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NFLX

Netflix - a Value Trap or Value Buy - You Decide!Oh. My. Goodness. Today's post is about Netflix. It's down 25% as I type. Yeeeeeesh! So what happened? Well, bad earnings. Again. But here's the thing - this story gets more interesting. I don't own any Netflix, but I am watching it since the well known investor Bill Ackman plowed $1 billion into it last quarter. Oh, and by the way, OUCHY... He's now lost $250 million on that investment. Kids, don't forget, it's not a loss until you sell 😜 60%... That's how much Netflix is down since its all-time highs a few months ago. Anyone who bought at those highs has been cut in half and then some. Investing and trading is not easy, and over the years, this always happens. Drawdowns, crashes, and bull markets and bear markets all come and go. The Netflix story fits all of that. Maybe that's why I felt like writing about it. I should also be totally clear: it's on my watchlist for a trade. Let's dive in a little more, though, before deciding if we even should trade it. I was pretty surprised to learn that Netflix's PE ratio is the lowest it's been in over 10 years. Netflix has a PE ratio in the 20s. If you look forward a year or so, its PE ratio is more like 18. At this point, you have to wonder, is Netflix a value investment? Wait, it's no longer a growth stock? Talk about the end of an era. I never thought I would see Netflix trading at a PE ratio like IBM. The thing is, if Netflix can actually start churning out free cash flow at these levels, it really might be an epic value investment. It would also mean buyback time for them. Netflix has about $7 billion in cash. Surely they want to use some of this for their reinvestments, but also, at multi-year lows, a $2 billion buyback here is almost 2% of the company. Reed Hastings is a smart dude. He knows. Let's keep going. Netflix's market cap is approaching $100B again. This is its lowest valuation since 2019 and 2018. In Both instances, Netflix bounced and bounced rather quickly. Hold up, Stef. Hold up. Are your really writing about potentially buying the dip in Netflix? No. Not at all. I am only thinking out loud. There is a bearish cash. As most of us know, Netflix now has more competition than ever. There are more and more streaming platforms. In addition, is their content even that great? How does it compare to other companies? This is a determining factor as well. And, if it is the case, Netlfix is value trap. It will compete and compete, but no longer be a shiny growth stock. Anyways, those are my thoughts. Streamlined and free to all of you. No subscription required. I'll share an update if I actually trade this. In the meantime, my feet are up and I am watching in awe. The best entertainment is markets.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by scheplick
16
$NFLX Inverse Head & ShouldersOn the daily chart it looks like Netflix ($NFLX) is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern with upside potential as marked on the chart. Analysts are not expecting earnings to be great, might get squeezed. Disclaimer: Stratford Research newsletters reflect the research and opinions of only the authors who are associated persons of Stratford Consulting Ltd. The newsletters are for informational purposes only and are not a recommendation of an investment strategy or recommendation to buy or sell any security or digital asset (cryptocurrency, etc.) in any account. The information provided within the newsletters is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. Any third-party information provided therein does not reflect the views of Stratford Consulting Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by atrusik
NFLX Potential for Bearish Reversal | 8th April 2022We see the potential for a bearish reversal from our sell entry level at 368.56 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards our take profit level at 353.88 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension . Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by FXCM
NFLX Potential for Bearish Reversal | 8th April 2022We see the potential for a bearish reversal from our sell entry level at 368.56 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards our take profit level at 353.88 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Rockqet
NFLX Potential Bullish Bounce | 1st April 2022Price is near buy entry level of 365.55 in line with 50% fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially bounce up to take profit level of 397.42 in line with 78.6% fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is supported by price trading above the ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Rockqet
Growth Capped by the 50 Day Moving Average These are 6 randomly selected growth stocks that have been hammered and just rejected off the 50 day moving average yesterday. Watch for the downside trend to continue in these stocks until they're able to at least breach the 50dma. The question is do these stocks make higher lows (if the downward trend continues) or lower lows? IMO if you are a trend follower, you should avoid any stocks on the long side if they look like this (unless you're trying to day trade a bounce).
NASDAQ:PYPL
by Lanmar
4
5 Stocks Walk into a Bar....A mega cap, a large cap, a medium cap, a small cap, and a micro cap stock walk into a bar. The bartender looks at them and says, "What do you want?" They all reply, "A Shot!" Well lets give these stocks "A Shot!" by taking a look at their price performance over the past 52 weeks and evaluating whether they are a "good buy." Mega Cap: Facebook or Meta (FB) has fallen roughly 21% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $603B. Large Cap: Netflix (NFLX) has fallen roughly 26% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $165B. Medium Cap: Zoom (ZM) has fallen roughly 64% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $34B. Small Cap: SoFi (SOFI) has fallen roughly 47% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $7.47B. Micro Cap Loan Depot (LDI) has fallen roughly 78% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $1.3B. All of these companies that I have mentioned above are oversold in my opinion, despite being one of the largest market cap in each of their respective segments and most are overall profitable. They all offer an important service that I have personally used in the past or currently use on an almost daily basis. Almost everyone is aware of Facebook now Meta, develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. Between the Facebook app and Instagram, they are currently the largest social media platform to date. The same goes with Netflix. Who do you know that hasn't used or watched a show or movie on Netflix before? Within the US, its almost unheard of. Now, you can get Netflix stock at a 26% discount and its not going away any time soon as the company begins to enter new markets within developing countries. Zoom is a software that played an integral part during the pandemic, where the world resorted to working from home to combat the pandemic's spread. Thus lead to the mass adoption of Zoom's software into many companies around the world who wanted to continue to collaborate in real time. Since the pandemic and the huge gains Zoom saw, it has since erased these gains and sit at what appears to be a bottom, with massive upside potential of well over 100%+ as companies continue to work remotely despite the waning of the pandemic. SoFi provides digital financial services and is taking on the traditional legacy banks. SoFi offers loans, investing accounts, crypto accounts, credit cards, banking, insurance, insight tracking such as spending habits or credit score monitoring and much more. I believe SoFi will give large banks a run for their money, which will ultimately lead to a potential buy-out by one of the legacy banks looking for an edge. As of today, SoFi is down roughly 62% despite being profitable in the past 2 quarters with a 13% QoQ gain in the 3rd quarter of 2021. LoanDepot sells mortgage and non-mortgage lending products and in 2015 was named the second largest non-bank provider of direct-to-consumer loans within the US. With an easy to use platform, and one of the best rate offerings and customer experiences, LoanDepot is poised to grow significantly in the coming years with increased revenues from raising interest rates. Overall, I believe in these companies on a personal level. I encourage all of you to take a look at these companies yourselves and make your own conclusions. I would also implore you to follow the advice of Peter Lynch and always understand what you are investing in, because when the market corrects, which it always will. If you do not understand the company you invest in then you will not have conviction in the company, which you would be much more inclined to sell during a 10%, 25%, or even 50% drop, when in reality you should be adding to your positions during opportunities such as this. As Baron Rothschild always said, "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." Even if this is your own blood. What do you think about my analysis? Make sure to leave your thoughts in the comments below. If you enjoyed this content then please leave a like! It takes time to make these things you know. #thedailyinvestor
NASDAQ:METALong
by thedailyinvestor
2
NFLX Potential For Bullish Pressure | 28th March 2022Price is near to Buy Entry level at 370.78 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. It can potentially rise up to Take Profit level at 386.16 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension, along with graphical swing high resistance. Our bullish bias is further supported by Stochastic indicator where price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternatively, price might dip to Stop Loss level at 360.91 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 76.8% Fibonacci projection. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Rockqet
NFLX Potential For Bullish Continuation| 23rd March 2022Price is near Buy Entry level of 394.41 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Price might continue to go up to the Take Profit level of 457.32 with a previous graphical swing high. Our bullish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator where price is trading at resistance level. Alternatively, price might drop to 365.80 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Rockqet