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Nfpday

Do you switch off for NFP❓🤔I personally don't and this idea shows a EURUSD trade I'm currently in. We trade the plan and all the back test data at foot of this idea includes NFP days. Those spikes can be big and some times don't go the way we would like but on news days keep your risk and emotions in check. Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart. We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy. We're looking for the green line which is take profit target. Little red short arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss. Previous trades can be seen on chart also that was a long that found TP. This was covered in one of my previous ideas also. Lets see how this one plays out on NFP day. ------------------------------------------ I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily. Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. The stats for this pair are shown below too. Thank you. Darren
Short
by pow_removetheguesswork
1
Nonfarm-Payrolls expected effect on S&P500 (SPX) and EUR/USDDuring the last 10 months the correlation of surprises for ADP Nonfarm employment change and Nonfarm payrolls is positive (58%). This means that if we saw a negative ADP nonfarm employment change on Wednesday, we should see a negative nonfarm payroll today. This is however not certain. In fact, the February ADP came out with a -34% negative surprise while the NFP came out with a +108% positive surprise. The historical correlation of the nonfarm payrolls with the same day SPX return is around 6%. This is a non-significant positive correlation. On average, the SPX tend to register a positive return independently from the nonfarm payrolls report. For this reason, even if we are seeing a negative NFP figure today, the market is still probably gonna perform well. The average return of SPX on the NFP publication day is +0.48% (+0.80% if we exclude negative historical returns). Therefore, we expect a positive move with an accumulation in the $4450-$4470 area. Similar to the SPX, the EUR/USD cross tends to react positively to the NFP announcement in the 15/60 minutes period after the NFP announcement. In this respect, we expect a positive increase of around +15/+20 pips in the 15/60 minutes period after the NFP publication.
TVC:SPXLong
by CucabarraTrading
Gold battles recovery point on US NFP DayGold extends early week recovery from March tops to poke 50-EMA ahead of the key US employment data. The expected recovery in the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), coupled with the forecasts of downbeat Unemployment Rate, keep weighing on the metal prices. However, firmer RSI and MACD’s teasing of bulls may propel gold prices in case of a negative surprise from the stated jobs report. It should, however, be noted that a clear upside break of $1,780 immediate hurdle needs to cross the $1,817-20 area comprising the previous support line and 200-EMA to consolidate the previous month’s losses and regain the $1,800 threshold. Meanwhile, a downside break of the recent low near $1,750 has hopes to bounce off mid-April lows near $1,723, not to forget mentioning the immediate support close to $1,763. In a case where gold remains depressed below $1,723, the $1,700 psychological magnet may test the bears ahead of directing them to the double bottoms marked March around $1,677. Overall, gold sellers seem tired and hence any surprises from the US data should be reacted with wider moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MTradingGlobal
Gold gains with low NFP dataHello Traders TGIF, After having our profits shorting XAUUSD, Today low nonfarm payroll data showed US Economy is not ready to reach expected rebound. Gold seemed to finish its correction period and ready to gain momentum to reach my long term targets. Price should stay above 4H MA50 priced 1895 right now. I opened my long position at 1875 and my short term target is 1945. I will follow up the price action until market close. Trade safe and have fun! Remember to like and comment what you think. Have a lovely weekend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by gorkemaydogan
Understanding the NFP EU PumpHere are some questions I put out to my community group the other day followed by the answers. The reasoning being the move has been annotated on the chart. Why did price slowly decline prior to NFP? - Price had to decline slightly before NFP to mitigate the impulsive move created earlier in the day. - Price had to stop out break and re-test buyers with a tight stop loss - Price had to lure sellers into the market before NFP Why did price reject the exact box marked before skyrocketing? - Price skyrocketed because it had gathered enough liquidity from stopping out the buyers. - It utilised the previous order block to skyrocket to take out the impulsive sellers before NFP.
Education
by AlkalineFX