NetflixThe story of Netflix will be repeated in all Tech stocks..!
If you are looking at the performance of FANGs you can see that storm has just begun!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NFLX
Horrible time for inflated NASDAQ!As the rumores around rate hikes, the tech stockes faced a dramatic slide we speculate that the bear trend is just about to begin!
During pandemic era tech stocks such as NETFLIX(NFLX) have risen to its ath and there might be the proper time for a consolidation.
NOTE :
The results that will be published in wednesday and thursday would be extremely imoportant!
Amazon and my shopping basketDisney, T Mobile, Amazon, Charter Communications, Netflix.
What do all of these companies have in common?
1) They are all >$100B market cap.
2) They all have >10B Gross Profits.
3) They are all at 52 Week Lows.
4) They're all on my shopping list.
Amazon just had it's worst week since 2018 after underperforming the S+P in 2021, but this behemoth isn't going anywhere. I don't need to tell you about the value of it's core ecommerce business that we all use, or the AWS that runs a huge chunk of the internet, the 2nd largest hosting provider with their cloud hosting servicing 42% of the top 10k websites by traffic (Source: BuiltWith), or the success of Prime through logistical brilliance, a successful streaming platform and acquisition of Wholefoods to make the most convenient home shopping platform in the world.
I don't have to tell you about the 31 acquisitions Amazon has made since 2017, 15 of those since 2019.
I don't have to tell you that Amazon is an incredible company that still has a long runway of success and innovation ahead in a growing number of sectors (drones? Yes please!)
That's why Amazon is one of my top choices for investment in 2022.
The business circumstances for each company deserve separate posts in their own right, but to put it simply these companies are the cream of the crop in their industries and we currently have a fire sale.
When the market dips, it's the perfect time to go shopping, and each of these companies deserve serious consideration in your portfolio. Do your own research and make your decisions, but when it comes time to go bargain hunting why not start with the best in class?
A few more stocks I'm looking at meet that >$100B market cap, >$10B gross profits, industry leaders but that are at 6 Month Lows include:
Estee Lauder
Target
Oracle
Blackrock
Salesforce
Alphabet (GOOG)
We can see where the market takes us this week, but I can say with certainty I'll be a buyer on a number of these names this week.
$NFLX - Foreshadowing the MarketsNetflix collapsed and touched its pre-covid crash peak. Looking at the FANGplus Complex as a group, there's cracks in the armor. Is Netflix a warning on what is yet to come? Do markets want to trade back down to their pre-covid crash peak? The weight of the evidence is certainly pointing towards a sizeable correction.
Thoughts?
KEY Levels Reached: Four Tech Stocks To Watch!
Hello,Traders!
We can see from the charts above that
AMAZON, NVIDIA, NETFLIX and FACEBOOK
All fell sharply and have reached strong key support levels
Or even the support clusters as in the case with NFLX and NVDA
So I will be watching these ones closely next week
Becasue IF these levels get broken, then these stocks
Will fall even further down and drag the main indecies with them
However, IF we see pullbacks and reversal patterns
We might be looking to enter into the long positions
From good levels with good discounts!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Netflix Wycoff Distribution I believe many of the large cap stocks in the market are going through large distributions. This is my take on Netflix ($NFLX) using Wycoff Method and his Distribution Schematics. There could be signs of recovery, but unless they have intense volume they will likely be Bull Traps. If the upward movement is on relatively low volume that is a sign of continuation to the downside finishing with Phase E .
NFLX Netflix SelloffIf you haven`t shorted the top at my last call:
then you can see NFLX reached a strong support area and it`s now consolidating.
In 2021 insiders sold around $500Mil worth of shares.
The buy opportunity area is $350 - $385 in my opinion if you want to long it once again.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NFLX bearish fade on 1/21This will be a slam dunk trade. NFLX bearish fade on the market open for 1/21. It's been sold off for several weeks now, and it's looking to drop 20% (as of right now) after earnings. It looks to be gapping down to a long term support area. Easy buy for a day trade higher, but be careful of the rollover selling later. I'd get in early for the move, and close once there is any hint of stopping. I'll be looking to sell puts. But I wouldn't look to hold on past half a day.
How Low Can #Netflix Go? 📉 (NASDAQ: $NFLX)Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, and feature films across various genres and languages. The company provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, television set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It also provides DVDs-by-mail membership services. The company has approximately 204 million paid members in 190 countries. Netflix, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
NFLX Bullish or Bearish ??1. Its at the majore support level , SInce broader market fell so the script ,
2. The conflunce of volumetric base will piush the script up unless there is more fall in braoder market
3. The script price corrected very well , Now its time to rise up .
4. Tradee with targets as shown , its beter R:R entry now
with Struch Stop Loss
CHEERS !!
LIke if you agree with the analysis
Potential Pull back for the QQQsWith the pundits calling H1 to be uncertain with the backdrop of interest rates and recently missed earnings from a tech giant, these are potential pull backs for $NQ in various bearish pull back scenarios each visiting critical moving average support.
Revisit SMA 100 @ 14,000 with a -15% pull back in Jun-22
Revisit SMA 150 @ 12,500 with a -25% pull back in Jul-22
Revisit SMA 200 @ 11,000 with a -35% pull back in Aug-22 (less likely scenario)
Pure analysis, no position and not investment advice.
Discussion: Market CorrectionA/ Issues:
1) Grow stocks dropped 50% - 70% (long term portfolio)
2) Margin calls
3) Run out of cash
4) Average down?
5) Passive income on weekly / monthly basic
B/ Solutions:
1) Review your stock in term of Fundamental Analysis, Business Analysis to make final decision
2) Stay focus in family & health
3) Buy PUT (5%) to protect your account
4) Average down or NO average down depends upon each person
5) Sell Cover Call to get premium to collect weekly/monthly income and/or Buy PUT
6) Exchange ABC to XYZ and/or dividend stocks
7) Utilize home equity to invest in big cap and/or mega cap stocks
Netflix plays Squid Game with investors in the past 2 months!25% decline in less than 2 months for NFLX is not what many people expected, but option data suggest more volatile days ahead.
Looking at the options date for the next 4 weeks, you can see 1.37 Put/Call ratio which is very high and indicate more bearish momentum!
Option wall:400-580
Maxpain: 550
Be careful with the earning in the next 8 days!
The big question is if it first move toward 580 and then slips down toward 400 zone or the opposite???
Since I do not have the answer, I will stay neutral.
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
$NFLX Key Levels, Analysis & Targets $NFLX Key Levels, Analysis & Targets
No position at this time but when It hits 473 or even 478 I’ll likely do something.
Alerts set.
There is one more support I didn't include, accidentally, at the 504 level...
GL, y’all…
——————
I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. (If I have time)
Have fun, y’all!!
(\_/)
( •_•)
/ >🚀
$NFLX Earnings run up!-We have earnings on the 1/20 (thu) And we are looking to make a continuation downwards as we have been respecting the 9-day ema very well
-Now we can see a trend reversal and I am willing to switch to calls if necessary but mainly looking at puts
-If it does play out these are my profit target levels we just need to see a continuation of the trend
NFLX: Setting the Stage for Big Tech and Growth Earnings on Thursday and the first big tech name to report (as always).
Over 527 can give you a trade, but I think they want to take this thing down to the 500 mark in to earnings. I will spec buy at 3:58pm on Thursday (eastern time) the $510c if she is red and trading around $500.
The Week Ahead: NFLX, ARKF/ARKG/ARKK, XBI, KWEB, URA, IWM, QQQI haven't done one of these in quite some time, but thought I'd do one over this long holiday weekend.
Earnings:
I looked at a number of these for next week (there are quite a few) and have culled things down to the most liquid options underlyings, ideally with implied volatility rank >70% and 30-day greater than 50%. Only NFLX really fits that bill, even though it's a smidge shy of a 50% 30-day. For instance, I did look at CTXS (87/46), but when I dug into the options table, I wasn't fantastically excited about setting up a short strangle with only 2.5 to 5-wides where I'd want to set up my tent on both the put and call sides.
NFLX (76.9% rank/44.8% 30-day) announces earnings on Thursday after market close, so look to put on a play before the end of that session if you're looking to play the announcement for a volatility contraction. Pictured here is a February 18th 450/610 short strangle with the legs camped out at the 13 delta. Paying 9.20 at the mid as of Friday's close on buying power of 52.59 (on margin), it has a 17.5% ROC at max, 8.7% ROC at 50% max. I like to go wider with earnings announcement volatility contraction plays since these do one of two things: (1) come in immediately; or (2) give you headaches for several cycles if the move has been overly large and you have to defend the setup to scratch in a contracted volatility environment.
If you're more of a defined risk bent, throw on some wings: the February 18th 440/450/610/620 iron condor is paying 1.90 on buying power effect of 8.10, 23.5% ROC at max, 11.7% ROC at 50% max.
Naturally, these are just preliminary pricing and strikes. You'll want to adjust strikes as necessary, since the underlying is likely to move somewhat running into earnings.
Exchange-Traded Funds Screened for Implied Volatility Rank >50% and 30-Day >35% and Ordered by Implied Volatility Rank:
ARKF (84/52) (Cathie Woods' Fintech Innovation)
XBI (83/43) (Biotech)
ARKG (79/59) (Cathie Woods' Genomic Revolution)
KWEB (60/51) (China Internet)
ARKK (59/44) (Cathie Woods' Innovation)
URA (41/59) (Uranium)
A lot of Cathie Woods' stuff in there ... . I like to reserve these for the monthlies, since the weeklies aren't all that liquid in some of these. Unfortunately, the February 18th monthly is a little short in duration for my tastes (33 days until expiry) and March a bit long, so will probably hand sit on deploying buying power in this area until the March monthly's duration shortens -- it's currently 61 days, and I like to keep things +/- a week or so of 45 days.
One underlying that doesn't really have a 52-week valid implied volatility rank is BITO (1/68), since it hasn't been around for 52 weeks yet. However, that "1" indicates that its implied is low within the range its established since inception, and I'd naturally prefer it to be higher even though its 30-day outranks all of 30-days I've got in my little list, so I'm keeping an eye on it, having just exited a BITO short strangle on Friday.
Broad Market Exchange-Traded Funds Ordered by Implied Volatility Rank:
XLK (46/27)
QQQ (43/25)
EFA (35/17)
IWM (36/26)
DIA (24/18)
SPY (23/19)
I've moved XLK from my exchange-traded fund grid to my broad market grid, since it enjoys a close correlation with SPY (.87 90-day) and an even closer correlation with QQQ. XLK is about half the size of QQQ, so if you like to layer on, it's a little more nimble for that purpose. I've been selling premium in small caps (IWM) in the weeklies to bide my time while monthly setups come in or have to be managed, but may consider sticking some of my pickle into QQQ next week given the fact that its rank implies that it's more "expanded" (if that makes any sense). I'd probably use the March 4th expiry, where the QQQ 16-delta 342/408 is paying 5.69 on buying power of 48.03, 11.8% ROC at max, 5.9% at 50% max. Naturally, the market may look entirely different from an implied volatility standpoint coming off a long holiday weekend, so I always have a second look at whether doing that is worthwhile once the market opens.
NETFLIX - My Trading Plan in a picture!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
on DAILY: right
NFLX is overall bullish trading inside the blue channel and is now approaching the lower trendlines and 500.0 support, so we will be looking for trend-following buy setups.
on H1: left
NFLX is forming a channel in red but the upper trendline is not valid yet, so we are waiting for a new swing high to form around it to consider it our trigger swing. (projection in purple)
Trigger => Waiting for that swing to form and then buy after a momentum candle close above it (gray zone)
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, NFLX would be overall bearish can still trade lower till the lower the 500 support.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich