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Japan 225

Nikkei Break Out Nearing?Our Dax and ESP 35 trades are continuing as mentioned in previous posts. It seems cheap money and easing will keep stocks propped as there will be nowhere to go for yield. Of course, a geopolitical issue or black swan event can nullify this...and I believe there will be a confidence crisis approaching. However, we will deal with that when it appears and the bond market will give us the signal for this. I like what I see here on the Nikkei. A nice downtrend with basing/range. You can say a cup and handle pattern too. Let us await for a break above this resistance one. Other confluences fake out candles and engulfing candles at the major support below, indicating that we may have shown 2/3 market moves (downtrend and range).
FOREXCOM:JP225Long
by Uncharted-FX
Nikkei Demand Wearing ThinA significant level of support (20500) is again being tested... The biggest test the level has had so far. Up to now every test of the 20500 level has seen a quick 'touch and go' reaction, where supply has very quickly hit demand (waiting buy orders) and price has bounced away with strong momentum. This time looks very different and suggests that the demand in this area is wearing thin, with sellers having their best chance so far of breaking through this level... If a breakdown in demand does come through and we see a daily close below the current congestion, then expect a swift retest as resistance before dropping to the low of December around 19000. If the level is able to hold and we start to see some strength in the OBV, pushing positively away from its 20ema then price will meet some heavy resistance at the top of this current triangle. I expect this to all play out over the next few days and will be heavily influenced by any Trump Tweets and US-Sino trade talk headlines.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by JoelWarby
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Looking for More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nikkei suggests the decline to 19900 on August 6 ended wave (3). The Index is currently in wave (4) bounce and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 19900, wave W ended at 20795 as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of W ended at 20650 and wave ((b)) of W ended at 20220. Then the move higher to 20795 completed wave ((c)) of W. The Index then pullback to 20075 which ended wave X with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Wave ((a)) of X ended at 20300, wave ((b)) of X ended at 20765, and wave ((c)) of X ended at 20075. Wave Y is in progress with the internal subdivision of a double three in lesser degree. Up from 20075, wave ((w)) ended at 20685 and wave ((x)) ended at 20450. Near term, while above 20075, Index has scope to extend higher towards 20974 – 21530 area to end wave Y of (4). Expect sellers to appear from the above area and Index to either resume lower or pullback in 3 waves at least. We don’t like buying the Index.
CME:NKD1!Short
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave & Intermarket Analysis For NIKKEI And USDJPYHello traders! Today we will talk about stocks, specifically Nikkei and why USDJPY can see higher prices. Well, as you may already know, in EW theory after a three-wave corrective decline, the trend should remain to the upside. This is what we see in the stock market all the time. However, Nikkei got our attention, because we can see a nice five-wave rally after that three-wave a-b-c correction, which means that Nikkei remains in uptrend, but after another three-wave correction in the lower degree, where ideal support would be here around 21450 - 21250 levels, just keep in mind that bullish confirmed can be only if it manages to turn back above 21770 region! In the right picture you can see tight positive correlation between NIKKEI and USDJPY, which means that if NIKKEI points higher, then even USDJPY can see higher prices, so don't be surprised if USDJPY remains bullish towards 109 area or higher! So, seems like risk-on sentiment may continue and when we are in risk-on, we usually see bullish stocks, which are followed by recovery on XXX/JPY crosses. That being said, be aware of a bullish continuation on stocks, while XXX/JPY cross pairs may see a bigger recovery! Be humble, trade smart and wait for the right sentiment to enter the market! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
CME:NKD1!Education
by ew-forecast
Nikkei Potential Head and Shoulders?The Nikkei is showing a potential head and shoulders pattern on the 2 hour chart. If we do break below the support at 21620, then we would await for a lower high which would be a retest of the break. However, ideally, would like to see a bounce and then a lower high which would make the head and shoulders pattern. Price is turning at a resistance zone (21800) zone which adds further confluence. This is a trade that can possibly play out next week. Keep it on your radar!
FOREXCOM:JP225Short
by Uncharted-FX
Global Financial Engineering Swing Trading Strategy for Nikkei We have decided to take a bullish trade at 21309 with a Global Stop Loss(GSL) at 21100 and a Global Profit Target at 22498 The Primary Trend (PT) given by the Monthly TIME BAR (MTB) is currently Bearish The Secondary Trend (ST), given by the Weekly TIME BAR (WTB) is currently Bullish The Medium Term Trend (MTT), given by the Daily TIME BAR (DTB) is currently Bullish The Short Term Trend (STT), given by the Four Hour TIME BAR (FHTB) is currently Bullish This is a high risk trade since the Primary and Secondary Trend are still bearish. We are taking this trade in the direction of the Medium Term Trend which is given by the Global Daily Time Bars(GDTB). In light of the above trend analysis we will start a bullish trade using Global Trading Strategy #4 on the Global Automated Trading System #4 which trade in the direction of the Global Daily TIME BARS (GDTB). Global Entry Signal: Buy @21309 Global Stop Loss: 21100 Global Target Profit: 22498 Global Trade Management Strategy: We will applied the Global Trailing Stop System for Global Trading Strategy #4 -------------------------- The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities, currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
INDEX:NKYLong
by globalfinancialengineering
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