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EUR/USD Holds On To Slim Gains After NFPThe EUR/USD managed to advance modestly on Friday following the US nonfarm payrolls data release as the greenback pulled back across the board. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading at the 1.0550 area, holding on to slight daily and weekly gains after pulling back from a daily high of 1.0598. US nonfarm payrolls came out in line with market estimates. The US economy added 428,000 new jobs in April, versus 391,000 expected, while the average hourly earnings rose 5.5% YoY and the unemployment rate remained at 3.6%. However, with the Fed's monetary policy path set, the European Central Bank's gradual and accommodative monetary stance is the main factor that could continue to weaken the euro. In addition, risk aversion coming from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the outbreaks of Covid-19 in China will likely continue to favor the greenback. From a technical standpoint, the outlook remains clearly bearish according to the weekly chart, even though the EUR/USD is poised to post its first weekly gain after four consecutive falls. The daily chart shows the same picture as the pair continues to move sideways between 1.0500 and 1.0600 after a six-day losing streak seen in late April. The RSI has gained an upward slope but remains below its midline, while the MACD remains in sellers’ territory, although showing decreasing selling momentum. On the downside, the EUR/USD pair could find immediate support in the 1.0500-1.0490 area, where the psychological level converges with the weekly low. A loss of this area could expose the five-year low struck last week at 1.0470 and the 1.0400 zone. On the other hand, immediate resistance is seen at the 20-day moving average, currently at 1.0710, followed by the 1.0800 area.
by Alex_Boltyan_FXAnalyst
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT - NFP!KOG Report NFP: This is our view for NFP today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and can cause aggressive swings in price. We’re going to keep this brief today as its very likely we won’t be trading this release unless our key levels are hit and then we may look to take a position. So far this week we’ve hit the lower target on Gold and we’ve hit the 1913-15 target on Gold. This leaves us with two values, one above and one below that we now want to target. The level above is illustrated on the chart and is around the 1925 price region, this level we feel would represent an opportunity to take the short trade back towards the lower targets starting at 1840. The lower target is an aggressive low which is situated around the 1825 region. A push on the price towards this level we feel would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back up to target the 1850, 1860 and above that 1880 levels. Just as we saw with the FOMC report we swung into our zone and the price reacted giving the short. This time we’ll wait again at the higher or lower regions and not get involved on the intraday levels, especially on a Friday! Hope this helps in preparation for NFP. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe.
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
AUDJPY - WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE MARKET SENTIMENT ??- Today presented their Monetary Policy Statement to AUD. They further stated that it is imperative that their statutory reserve ratios be increased further. No. It will in some way build a POSITIVE SENTIMENT to the Australian dollar. There is not much important news for JPY today. So the AUDJPY MARKET SENTIMENT will be FOLLOWED. - AUDJPY Must understand the MARKET SENTIMENT before doing TRADE. The current SENTIMENT has a very NEUTRAL SENTIMENT. Then you have to look for an understanding of VIX INDEX and JAPANESE FEATURE CHART. Then you need to see what happens in EQUITY MARKETS. Especially the Snp500 CHART. Then you need to understand DIVERGANCE and MARKET STRUCTURES. Having an understanding of COMMODITIES is a must. - The AUD FEATURE sold out a bit last week because the MARKETS continue to RISK OFF. But now HIGHER has got a HIGH. And then it's PULLBACK again. AUD FEATURE stands at 0.7039 LEVEL. JXY is currently down a bit. According to the MARKET SENTIMENT and the AUD can be slightly STRONG again. Price is below AUDJPY DYNAMIC LEVELS. - Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEUTRAL. But it's too heavy for RISK OFF status. Also the EQUITIES are turning a bit red. VIX INDEXES UP UP. Also COMMODITIES now shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. - AUDJPY PRICE can go to 91.14 LEVEL before UP. Then you can UP to 96.00 LEVEL. Buying AUDJPY is a bit risky if VIX is UP. Currently VIX is becoming UP. So wait until VOLATILITY RED and get the AUDJPY BUY ENTRY.
by benny_marshall
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- There is not much important news today for EUR or GBP. But this week's LOW IMPACT for EUR, but some very important news will be released. So we definitely need to be vigilant about the EUR today. - EUR FEATURE currently stands at 1.0592 LEVEL. We can see a very UP TREND compared to the previous days. This is because of the fact that ECB offers a very HAWKISH CENTRAL BANK UPDATE. It is located above the EURGBP DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the GBP FEATURE stays at 1.2351 LEVEL. The EURGBP PRICE is priced below the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Therefore, most of the time the PRICE can be sold in the form of a STRUCTURE and BUY. Before that a RETRACEMENT can come to DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. - Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEUTRAL. But it's too heavy for RISK OFF status. Also the EQUITIES are turning a bit red. VIX INDEXES UP UP. Also COMMODITIES now shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. - EURGBP PRICE can be DOWN to 0.8498 LEVEL before UP. Then you can UP to LEVEL 0.8584. Also the MARKET SENTIMENT may change after NFP. Be aware of how the ECONOMIC INDICATORS and MARKET SENTIMENT differ.
by benny_marshall
GBPUSD : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View- It is not possible to find any important ECONOMIC INDICATOR for GBP in ECONOMIC CALENDAR today. We can look forward to the USD NFP DATA release today at the NEWYORK SESSION. You definitely have to be careful about that. - DXY is currently at 103.533 LEVEL. Above the DXY 100 is a very good STRONG condition. Also the GBP FEATURE stays at 1.2443 LEVEL. GBPUSD PRICE has gone below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Maybe DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS can be UP before moving further. Then most of the time the PRICE can be sold in the form of STRUCTURE. - Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEUTRAL. But it's too heavy for RISK OFF status. Also the EQUITIES are turning a bit red. VIX INDEXES UP UP. Also COMMODITIES now shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently the market has a NEUTRAL BIAS. - GBPUSD PRICE can be UP to 1.2588 LEVEL before DOWN. Then you can DOWN to 1.2080 LEVEL. According to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. Then GBPUSD UP to 1.3192 LEVEL can be USD if a NEGATIVE SENTIMENT is received. FED UPDATES are very important for that.
by benny_marshall
4H USDJPY buyers setting sights on resistance retest? Hi, trading view community. Looking at the $/J, the current 4-hour uptrend continues to trade above the range high, but the real test for us is above at 131.00. Price looks to be struggling at this stage close to the European open. If we did see a new move back to and above 131.00, you would think that buyer momentum is back on track, and the current trend has further to run. Today’s US employment figure could be a make or break after a very choppy two days of trade for the USD. Good trading
Long
by Eightcap
XAUUSD 12H TA : 05.02.22 (Update)If this current strong price support is lost, we can expect a drop to the $ 1845 range . but its not , (PLEASE SEE THE PREVIOUS ANALYSIS) Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 05.02.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Are we going to see a new low on EURUSD this week?The downside move continues and it looks like we will see another low on EURUSD. The pullback that happened on Friday gives us a chance to enter short again with targets at 1,0400. This week, we also have FED Interest rate as well as NFP. That could possibly mean big moves and potential reversals. At the beginning of the week, we're looking for a breakout of the previous low and we don't want to see price breaking above 1,0600!
Short
by ForexTrendline
22
Euro stems bleeding as CPI hits 7.5%Inflation has been skyrocketing in the US and UK, giving the Fed and BoE plenty of sleepless nights. Inflation levels had been lower in the eurozone, and ECB President Christine Lagarde has not made inflation a priority, arguing that high inflation would ease. Meanwhile, eurozone inflation for March jumped to 7.5% YoY, up from 5.9% in February and above the consensus of 6.6%. Ahead of the release, ECB Vice-President De Guindos said that inflation should peak in the next two or three months. Clearly, the ECB brass has no intention of tightening policy in response to accelerating inflation. Lagarde has acknowledged that this stance will put the ECB out of sync with the Fed but has argued that the two central banks are dealing with different economic conditions. According to Lagarde, the war in Ukraine is having a much greater effect on Europe than on the US, which requires different policies from the two central banks. Lagarde can make a case for not embarking on the same rate path as the Fed, but what happens if inflation does not peak in the next few months, as the ECB is counting on? If that happens, Lagarde could choose to stick to her guns, or she may have to finally begin to tighten policy in order to curb inflation. The week ended on a high note, as the US employment report was quite strong. Nonfarm payrolls posted a solid gain of 431 thousand, although this was shy of the estimate of 490K. The unemployment rate fell from 3.8% to 3.6% and wage growth rose to 5.6% YoY, up from 5.2%. There is weak support at 1.1049, followed by 1.0940 EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1114 and 1.1158
by OANDA
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT NFP!KOG Report – NFP This is our view for NFP today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and can cause aggressive swings in price. We’re seeing the price move with in a tight range now with MAs starting to converge in preparation for the NFP release. We would strongly suggest you stay out of this one, there is potential today for the move we were expecting yesterday for end of financial year. We’re going to use the hourly chart for the illustration but we’re going to use the 4H chart for the levels. Reason for this is we again will be waiting for key extreme levels if we do decide to take a position. So, on the hourly we can see the immediate trend and a potential H&S in the making. The right shoulder is sitting around the 1940 level which may act as support, however, there is a level above which is around the 1950-55 price point where again there is liquidity waiting. So we will trade this with two scenarios in mind, for both we will be using the 4H levels on the hourly chart. Scenario 1: Price pushes to the upside, in the scenario we will be looking for the price to stay below the 1960 level. If we see rejection and resistance around the higher level we feel this would represent an opportunity to short the market towards the lower levels of 1930-35 and below that 1910. If we do take any entries we will be taking partials along the way as long as they’re in profit and protecting the trade. Scenario 2: They push the price downside, we will be looking for the first reaction around the 1910 region where we feel there will be some support. There is a chance this level will break to the downside if we come down here so we will wait for the lower levels of 1890-85 where we feel there will be am opportunity to go long. The range is big hence the levels are further apart. While Gold is moving 2-500pips a day and swinging wildly its too risky to trade the immediate levels on NFP unless you’re an experienced trader with an effective risk management strategy in place. This could all be an anti-climax and we hardly move, in which case we’re happy to sit tight. The market has been nice to us last month and we don’t want to give anything back so we shall remain on the defensive and maintain patience. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
18
XAUUSD ( GOLD ) - FUNDAMENTAL & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS with NFP⛔️ There are two special indicators that affect GOLD today. Among them are the ISM MANUFACTURING PMI, and the US LABOR DATA. These are the most important ECONOMIC INDICATORS and these are the HIGH VOLATILIE INDICATORS. ⛔️ US10Y currently stands at 2.34% LEVEL. CORE PCE DATA was released yesterday but I could not see much HIGH VOLATILITY. US10Y was a bit WEAK at the time. But now the US10Y is becoming UP again. But the data came in fairly good. But USD10Y LONG TERM is going to be UP if this MARKET CONDITION is SUPPORT to USD. Also DXY has been up to 98.48 LEVEL. ⛔️ GOLD PRICE is currently available on DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be UP in the future. SHORT TERM is for UP SIDE. But the war may escalate again. Because Ukraine is already launching attacks on Russia. So GOLD may be slightly UP, but LONG TERM may be GOLD DOWN in the future as well. ⛔️ Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side. ⛔️ GOLD PRICE can RETRACE from DYNAMIC LEVELS. It's very important to us. Maybe after reaching the dynamic level the price can be hugely VOLATILE with the economic data coming up today. ⛔️ The chance of creating a DOUBLE TOP opportunity again before the GOLD PRICE goes DOWN is very high. So GOLD can definitely go back to the 1966 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1895 LEVEL. ⛔️ However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first. Today's NFP DATA may change the MARKET SENTIMENT in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by benny_marshall
EURUSD WILL GO UP ? DXY WEAK OR NOT ? NFP + ISM⛔️ This is a very important week for EURUSD. CPI DATA for EUR is to be issued. This is a very VOLATILE event for the Euro. Because it is a very important INDICATOR. Among them are the ISM MANUFACTURING PMI, and the US LABOR DATA. These are the most important ECONOMIC INDICATORS and these are the HIGH VOLATILIE INDICATORS. ⛔️ DXY is currently at 98.44 LEVEL. Also the EUR FEATURE stays at 1.1091 LEVEL. The EURUSD PRICE is located on the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the PRICE will be SHORT TERM UP up to 1.1228 LEVEL. ⛔️ Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side. ⛔️ The EURUS PRICE can be UP to 1.1228 LEVEL before it becomes DOWN. Then you can DOWN to 1.0849 LEVEL. According to the LABOR DATA and ISM MANUFACTURING DATA coming out today, we can expect some change in the EURUSD. ⛔️ Currently the MARKET may be the TREND LINE SUPPORT. If you BREAK that TREND LINE, EURUSD can sell faster.
by benny_marshall
USDJPY - FURTHER JPY WILL STRONG OR NOT ? WHAT'S GOING ON UJ? ⛔️ ISM MANUFACTURING PMI and US LABOR DATA are due to be released today for the US dollar. These are the most important ECONOMIC INDICATORS and these are the HIGH VOLATILIE INDICATORS. This data is very important for USDJPY today. Also, despite the high impact news for JPY being lost this week, the Japanese YEN is following the market sentiment. ⛔️ JPY FEATURE is currently on the rise. The main reason for this is that the MARKET SENTIMENT is becoming RISK OFF. JPY MARKET Now we see the nature of CORRECTION. JPY FEATURE stands at 0.0081 LEVEL. According to the JPY ECONOMIC PROJECTION, JPY can be WEAK in the future. But if the MARKETS RISK OFF continues, the USDJPY price may fall further. USDJPY stays on DYNAMIC LEVELS. ⛔️ Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side. ⛔️ USDJPY PRICE can be REJECT from 124.180 LEVEL. For VOLATILITY UP, and JPY FEATURE UP. The NFP DATA to be released today is very important and can have a huge impact on the USDJPY. ⛔️ Before the USDJPY PRICE goes to 118.388 LEVEL maybe a RETRACEMENT will come to 124.180 LEVEL. Then the USDJPY price can come down by breaking the TREND LINE. It is very important if the markets are to be RISK OFF.
by benny_marshall
EURUSD before NFP There is still a chance where we could see price reaching 1,1200 during NFP today. EURUSD isn't our main pair that we trade right now. In case of a strong USD, we will be looking for trades on EURUSD and GBPUSD but in case of a weak USD, we will be trading AUDUSD and NZDUSD. However, the expectations are that the USD will get weaker and we might see higher values. Like we said already, we won't be trading them on EURUSD. Here, we're mainly looking to sell from our resistance zone. We're monitoring this setup and in case of any changes will keep you up to date!
by ForexTrendline
8
USDCAD - OIL , U.S ECONOMIC DATA WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- Some of the most important data for USD will be released this week. Among them, JOLTS job openings, CB consumer confidence, ADP - non farm employment change, FINAL GDP q / q, crude oil inventories, Core pce price index, ism manufacturing index, NFP are the most important DATA. - The OPEC MEETING is scheduled for this week. Also important indicator data for CAD, GDP, MANUFACTURING PMI, is due to be released this Friday. - DXY is currently at 97.85 LEVEL. USD has been WEAK for the last few days. Also, the CAD FEATURE has been down to 0.7986 LEVEL. However, CAD is becoming WEAK compared to DXY due to OIL WEAKNESS. USDCAD PRICE is TUCHING IN DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. - Currently we see the OVERALL MARKET RISK OFF. Also STOKES are getting RED. VIX UP is becoming. Also COMMODITIES are starting to DOWN right now. - OIL PRICE is currently down a bit. It will inevitably affect CAD. If so, USDCAD could be moving to the BUY in the next few days. - USDCAD PRICE can go to 1.2466 LEVEL before UP. Then the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again up to 1.2656 LEVEL. The USD may be slightly STRONG in the coming days due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD.
by benny_marshall
EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW- ECB PRESIDENT Lagarde has a SPEAK. There are some positive technical points for MARKET RISK OFF and JPY to be a bit STRONG right now. The reason is that JAPANESE YEN DOWN is very fast right now. So a PULLBACK may come at some point. - The EUR FEATURE currently stands at 1.1147 LEVEL. It rests on DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Also the JPY FEATURE is giving DOWN very fast. It stays at 0.0082 LEVEL. The EURJPY PRICE is above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. The reason for that is the WEAKNESS that happened in JPY. So most of the time the PRICE can be UP again in the form of a STRUCTURE. - Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. Also STOKES are turning slightly red. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a slightly UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side. - EURJPY PRICE can PULLBACK and DOWN until it is slightly lower than DYNAMIC LEVELS. (131.30) - The EURJPY PRICE can be UP to 139.173 LEVEL before DOWN. Then you can DOWN to 131.477 LEVEL. The PRICE will move according to this week's ECONOMIC INDICATOR DATA and MARKET SENTIMENT. The next few days can be a bit important.
by benny_marshall
1