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Brace for NFP, ECB Forum, and two major elections This week is set to be a pivotal one for global markets, with significant economic and political events on both sides of the Atlantic. In the United States, the spotlight will be on nonfarm payrolls at the end of the week, with the economy expected to have added 180,000 jobs in June. This would mark a slowdown from the 272,000 jobs added in May and signal a cooling of the labor market. Across the Atlantic, political developments in France and the United Kingdom are likely to dominate market movements. France's Parliamentary Elections: France held the first round of its parliamentary elections on Sunday. The far-right National Rally party, led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, has surged to first place, securing 33.5% of votes according to recent polls. The second round of voting is scheduled for July 7. The dissolution of the National Assembly by President Emmanuel Macron earlier this month has already caused volatility in French stocks. However, some see this as a buying opportunity. Eden Bradfield of BlackBull Research commented, "Our preference list includes Kering, LVMH, Richemont, Brunello, and Hermes at the right price." Adding to the busy week, the European Central Bank (ECB) will host its annual forum in Sintra from Monday to Wednesday. The event will gather central bank governors, including Jerome Powell of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Roberto Campos Neto of the Brazilian Central Bank, Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England, and Christine Lagarde of the ECB. On the economic front, Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports for the Eurozone and Germany are due this week. These reports are anticipated to show a slight easing in inflation, which will be closely monitored by investors and policymakers alike. UK General Elections: In the United Kingdom, a major political shift is anticipated on July 4. Polls suggest a landslide victory for Keir Starmer’s Labour Party and a major defeat for Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives, who have been in power for 14 years. For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
by BlackBull_Markets
NFP looks bearishIt looks like we have a large diametric that we are now in wave E of. Wave E must have at least time to the vertical line on the chart. Keeping the red range is expected to complete wave E. The targets are clear on the chart. Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
THE KOG REPORT - NFP THE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Please note, this NFP looks like it’s going to slip a lot of traders up, so please be careful if you’re going to trade it, otherwise, like us, stay out of the market and come back to it on Monday where we will find better, cleaner opportunities. We’ve done well in Camelot, we’re not going to risk anything on this NFP, not even a 0.01lot. So, we have an early session move downside into the support region 2330-35 with extension into the 2325 price point, which if held here could give us bounce up into the order region above 2345-50 which is where ideally we will want to see the price pre-event. We’ve plotted the extreme levels on the chart and the potential move, the extreme support level sitting at 2305-10 which, if they do take the price down into, we feel the RIP upside will come from to at least the 2330 price point. We would say below the 2355-60 region we’re looking lower, and that price point will need to hold for us to see a continuation of the move. The structure needs to form however! On the flip, breaking above the 2355 region we could see this attempt the 2400-2405 price point before we even think about shorting it. It’s one or the other for us, it either comes down into extreme level and we’ll look for a set up after the event, or, it goes up into extreme level and we’ll look for a set up. In the middle, we’re not interested in trying to catch the moves today. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
XAU/USD : First Sell , Then BUY ! NFP's effect on price ! (READ)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price finally filled its old FVG and entered the $2386 supply zone, followed by a sharp decline. The price corrected over 500 pips down to $2332! Note that this significant drop in gold created a large FVG. If today's actual NFP rate is announced to be lower than the predicted rate, it will weaken the dollar index and cause gold to rise, which in turn could fill this new FVG. Therefore, after an initial drop, we can expect a price increase. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
Ethereum & Bitcoin - NFP Market Thought With the NFP data coming in hot for the USD, which is unfavorable for all assets trading against it, we are closely monitoring both Bitcoin and Ethereum. We anticipate a sweep of the lows to clear out some liquidity before the uptrend continues. For Bitcoin, we believe the current weekly VWAP or the current weekly VAL, supported by the pwVAH, should hold BTC. There might be a liquidation around 70k after a drop followed by a V-shaped recovery. Regarding Ethereum, we've been ranging since the start of June between the March VAH and the pmVAH. Given the sharp rise in the last week, it seems likely we'll retest the March VWAP or even the cluster around 3.4k, which we consider the "worst-case" scenario in the near term. To turn bullish, we need to reclaim the March VAH and hold it as support. If this happens, ETH and altcoins should have the momentum to surge, pushing ETH to 4k relatively quickly.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stromm
1
GOLD: Day 3 breakout traders long in the market, NFP weekHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ day 2 cycle 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump ✅ Dump&Pump Frontside Backside ✅ 4. THESIS: Long: secondary, this market can keep going lower until news release in NY session, for a NYO or third hour reversal Short: primary, looking for a pump back up into the yesterday LOD at least, taking a potential market continuation going to stop the LOW, where traders long are in profit since monday. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GianniPichichero
6
OIL: Day 3 breakout trades long in the market, NFP week!Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ no daily cycle 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout ✅ 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside Backside ✅ 4. THESIS: Long: primary, day 3 long in the market, OIL looks like coiling for an explosive move. After NFP I will looking for a buy low dump and pump back either the HOW, or the breakout NY session of monday (see the green line) Short: secondary, not really interested in short this market, unless a scalp third hour NY session HOD to LOD Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by GianniPichichero
2
USD/JPY eyes household spendingThe Japanese yen is steady on Thursday after showing sharp swings throughout the week. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.27, up 0.10% on the day at the time of writing. Japan’s consumers have been holding tight on the purse strings as inflation remains high and economic conditions remain gloomy. In March, household spending declined to 1.2% m/m, down from 1.4% in February. The downswing is expected to continue, with a market estimate of just 0.2% for April. Japan releases GDP on Monday and the markets are bracing for some bad news. Japan’s economy is expected to have contracted in the first quarter, with a market estimate of -0.5% q/q, after no growth in the fourth quarter of 2023. Yearly, the economy is expected to have contracted by 2.0%, after a small gain of 0.4% in the fourth quarter. Private sector demand has fallen and exports are also down. A weak GDP release could delay any plans at the Bank of Japan to tighten policy. The BoJ meets on June 14th and has hinted that it will take steps on the path towards normalization. The Japanese yen remains at low levels and could lose more ground if the BoJ doesn’t change any policy settings at the meeting. The US wraps up the week with nonfarm payrolls on Friday and the report is expected to show that the US labor market is slowly cooling off. In April, nonfarm payrolls fell to 175,000 down sharply from 330,000 in March. This marked the weakest job growth in six months. Little change is expected in the May report, with a market estimate of 185,000. USD/JPY tested support at 155.75 earlier. Below, there is support at 155.01 156.86 and 157.60 are the next support levels
by OANDA
ECB Rate Cut Looms: EUR/USD Set to Slide?Given the increasing likelihood that the ECB will cut rates before the Fed, further EUR/USD depreciation could be anticipated in the coming days/ weeks. A move below the 100-day moving average would have traders looking toward the 200-day moving average of 1.0853. However, weaker jobs data from the US this week is tempering this expectation, which means some upside targets can be charted still. If bulls maintain control, EUR/USD may test the June high of 1.0916, followed by the three peaks of March, before reaching the crucial 1.1000 level. The JOLTs job openings report showed a decline of 296,000 from the previous month, dropping to 8.059 million in April 2024. This is the lowest level since February 2021 and below the market consensus of 8.34 million. The ADP Employment Change report revealed that private US hiring in May increased by 152,000, falling short of the estimates of 175,000 and below April’s figure of 188,000. Next up is the NonFarm Payrolls report on Friday. For the exact date and time, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts directly to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
by BlackBull_Markets
Dollar Watch: JOLTs, ADP, NFP Dollar Watch: JOLTs, ADP, NFP It's US jobs week. Which gives us at least three trading opportunities, scattered out nicely over the whole week. First is the JOLTs Job Openings report. Second is the ADP Employment Change report. Finally, we have the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Let's look at what happened last month: Nonfarm payrolls increased by 175,000 jobs. Economists forecast by TradingEconomics had estimated 240,000 jobs. Another huge miss in the NFP report this month could weaken the dollar. The market seems poised to interpret any indication as a signal that the Federal Reserve might cut rates sooner than anticipated. And even with a weaker-than-expected NFP, the market might just be looking at the headline. JPMorgan Chase highlighted during last month's report that "other employment indicators suggest there is no imminent weakening in the labor market." Additionally, these figures are preliminary and often revised in subsequent weeks. For instance, March’s nonfarm payroll gains were revised up to 315,000 from 300,000.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
June 03, DXY & GBPUSD: Trading Insights for the Week Ahead!Greetings, Traders! Brief Description🖊️: We are in the first week of June, a period marked by high-impact news, including the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report. In this video, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD pairs, offering valuable insights for the upcoming week in trading. Things We Will Cover👀: Lecture on Draw On Liquidity🧠: Understanding how to analyze the market objectively. Studying key concepts such as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), order blocks, mitigation blocks, breakers, and more. Market Analysis📉📈: DXY and GBPUSD: Detailed analysis of these pairs to uncover potential trading opportunities for the week ahead. Draw On Liquidity: Understanding what the draw on liquidity is for this week and how it impacts our trading strategies. What's Important Now❗ Stay tuned to gain a comprehensive understanding of market analysis and to identify profitable trading opportunities in the upcoming week. Best Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022. The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB President Christine Lagarde has recently expressed confidence that Eurozone inflation is under control, hinting at a possible interest rate cut next month. The same level of dovishness is not yet seen in the language of the BOE officials. Additionally, the GBP/EUR pair could be influenced by changes in the U.S. dollar. The pound typically exhibits greater sensitivity to shifts in risk sentiment compared to the euro. A softening U.S. dollar, potentially stemming from upcoming U.S. jobs data, might further strengthen the pound against the euro. Intraday bias for the GBP/EUR pair remains neutral, with potential for more consolidations. Across the week, we get the US JOLTs Job Openings, ADP Employment Change, and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Last month’s NFP reported 175,000 jobs added in April 2024, down from 315,000 jobs added in March, and falling well short of expectations for 240,000. This month's forecast is for even fewer, at 150,000 jobs. Bear in mind, any surprising strength in U.S. job data or a more hawkish tone from the BOE could lead to different trading dynamics.
by BlackBull_Markets
NFP/USDT READY FOR AN ATH!!Hey everyone! If you enjoy this content, please consider giving it a thumbs up and following for more analysis. NFP looks good here. NFP recently broke out of a falling wedge pattern. This could be a sign of a trend reversal and potential bullish momentum. Buy some here and add more in the dip. Entry range:- $0.46-$0.50 Targets:- $0.62/$0.84/$0.98/$1.16 SL:- $0.40 Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on NFP's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
Trade Idea for NFPrompt (NFP) - Accumulation StrategyNFPrompt (NFP) is currently trading around $0.4901, showing an increase of 4.32% in the last 24 hours and a 10.78% rise over the past 7 days. The market cap stands at approximately $120.75 million, with a circulating supply of 250 million NFP out of a total supply of 1 billion​. Begin building a position at the current price of around $0.4901. This entry point provides a strategic basis given the recent positive price movement and market interest. Plan to accumulate more NFP tokens if the price drops to $0.42 and further to $0.38. This phased buying approach allows for averaging down the entry price and maximizing holdings during market corrections. Set take-profit targets at $0.63, $1.05, and $1.60. These levels are chosen based on potential resistance points and historical price movements, aiming to capture substantial gains as the market appreciates. NFPrompt is an AI-driven User Generated Content (UGC) platform designed for Web3 creators. It offers various AI tools for creating NFTs, including images, videos, and music. The platform also features a community hub and an AI-powered NFT marketplace, enhancing its utility and adoption potential in the creative and blockchain sectors​​. The recent price performance and volume suggest increasing investor interest and trading activity. Monitoring ongoing developments, such as new features or partnerships, will be crucial for adjusting the investment strategy. Accumulating NFP at strategic price points leverages market volatility and the project’s innovative approach to combining AI with blockchain technology. The phased profit-taking strategy aims to optimize returns while managing risk. This trade idea is based on current market data and NFPrompt’s strategic positioning as of May 2024. Cryptocurrency investments carry inherent risks, including the loss of principal. Investors should conduct their own research and consider their financial circumstances and risk appetite before engaging in cryptocurrency trading. This analysis is not financial advice.
Long
by icordkaz
#NFP/USDT#NFP We have a bearish channel pattern on a 12-hour frame, the price moves within it, adheres to its limits well, and is expected to break it upwards strongly. We have a support area at the lower border of the channel at $0.400 from which the price rebounded We have a tendency to stabilize above moving average 100 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break higher, supporting the price higher Entry price is 0.4848 The first target is 0.5800 The second goal is 0.6840. The third goal is 0.7824
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
⭐️ XAU/USD : CPI is coming , Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after the price drop to $2332, there was a demand surge, allowing the price to rise to higher levels as expected. After the price entered the Bearish BB zone at $2372, we saw a price drop to $2368. Currently, the price is trading around $2370, and in a few hours, we will have the important US CPI data. If the actual rate is higher than the forecasted rate, it could lead to a further drop in gold prices. Conversely, if the rate is lower than the forecasted rate, we might see a rebound in gold prices to levels above $2400. The supply zones are $2372 to $2378, $2389 to $2399, and $2409 to $2418. The demand levels are $2356 to $2361, $2332 to $2337, and $2306 to $2315. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
Factors Driving Gold (XAUUSD) Prices Up Analysis: Factors Driving Gold Prices Up Here is why we think it will go up (FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS) Weak NFP Report and Potential Fed Rate Cuts: The recent Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report came in weaker than expected, signaling sluggish job growth in the United States. This unexpected weakness has raised speculation that the Federal Reserve may consider cutting interest rates to stimulate economic growth. Impact of Weak NFP Report: The NFP report provides insights into the health of the US economy, and a weaker-than-expected report suggests economic challenges. Which helps the fight against inflation. Potential Fed Policy Response: In response to disappointing economic indicators, such as the weak NFP report, the Federal Reserve may consider implementing monetary policy measures to support economic recovery. One such measure could be a reduction in interest rates to stimulate borrowing and spending, thereby bolstering economic activity. Gold as a Safe-Haven Asset: Gold is often viewed as a safe haven asset during times of economic uncertainty and inflation. The prospect of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve can further enhance gold's appeal, as lower interest rates typically diminish the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Here is what to watch out for that might stop it from going up: Market Response and Federal Reserve Policy Decisions Market participants should closely monitor any signals or announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions, as they can significantly influence investor sentiment and, consequently, gold prices. If it becomes more likely for the Federal Reserve to not cut rates, well expect gold prices to plummet. Economic Indicators and Geopolitical Developments: It's important to stay attuned to key economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments that could impact gold markets. Any shifts in these factors could alter the trajectory of gold prices. (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS) Trade setup explained: Take-Profit is set at 2344 due to a strong resistance line there (see white horizontal line) Stop-Loss is set at 2311 which is right under 2315, 2315 has been showing stronger support. Conclusion: The weak NFP report and the potential for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have contributed to upward pressure on gold prices. However, market participants should remain vigilant and assess the evolving economic landscape and its impact on gold markets. By monitoring economic indicators and central bank policies, investors can make informed decisions in the dynamic world of gold trading. Like always use proper risk-management. Greetings, Zila
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
32
EURUSD - 📈 => 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), EURUSD rejected our blue circle zone and traded higher. What's next? 📈 EURUSD has been overall bearish long-term , trading within the falling wedge pattern in red. Currently, EURUSD is approaching the upper bound of the wedge pattern. Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1