Japan 225
Nikkei Bounced Off Support, Potential For A Further Rise!Nikkei bounced off our first support at 21121 (horizontal swing low support, 100% Fibonacci extension , 76.4% Fibonacci retracement ) where a further rise might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 22739 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastics (89,5,3) has bounced off support and we might see a corresponding rise in price.
Might be a good chance for a short on NikkeiNikkei looks to be on a desceding trend on the hourly chart. As we can see it broke downwards it's ascending trend and continued it's global image searching for lower lows, as it broke downwards an ascending trend developed in the daily chart.
What we're looking here is that price has respected it's current trendline and failed to breakout ema's 50 giving out a tiring candle signal, that's the first bell indicating that a reversal is likely.
According to it's current trend searching for lower lows, the price may search for a lower low around the orange indicated section as it is an important support, which is also close to fibbonaci's level 1.272 coming from the downward breakout from the previous uptrend.
I'll operate this trade once the candle in the hourly chart closes red or giving a japanese pattern of reversal.
EW ANALYSIS: Risk-Off Sentiment Could Continue; NIKKEI+USDJPYHello traders!
Today we will talk about Risk-Off mode over NIKKEI225 and USDJPY, where we see a tight positive correlation!
As you can see, the main driver for the USDJPY sell-off was NIKKEI225, which may continue later this week, since we have seen an impulsive five-wave decline. In EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows and we can already see an a-b-c correction in progress, where wave »c« is still missing, so be aware of a Monday rally towards projected resistance areas, from where we may see another sell-off in the stock market and consequently also in the USDJPY!
That said, in the NIKKEI225 futures chart, we are tracking a three-wave a-b-c corection, where 22000 resistance area can be tested, before we may see a sell-off continuation! So, as long as it's trading below 22780 highs, we will remain bearish!
If we respect correlations, then it's similar with USDJPY, in which we think that 113 area, specifically 113.25 – 113.35 resistance area can be retested before another sell-off, so while it's trading beneath 114 region, we remain in the bearish mode!
Early Monday moves are usually fake, so if we get a Monday rally within projected wave »c«, then this would be a perfect three-wave corrective rise that can be easily covered in the next days, when we expect another sell-off!
Trade well!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Nikkei Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!Nikkei is testing our first support at 21121 (horizontal swing low support, 100% Fibonacci extension , 76.4% Fibonacci retracement ) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 22739 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastics (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
Nikkei approaching support, potential bounce! Nikkei is approaching our first support at 21277.4 (horizontal swing low support, 100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 22721.4 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastics (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
Short the Taiwanese Index at 382-383.3 until invalidationThis could happen in unison with the Nikkei et other global markets.
Nikkei 225 Approaching Resistance, Potential Drop!Nikkei 225 is approaching our first resistance at 23072 (horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our support at 21545 (100% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Nikkei 225 Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!Nikkei 225 is approaching its support at 20926 (100% & 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% & 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, Horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 22739 (50% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching support at 8% where we might see a corresponding rise in price.
Nikkei 225 Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!Nikkei 225 is approaching its support at 20327 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, Horizontal overlap support ) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 22002 (38.2%Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal overlap resistance). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching support at 10.2% where we might see a corresponding rise in price.
NIFTY 50 Looking to Consolidate Soon For those that are following this market and are invested into this index, it looks like there is some consolidation that we can expect in the very near future at some point.
The Indian markets are not immune to the same thrusts, ebbs & flows of the general markets.
As of right now, the DJI is currently getting pounded and so is the SPY as well as any other indices that is tracking European + U.S. stocks currently.
Conversely, the NIFTY 50, NIKKEI and other Asian indices are doing well. Potentially because of dollar flight into those markets.
However, one fundamental key that investors should be remain cautious of is the excessive debt incurred by the Indian government. Recently, the Indian government replaced the board of Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services; a move that could greatly reduce foreign investment and reduce overall faith in India's sustenance over the long-term.
The financial outlook for India has persistently looked bleaker on a month over month basis for a while, but few have seriously paid attention. The tip over of the Indian markets could cascade into other markets in the East and eventually have a global impact.
This is worth seriously monitoring.
Nikkei 225 Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!Nikkei225 is approaching its support at 21270 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 22633 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance)
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is neutral where it could approach its support at 6.7%
NIKKEI (NI225) Is No Exception (Crash Incoming Up to 50%)The NIKKEI is no exception to the crash that is coming to conventional financial markets.
We've looked at the NASDAQ, DJI, SPX, US10Y, APPLE and others and they are all pointing down strong. Many are already crashing into correction levels.
For the NIKKEI, we are seeing very strong bearish divergence showing up on the MACD and RSI. Each time this divergence showed up in the past we saw massive crash, up to 50% and more some times.
Now this divergence is showing up again and NI225 is starting to crash.
Normally, all supports in the form of EMA lines are broken, so you can expect something similar this time.
You've been warned, the market is about to fully crash... Time to move into crypto.
Namaste.
NIKKEI, Long, 4-6 MonthsKIKKEI225 will keep being very probably bullish in the next months as most of the stock markets.
The bull trend should start when RSI crosses>53. The price already has crossed upwards a bullish MM70 over the MM210.
Averaging upwards at market price.
Target: 26 000+
Stop: 20 609
Opened: 22 200
Nikkei appraoching resistance, potential drop!JP225USD is approaching our first resistance at 23123.0 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21834.6 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
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Nikkei225 Reversed Off Support, Potential Drop!JP225 reversed off its 1st resistance at 22217 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% & 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially fall to its support at 21216 (horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34, 5, 3) reversed near its resistance at 97%.
Nikkei is approaching resistance, potential drop! Nikkei is approaching our first resistance at 21856.1 (horizontal pullback resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 20680.6 (100% fibonacci extension). Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Death by KarodaHere is a case study on what NOT to do as a central banker. Despite terrible demographics the Central Bank of Japan insists on buying up stocks and suppressing interest rates to the point where Japanese industry and government debt is uninvestable. By the time this is all done, the Japanese economy could very well be gold backed.