Possibility of further downside. If we consider the high and low of the last day candle in futures as a range, a break in either direction can give a sharp sting that way before turning and going the opposite way. This is just a story that played in my head. And the probability of this being on the down side seems more likely. 22350 and 22300 may be likely in this case before we see a short covering rally.
NIFTY
Even after the dramatic fall on Friday Nifty looking strong.Even after the fall due to Profit booking and fear in investors due to Fed rate pause Nifty is not looking weak. Seemingly it has taken 200 Hours EMA support in late trading hours of Friday at 22388 after falling below it just for a while. If 22388 is not broken in the coming week the targets/resistances on the upper side will be at 22535 (Major resistance) (best way to avoid it will be to open gap up above it.), 22691, 22799, 22873, 22973 and 23039. Channel top seems to be around 23155. If the support at 22388 is broken and we get a closing below it, the supports will be at 22348, 22186 and finally channel bottom support near 21962 (in very unlikely event). The shadow of the candles is positive right now but there will be profit booking effort at every rise. Bears will try to fight the bulls who were taken by surprise by the bear attack on Friday.
Review and plan for 7th May 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
gold in important areasorry for late update...
sell already active from yesterday
the last zone for sellers is 2309-2315
if gold close this area buying pressure will be there
but we got 15 min high confirmation(using my rules) for sell... so we placed a order for sell
sell @2304-2308-2310.8
sl 2322
swing entry
tp 2302
tp 2286
tp 2200
tp 2160
tp 2050
tp 1970
tp 1840
NOTES:EDUCACTIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
Review and plan for 6th May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Strong higher high higher Low pattern on Hourly chart. Positive.Nifty is making a higher high, higher low, pattern on Nifty. Which looks very promising and positive. For going further and higher and into unchartered territory Nifty needs to hold 22625 or at least 22547. These two points will work as great supports too. Below 22547 the next supports will be near 22483 and 22379. On the upper side the resistance levels seem to be at 22709, 22881, 22967 and finally 23026. Shadow of the candle looks positive.
Review and plan for 3rd May 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY50 BULLISH CHANNELNIFTY is playing inside a strong bullish channel where we witness a steady growth ever since the bullish sentiment. Price respected the previous high created on the daily timeframe. Where we might see some price action intact with the upper and lower boundaries for sometime. With a future breakout confirmation on the lower boundary, we may witness a bearish trend with a nice bearish momentum.
Resistance zone between 22783 and 22755 comes into effect.After making a new high of 22783 there was a bought of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Two important international events of US FED Interest decision and CPI Inflation data are awaited so traders may have thought of being cautious at this juncture. Further bullishness leading to 22800, 22887 and 23026 is also a possibility but for that overcoming this important resistance zone is imperative. Supports for Nifty on the lower side in case of consolidation or further profit booking will be 22544, 22508 and 22358. If 22358 is broken we may see bullish grip weaken a bit and in this scenario bears can drag the Nifty further down to 22200 or even levels below 22000. The zone between 22544 and 22508 is an important support zone for Nifty now.
NIFTY Wait for a 1D MA50 pull-back and buy.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up since late December 2023 and today it hit the April 10 2024 High. That was a Higher High for the Channel Up and the price immediately got rejected.
Based on the 1D RSI, it may rise some more to its Resistance Zone before getting rejected but this sequence is very similar with the February 02 2024 rejection. Both fractals made clear technical Higher Lows at the bottom of the Channel Up and the February one after the rejection, pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before finding Support and new buyers.
As a result, we are only willing to turn bullish again on the 1D MA50 and then target the Channel's standard target of the 1.382 Fib extension at 23100.
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Nifty on the verge of a major breakoutIf Nifty manages to close above 22650 it will successfully cross the double resistance of a trend line and mid channel resistance. The next targets for Nifty in this case will be 22707, 22775.(Major All time resistance.) If this is also crossed successfully we may see new all time highs of 22887 or 23026 and more. Supports for Nifty are at 22544, 22448 and finally 22334. Below 22334 Nifty becomes little weak.
Review and plan for 30th April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan for stocks in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 29-Apr-24 to 03-May-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 29-Apr-24 to 03-May-24
Nifty closed at 22419 (22147) and touched low & high of 22199 & 22623
Nifty was up from the support level and was trading inside the range (22000-22800) provided last week.
RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week(53.75 %(41%) & 64% (<20%) Respectively). Moved up from oversold zone.
All Companies other than IT and Bank are expected to post result in the coming weeks. Hence market may try to take a cue from the bottom line performance (Profits). Banks & Finance companies posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance and Ultratech posted muted growth. Other Major companies results are awaited in coming weeks.
Nifty bank 48201 (47556) - Nifty bank was up marginally inline with nifty last week. Many bank stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bankof Maharasthra ( Can be added) ,Canara bank can be accumulated slowly & more after the Q4 result.
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Ceat & JK tyres can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
Medium term support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips initial target 50000.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on Market, Expected election outcome & Nifty IT.
Nifty 22419- Short & medium term (Neutral)
As insisted in the last month, Market need to decisively close above 22800 to move up further. As expected last week for come back rally market went up.As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 two weeks before (Fibonacci extended resistance target) and started falling ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 and again trying to cross it.
Short term support 22230 (MA 50)/22000/21800
Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue.
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000.
Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quanties till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results.
Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT broke the Major support at 34918 /34000 two weeks before and went upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.
Review and plan for 29th April 2024Nifty future, banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Delicately placed near the support zone.Nifty is delicately placed above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA support zones (Mother and Father support) which are at 22404 and 22316 respectively. This zone can act as a buffer and should provide proper technical support to Nifty. In case 22316 is broken Nifty can further fall to the levels of 22201 or even 21972. Worst case scenario as of now looks like 21784. If supports of 22404 and 22316 are respected we may see the Nifty rising upwards with resistances at 22458, 22545, 22625, 22692 and 22775. Shadow of the candle looks neutral with slightly positive bias.
What does Arrow in the chart of Nifty say? Arrow in the chart of Nifty is pointing in the direction of which Nifty intends to go in the long term. There may be some slip-ups in the short run but in the long run Nifty will be seen travelling in the direction the arrow is pointing.
Today Nifty returned from an important trendline resistance of 22625. crossing the same will be a little bit of a challenge. If we get a weekly closing above 22625 Nifty can quickly make new highs in the coming days with resistance at 22692 and 22775.
In case the mid arrow support is broken tomorrow we may see a down side with supports at 22545, 22481, 22430, 22380 and 22304. Below 22304 Nifty becomes weak again and bears can start calling the shots.
Shadow of the candle is negative to neutral as of now.
22447 to 22481 proving to be a tough resistance to crack.Since yesterday 22447 to 22481 is again and again blocking the Nifty rally. Only after 22481 is crossed and held we will see the rally continue further. Further resistance will be near 22558, 22612, 22692 or even 22780+. In case the resistance proves strong enough the supports will be found at 22376, 22342 and 22290. If 22290 is broken then further supports will be found at 22201, 21972 and finally 22784. Shadow of the candle is still looking positive.
Review and plan for 25th April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT