today and remains under Resistance 1 (0.84300) since July 14 2023, having multiple rejections on it. We do see however the potential for the emergence of a Channel Up, as the 1D RSI is printing the same pattern as the October 20 2023 Low, which initiated a Bullish Leg.
If the Channel Up prevails, that can be its new Bullish Leg to a Higher High. As a result we turn bullish on the pair, aiming for Resistance 2 at 0.85400.
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EURNZD: PA & expect fundamentals to continue short biasBig news from the RBNZ shortly, it is possible we'll get a hike, but either way I'm expecting NZD strength as a result.
I'm seeing weaker Euro, and the pinbar shooting star today on the daily candle means price action is also in favour of a continued short trade here.