NFT Trade USDCADI will be placing this order on USDCAD today, it seems logical to me.
Due to NFP, risk will be reduced dramatically.
This is my only trade of the day, good luck traders.
Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. 💬
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Always limit your leverage and use a tight stop loss.
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Nfp
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED [NFP]Dear traders,
There we go. Another crazy NFP day.
As you can see from my markup, I'm expecting a short from the 4H OB where the price is currently at.
Also, the price is respecting the trend line.
One thing to note: That long bearish wick, which has been initiated by yesterday's news, penetrated the TL and came back to close bullish.
The same thing can happen with NFP. Expect unexpected. Crazy moves are about to happen.
Therefore, take your time to analyze everything and most importantly manage your risk properly. NEVER OVERLEVERAGE.
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Limit your losses, use stops.
Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!
It's just an idea of mine.
However, everyone can share their thoughts in the comment section below.
Also, don't forget to support me! :)
Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk. I'm sharing my ideas and not giving trading advice.
Always plan your trade and trade your plan.
DXY still bullish above 94.60TGIF all,
I wanted to share my opinions to the chart of DXY .
I see DXY still successfully produces lower highs while finding supports on 9 months old (blue) trendline.
In my opinion, DXY is still bullish above 94.60.
We observed a correction lately on DXY from the 97.5 levels.
Demand to dollar increased due to the expected rate hikes of Fed but the price already discounted the hike probabilities.
Now we have to watch carefully of the upcoming NFP data while observing the Omicron cases.
Be careful!
If the layoffs are high, there may be a jump on average wages .
Have a good weekend!
DeGRAM| GOLD high volatilityMost likely today gold will be one of the most volatile instruments. It's all about NFP. However, approach to 1780.55 is expected. If, nevertheless, the metal goes up, then the price will hit the level of 1850, where strong resistance is located.
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USDCAD Idea // Looking for 1.265US crude oil is very bullish
and there is some correlation with CAD because
CAD exports revenue mainly comes from Oil sales to USA
Looking bearish on this pair to 1.265
Maybe i'm somehwta impatient but i'm not exactly seeing the dollar bulls at the moment.
this could all change if NFP tomorrow, safe trading folks,
Ill be closing this trade forsure before NFP.
EURUSD before NFPEURUSD climbed 200 pips since the Interest Rates yesterday. Today NFP comes out as well.
This is also a very important event which does affect the market.
All week, we've been looking for a possible end of the pullback, but that impulse yesterday took price back to the previous high.
However, we're still in a downtrend on the Daily timeframe and that's something we should not forget.
We don't recommend looking for trades right now, but if we see price possibly reaching the zone,
leaving a wick and rejecting it, then we can expect a downside continuation.
The best opportunities in case of positive news and strong USD will be on the stock currencies.
Gold NFP Day: I believe I can flyHey Trader,
please see my current idea on Gold. Last idea was nailed on exact pip. Since, I was expecting a buying reaction on the bottom of my last idea, I assume that we may have had our spring today, in order for us to get an impulsive wave 3.
I'm expecting a little retrace, where I am willed to place buy order with a stop slightly below todays spring. NFP should be bullish for Gold. But let's see time will tell.
For further information please see below.
This is no financial advice.
RT
What 3 events will traders be watching this week? 31 Jan- 05 FebThis week’s 3 events will concentrate on US employment numbers. The released figures could bolster or work against the strength found in the USD since the beginning of the year. For instance, the NZD and EUR have quickly dropped in value against the USD and are currently at a multi-month low against the greenback. Depending on this week’s numbers, the GBP, CAD, and AUD, which are presently floating close to 1-month lows, may soon be joining the NZD and EUR at values not seen since mid-2020.
Wednesday and Thursday, February 02 and 03:
Wednesday: Jolts Job DEC
Thursday: ADP Employment Change JAN
Two highly anticipated precursors to Friday’s Non-farm Payrolls report are released over Wednesday and Thursday this week.
The first, the JOLTS Job Openings for December, is expected to remain close to record highs with 10.5 million jobs advertised across the US. Employers are seemingly experiencing difficulty holding onto their workforce, with job quits matching recorded highs and labour force participation struggles to budge from 40-year lows.
While the JOLTS Job Openings report is limited in its impact on forex and stocks, it does help set the tone for the following two more appreciable job reports.
The second, the ADP Employment Change for January, is estimated to report the lowest number of new jobs added to the US private sector since February 2021, with the consensus forecasting 200K. The typically slow start to the year, if forecasts are accurate, will sit in stark contrast to December’s (2021) 800K jobs, which shocked analysts who were expecting less than half this number at the end of last year.
Saturday, February 05:
Non-farm Payrolls JAN
Non-farm Payrolls JAN is forecast to report 155K jobs added to the US economy in January, representing a marked slowdown in jobs growth, but in line with what has been seen with the past few months. Last month’s report for December 2021 delivered 199K jobs, while November 2021 reported 249K jobs.
Disappointing Non-farm Payrolls may no longer have the same impact it once did, as investors appear content with the slowing job growth, and negative pressure on the USD typically fails to eventuate after such an event.
While job growth is slowing, it should be noted that wage pressure is rising, which could be a good thing for US consumer spending and optimism for the US economy in general.
AUDJPY BEARISH SEASON Considering the structure of audjpy, the market looks bullish in a lower time frame but, scaling upward to 4H and Daily time frame, it is clearly showing that the bullish pattern is mainly to take off the liquidity gap in between the prices. Considering a trendline analysis as well, the market shows a downward pattern with 3-4 confirmations on the trendline. Therefore, I'll rather look for a good sell entry after the liquidity gap as been taken off completely. The only buy confirmation I can agree with is if the price break the trendline and the order block then form a bullish engulfing candles.
GOLD Forecast 1/7Buy setup today on Gold, we are looking for price to bounce at 1789 and retrace into 1810-1813.
As long as the C wave is holding and price does not close below the previous low this set up will be valid. Once price has retested this zone and trends upwards, then our target is the previous point of control around 1813. Our stop is tight as NFP is today and is placed at 1784.
Enjoy & Happy New Year everyone, lets aim for another historical year in the marketplace.
^_^
Long or Short on GOLD [NFP] ?Dear traders,
First of all, I hope you are aware that NFP fundamental news will shake the market today.
Therefore, don't risk too much, DO NOT SCALP NEWS, manage your risk properly
and better stay off the market.
My view on Gold from a market structure perspective:
Gold has been respecting supply and demand zones perfectly and the only demand zone left behind (which has not been mitigated) is the 3H demand zone.
Overall direction for gold is bullish and in my humble opinion, the price will reach above 1834 (at least).
The only question is - Is it going up before or after testing that demand zone?
On the way up there's a tiny 3H supply as well. From which I'm expecting a short term sell.
It's important to monitor and see, which comes first. Indeed all these zones will be tested.
We just need to patiently wait and react when the opportunity is there.
Good Luck and a Happy Profitable Year to all of you!
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Limit your losses, use stops.
Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!
It's just an idea of mine.
However, everyone can share their thoughts in the comment section below.
Also, don't forget to support me! :)
Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk. I'm sharing my ideas and not giving trading advice.
Always plan your trade and trade your plan.
Aussie steady ahead of retail salesThe Australian dollar is trading quietly at the start of the week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7172, down 0.14% on the day.
December job numbers in the US were mixed. The nonfarm payrolls report was a major disappointment, with a gain of 199 thousand, compared to a forecast of 425 thousand. Despite the soft nonfarm payrolls reports, investors remain hawkish about a Fed rate hike and the major currencies posted gains against the US dollar on Friday. The mixed jobs report is unlikely to change the Fed's lift-off date for a rate hike, which will likely come in mid-2022, although the markets have priced in a March hike at above 70%.
On the positive side, the US unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% to 3.9% and wage growth climbed 4.7% y/y, above the estimate of 4.2%. As we saw with the JOLTS Jobs Openings release last week, there are jobs to be had, but the difficulty is finding workers to fill the vacancies.
Australia starts the event ball rolling on Tuesday, with the release of Retail Sales for November. The consensus stands at 3.9%, after a gain of 4.9% in October. The circus over star tennis player Novak Djokovic and whether he can remain in Australia for the Australian Open has overshadowed the skyrocketing Covid numbers. Australia is reporting over 1 million infections, as businesses are grappling with staff shortages due to sickness or isolation rules. So far, the government has avoided new lockdowns, but if the infection rates continue to rise, lockdowns could be reimposed which would hamper economic activity.
There is resistance at 0.7263 and 0.7343
AUD/USD has support at 0.7116 and 0.7049
How To Trade NFP 🚨Lots of information can be gathered prior to the high impact news events.
Look for levels of interest, supply and demands, areas of liquidity etc.
The London session always gives clues to where the price is going. We tend to see a lure to trap buyers before the news kicks in and goes in the true direction.
Be mindful of this if you are trading NFP next month.
XAUUSD - End of week!Very disappointing NFP!
So they targeted just below the 1785 KOG target level and then rejected. Ideally we would have wanted more of a stage show from NFP but instead traders got choppy up/down ranging movement. In any case, it gave the entry and is following the long scenario we have mentioned in the NFP Report.
We would suggest you protect any long trades you have from the lower support before market close this evening. We're hoping we can achieve that first target of 1797 before the market closes, if not, we'll look for it on market open. We'll stick with the plan for now and update it on our next post with the week ahead analysis.
See you on Sunday for the KOG Report.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BITCOIN ENTRY LONGBeen a while since looked at any BTC entries, broke out of its range due to some news release numbers. Just had NFP which retested the trend line fully and currently had a sweep outside of the range bound PA we seen over past few weeks. To me, looks like the bottom end of the bear trap here so look to take an entry.
EURUSD Non Farm Payroll Catalyst?Non-Farm Payroll numbers are due today, after a strong decline EURUSD has settled into a consolidation/bear flag formation.
I've been watching for a breakout of this range for a while now and while the structure of the flag has changed, the overarching idea is the same - looking for a break below the range to continue the larger trend.
Non-Farm Payroll tends to bring with it spikes of volatility and can often be the catalyst to begin a new trend or new leg of a trend, which is what we're watching out for today.
Canadian dollar calm ahead of job reportsThe Canadian dollar is on a holding pattern ahead of key Canadian and US employment reports later today. Currently, USD/CAD is trading just above the 1.27 line.
It could be an active North American session for the Canadian dollar, with the release of Canada's job creation numbers and the US nonfarm payrolls. Expectations are low for the Canadian data, with a forecast of just 27 thousand new jobs in December, after a robust gain of 153 thousand in November. There is plenty of anticipation around the nonfarm payroll release, however, especially after the monster ADP release earlier this week. The ADP gain of 807 thousand was double the consensus of 400 thousand, but historically, ADP has not been a reliable gauge of nonfarm payrolls.
The forecast for NFP is around 425 thousand, and a release below 250 thousand or above 550 thousand could shake up the US dollar. Investors are starting to get nervous now that a Fed rate hike could be only a few months away, and the timeline for the first rate hike could be impacted by the strength of the nonfarm payroll release. A strong gain would strengthen the likelihood of a March hike, while a soft NFP could delay lift-off of a hike, which could lead to a rotation out of US dollars.
In determining when to start hiking, policymakers will be looking not only at the strength of the recovery but also at inflationary pressures. The Fed has abandoned its view that inflation is 'transitory' and this week's FOMC minutes indicated that policymakers viewed inflation risks to the upside and are also concerned about the very tight job market. The minutes also stated that the Fed is considering scaling back its balance sheet as another brake on the economy. The markets took note, with 10-year bonds rising above 1.70% and CME FedWatch pegging the likelihood of a March hike above 70%.
USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.2784. Above, there is resistance at 1.2929
There are support levels at 1.2558 and 1.2477
US Dollar Index - Neutral BiasTVC:DXY
I am watching the US Dollar index closely as we have seen it stuck in a range for a while now. One thing I like to do when watching for ranges is, looking for a liquidity grab (false move) in either direction before the real move. So if I see the US Dollar wanting to push down, I would love to see the highs taken out before we do so. Same thing if I see the US Dollar wanting to go higher, expect we will take out the lows before doing so.
All eyes on Non-Farm Payroll coming up! No bias, purely waiting for price action to tell me where we are going next!
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT - NFP!This is our view for NFP today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’re also approaching the end of the year so markets will likely do the unexpected.
As usual we will look at this with two scenarios in mind. There is more that needs to be completed to the upside than there is to the downside at the moment although we are still bearish on this.
Scenario one:
The price pushes up towards that 1806-10 price level and we see resistance, this region we feel would represent an opportunity to short the market towards the lower levels. Breaking the 1810 price level will invalidate this scenrio.
Scenario two:
The price pushes down, look for first support level 1785 which is also a KOG target, breaking that level the lower support is 1777. These level we feel would represent an opportunity to go long for a quick capture towards the 1797 and above that 1804-6 price points. Breaking the 1775 level will invalidate this scenrio.
Support:
1785/1777/1767/1760/1757
Resistance:
1797/1804/1806/1810-12
As always, trade safe.
KOG