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SPX: Macroeconomic 101It have been months since I have posted an update in TradingView, today I will be discussing 101 of macroeconomics which will help to understand the relationship between Monetary Policy, Cashflow and inflation without making it super complicated. 1- Cashflow: Big money flow which interest go, as simple and as complicated as it seems. Instead of looking at currencies as purchasing items, we can look at them as exchanging items, for example when you try to buy an car, you are exchanging a car for x amount of USD, and when you are selling the car again, you are exchanging the car for X amount of money. Big money usually will try to find the highest interest on the currencies they have while considering the risk of safety to get their cash back, when central bank decrease interest rates which mean keeping money in banks will get investors or cash holders less return on their money than before, that is why there will be sale of currencies and buying of commodities/stock/business/investments that is expected to provide a higher return than banks. 2- Monetary policy and Interest rates: The purpose of interest rates changes are to control inflation rates, low interest rate promote more loans to be taken and less deposits with banks, low interest rate will make the market environment to be more creative in order to create income more than what the interest on loans are, this will help companies to grow and money to cycle in markets more than bonds and deposits. Hence, the less interest rate, the more likely spending increase which as a result prices will grow. This help central banks achieve their objectives or steady growth and maximising employments. 3- Inflation: When the market get heated and purchasing power is strong, it is normal for the purpose of balancing supply and demand in the market for prices to increase, every sector will be impacted differently. When inflation increase to a level that effect normal average consumer, central banks need to encounter this inflation increase by trying to reduce market activities, this will be done by increasing interest rates, when interest rate increase, money will flow from risky investments to less risky once as they provide a higher interest, which as a result will reduce the activities across economies and will motivate less spendings, spendings will be exchanged with demand on currencies which will increase demand on USD (USD will increase), which in line will make bonds prices to drop (yields to increase). As we are also noticing that FED are trying to reduce QE in markets as to reduce risk of inflation. When we factor in the current geopolitical matters, I will expect the SPX to continue moving sideways or downside, good opportunity for buying groceries at discounted prices for long term portfolio, I will be a gradual buyer as there is an element of uncertainty related to the countries decisions in regard to economics, globalisation and geopolitics. Buying great companies at fair price is BETTER than buying cheap companies at great price. Until next time, AgentH
SP:SPX
by AgentHK
1
KAVA : Daily TA : 04.18.22 (IO)Technical analysis of #KAVA 's chart and its appealing ranges . Let's take a look at some of the high-potential cryptocurrencies in the market for investment, as you can see all the supports, resistances, targets, etc. are marked on the chart. Pay special attention to the specified levels that i mentioned in the chart . I think everything is obvious in the chart , but just in case if you had any questions pls feel free to ask . Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 04.18.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
Bitcoin - BTC lacks a trend at the momentAfter reaching our price target of 40 000 USD, we predicted a temporary bottom for Bitcoin. We suggested that the price of BTCUSD might be setting itself for sideways price action. That has been the case for the past week. The prevailing trend in Bitcoin weakened even further, and volume declined. In the short term, we remain neutral on BTCUSD. However, in the medium term, we remain inclined towards the bearish scenario. Despite that, we decided not to set any price target for BTCUSD, mainly due to a lack of momentum within the prevailing trend. Although, we think Bitcoin is likely to drop to 35 000 USD (and possibly lower) if the general stock market continues lower (or if BTC sees more decoupling in the positive correlation between the two). We also see additional pressure for the higher price of BTC from the FED and higher interest rates. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral. MACD is bearish, and Stochastic is bullish. Although, Stochastic oscillates in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Meanwhile, ADX declines, which suggests the prevailing trend is weakening. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral. Illustration 1.01 The image shows the daily chart of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages. It can be observed that moving averages started to produce whipsaws shortly after BTCUSD started to trend sideways. In addition, the recent false breakout above the short-term resistance is also indicated. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is bearish. MACD failed to continue higher and penetrate through 0 points into the bullish zone; instead, it started to flatten and reverse to the downside. Stochastic also reversed to the downside, which is bearish. DM+ and DM- indicate bearish conditions in the market. At the same time, ADX suggests the prevailing trend is very weak, which is reflected in the recent sideways moving price action. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but lacks momentum in trend. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
21
Bitcoin 4H TA : 04.12.22 (Update)As you can see, last night the price broke the 40K level and entered the $ 39,000 channel, which is a very important range of the Bullish OrderBlock . One scenario is an uptrend from this range to $ 42,000, and the second scenario is to raise liquidity under strong support at $ 37,000 and then move on to $ 42,000. Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 04.12.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
NHCT Ready for Moon!?Hurricane NFT Market is a cross-chain NFT trading platform launched by HurricaneSwap. It is the first cross-chain NFT trading protocol based on Avalanche. It was born to solve NFT cross-chain transactions in different ecosystems, and is currently the only cross-chain transaction platform that has been implemented. It will support cross-chain NFT transactions on multiple chains such as Ethereum, BSC, Avalanche, Fantom and Polygon. What can I do now? if you are interested NFTs, I think this project could be good for investment! but be careful cuz this is my opinion! this is my Idea, I think it is the first Idea in tradingview! I hope this helps you.
NLong
by PatoshikCrypto
Bitcoin 4H TA : 04.11.22 (Update)Examining the Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we see that after losing support at $ 42,700 the price hit all the bearish targets , respectively . Note that currently the support in the range of $ 40140 to $ 41400 is one of the most important price supports, and if this level can not maintain the price, we must wait for the price correction to $ 39000! This analysis will be updated. Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 04.11.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
BITCOIN – CASH: Inside Bar PatternBITCOIN (BTCUSD) – CASH: Inside Bar Pattern (WARNING NOTE ON CRYPTO CURRENCY: As Bitcoin and crypto currency doesn’t form perfectly clean signals most of the time, we will only annotate the clearest and well-pronounced signals that form at confluent areas on the charts. Therefore not all price action signals/patterns will be annotated or discussed. TRADING BITCOIN AND CRYPTO IS HIGH RISK, CONSIDER A REDUCED POSITION SIZE UNTIL YOU ARE FAMILIAR WITH THESE MARKETS). Price Action: Price formed an Inside Bar Pattern right at the 42600 level, late last week. Potential Trade Idea 1: For aggressive traders, we are considering selling on a breakdown below the current Inside Bar Pattern. Potential Trade Idea 2: We are considering buying on a deeper retracement lower and after a price action signal on the daily or 4 hourly chart time frame, within the 34300 to 37550 support range (prior Event Zone).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn393254
4
Bear Dominance !! Back To 40kWeekly Time-frame Happened according to what i predicted. Weekly time-frame now checking the demand zone $42,433 the breakout area of double bottom. From here if we have a strong demand zone we can pump from here and continue the up-trend. 1D Time-frame Daily time-frame is now printing green candle with long wick showing the strength of the demand zone at $43,100 to $41,900. We are having a Base Rally low volume then entry which is still Bullish. We are currently in the last 3 strands of the EMA Ribbon. 4H Time-frame We are now below the 144 EMA and 233 EMA and the next support we can find is the 200 MA. The Demand zone seems strong enough as we can see a long wick after touching the zone. $42,500 is the breakout area of the double bottom, a retest to this then continue to the upside is possible. 1H Time-frame In 1h TF this is already the bottom. RSI is also oversold, AO is also Reversal trend. How to trade BTC long position entry within $43,138 to $42,500 Leverage 25x SL $41,834 TP 1 $43,758 TP 2 $44,413 TP 3 $44,942 TAYOR DYOR NFA We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us! Want more insights before US market open? Hit Like, Share, and Subscribe for more daily trading tutorial & cryptocurrency news Trade Scholar, the best cryptocurrency educational community online! Find the content above difficult to understand? Feeling lost about how to trade? Want to learn how to do your Own Price Prediction? We endeavour to share you our investment knowledge & experience in order to help you starting your path to financial freedom. Follow, Subscribe & Join our Community to trade together! Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Trade_Scholar
2