Japan 225
$NASDAQ and $NIKKEI like twins If you want to trade $NASDAQ zou can trade it with $Nikkei as thez have a perfect correcaltion. Or to double the exposure and to have two different instruments trade both. Just don't be to long:))
nikke 225when the index get out of correction area by crossing 29750 and with the strong data for asian markets yesterday that give high potential for assets to continue rising ,
most of inditcator start reform a buy confirmation
if u want to conservative about it wait untill the next boost done and get leverage on this one .
about me am not willing to use stop loss here but the break of 29400-29200 and the daily close under it will be bad sign
spiccally if you trade with a leverage.
please check the draw and take this on your own responsibility and check my last analysis to get to know more
Nikkei Stock Index (On The Slide!) View On Nikkei Stock Index (5 Mar 2021)
We have some strong swing down now 29,000 & 30K are good resistant regions.
It may carry higher risk but it is better to stay on the SELL side only.
27,600 will be a good support.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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Thank You!
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Possible trend for Nikkei Index 225Last week was bad for NI225. NI225 index broke 30,000 JPY 1 week ago, now it went back to below that level.
Although the index overall is in an up channel, I doubt this will continue for long.
I'm expecting NI225 to continue going down, at least for the first half of next week. Keep an eye of the support line breaching!
(Remember both Japan GDP and population are declining. These are negative signals for NI225 in the long term.)
This is likley to run out of steam soon, ...too. - But not before US Equities do!!
(Made a lot of money on these longs until now and especially being Short DJIA/Nikkei225 Spread!)
... and given the currency differential, the Nikkei225 is still a helluva lot better deal than US indexes.
Here is the SP500/Nikkei225 Spread
Short it until it can be shorted no more!
Here is the Weekly;
Stock Indices video analysis $SPX In this video overview, we will take a look at the $SPX, $DAX, DJIA, NASDAQ, and Nikkei. Key levels are on test
Negative divergent keep extending on Nikkei 225 weekly chartAs Nikkei 225 keep pushing higher, it continues to extend negative divergent. Given the size of divergent, it projects pretty large drop in Nikkei. Break of current steep rising trend line should do the trick.
Have a good trade everyone,
T.
Nikkei 225this is my view on japan index. there is both possibility market ups or down. but all initial report says its good to buy. without trade balance.so think is japan index go higher. I mark consolidation area and believe market not go lower then this area.
Disparity Between Indices ContinuesIn this video, I discuss the different performance between leaders like the Russell 2000 + Nikkei 225 and laggards like the S&P 500 and German DAX, as well as what's driving it. I also update my thesis on the upside breakout on the S&P 500 and how I'm looking to trade it if/when we get a move above 3815-3817.
Nikkei Powers HigherIt appears that my short term 27750 level was too timid, and Nikkei powered through the area like butter. The move in the index points to underlying strength and should see continuation higher. I am therefore updating my short term target to 28900 - this being the 1st Fibonacci projection level from the February March selloff. Stay long!
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei May Pullback Short Term While Remains Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from December 21, 2020 low in Nikkei Futures is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from December 21 low, wave ((i)) ended at 27715 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 26955. Index then rallied to 27615 to end wave (i) and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 27410. Wave (iii) ended at 28300, dips to 28035 ended wave (iv) and last leg higher wave (v) ended at 28380. This completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Afterwards, pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 27965 as a triangle.
Index is now in the process of ending the last leg wave ((v)) as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave ((iv)) low at 27965, wave (i) ended at 28230 and wave (ii) ended at 28125. Wave (iii) ended at 28510, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 28375, and Index is expected to complete wave (v) of ((v)) soon. This should end wave 1 in higher degree and complete the cycle from December 21, 2020 low. Afterwards, expect Index to pullback in wave 2 in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from December 21 low before the rally resumes.
Nikkei 225 To Lead Global Equities Higher?The Nikkei 225 continues to show relative strength and has one of the cleanest absolute trends of the global indices I track. It's already breaking out ahead of the US and European indices, which suggests to me we could see them follow it higher in the next day or two. If you're trading the equity indices --- keep your eye on the Nikkei 225 for clues.
Stocks, Forex, Commodities & BondsStocks are at elevated levels and I'd say in bubble territory. But in my opinion the true bubble starts now, as no matter what happens now Central banks will try to prop it up. Essentially the biggest risk is in bonds and currencies, not everything else. I do believe there will be a big sell off at some point and I do believe that over the next 6-18 months we will get a major top where everything will crash a lot. Potentially a bigger crash than the one we got in March. Have shared my view on stocks going parabolic lots of time and have made the comparison with 1998-2000 many times, which is exactly what has me thinking stocks will go up a lot before collapsing. Can and will we get several corrections along the way? Sure. But remember we had a major correction in Dec 2018, March 2020 and we had two major corrections in the Sep-Nov 2020 period.
European stocks look much weaker and I am not a big fan for now. In USD terms they might do as well as US stocks, but in % terms in EUR they probably won't. Asian stocks seem much stronger overall, especially in USD. Most liquidity and momentum is in the US, but Asia has the fundamental case for now. Asia stocks with massive breakouts and clean charts. US massive momentum too, with the top 3000 US stocks looking very clean and strong. Another very big breakout. All these explain why I see things going parabolic for now. People forget how depressed most stock markets have been globally for years (when measured in USD). Many have performed very poorly over the last 10-20 years and the global stock market capitalization has only doubled since the 2009 peak. Nasdaq is up only 170% since the 2000 peak and tech is eating the world. So yes, the true mania begun since we got the election and vaccine news out in November.
When it comes to the USD and the DXY, I think we are going to 80-82 over the next year where we could get a major bottom. For now yes we might see a major correction and a pump in the USD as sentiment is stretched, the USD is extremely oversold and at support. However most crashes happen from oversold levels, not overbought. The new US administration will print a lot, with more stimulus coming... So maybe we initially get a sell the news event because everyone is expecting it and then start going back up again once they really start taking action. Against EM currencies the USD has shown a bit of strength recently, after hitting key support. Yet it remains weak and doesn't mean it can't go lower. With Biden and Yellen I can't see how they won't do everything they can to keep the dollar low. Eventually they will fail. In my honest opinion the USD has one major cycle up before it goes away, but truth be told... for now it has many things going against in. Cryptocurrencies, CBDCs, Fed doing the most QE etc, Biden promising to be very irresponsible and so on.
Maybe this goes on until stock markets get so crazy, maybe until they are forced to hike rates, maybe they have to go negative because inflation gets out of control, maybe they tax corporations too much, maybe post covid when people have to pay back all the loan/rent payments that have been deferred we get the real crash. So this could take quite a few months before the dollar rallies. Many have seen me share my 2008 USD fractal where the DXY goes to 80-82 and then goes up again... but there is a big chance that the USD cycle has turned and things could be way worse for the USD. So yes short term I can see it go up 2-3% and stocks drop 10%, but nothing more than that. The VIX kinda agrees as it is close to key support again, but looking weak. If the VIX looks weak there isn't too much to expect from the USD as people won't really need to get in.
Finally when it comes to commodities, most are at pre-Covid crash levels or higher. Gold & Silver don't look that strong, but I don't really expect them to go much lower yet. Their main issue is real yields going up or the USD going up, so I prefer Cryptos and stocks as we are in a more risk on environment. Yes they have potential and maybe everything pumps, but actually buying Oil or Copper might be a better bet as they will be used when governments start printing to build stuff etc... If inflation is truly back, these are much better especially in environment where oil and copper supply has gone down. For oil I think there is 0 chance of going back that low. That wipe out in April has the potential to really be the cyclical bottom for inflation, even if that's for the next 1-2 years as inflation picks up before it goes down again. Personally not the biggest fan of the reflation trade, but for now that's where the momentum is so I wouldn't won't to go against it. Yes copper and oil could drop short term along with everything else, yet I don't expect them to lose their key breakout zones. Essentially everything could correct short term as yields go down again (retest breakout), Copper down (retest breakout), Stocks down (retest diagonal), DXY up (retest break down) and then continuation to the upside.
Nikkei: After Hitting 30-year High, What is next?Hello community, after a 5 wave (12345) impulsive structure we expect at least a corrective structure which contains lower degree impulses. Now the 5 wave impulse is getting completed and we expect bears to take over. I will keep updating this chart if necessary. Comment, like follow for more accurate ideas. Thank you.
Ni225 Bubble Pattern Analysis5 step pattern describing the bubble formation of the Nikkei index in the 1990's.
Phase 1: Trending breakout of basing formation in a strong up-trending move
Phase 2: Trending high-volatility drawdown (usually not related to stock or index itself).
Phase 3: Trending recovery - stock or index shrugs off the high volatility event as it recovers quickly and stronger than before.
Phase 4: Upwards & & sideways non-trending consolidation. Typically choppy trading, but slightly upward move.
Phase 5: 3 Phase blowoff top - breakout of non-trending consolidation followed by a smaller upwards consolidation into final blowoff breakout top.
