Nifty in the Short Term can try to stage further recovery. After the drastic Trump Tariff war shock Nifty is trying to recover it's lost territory closing at 22828. Right now the Nifty is trapped between Mother and Father lines of its Hourly chart. The supports for Nifty remain at 22761 (Mother Line Support), 22675, 22353 and 21859. Below 21859 Nifty becomes very week again. The resistance for Nifty on the upper side remain at 22924 (Strong Father line Resistance), 23174 (Strong Trend line Resistance), 23384, 23569 and finally 23783. Above 23783 closing Nifty will become very Bullish.
NIFTY
Recovery by Nifty, Resistance zone ahead. (Economic commentary)Nifty has given a strong closing amidst global uncertainty. The uncertainty and heavy volatility will remain in the market so traders are requested to be very cautious especially with regards to Futures and Options. Any positive news can trigger a huge upside at the same time any negative news can trigger a huge downside as well.
India is silently staying neutral and trying to chart it's own deal should be seen as a positive view for long term investors. The focus of Indian investors should remain on companies which procure local raw material and supply it locally these will be the safest bets. MET has predicted a normal Monsoon for India with 103% rainfall which can another shot in the arm for Local markets. FMCG, Specialty Chemicals and Fertilizers, Banks and Financial services should be the sectors to focus.
Along with these sectors commodities and Consumption and can also be the theme as these are dark horses which can benefit from volatility. As Crude is sliding down the companies related to energy and those which are dependent on Oil & Gas, Energy for power and raw material can also benefit. The choice of the stocks should be smart at this juncture to reap rewards.
Long term investors should use this opportunity to invest in Blue chips and High Dividend Yield PSUs and other companies if they are sitting on cash. If not you can use these times to reshuffle your portfolios and align them as per the changing needs of the time. Neutral stance from India can even benefit it by getting FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) if Indian Governments plays it's cards smartly. Too much fog, mist and clouds around on global economy currently for investors to get a clear vision of sunrise sectors. Geo-political uncertainties are also blinding and making the objects in front of us look fuzzy. Investors need to keep patience, avoid speculation and let the dust settle. Even after reconsideration of changing global scenarios Indian GDP will still clock 6%+ so do not have much to worry in the long term. This volatility too shall pass and horizon will definitely be visible in the near future.
To know about how to select good companies to invest in read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. It will help you in making solid triumphant decisions during these uncertain times. It teaches you Behavioural Finance, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Profit Booking and many such important topics. The book is one of the highest rated in it's category. The book is available in Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. You can also contact me directly for getting the same.
Nifty supports remain at: 22270, 21743 (Channel Bottom Support), 21281 (52 week Low support), 20745 and 20236. Below 20236 weekly closing the bears can try to Bring Nifty down to 200 Weeks EMA or the FATHER LINE which is at 19893.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22913, 23249 MOTHER LINE which will be a (Major resistance), 23499 (Strong Trend line resistance), Above 23499 Bulls can become more active and try to Pull Nifty upwards towards 23894, 24334, 24831 and 25419. After we get a monthly closing above 25419 we can think of regaining 26K levels.
Short Term Outlook : Brace for massive volatility.
Medium Term Outlook: Range Bound Nifty.
Long Term Outlook: Still Very Strong.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 11th April 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
US-China Rift: India's Golden Hour?Heightened trade tensions between the United States and China, characterized by substantial US tariffs on Chinese goods, inadvertently create a favorable environment for India. The significant difference in tariff rates—considerably lower for Indian imports than Chinese ones—positions India as an attractive alternative manufacturing base for corporations seeking to mitigate costs and geopolitical risks when supplying the US market. This tariff advantage presents a unique strategic opening for the Indian economy.
Evidence of this shift is already apparent, with major players like Apple reportedly exploring increased iPhone imports from India and even accelerating shipments ahead of tariff deadlines. This trend extends beyond Apple, as other global electronics manufacturers, including Samsung and potentially even some Chinese firms, evaluate shifting production or export routes through India. Such moves stand to significantly bolster India's "Make in India" initiative and enhance its role within global electronics value chains.
The potential influx of manufacturing activity, investment, and exports translates into substantial tailwinds for India's benchmark Nifty 50 index. Increased economic growth, higher corporate earnings for constituent companies (especially in manufacturing and logistics), greater foreign investment, and positive market sentiment are all likely outcomes. However, realizing this potential requires India to address persistent challenges related to infrastructure, policy stability, and ease of doing business, while also navigating competition from other low-tariff nations and seeking favorable terms in ongoing trade negotiations with the US.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.04.2025🔄 Recap since last update (21.03.2025):
Nifty rallied to a high of 23,869.60 on 25th March, right into the Weekly Supply Zone highlighted earlier — and then the storm hit. Triggered by Trump’s tariff announcements, Nifty crashed over 2,000 points in just 8 sessions, bottoming out at 21,743.65 on 7th April.
🌍 Global markets have since remained highly volatile. Interestingly, Dow Futures have bounced back 4,000 points (10%) from their lows and are now hovering around 40,700 (while writing this).
⚠️ With the looming Trade War, expect continued volatility across global and Indian markets. Be nimble and cautious.
📅 On Wednesday (Weekly Expiry):
Nifty opened gap-down, moved in a tight range between 22,468.70 and 22,353.25, and closed at 22,399.15, down 137 points from the previous session.
🔹 Trend Analysis:
Weekly Trend (50 SMA): Sideways
Daily Trend (50 SMA): Sideways
📉 Demand/Support Zones
Near Support (30m): 21,964.85 – 22,080.85
Near Demand/Support (75m): 21,814.35 – 22,037.80
Far Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support (Daily): 20,769.50 – 20,950
📈 Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply (Gap Zone - Daily): 22,697.20 – 22,904.45
Far Supply (Daily): 23,145.80 – 23,350
Far Supply (Daily): 23,412.20 – 23,649.20 (Inside Weekly Supply)
Far Supply (Weekly): 23,412.20 – 23,869.60
Far Supply (Weekly): 24,180.80 – 24,792.30
🔍 Outlook:
Nifty has shown signs of stabilization post the sharp fall, but the presence of a Daily Gap Zone at 22,697 – 22,904 will be the first hurdle for bulls. If this gets cleared with volume, we could see a climb toward 23,145–23,350.
However, global uncertainties and overhead supply zones suggest a sell-on-rise approach may be more appropriate in the short term. Stay agile and manage risk diligently.
📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
India along with the globe stages a recovery. Indian markets staged a recovery along with it's global peers. Although the market moved 374 points upwards. After making a high of 22697 the market closed at 22535 which is 162 points down. Which means it has formed a Bullish Doji. Now Doji candle irrespective of the colour means uncertainty, until we clear the Doji top further upside will not be possible. The doji top resistance is at 22697 and Doji bottom support is at 22270.
Doji works like a cage. The bird will fly either side once the cage is broken.
To know more about the kind of candles, Mother, Father lines, behavioural finance, Technical analysis, fundamental analysis read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation.
Nifty Supports remain at: 22270 (Doji cage support), 21743 current low of Trump Tantrum, 21289, 20790 (Channel Bottom support) and 20320.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22697 (Doji cage resistance), 23061 Mother line resistance, 23376 Father line resistance and 23894 recent market high.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 9th April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 8th April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty recovers from lows of the day. But not out of danger yet.Nifty as expected suffered heavy losses due to Trump Tariff Tornado which has engulfed the global markets. The good thing which is the silver lining in the cloud was that it recovered from the lows of the day by a lot. The lowest point of today or perhaps the year 2025 so far was 21743 and we closed the day at 22161. Which is about 418 points. However we are not out of the woods yet. We will hopefully see bottom formation later during this week or the next if this lowest point is already not the bottom. The support levels for Nifty remain at 21743, 21289, 20790 and 20320. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22266, 22711, 23083 and 23384. Above 23384 closing Nifty will be back to the bulls territory and we can hope for a recovery towards 24K first and then 25K.
As of now the ball is still in Trump's court as the world sizzles with his Whims and fancies. China is planning a stimulus package for its industry and High level cabinet meeting is going on in India as I write this to counter the effects of Trump Tariff and swift recovery of our economy in addition to minimising the effect of damage.
The best strategy is to wait out the Trump Storm reassess the situation once bottom is formed. Those who have liquidity this is a good oppertunity to go long after bottom fishing.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 7th April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Trump Tariffs send global Markets into free fall. Trump Tariff announcements has sent the global markets into free fall. The reaction has sent global markets into knee jerk reaction. Global trade will axis will realign because of these actions of US. As per the analysis of many experts the disadvantages to India are limited. There are opportunities galore in sectors like Pharma and Textile etc. The support levels for Nifty currently are at 22338, 21983, 21289, 20095 and finally 19864. The resistances for Nifty are 23037, 23266 and 23894. Long term Resistance for Nifty remain at 24831 and 25K levels.
Short term outlook for Nifty is weak. In the medium term Nifty can remain range bound and Long term outlook for Nifty still remains strong. Investors with Long term outlook can search for Bottom Fishing opportunities in Blue chip stocks which are available at good prices.
Focus should be on India centric themes where products and companies are less dependent on exports specially to US. Having said that it can be a blessing in disguise for sectors like Pharma and Textile. If Indian leadership can turn this obstacle into oppertunity by taking the right steps it can be a curse in disguise. Investors can also look at collecting some ETFs international as well as local as a long term investment.
In cricket matches sometimes losing a toss can be a blessing in disguise this is something like that.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
levels to watch It's clear that analysts, the media, and others who seek the spotlight often try to explain why the markets moved in a certain direction. The irony, however, is that these explanations usually come after the market has already moved, making it obvious that they’re just linking the moves to some news event.
If you pay close attention, you'll realize that technical tools can provide valuable insights ahead of time, helping you predict how the market will behave and where it’s likely headed. For those who’ve read my past articles, you’ll notice I’ve already highlighted key levels for the Nifty index and the potential targets it could reach.
Whether there were tariffs or not, the market was bound to drop. But as I pointed out, the crash is being blamed on the tariffs.
As long as the markets remain below the 24,000 level, we can expect them to target 21,800 and possibly even lower in the coming weeks.
I had booked profits for some of my stocks around the 21,800 level and re-entered short positions at 23,800.
TIME TO BUY NIFTY AGAIN!! NIFTY SEEMS POSITIVEHello All!!
I am back with totally different opinion on Nifty Futures, I had checked with Media and some published articles, most of all are Bearish On Nifty for coming day!!
But I don't think so.......
Today on 04-04-2025, Nifty is negative by more than -1.5%.
I think it is very right time to buy Nifty!!
Nifty futures CMP:22950.00
Nifty has beached its valuable support at 23,270.00
Now, Nifty's next big support is at 22,930.00
RSI is just above it's 40 Mark level!!
If RSI manages to hold that 40 Mark level, Nifty is going to switch it's direction and start moving upwards.
Simple terms: Risk to Reward ratio is most favorable at current market price.
So, if Nifty holds 22,930.00 level and RSI holds it's 40 Mark level, Bulls are back in market.
Target: 24,000.00 with in this month.
Stoploss: Mange as per your risk tolerance capacity.
Let's hope for the best!!
Be cautious, Market is teaching us something which is not so often!!
Note: This is just my attempt to Analyze Nifty chart, I don't recommend any one to trade or invest based on this study. This is just of educational purpose.
Nifty May have bottomed on News As per Elliott wave sequence it is coming to mind that it has completed a complex correction in the form of WXYZ. Todays bottom is very important and it also related to by the fibs 61.8 level.
For further rally it should cross the 23300 mark in less time then the c leg of z has completed its move downwards...the c leg has completed the move in 24 bars of 15 minutes and it will have cross it before 24bars....! finger crossed...!
No buy sell recommendation. Just a view.
Review and plan for 4th April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Few stocks analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 3rd April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty is holding on above the Father line but by a thin margin.After reaching a weekly high of 23869 Nifty decided to fall back in search of its support zone. Currently it is holding above the Father line in the daily chart which is at 23406. Below the Father line there is Mother line waiting to support Nifty at 23114 in case the weakness seen on Friday persists. We will be in trouble again in case we get a daily or weekly closing below this level. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 22827, 22294 and 21939. In case the Nifty is able to gain momentum again the resistances it will face will be near 23536, 23671 and 23864. Closing above 23869 will enhance the short term momentum in Nifty which can lead it to 24K+ levels.
To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same.
Things are slightly off balance with shadow of the candle just slightly in favour of bears as of now but Bulls will definitely try and retake the advantage back to their side given a slight opportunity. So the Bull and Bear tussle to continue into April and may escalate given Trump Tarif announcements and upcoming result season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Review and plan for 2nd April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Few stocks too.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 1st April 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 28th March 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty finds a support just above Mother line and Mid-channel.Nifty has today found a good support just above Mother line of the hourly chart and Mid-channel support zone as it bounced from lows of the day near 23412 to close at 23591. Tomorrow being the weekly closing, monthly closing and financial yearly closing it become very important or one of the most important days for investment enthusiasts. A positive closing tomorrow will empower bulls in a lot of ways.
The first support for Nifty will be at 23550. A very strong support zone for Nifty right now remains between 23412 and 23380. This zone includes today's low, mid channel support and mother line support. A closing below 23380 will bring bears back into action who can potentially drag Nifty again to 23145, 23003 or levels below 22801.
Resistance zone for Nifty remains at 23646 today's high, 23670, 23778 and 23900. A closing above 23900 will empower bulls to take Nifty to higher levels of 24046, 24169 or 24378.
As described earlier very important day tomorrow with shadow of the candle being neutral to positive.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.