NFLX Monthly Chart... 5 trading days to go before the close of the month... which means this last bearish candle that broke the current uptrend can still reverse... let's wait and see.. but currently it is quite bearish... adding the doji that occurred at the .618 Fibonacci retracement level (in red), the RSI not even reaching 60 before reversing and the MACD histogram starting to break down.
Zoom out and NFLX is still on a major long term uptrend... even if the price would drop substantially.
NFLX
NFLX - AnalysisNFLX
W1 - After breaking through the trend line, a head and shoulders pattern is formed. If this changes the direction of the trend, we could see moves towards the 285.54 levels in the long term.
If this is a correction, we could see the price move towards the 348.15 level. If the price retests the level of 379.10, then the road is open to a fall to lower targets.
What can you expect?
Movement to the levels 379.10 - 348.15 - after breaking through 379.10, the price may begin a correction to consider buying, awaiting confirmation.
Short
Targets – 379.10 - 362.83 - 348.15
Long-term perspective (retest required) – goals 348.15 - 314.88 - 285.54
Long - will be considered when the situation changes.
NFLX, Breakout Of The Triangle, Aiming For Targets In The Range!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this important analysis about the current price-action situation within NFLX, it is clearly one of the profiteers of the corona-crisis as people staying at home in the lock-down and watching netflix-series. It is a good thing to relax especially in the current crisis where there is so much time left on the hand and nothing to do. So anyway this should not be a recommendation from my side but it is a growing economic field in the current crisis which shouldn't be ignored similar to the retail business like amazon or alibaba. On the technical side, I discovered some important bullish signs which made it clear that NFLX will develop some more moves to the upside, as it is at an all-time-high-level we are looking at the weekly perspective.
As you can see marked in my chart with the blue lines netflix just broke out a major ascending triangle which you can see marked with the blue lines in my chart. Netflix saw some good volume which confirmed the overall breakout and activated the target at the 580 level marked in green. This is the overall triangle target we have in the structure and it will also be the new all-time-high. To confirm it regularly we need to confirm the upper boundary of the ascending triangle, in this range we also have support from the 50-EMA, therefore, it is building a coherent bearish confluence-cluster in this range which you can see marked with the orange box in this level.
After the triangle target has been reached which is highly possible at the moment we need to see how NFLX develops further and if we can manage to climb above the triangle target and continue with its established uptrend. When we get some serious bearish pressure signs in that level it will be a interesting consideration to open up a short in this area otherwise the overall shape in trend is still in the direction upwards. The confirmation of the triangle can be used as a good conservative entry point to aim for the overall triangle target, otherwise the more conservative approach will be after we formed another high with good volatility after the triangle confirmed.
This price-movement in NFLX which we see here is anticyclical to the vast rest of the market because we established already an all-time-high in NFLX here. As I pointed out already in recent analysis there are gainers and losers in the current crisis and when considering something on the long-side we need to search to the truffles and hidden guesses we have in the market. It makes no sense to buy something which is cyclical with the market and don't profits from the current crisis like airlines which one of the smartest investors, warren buffet just sold recently. Therefore we should not fall for the illogical speculative approach like many people these days and look for stocks with a solid fundamental and technical base like NFLX in this case.
Thanks for watching everybody, support for more market insight and all the best!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Netflix Identifies ResistanceWe have been watching this stock for a while during my weekly Livestreams (Fridays 4pm EST UTC-4). Last Friday, we noted that NASDAQ:NFLX has pulled back up to retest the 50% of the July Weekly Spike price action. This is happening following a long bullish recovery trend up to the MAJOR Weekly 50% Retracement Resistance of the November 2021-May 2022 bear trend.
The price action has defined itself clearly with the July high. The risk and wrong occurs with a breach of the July high. With this in mind we can define a high risk/reward trade to at least a 3 to 1 down to 257 and possibly beyond to retest the major low from 2022.
Implied Volatility is below average which is good for options. However, this is NOT a trade that can be effectively expressed with low duration expiries even though it might be tempting due to the high cost of the stock. To express this trade one must go well into 2024 expirations or short shares.
NFLX engaged in long short competition NFLX engaged in long short competition
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of May 2022. As shown in the figure, Netflix's stock hit the strong pressure of 3.618 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section in mid July this year, and then fell back. In the past six weeks, it has been engaged in long short competition between the 2.618 and 3.000 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section! For a period of time in the future, just use the 2.618 level of the golden section at the bottom of the graph to determine the strength of the Naifei stock's long short divide!
NFLX offers 15% - 20% ROI near termNetflix Inc. (NFLX) presently approaching meaningful support, able to contain weekly perhaps monthly selling pressures.
From here, (NFLX) can continue higher to notable resistance, eliciting gains of 15% over the following 1 - 2 months, and gains of 20 - 30% over the following 6 - 8 months.
Inversely, closing below support on a weekly basis would put (NFLX) into a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 2 - 3 months.
AAPL - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Breakdown support of rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Target price of 193 was achieved after a breakout the Inverse Head and Shoulders formation.
🔹Support at 174 may indicate a POSITIVE reaction, while a break below this level indicates a NEGATIVE signal.
🔹 Technically slightly POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Netflix to breakdown?Netflix - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 410.77 (stop at 430.77)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
485 has been pivotal.
Prices have reacted from 485.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Short term momentum is bearish. 411.50 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 411.50 should result in a further move lower.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Our profit targets will be 360.77 and 350.77
Resistance: 430.00 / 445.00 / 455.00
Support: 411.50 / 390.00 / 370.00
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NFLX head and shoulders daily?watching netflix over the last few weeks/months, seems to be making a clear head and shoulders move downward, and it would be enhanced by disney/hulu initiating the password sharing and limiting customers that were only paying for one or the other, the user pool was probably diluted from the password sharing as a majority of people dont want ads or pay extra premium....
just my thoughts, short term i am looking down but netflix is well established long term
Netflix Ventures into Video Game Streaming: A Game-Changer in th
Introduction:
We are calling all savvy traders! Brace yourselves for a groundbreaking announcement that has the potential to reshape the entertainment industry as we know it. Netflix, the streaming giant that has revolutionized the way we consume movies and TV shows, is now stepping into the realm of video game streaming. This exciting move will diversify Netflix's offerings and open up a world of opportunities for the company and its loyal subscribers.
The Game-Changing Leap:
Netflix's decision to enter the video game streaming market signifies a strategic shift that promises to captivate gamers and entertainment enthusiasts. With a vast user base of over 200 million subscribers worldwide, the platform's foray into gaming is poised to disrupt the industry and create a new era of immersive entertainment experiences.
Why This Matters:
By expanding its services to include video game streaming, Netflix is tapping into a multi-billion-dollar market, further solidifying its dominant force in the entertainment industry. This move diversifies their revenue streams and enhances their competitive edge, enticing new subscribers and keeping existing ones engaged for extended periods.
The Netflix Advantage:
What sets Netflix apart from traditional gaming platforms is its ability to leverage its vast content library and recommendation algorithms to curate personalized gaming experiences. Imagine a world where Netflix recommends movies and TV shows and suggests video games tailored to your preferences. This integration of gaming into their existing ecosystem creates a seamless and immersive user experience, making Netflix an all-in-one entertainment hub.
The Call-to-Action:
As traders, it's crucial to recognize the immense potential that Netflix's entry into video game streaming brings. This exciting move will drive the company's growth and create new investment opportunities. By diversifying its offerings, Netflix is positioning itself for long-term success and continued innovation.
So, don't miss out on this game-changing opportunity! Keep a close eye on Netflix's journey into video game streaming and consider adding it to your investment portfolio. Stay informed, analyze the market trends, and seize the potential rewards that lie ahead as Netflix continues to redefine the boundaries of entertainment.
Conclusion:
Netflix's decision to venture into video game streaming is a bold and exciting move that has the potential to revolutionize the entertainment landscape. By diversifying their offerings, the streaming giant is primed to captivate a broader audience, enhance user engagement, and create new avenues for growth. As traders, it's essential to recognize the significance of this move and stay ahead of the curve. So, gear up for a thrilling ride as Netflix transforms the way we play and stream, and seize the opportunity to long Netflix as they embark on this exhilarating journey into the world of video game streaming.
Netflix Overbought and Facing Resistance Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX
EARNINGS RELEASE TODAY (AFTER THE CLOSE)
Entry Pending Until:
- Break above overhead resistance, making it support
- A revisit of the 200 Day SMA
- In both, tight stop required
We are currently oversold on the RSI and whilst the stock could remain oversold for weeks the last 2 times we reached this exact RSI level we were rejected. For this reason I see no reason to be rushing into this trade. If you put on a trade you need a tight tight stop loss.
The head and shoulders pattern could take another year to play out. For the moment I am focused on the immediate resistance overhead, the overbought RSI signal and the 200 SMA.
Its amazing we don't see more Netflix in feeds, we are up 200% over the past 12 month period.
Hope this helps anyone trying to build a structure of the chart for a potential play.
PUKA
NFLX setting up Fib retracement level bounce LONGNFLX up trended starting June 1st through an upper long term anchored VWAP
to the next higher VWAP line coinciding with earnings. NFLX dropped after
good earnings probably because investors expected even better. On the 30
minute chart, NFLX has more or less completed a 45-55% retracement of that
trend up and is now sitting on the VWAP line that it crossed back in early June.
Volumes are decent above their moving average. The zero-lag shows a line
cross under the histogram which just converted to positive. I analyze this as
suitable for a long entry targeting that higher VWAP band line at 495 with
a stop loss at 415, the recent pivot low. I will take both a stock trade of
10 shares and a call option striking 475 expiring 8/18 NFLX calls have treated
Nancy and Paul Pelosi quite well for a long period and I have enjoyed smaller profits
from smaller positions in the same time frame . This looks like another opportunity.
Short-term top of NFLX has already appearedShort-term top of NFLX has already appeared
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix's stock over the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of Netflix's stock is exactly 3.618 on the golden section in the figure! The weekly pattern of Naifei stock last week showed a very long up shadow, indicating that the short-term top has already appeared, and the probability of maintaining a relatively high level of major volatility consolidation in the future is likely to be maintained!
NFLX is rising from supportNFLX on the 2H chart is rising with the shortest EMA rounding up . Price is now above the
POC line of the volume profile showing buying pressure has extinguished bearish momentum.
The RSI indicator shows RSI to have trended down into oversold territory. Fundamentally,
NFLX revenues have increased with the household password crackdown. Traders and investors
have noted that. I see NFLX as setup for a long entry. I will determine the best entry on
a lower time frame either 5 or 15 minutes. I see targets as 485 and 560 based on horizontal
resistances on the 4H and daily charts and so a good potential reward compared with the
risk of a stop loss at 416 set below the POC.
Netflix Long will move and reach Target 1 is 1200$,before....New 52-week highs this week, powered by the Dow which, on Friday, extended its streak of positive days to ten — something the blue chip index has not done in almost six years. The Dow has been powered by, among other things, a slew of corporate financial results, particularly from the banks, which showed not only improved profitability, but also strong guidance for the next quarter and full year.
I have explained 2 bullish scenarios,1 bearish(worse case).
Bullish:
higher highs higher lows
poc uprising
volume increasing
capital flow rising
In case the Take profits hit, and we have increased volume, I will ride the trend.
I will only take profit 10% of the microsoft portfolio and let the profit run.
Exit :Stop loss or trend change signal
The mid and long term horizon is bullish. If any Profit taking level reaches, and trend continuation is signalizing that the uptrend will be continued, I will increase agressively my positions and take only 10% profits of each position.I will let the prfoits run.
This trade setup is only for trend followers and on daily TF.
Can NFLX rebound from the down turn after earnings?NFLX started a good trend up about June 25 and then pulled back in the day after the
earnings report. Although the earnings beat expectations, price continued to drop in
a VWAP breakdown shown here on a 2 hr chart. Over the 2 days that followed, price
has continued down at a slower rate and candle ranges are diminished. Importantly,
the zero=lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram which has changed from
red /negative to green/positive. The lines have inflected upward. I see this as demonstrative
of bullish divergence and predictive of a reversal.
Overall, I see NFLX rebounding with a potential 15% upside. My target is 480 in consideration
of the swing high on July 18th with a stop loss of 415 the swing low of late June.
Impact of Netflix Subscription Increase on Stock PriceFirstly, let's acknowledge that as a leading global streaming platform, Netflix has experienced tremendous growth and success over the years. However, the recent announcement of a subscription price increase raises concerns about the company's future profitability and market dynamics.
While the subscription increase may seem logical to counter rising content production costs and maintain profitability, it is essential to consider the potential consequences. Historically, price hikes have been met with mixed reactions from subscribers. In some cases, these increases have resulted in customer churn as consumers seek alternative, more affordable streaming options.
Given the intensely competitive nature of the streaming industry, with established players like Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, and Disney+, it is essential to assess the potential impact on Netflix's subscriber growth. A possible slowdown in subscriber acquisition or an increase in customer churn could negatively impact the company's revenue and, consequently, its stock price.
Therefore, please exercise caution and consider holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more clarity on the market's response to the subscription increase. Monitoring key metrics such as subscriber growth, churn rate, and competitive positioning will be crucial in making informed investment decisions.
As investors, it is our responsibility to assess risks and opportunities objectively. While Netflix remains a dominant player in the streaming industry, the potential repercussions of its subscription increase must be noticed. By adopting a wait-and-see approach, we can better evaluate the long-term implications on the company's financial performance and stock price.
In conclusion, I encourage you to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments surrounding Netflix's subscription increase. Holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more visibility on its impact will allow us to make more informed investment decisions.
Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription GrowthOver the past few years, Netflix has undoubtedly revolutionized how we consume entertainment. Its vast library of content and the convenience of on-demand streaming have attracted millions of subscribers worldwide. However, recent trends and market indicators raise questions about the sustainability of Netflix's exponential growth.
Firstly, the streaming landscape has become increasingly competitive. With the emergence of new players such as Disney+, Apple TV+, and Amazon Prime Video, the market has become saturated, leading to a fragmented audience. This intense competition poses a significant challenge for Netflix, as it struggles to retain its subscriber base while attracting new ones.
Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has temporarily boosted Netflix's subscriber numbers due to lockdown measures and increased demand for home entertainment. However, as the world gradually returns to normalcy, we cannot ignore the possibility of a decline in Netflix's subscriber growth. The return of outdoor activities, cinemas reopening, and live events resumption may divert consumer attention away from streaming platforms, affecting Netflix's long-term growth potential.
Additionally, the rising cost of content production and licensing rights is a significant financial burden for Netflix. While the company has successfully created original content, the competition for exclusive rights to popular shows and movies has become increasingly fierce, leading to soaring expenses. This escalating cost may hinder Netflix's ability to invest in new content and maintain its competitive edge in the long run.
Considering these concerns, I urge you to pause and reevaluate any long-term investment plans for Netflix. It is essential to assess the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amidst fierce competition, changing consumer preferences, and mounting financial pressures.
Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription Growth - A Call to Pause Long-term Investment
As traders, we make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics. I encourage you to explore alternative investment opportunities within the streaming industry or diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with Netflix's uncertain future.
In conclusion, the future subscription growth of Netflix remains uncertain, given the intensifying competition, shifting consumer habits, and mounting financial challenges. It is crucial to exercise caution and carefully assess the risks before making any long-term investment commitments.