NFLX
Netflix is preparing a rebound after its 20% drop from OctoberNetflix is being supported by the bottom of the rectangle + the 150 day moving average, which served as major support in the March 2020 crash.
I'm also seeing a lot of buying going into Covid beneficiary stock in the last few trading sessions, Netlflix being one of them.
This is currently my largest options position in my portfolio. This year has been a game changer for me trading options on large cap stocks. I've generated higher returns trading on 5-10% moves than on 50% moves in growth stocks.
A few reasons for this:
1) I'm more comfortable holding a leveraged position in mega cap stocks than I am in other equities.
2) Options on mega caps are highly liquid for retail traders.
3) The risk/reward skew on options are incredible if timed well.
My last analysis on Netflix was in March 2020:
Buy Signal: 484.53Ingenuity Trading Model- Swing Trading Algorithm used in all markets- Stocks, Forex, Futures, and Crypto
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In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
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NFLX UpdateI took a starter position at the retest of 477.50 and added on the STRONG bounce off the purple trendline.
Expecting to see 500-505 this week. And possibly 520 if we get news/catalysts.
NFLX has been following the same pattern the last 3 months. I'd say this is one of the slow steady plays, i recommend going with spreads or contracts with further out expiration to avoid time decay.
Scale in on support, scale out on runs!
Devouring Netflix with Point&Figure analysis. Market Top. SHORT.Netflix hit an all-time high, then corrected. It crept below the uptrend line but didn't generate a sell-signal below it. It passed back above the uptrend line but hit the resistance roof. Again, it just crept below the uptrend line but without a sell-signal, suggesting that the trendline is acting as support, albeit loose support. The price climbed above again but then broke the uptrend line and generated a Double-Bottom sell-signal.
Following the double-bottom sell, it fell by a further two boxes before being supported by the original uptrend line. It then rallied upwards but couldn't reach the second uptrend line which suggests this trendline now may switch to a resistance role. The price sunk below the original trendline for the first time and generated another double-bottom sell at the level of penetration, falling a further two boxes after the double-bottom signal box. It barely snuck above the original trendline before sinking down, albeit at a higher low. What followed was a strong rally which broke through the original trendline but was met with resistance from the most validated trendline.
After very brief congestion, the price rallied through the most validated trendline by 4 boxes. This questioned the resistance power of this trendline. Though it is thought this 4 box rally above was an attempt to reach the previous all-time high. A pole developed and sunk the price through this trendline and then the original trendline again, and created a triple-bottom sell. The next X column failed to come close the original trendline. A catapult then formed with a double-bottom after the triple-bottom. The next X column failed to touch the original trendline before another double-bottom sell-signal was generated. Two downtrend lines have now formed but the area of support is yet to be full broken.
My impression is that we are experiencing a market top and that a potential reversal is imminent.
Things to look out for:
- Will minor downtrend be penetrated?
- Will major downtrend line be penetrated?
- Will the area of support be penetrated?
For a short, anticipate:
- the second downtrend line to be validated
- the area of support to be penetrated
- a double-bottom sell-signal or better
NFLX H16: SHORT IT: TP bears is 25%/35%(SL/TP)(STOCKS)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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NFLX H16: SHORT IT: TP bears is 25%/35%(SL/TP)(STOCKS)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: NFLX 16hour chart review and outlook
::: maxed out already
::: Currenly in distribution stage
::: SHORT IT and get paid
::: expecting break down this week
::: runaway BEAR gap as well
::: recommended strategy: SHORT IT
::: TP BEARS is 350/360 USD 20% gains
::: SHORT/HOLD setup
::: DO NOT expect overnight gains
::: This is stock market
:::Not casino in Macau
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
. N/A
🔸 Why should I follow your setups?
:::Check track record it's all been posted
::: MRNA 200%+ gains, NVAX 300% gains, REG 60%
::: AMD 40% gains and a lot more in 2020
NFLX being hammered by competitions.Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) shares gained 2.4% on Friday after the company reported a better-than-expected earnings loss in the third quarter and said its Disney+ streaming service now has more than 73 million paid subscribers.
Disney reported an adjusted third-quarter EPS loss of 20 cents, beating Wall Street estimates of a 71-cent loss. In addition, Disney reported $14.71 billion in revenue, ahead of analyst expectations of $14.2 billion.
By combining its 73.7 million Disney+ subscribers, its 36.6 million Hulu subscribers and its 10.3 million ESPN+ subscribers, Disney now has roughly 120 million total streaming subscribers compared to about 195 million subscribers for Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX).
Disney also announced it's suspending its semi-annual dividend as a defensive measure due to the pandemic and as part of its plan to prioritize investment in direct-to-consumer businesses.
NFLX AnalysisBeautiful setup on NFLX!
Ideal entry: 477.50 OR purple trendline
1st PT (safe exit): 505
2nd PT: 520
Final PT: 560 OR blue trendline OR ATH
I expect NFLX to reach ATHs by the end of Nov.
The best part about nflx is that it's lockdown proof. Meaning with a bullish market nflx goes up, even with bad covid news nflx still goes up.
NETFLIX price action for Short term !5 month of uncertainty and Neutral trend for NFLX , But a good positions for short term trading , Buy from the Bottom of the channel and sell from the Top .
Fundamentals : The corona virus has increased again and possibility of cities Lockdown can be positive for Stay-at-home Stocks .
Price Action : Price placed at Bottom of the Channel also the 200 Day moving average is close to the price , So this Level can Be the Good support
P.s : Due to divergence, buying Netflix is Not a Good idea for the long term .
NFLX Long 4:1 R:RNFLX is at support, which has held a few times already.
Although the recent news about Pfizer's vaccine had a negative impact, the company did benefit from subscriber growth during the pandemic and is in overall a good spot.
I see this trade as worth taking, considering the R:R ratio but will nevertheless be cautious, as tech might continue to trend down heavily duo to the vaccine news.
$NFLX Long Strategy for Short Term Options Swing TradeMy analysis has NFLX in a wave 2 correction for a micro wave following a minuette wave 2 correction and subsequent bull flag breakout. I expect this micro wave 2 to retest the channel at the 0.5 to 0.618 retracement level. Once I see confirmation that the correction has ended, I will purchase an in the money Call Option with an expiration of 11/13. The 0.618 extension for the micro wave 3 is based on a retracement in wave 2 to the 0.5 fib level. I will need to adjust the fib extension once there is a definitive bottom.
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NETFLIX - Distribution nears completion?1. A buying climax with spike of supply stopped the up move in Jul 2020.
2. Gap down with huge supply reacting the earning created a supply zone.
3. Decreasing of supply together with the volatility till Aug 2020 cause a rally to test the resistance created by the buying climax.
4. Big bullish bar with spike of volume (with increasing supply) failed to touch the high at 574, suggested selling into strength. Subsequent down swing tested the support with increasing supply.
5. The next rally up only created an up thrust (false breakout) of the previous swing high at 557.
6. Gap down with huge supply.
7. Another attempt to rally with increasing volume but failed right at the next bar could suggest last point of supply before marking down.
Notice the supply zone at 2, 4, 6 & 7 posted strong resistance. To violate the bearish scenario, NFLX needs to commit above 525. A break below support at 466 would see NFLX finding support at 410-420.
Netflix looking weak? That has not happened in a long timeNetflix for the first time in a while, is just looking pretty weak. It is below its 50-day moving average AND its 100-day moving average. It looks toppy as well, almost as if a double top has formed. I think Netflix is a great company that has done a lot to change the world around content. I also though find its recent slump to be interesting.
First of all, Netflix has lead this market higher for a long time. The so-called FANG trade has be talked about for years. Netflix has been a leader and started the content movement, especially to the cloud and new on-demand TV model. With that being said, when a stock like this gets weak, it's time to pay attention.
First of all, what could be happening? Is their subscriber growth not happening as fast as expected? Did their recent price hike show what the next steps are? I.e. as subscriber growth slows they have to hike prices? This will be really interesting to watch and could be a barometer for the entire big tech market. Especially in the momentum side of the market.
Going forward, I have no trade on, and so I am just brainstorming and sharing my thoughts. However, I think the 50-day and 100-day moving average show the trend is weakening and possibly rolling over. How strong of hands do Netflix longs have? Have they no already had an amazing run for a company worth over $200 billion? Let's wait and see. I'm watching.