The "Brecher Ledge"The more horizontal the trendline, and the more touches of price to that trendline, the more ominous. Many times, a decisive break of the line, leads to a move equal to the previous range. That would be over 3000 points!
Japan 225
$nikkei k.i.s.s analysis looks like Nikkei likes a lot to trade in a range/to form channels
there are two possibilities in my humble opinion:
red path is the safest one: wait for the retest of the support and after that give it a try.
green path: if you believe that the stock market worldwide will have a sharp turnaround, combined with the support confluences.
if I add value to your trading path, please like this post and follow me :)
The Nikkei Close to Breaking DownThe Nikkei is close to decisively breaking the 4 and 1 hour trendlines. This could lead to at least a 500 point sell-off. Good support is the next line at 27500.
NIKKEI Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Are we building for a deeper selloff or a bounceAsian markets remain looking heavy as the HSI and Nikkei Daily timeframes press lower. The US has been more resilient to negative news and remains focused on inflation and interest rates. The question is how much of the good news ie/ strong economy and bounce from pandemic lows has been factored in to price action in the US. If the US start to take a hit, then other markets will follow....so are Asian shares markets flagging what is to come. Check out the video for a more detailed look at key levels for major US, Asian and Australian Indexes.
Remember to check out the website www.tradethestructure.com and leave a comment a thumbs up for the video.
GBP JPY Sell to 151.450GBP JPY Has made some retrograde in the last 30 days. probably the sellers are still on their way to 149.300 -149.100.
NI225 Has made +3.55 % Last 30 days, By moving from 28583.83 to 29601.83, targeting 30500 Japanese yen are doing well right now, I am waiting for GDP Annualised news, with the previous: 1.3 the forecastings: -0.8
I expect high volatility to the downtrend continues, the price will continue to 151.400 - 151.600 support area.
152.600 is my sell open position now
I made a sell pending order at 153.250 just in case the pairs make some reversal moves.
targeting the 151.500 area as you can see in the chart,
always risk management will help you to protect your position.
Asian Markets melting down and do not look healthy longer termThe Nikkei and Hang Seng along with my local ASX200 are well under pressure today and may see further downside in coming sessions. In the video I take a look at the daily charts for my major Indexes and discuss where I see the risk and how I will look to trade any downside if this weakness continues.
NIKKEI 225 Index Target Price 29974.90Nikkei 225 Index
Trend: Up
Level: EMA 10, EMA 20, Diagonal, Horizontal
GBPJPY LONGMany currencies look strong against the #yen. I have previously posted the $USDJPY chart, which shows that 119+ could be in the making. $GBPJPY presented here, much like $EURJPY, although the $GBP is looking a little stronger against the #yen. Notes on the chart. If this plays out and the yen continues to weaken, this will provide the Nikkei (Japan 225) a tailwind.
USD JPY going to 112.100we have seen today big movement from bears at 114.23 resistance area and a good increase of NI225 index by staying above 200 moving average. 113.45 is an easy support area to break; by the breaking volume, we will see 112.047 - 112.247 support area start to attract bulls to enter the market. also, we will see some major news that will push the pair to high volatility. now we have stayed under the 200 moving average with high volume preparing for the bearish forcing the price down. you can see I already have a sell position at 113.781 with a hedge order at 114.031 just in case the market reverse in a short time before visiting our target 112.047 - 112.247
VDJP Daily - Good RR to accumulate I've been liking this ETF for a while - weekly set up very bullish with inverse h&s and bull flag. The move higher was initially very aggressive and I used it as an opportunity to take some profits. This pull back to the trend line is exactly what I have been waiting (&hoping for). Will use as an opportunity to keep averaging in
Nikkei 225 Bullish run ahead!!Earlier we have seen breakout from the Bullish flag
Resistance from poles high and now retesting
Follow the fibo levels
Guide = arrows
Stocks - HSI Leads DownIdea for Indices:
- HSI is in something like an island top reversal. Was expecting a bounce to 20 DMA, but only seems to be getting 9 DMA and looking on the verge of collapse.
- This "bull flag" that it was in previously resolving in this way is a huge clue... as this pattern exists right now in so many important markets globally.
- China has already popped their bubble and will lead down, liquidity flows will be HSI > NKY > DAX > NDX > SPX. The deflationary wave is coming IMO.
Next leg down for HSI likely 19 or 21k. This may not translate fully to US markets, but at least should see the bottom of the risk range, so NDX 14k for this initial move. 7-15% correction from the top on US markets.
GLHF
- DPT
NiKKEI 225 (NI225) Potentially nearing '2B' reversal pattern.NiKKEI 225 (NI225) Potentially nearing '2B' reversal pattern.
Once prices breaks down below red line, potential confirmation of '2B' top reversal pattern completion.
Nikkei double top projecting 15% drop in the coming months This double top in the Nikkei would suggest about a -15% drop from current levels if it plays out. Break of the neckline and being long JPY (short XXXJPY) would be a way to play this like short EURJPY or NZDJPY
VDJP Weekly - Starting to accumulate againFollowing the successful break of the bull flag and the quick follow through, there is no surprise that we are seeing a pullback on this ETF. I am starting to average back in after slowly taking profits from 27.50 (prior high) and above. There is no sign of a bottom here, but I am happy with the current price and will buy more if we move lower. The long term weekly picture is still positive as long as we stay above 24.50. I would still like to see 31/32 as a full target here.
Nikkei Mapping A CorrectionNikkei is currently correcting the bullish advance from its August low, bulls will be looking for bullish reversal patterns at the current C wave equality objective just ahead of 29000, demand here would then set the platform for a minimum 5th wave objective of 31789. A failure to defend 28265 would warn of a more significant topping pattern opening a move to test 24180
Nikkei's Weekly rising expanding wedge and a probable outcomeHere I'm showing Nikkei's Weekly rising expanding wedge with a throw over top. As such, the decline this year could be a partial decline followed by a quick rise. Throw over could be due to the unprecedented balance sheet expansion of combined BOJ, Fed and ECB. European DAX also shows a throw over top in its megaphone (broadening wedge) pattern. In another words, markets globally have responded to the extreme policy measures and have created throw over chart patterns. And thus, there may not be a deep decline beyond 2020 lows in this chart pattern according to my thinking. If this works out along with possible market cycle dates and some luck (!), October can show SnP 500 near 2,550 with the trailing PE near 18 this year. Which will obviously be very cheap in compare to the current trailing PE of near 30 for the price hovering around 4,200 right now. This chart pattern shows there may not be another higher high than the 4,238 printed for the SnP this year. Also to add, we might be facing a very scary straight line decline in SnP 500 in September and October to the tune of -38% which will be a little greater than the straight line big decline in 2020. That means more volatility this year than the previous year. In the end it will present a very nice opportunity to grab cheap assets at deep discounts all around us. Good luck and may God speed!
NI225 Nikkie - more upsideI'm loaded into Asian markets so quick sketch of the Nikkie to identify exit point.
Still more upside here in short term but can't compete with the India+ markets
Best, HF
If market crash, how about ASIAN? Elliott wave analysisIf market going down right now, how about asian, it's going down too ?! Right
Let look at Nikkei
And we have 5 wave, wave 5 very bullish, do you think it can go up continue ?!
If it fall from here will it is wave 2 of ext 5 or wave a
Key area to look at if it fall is 27000
JP225 wiill be a bearish trend.This is a JP225 monthly chart.
It is forming “Black Swan”
So,It’ll be a bearish trend.
I think it's a good idea to set up “Short”,
and make profit at 24,000 JPY.
Good luck.
