Nifty returned from an important trend line resistnace today. Nifty touched and returned from an important trend line resistance today at 24635. During the course of day another point at This will be an important hurdle to cross before we reach another hurdle which 24615 also proved to be a resistance. If these two resistances are crossed next resistance will be at 24692. Supports for Nifty are at 24526 and 24476. the zone between 24404 and 24383 forms an important band of support for Nifty as of now.
NIFTY
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24
Nifty closed at 24509 and touched low & high of 24230-24591
Market sustained above 24280 and closed at 24509 last week. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (72 % & 92% Respectively). Stochastic level for past 1 month is flat and sustained above 90. last such time happened in Nov 23-jan-24. Caution to be emphasized as nifty PE in record high level. Awaiting Budget by month end and Q1 results in the following days. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial.
Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)/ 25500 ( Fib Resistance).
Nifty 24509- Short term (Neutral to Up)
Nifty short term target 25000.
Support around 23600.
Nifty at PE 23.3 crossed 5 year historical average 23.1 hence to be cautious.
Medium Term ( up) Resistance 25224( Fib Resistance), 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line
Medium term Support - 22800 /22300
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have strong resistance at 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Nifty bank 52296 - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip).
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 39251, indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420.
Currently Nifty up anc crossed resistance 38569 decisively. Tech stocks revived in last one month session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Awaited results in the following week.
Plan for 15th July 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY IT (sector breakout) The IT sectorial index is about to give breakout after a consolidation of 3 years, it will be a multiyear breakout. Try finding IT stocks which are looking good on charts. Start part buying in IT stocks, one can look into ITBEES for safe investment. I feel the rally may be seen till September which is the month US elections. Proper risk management and portfolio allocation are the key points which should be considered as the Indian Markets are at All Time High.
This is not a recommendation on buy/sell. Please consult your financial advisor before any investment.
Market makes a new high and closes near the same.Driven by unexpectedly positive results by TCS, most IT companies jumped in a positive rage and took the index into further unchartered territory making a high or 24592 and closing at 24502. The trend suggest that the peak can be near 24769 if the resistances of 24592 and 24662 are crossed. The supports for Spot Nifty remain at 24490, 24437, 24317 major support 50 Hours EMA (Mother line) and finally 24206. If the support of 24206 is broken there is a very high probability of bears draggin Nifty down to 200 Hours EMA (Father Line) at 23776 with various stops in between. Outlook is still neutral to positive but investors should stay nimble and keep stop losses in place.
Good Support taken by Nifty today but trendline resistance loomsNifty today took a support at 24141 and market a recovery where it closed at 24324. If Nifty is able to close or hold above 24353 there can be recovery which can lead to Nifty going as high as 24403 or 24461. If and when we get a closing above 24461 we can think of crossing 24500 and hitting a high of 24520 for now. If the resistance of 24353 is not corseed and we do not get a closing above it Nifty can again go fetching a support. The support for Nifty are at 24286, 24243 (50 hours EMA)(Strong Support), 24141 and 24054. Below 24054 Bears can stake a claim and pull the Nifty further down.
Nifty Intraday (10-Jul-2024)The image displays a chart for the Nifty 50 index from the National Stock Exchange of India, showing intraday movements on a 15-minute time frame. The chart includes details such as:
Date and Time: Published on July 9, 2024, at 18:55 IST.
Index Information: The Nifty 50 Index is shown at various prices, with the current price being 24,417.25, down by 16.80 points.
Technical Analysis: There's a 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicated at 24,401.59.
Trading Recommendations:
-Buy Signal: A green arrow points upwards with a note to "Buy Above 24450" targeting an open position above 24,550.
-Sell Signal: A red arrow points downwards suggesting to "Sell Below 24375" with a target (Tgt) of 24,275 or lower.
Nifty in a parallel channel is nearing Fibonacci resistanceNifty 50 in a parallel channel drawn on hourly candles is indicating that it might be nearing an important Fibonacci resistance of 24463. Before reaching there it needs to clear today's high that is 24443. Thus the zone between 24443 and 24463 is a huge resistance. One way to clear it would be a gap up opening tomorrow. If that is not possible tomorrow and for the reminder of the week Nifty can be under selling pressure. If 24463 is cleared the next resistance that it will face will be 24544. In case of correction and consolidation the supports will be provided by the levels of 24400, 24362, 24318 (Important Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA) and 24284. Below 24284 Nifty becomes weak and Bears can drag it to the levels of 24242 or even 24169. Further downfall will bring bears into more action and retail investors and DII can go into a full blown profit booking mode.
Disclaimer: Please do not trade based on this levels of spot nifty. This post is just for education. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -09/07/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 24350 level and then possible upside rally up to 24470 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24310 level then the downside target can go up to the 24190 level.
Nifty Next Week: Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue. Clash between Bulls and Bears Could Continue into Next week. while bulls will try to break this week's high of 24401 and Bears will try their best to bring the index down and gain some ground to breathe. It will be a tussle to watch out for with bulls having an upper hand as of now but situation can change in a jiffy. So we should have our stop losses in place and trailing stop losses also in place while we enjoy the upward ride. Very important week ahead which may decide the trend for rest of the month.
Important support levels for Nifty will be as under:
The zone between 24237 and 23967 has multiple supports including the 50 hours EMA at 24133. Below 23967 closing Nifty becomes weak and 23667 or 23531 are also possible. 23531 will be the most critical support as it is the 200 Hours EMA. Below 23531 the only substantial support will be at mid-channel which is around 23293. Below 23293 Bears can snatch the control of the market completely.
Important Resistance levels:
24401 to 24408 are most important resistances to watch out for. Above 24408 the levels of 24606 are possible which is the trend top as of now.
Disclaimer: Please do not trade based on this levels of spot nifty. This post is just for education. This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Nifty Intraday (09-Jul-2024)Description:
Explore intraday trading analysis for Nifty 50. We've identified critical buy and sell levels based on the latest candlestick patterns and EMA trends.
Buy Signal: Consider a long position if Nifty 50 rises above 24,350, with an open target of 24,450+. This move suggests bullish momentum could extend further, offering a potential profit opportunity.
Sell Signal: A short position is advisable if the index drops below 24,265, targeting 24,150-. This setup is based on recent resistance and the potential for downward continuation.
Chart Details:
-Time Frame: 15 minutes
-Indicator: 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Trading Strategy:
The strategy utilizes precise entry and exit points to capitalize on short-term price movements. Risk management through stop-loss orders at strategic levels is recommended to minimize potential losses.
Review and plan for 8th July 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada. Stocks to watch included.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Time to Halt the Rally after a sharp V-Shape RecoveryHere we can witness a sharp recovery on Kfin tech Chart where a lower level is at Rs 272 and now it's back again at his lifetime high level ie. Rs 373. it looks like KFIN Tech will face some resistance at that level.
Buy above if sustain above Rs 373 with a target of Rs 400 at least.
Note - Please consult your advisor for more decision-making.
Review and plan for 5th July 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty made a high near our predicted top yesterday.As predicted the current top seems to be around 24408. Nifty reached round about there, made a high of 24401 and closed at 24302 which is 98.85 points down. The resistnace remains the same and supports remain the same. In fact there is a very weak additional support now at 24396 followed by 24236. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24144 and 24088 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24088 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be between 23983 and 23807 before Nifty hits 23477 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23477 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
One more hurdle crossed, Very little room left at the top. One more major hurdle crossed by Nifty and very little room left at the top. Unless there is a channel top breakout. The final resistance remaining before we have a channel top break out is 24408. Today the hurdle of 24236 was closed by a gap up opening the same level was tested as well so now it will act as a support. Other supports for Nifty remain in the range between 24054 and 24010 (Mother Line 50 hours EMA). Below 24010 Nifty will be weak and only major support remaining will be 23807 before Nifty hits 23416 (Which is 200 Hours EMA). Below 23416 Bears will gain more ground and solid momentum.
Nifty almost flat in but moving in a tight range. Nifty is moving in a tight range. On higher levels there is Profit booking as it falls there is buying. Perfect Bull bear tussel at play. during the tussel Nifty has found a new support of today's low at 24054. Also extended it's resistance to 24236. If we get a closing above 24236 the Channel top currently looks near 24350 to 24408 range. There is a possibility of Channel top resistance as well as channel breakout. If there is a break out we will give new targets then but supports for now are 24054, 24986, 23925 (Mother Line Support) 50 hours EMA and 23807. Resistance being at 24180, 24236 and 24408.
NIFTY - Trend ContinuationAs it happens there seems to be some strength left in the bullish cycle.
This is based on the fact that the trendlines that were resisting till now can't hold it anymore & need much stronger resistance which is where the market is headed (to 24,300 levels)
All of this analysis is attributed to the development of interim weekly correction that collapsed the overall wave analysis done earlier (it calls for an additional 3 waves --> UP-DOWN & UP)
Strategy:
Long only if the market stays above 23,680 with a limited position only
SL: 23,620
Today's high will be an important resistance. Today's high of 24164 will be an important resistance. Closing above 24164 can open the door for 24322. 24322 is a very important channel top and trend top resistance. As there is very less room left towards the top and Nifty is delicately placed on the trend line.
There are 2 things that can happen when and if the Nifty reaches channel top. There can be channel top breakout or there can be channel top resistance can come into effect and there can be consolidation and correction.
If there is a correction or consolidation the support levels for Nifty will be 23982, 23859 Important 50 hours EMA (Mother Lines support). If nifty closes below 50 EMA there will be weakness. This weakness can drag Nifty further down to 23679, 23297 or even 23173.(Mid channel Support).
Nifty Next Week: (Short to Medium Term Market Outlook)Nifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However, it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line).
Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24
Nifty closed at 23010 (23501) and touched low & high of 23351-24170
Post Election and govt formation market sustained above k5ey resistance at for two weeks after a dip to 21286.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (68.5 % & 90% Respectively). Stochastic still in overbought levels.
Retain the statement for almost a month, Market need to cross 24150 as two trend line resistance ( Shown in the Chart), one with low risk can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct to reinvest. Market depends on the new budget and Q1 results expected in Jul 24. Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark.
Nifty 24010- Short term (Neutral )
Nifty have resistance at 24280/ support around 22600. Nifty at PE 22.9 crossed 3 year historical average 22.5 hence to be cautious.
Short term support 22600( trendline), 22200 ( Trend Line) and 21700 Trend line Support as shown in the chart.
Medium term resistance 24280 ( Trendline and % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line)
medium term Support - 22000
Long Term
Nifty have strong resistance at 25000 ( Trend Line). If market close above 24150 decisively.
Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
All Companies so far posted average results other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results thats why it is evident Nifty Bank have grown better than Nifty, Nifty IT and Nifty Auto in last 2 months.
Nifty bank 52342 (51661)- As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone.
Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise.
Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio.
Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks.
As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip).
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio.
There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments :
Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 36157 (35086), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Tech stocks revived in last two trading session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 35786 ( Fib) to reach 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks.
Nifty Short to Medium term outlookNifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line). Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.