Review and plan for 23rd May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY
Breakout in Cipla?Potential breakout in Cipla?
Let's understand.
Candle made yesterday followed by the candle made today indicates a lot of strength. Both the candles are big green candles backed up with big green volume bars. This gives me a hint that the resistance zone between 1520 and 1525 might be broken now and we might see a strong breakout.
Coming to my momentum indicator, RSI, it is moving in the buy zone now. We generally consider the zone between 40 and 60 as neutral and RSI is just breaching the 60 mark.
So, I will buy as and when I get a new buy signal in the hourly chart with SL below 1470 and targets above 1525.
Nifty returning from 22591 indicates strong resistance zone.Nifty returning from high of 22591 has given indication of strong resistance zone ahead. Also closing above Mid-Channel resistance was a good move but still it is not a convincing upward gallop with market breadth remaining negative and FII still selling relentlessly. Some decent mid and large cap stocks are not moving despite good results and some average stocks and PSU are moving towards exaggerated valuation. PE investing or comparing the 10 year PE to the current PE of the stock should be the way to go for investors. Do not get trapped at levels which might not return for years. (I am nor fear mongering but that should be the case in every and any circumstance anyway.)
Nifty Supports levels: 22470, 22402, 22345, 22257 and 22055.
Nifty Resistance levels: 22530, 22591, 22658, 22730 and 22831.
Review and plan for 22nd May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
BDL / Bharat Dynamics 35%+ in 1 week! Crazy ReturnsEverybody loves momentum.
Why not?
Momentum is the best friend of every trader. I always wanted to find and catch the beginning of a confirmed trend. It's unbelievable it is happening in real life.
Education and skills acquisition is the key to continued growth in any field. This especially holds true in the highly risky terrain called Trading.
A lot of stocks are in superb momentum and I am ready to catch them.
God bless you and happy trading.
NIFTY 300+ Points Gain Target 3 ReachedSo, far this has been my safest strategy to trade Nifty:
Apply the indicator 'Risological Astra'
Set Nifty to 15 min time frame
BUY CE side if the price closed above the Astra dotted line.
I buy the monthly contract ONLY, with this strategy.
Sell 50% when the price reaches TP4.
Hold remaining 50% till the price crosses under the Astra dotted line.
This trade gave me 315+ points (unrealized PnL)
Ofcourse I will be selling 50% at TP4 and hold the remaining till the price crosses under the astra line.
I wish you all, good luck and happy trading.
Good move ahead if mid channel support is held by NiftyGood move ahead for Nifty can hold the levels of 22470 and give a closing above 22522. Incase we get a closing above 22522 the resistances ahead will be 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22800+. In case Nifty gives a closing below 22470 the supports will be at 22345, 22246 and 22055. 22522 is however a strong trendline resistance and gap up opening and holding above it is the way to overcome it faster. Shadow of the candle is positive for the beginning of the week.
Review and plan for 21st May 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24
Nifty closed at 22502 (22055) and touched low & high of 21836 & 22514
Nifty was up from the support level.
RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (56 % & 69% Respectively). Both are moving up towards oversold zone.
Nifty 22502- Short & medium term (Neutral till it cross 22820 decisively)
As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again, formed a 'W' pattern. ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 which need be crossed decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5, only Political results is awaited which will give a clear direction.
Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800
Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) &
Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks.
Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well.
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000.
Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results.
Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24
every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
MUTHOOTFIN ON WEEKLY RESISTANCEMUTHOOTFIN has reached a crucial resistance level on the chart. The price has respected this highlighted zone, and we should watch closely for a valid reversal or breakout confirmation. Given that the previous run encountered significant selling pressure at this point, careful attention to price action on lower timeframes is necessary for confirmation. A breakout above the resistance will invalidate the bearish outlook.
Good closing by Nifty just above mid-channel resistance. Nifty saw a good closing today above mid channel resistance but could not hold on to higher levels as it found the resistance at 22502 to hot to cross. 22502 was today's high and might act as a resistance again tomorrow. If this level is crossed and we get a closing above it the next resistance levels will be at 22587 and 22658. Above 22658 bull have potential to take full control of the market and in such a scenario we can see Nifty climbing to the highs of 22730 and 22801 in the coming week or weeks. On the lower side, today's low of 22345 is a good support followed by Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA at 22235. Below 22235 Nifty becomes week and we might again see the levels of 22055, 21937 and 21815. Below 21815 closing Bears take total control of the market. Nifty is interestingly placed with shadow of the candle being neutral and it was a Doji candle that we saw today emphasizing the tussle between bulls and bears or shall we call it a tussle between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors?
Remarkable Comeback Nifty but now faces Mid-channel resistance.Nifty recovered handsomely 349.85 points from the low of the day in the last hour against all frantic FII selling. This shows the power of DII and retail investors. Now Nifty faces a tough mid channel resistance 22438 which will take some doing to cross it. If Nifty manages to cross 22438 the next resistances will be at 22496, 22587, 22658, 22730 and 22801. If Nifty is not able to cross the Mid channel resistance the supports will be at 22298, 22215 and 22054. Nifty will be very weak below 22054. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral to negative but if FII jump into action (which unlikely) then frantic upside is possible. Volatility and peak tussle between FII and DII might continue.
Review and plan for 17th May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
INFY ASCENDING TRIANGLE IDENTIFIEDINFY has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly chart. A bullish candle has closed just above the resistance level, indicating potential upward movement. However, for a confirmed bullish trend, we await a clear breakout above the resistance. It's essential to note that a bearish breakout would invalidate this bullish projection, emphasizing the need for cautious observation.
NIFTY BOUNCES from the ASTRA LineWe have been holding the LONG position (CE) from our entry on 14th morning.
The price saw a downward movement today exactly touching the Risological Astra line and taking a bounce back upwards.
Market has overall bullish sentiments especially considering the fact that the election results are nearing and this bullish momentum could be a hidden bullish divergence that we are going to see the next day after the election result.
BJP wins = Market Bullish
INDI Alliance wins = Market Crash
So, big moves are coming soon in the market. Hold your breath, homies!
Review and plan for 16th May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Squeezing in tight space between supports and resistances.Nifty is squeezing in a tight space squeezing between major supports and resistances. A major move on either side can not be negated. With US inflation, Lok Sabha election phases, Announcements by FM about course correction discussion with SEBI on how F&O will operate in future, and other important data awaited, mixed bag results. Today 200 Hours EMA acted as a major resistance. Nifty barely touched it and returned closing fractionally below 50 hours EMA. Trend line resistance and support are also acting not allowing Nifty to move much in either directions. FII is selling on every rise. DII is buying on every dip.
Very interesting phase which is testing the patience of investors is going on. All we need to do is watch important levels, important results and important data. Holding on to what we have high conviction in and letting go of what is not convincing valuation wise is important. Not reacting to market noise and filtering out your portfolio is important, before the next bull run begins. If it has not already begun.
Important Resistance Levels: 22242, 22302 (200 Hours EMA) Father line, 22400 mid channel resistance and 22501.
Important Support levels: 22148, 22068, 21937 and 21815 (Nifty becomes very weak and goes into bear grip below this level.)
AXISBANK: BULLISH BREAKOUT AND POTENTIAL REVERSAL PATTERNAXISBANK has broken out bullish from a bearish channel, suggesting a potential rally ahead. Additionally, there's a chance of an inverted head and shoulders pattern forming. However, confirmation of this pattern requires waiting for a bullish breakout at the key level.
Good Closing For Nifty but major resistance ahead. Nifty closed very well above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) but is facing a formidable resistance of 22273 and 22309. The best thing to happen can be if Nifty opens gap up above this resistance and sustains the level. In such a scenario the next resistance it will face will be at 22374. Crossing and closing above 22374 will bring back bulls firmly in the business and they can push the nifty towards 22501, 22598 or even 22695. In case the resistance of 22273 and 22309 are not crossed by Nifty successfully the supports for Nifty will be at 22205, 22096, 22020 and finally 21937. Below 21937 Nifty has only one support of channel bottom at 21815. closing below 21815 can empower the bears to run havoc but shadow of the candle looks positive right now.