Natural Gas Critical LevelsNatural gas, which fell sharply from $ 6.5 to $2 is trying to recover again.
During this process, critical levels were determined. These levels appear at $2.10, $3.50 and $5.50.
As long as it does not fall below the $2.10 level, I can say that the $3.50 targeted buying opportunity in natural gas continues.
Natural Gas
NATURALGAS 22May2023broadly speaking, it is sideways with a fairly large range. but we can still take a chance on a good moment. if you look at the current elliot notation, it is likely that the price will go to the previous HH, you can take a long opportunity with the SL area below the invalid area
NG1! BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
We are now examining the NG1! pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2.246 level.
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#NaturalGas Can Rise Up Very Quickly #NATGASTraders, Natural gas has created several bullish breakouts over the past weeks but failed to push higher. Now as we are reaching the end of the wedge pattern, a breakout is imminent. This can create a W pattern which in turn can push the prices higher.
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NG1! Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NG1!?
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2.279.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2.146 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NATGAS Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is trading in a
Narrowing wedge which
But the long-term bias
Is bearish so as the price
Is about to retest the
Falling resistance of the
Wedge I think that we will
See a move down
To retest the rising support
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Natural Gas: Has it Found a Bottom?Natural gas made a stunning rally to an all-time high, only to come crashing back down again. It's been a while since we last covered natural gas, so let's take a look at what's happened since then.
The previous technical & seasonality setup played out perfectly with the RSI bouncing off the low and the rally into the winter season, hitting our profit target and extending further.
This time, we're seeing a similar setup on a different timescale. Zooming out, natural gas has retraced the entire move it made in the past three years and is now back to pre-COVID levels. The question is, has natural gas found a bottom here?
Looking at the weekly chart for natural gas over the past 20 years, we see an interesting picture. The weekly RSI has only broken past the 30 level five times over this two-decade period, and each time marked the rough bottom for natural gas. Fortunately, we're seeing this exact setup now, with prices seeming to find resistance at the $2 handle, which has also proven to be a reliable resistance level.
Comparing the Henry Hub natural gas against the Dutch TTF natural gas, we can see the spread back to the lows when adjusting for the same unit measurement of MMBtu and in USD.
On the fundamental side, this excerpt from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) sums up the outlook for Natural Gas vs Coal:
“Natural gas-fired generation capacity in the United States has grown in recent years, although coal-fired generation has continued to decline. Lower coal-fired generation is due to a long-term trend of coal power plant retirements and increased competition with natural gas-fired combined-cycle plants when natural gas prices are low. A total of 11.5 gigawatts (GW) of U.S. coal-fired electricity generating capacity retired in 2022. No new coal-fired capacity has come online since 2013, and developers have not reported any plans to build new U.S. coal-fired capacity in the future. In contrast, nearly 6.1 GW of natural gas-fired capacity was added in 2022, according to our Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory.”
Natural Gas saw a record high for the winter heating season.
Additionally, close to 23% of US coal plants have plans to retire by 2029, and the last new coal plant that came online in the US was in 2013, 10 years ago.
With coal plants being the second-largest source of electricity in the US and supply being cut, energy has to come from somewhere else. While the push for renewable energy continues, natural gas remains the main source of energy production. The dissipation of supply from retiring coal plants will likely be filled by natural gas. The reason being? Natural Gas currently remains most reliable form of energy source, while nuclear faces political pushbacks and Wind, Hydro & Solar have unpredictable/intermittent generation capacity.
Lastly, the Dollar sits on a key level now. If broken, the weakening dollar could drive commodities prices higher en masse.
All in all, the case to long natural gas from here seems reasonable, with the fundamental outlook for Natural gas still positive and the technical set-up pointing to a low. Taking a long position at the current levels of 2.186 and setting our stops at 1.85 and our first take profit level at 3.1 gives us a reasonable halfway point while setting our next take profit level at 3.8 gives us a higher profit potential if prices continue to rise. CME’s Henry Hub Natural gas is quoted in U.S. dollars and cents per MMBtu. Each 0.001 increment equal to 10$.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
www.eia.gov
www.eia.gov
blogs.worldbank.org
The Hard Boiled BOIL Bulls could catch a breakWho says you can't chart 3X leverage?
Got a nice down channel here and about to hit the bottom of the channel.
4.20 at the end of next week would be a nice price.
That would be over a 96% drop from the top. Interestingly, the previous peaks in Nov 2018 and Feb 2014 dropped just over 96% before touching the channel bottom.
Could overshoot below since it overshot out at the top.
Also could bounce early like that small bounce in Dec 2015, before tanking lower and tapping the channel.
Lots of breakout potential in the RSI.
Feeling like there's going to be some crazy times ahead... if things aren't crazy enough.
Natural Gas Support and Resistance Guide | Price Outlook- AMEX:UNG AMEX:BOIL VANTAGE:NG Still trading within my falling wedge pattern is getting tight so likely breaking soon
- Bounced off of quadrupole support Friday
- couple of resistance level right above us may test the upper falling wedge resistance next week
NG1! Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NG1!.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.113.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.286.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NG1! Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers ,
I analysed this chart on NG1!, and concluded the following:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.160
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Goal - 2.287
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATURAL GAS: Hit the 2 month Support. Buying is favored.Natural Gas hit the S1 Zone today (2.100 - 2.060), which started forming on February 22nd. This support has held another 8 times and with the 1D time frame neutral technically (RSI = 45.392, MACD = -0.046, ADX = 18.986), we are making a buy call targeting the 0.382 (TP = 2.440). In addition, the 1D RSI is bouncing off the HL trendline.
In the event however that the 1D candle closes under 2.060, we will revert to selling and target the -0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.830).
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