US Natural Gas Had Its Worst Day Since 2018: RSI falls Below 50US natural gas prices posted their worst daily performance since mid-November 2018 today, plummeting 17% to $7.2/MMBtu, as of writing, after Freeport LNG announced early Tuesday morning that it does not expect the export facility to resume full plant operations until late 2022 due to the explosion occurred on June 8.
The Freeport LNG facility has a production of 2 billion cubic feet per day, or around 16% of US LNG export capability, and has been operating at near full capacity in recent months.
The disruption at one of the largest US liquefied natural gas export terminals will put a severe upward pressure on European gas prices ( Dutch TTF ), which have been falling in recent months as Europe has significantly increased its liquified natural gas imports from the United States.
Technically, US natural gas prices are now testing the 2022 bullish trendline, with the momentum indicator (14-day RSI) dropping to 38, the lowest level since the start of the year.
A breach below the psychological threshold of $7/MMBtu would open the door for a bearish assault to the nearest support in the 6.50 zone (lows of April 25 and May 10).
Natural Gas
NG1! Will Go Lower! Short!
Hello,Friends!
Indecision in the market is changing
Towards a well defined bearish sentiment
And the price action on the lower timeframes
Is clearly supporting this narratve
Therefore, I think it is a goodidea to go short!
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DeGRAM | Natural GAS shortNatural GAS price is struggling to make higher highs.
We can see a false break of the major resistance level $9.00.
A false break indicates that there are no buyers.
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NatGas: LowIt hit the floor (it hit the floor)
Next thing you know
NatGas got low, low, low, low, low, low, low, low
Okay, these aren’t exactly the lyrics of Flo Rida’s “Low”, but they are fitting, nonetheless, for we expect NatGas to move further downwards below the support at $7.524. Just before the next support at $6.466, though, NatGas should turn around and head upwards, crossing $7.524 and even the resistance at $9.60. However, there is a 38% chance that NatGas doesn’t listen to Flo Rida’s song. Instead, it could climb directly above the resistance at $9.60 and subsequently rise into the blue zone between $11.298 and $12.116.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Natural Gas Confirms Temporary TopHello traders and investors, today we will talk about Natural Gas in which we can see sharp and impulsive decline from the highs, which in Elliott wave theory suggests and confirms temporary top in place.
From Elliott Wave perspective we can clearly see a completed five-wave bullish cycle within 5th wave at projected 9.0 level. In Elliott waves, after every five waves, we can expect a three-wave A-B-C reversal, so with current five-wave drop from the highs, seems like Natgas is now slowing down within a higher degree (A)-(B)-(C) correction.
Well, wave (A) seems to be completed now, so we may now see a three-wave A-B-C corrective rally in wave (B) that can retest 7-8 resistance area and form a nice Head&Shoulders pattern before we will see another sell-off for wave (C).
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Natural Gas - NG1! - Short SetupI think oil and natural gas are pretty stretched technically and even though there is a real shortage in certain goods out there, the market will eventually take down the commodity with it. It's tough that they will crash markets massively, so there's a flight to dollars to defeat the ruble going on with a fight on inflation , real or imagined. I don't think it will be long lived, but I do think we get natural gas to pull back temporarily. There's a couple different paths to the head and shoulders pattern playing out. It's been impressive how gas and oil have held up so let's see what Friday brings. I think it will be a bit wild, don't you?
NG1! Head and Shoulder Bearish PatternA little updates on Natural Gas for those who are following NG1! and UNG closely
Now we are seeing tons of Bearish pressure on Nat Gas on Weekly, Daily and Hourly TF.
Chart shows a possible Bearish Head and Shoulder pattern for NG1!
Also we are seeing tons of Bearish Divergence on RSI and PPO
Gas price will skyrocket !!!! Not too late to get in now !Looking at the monthly chart, one can see quite clearly a few things :
1. Bearish trend ended when it breaks out on July 2021
2. It has a long consolidation phase from May 2010 to Jun 2021 - a total of 11 years. Would you be holding for so long ? haha
I am bullish on this commodity and will be adding some soon.
Please note that commodity trading is volatile so trade with money that you can spare and also make a small % of your total portfolio. The recent Luna crypto plunge has taught many traders the hard lesson with its 99% plunge !!!! When money comes too easy , with 19% interest payable yearly, one wonder if it is a form of Ponzi Scheme or not .
Please DYODD and be safe!
Natural Gas - Short PlayI think oil and natural gas are pretty stretched technically and even though there is a real shortage in certain goods out there, the market will eventually take down the commodity with it. It's tough that they will crash markets massively, so there's a flight to dollars to defeat the ruble going on with a fight on inflation, real or imagined. I don't think it will be long lived, but I do think we get natural gas to pull back temporarily. There's a couple different paths to the head and shoulders pattern playing out. It's been impressive how gas and oil have held up so let's see what Friday brings. I think it will be a bit wild, don't you?
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Can We Go Higher? 💨
As I predicted, Natural Gas perfectly bounced from a key level.
Now we see an inverted head and shoulders formation with a confirmed neckline breakout on 4H.
I believe that the price can reach 8.0 level soon.
Be ready
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NatGas: GeyserLike a geyser, NatGas is spouting upwards from the white zone between $6.255 and $6.684. We expect it to have enough drive to reach the resistance at $8.065 soon. There, it should gain some more momentum to make it into the orange zone between $8.559 and $9.241, where wave (5) in white as well as wave iii in orange should end. However, there is a 42% chance that NatGas could rebound off the line at $8.065 and subsequently drop below $6.466. In that case, it should fall into the green zone between $5.687 and $4.939 first before rising back above $6.466 and further toward $8.065.
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Time to Grow AGAIN?! 💨
This morning with my students we discussed a great buying opportunity on Natural Gas.
The market dropped to key daily structure support.
On that, the price formed a tiny double bottom formation on 1H time frame.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a sharp bullish trend,
it can be a very nice confirmation to buy the market.
Goals:
6.825
7.0
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