Strong resistance around 22447 blocked Nifty rallyA strong resistance around 22447 blocked the bull rally of Nifty today. If this resistance is not crossed the Nifty will try to re-test the supports. There is a strong support in the range of 22279 and 22312 region which includes 50 EMA, 200 EMA (Mother Father lines) and a trend line support. If these supports are broken we can see weakness which can lead Nifty further down to 22201 or even 21972 levels. If the Nifty successfully crosses and closes above 22447, further resistances will be found at 22510, 22612, 22692 and 22780. A frantic Bull-Bear tussle is going on and it will be interesting to see which side is able to call the shots during reminder of the week.
NIFTY
Very Positive close by Nifty indicating more bullishnessMore up move is on card baring there is no further bad news related to Iran and Israel conflict and other news surrounding the Middle East and Levant nations. The closing above 50 and 200 EMA hourly indicates that there might be more bullishness in store for Nifty with resistances at 22430 and 22517. If these 2 levels are crossed easily then we may see 22692, 22780 and even 23K+ levels in Nifty in the coming weeks or months. Supports on the lower side for Nifty in case there is some negativity remain at 22201, 21972, 21784 and 21716. Below 21716 bears again take control of Nifty.
Plan for 23rd April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
#Nifty Trading Important levelsOn 1 Hour Timeframe, NIFTY trading important levels. Time to wait for either breakout or Breakdown (reversal) for the Nifty.
Breakdown Move
- Confirmation for breakdown will be if Nifty starts trading and sustain below 22220 level
- Downside rally nearly 500 points expected in case of breakdown
- Intermediate support expected near 21880- level
- Short Trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading above 22250 level
Breakout move
- Long side movement expected in case Nifty starts trading and sustain above 22250 level
- Above this level Nifty can go upto the 22760+ level.
- Intermediate resistance expected near 22580 level
- Long trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading below 22220 level.
Nifty Intraday for 22 April We saw a V-shaped recovery in Friday's trading session, but it came after a considerable downfall throughout the week, so it was hard to trust this recovery. It might be a dead cat bounce or a trap; however, as intraday traders, we must engage in trading regardless of the market's behaviour. Only rule-based traders can thrive in this bearish market.
NIFTY: Another Upmove Starts!Nifty
Nifty is overall Bullish in Weekly timeframe. Some corrections may come, but now it is standing on below support trendline.
Wait for some bullish pattern when it retests the Support Trendline and then you can go for an upmove.
Bullish pattern
1. Bullish engulfing
2. Hammer
Nifty took a critical support at 21777. (A number to watch)Nifty fell like a hot knife going through butter slab reacting to Iran Israel news. There was some respite today as Nifty has takena support at 21777 and bounced back to close the week at 22147 staging a remarkable recovery. 21777 will remain a critical support to watch for reminder of the month. In case this support is not held further supports will be only between the range of 21157 and 20973. If 20973 is further falls casualty to any escalation between Iran and Israel, we still have a strong support near 20592 which is also a Mid channel support. If by chance mid channel support is broken there can be a free fall towards 20237 or even 18878 levels if situation worsens. On the positive side of it if 21777 is respected we can further see resistances near 22318, 22514 and ATH resistance near 22775 levels. Things are delicately poised but let us hope peace prevails and we see nifty bouncing back drastically in the coming week or weeks. Local sentiments still remain good except for the fact that some FIIs are not happy with tax heavens status withdrawal from Mauritius. Global factors specially related to Israel and Iran are governing the global sentiments currently.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -19/04/2024Nifty will be gap down opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading Below 22000 level and then possible downside rally up to 21880 & this rally can extend another 120 points if market gives breakdown 21860 level in today's session. in case nifty trades Above 22050 level then the upside target can go up to the 22170 level.
GSPL: The Next Rocket StockGSPL
The Fundamentals of GSPL are good.
A profitable company.
Piotroski score of 7 on 9
Stock P/E: 14
FIIs and DIIs present in this stock.
This is a ratio chart of GSPL and Nifty 500
On ratio chart, we can see a breakout out. Which means GSPL can outperform Nifty 500 in coming weeks.
Market Outlook: Israel and Iran Conflict continues to haunt. After taking a drastic beating due to Israel and Iran conflict Nifty today has taken a support near Mother line (50 EMA). There is also a trend line support at the same place. If there is no bad news in next one or two days we might see a reversal in Nifty in favor of Bulls. In case there is some more bad news we may see bears tightening the grip over the market.
Right now main factors driving the market are global. One in global inflation and commodity prices (Specially metals/ Precious metals and crude oil) and Israel and Iran conflict. Local factors are firmly looking good and no changes seen.
If there is a full scale war the imp act will be Global and no market will remain insulated from the same. But India because of local factors and neutral stance (which might be challenged as well) will be the first or the fastest to bounce back.
Supports for Nifty are at 22113, 21722, 21145 and finally 20767.
Resistances for Nifty will be at 22214, 22306, 22421 and 22513.
Disclaimer: The Purpose of this analysis is purely for Education. Any decision to invest in shares of F&O should not be taken based on it. This is just to show you how technical analysis works.
Market Outlook:Market Outlook:
The factors related to Israel and Iran Conflict will e the leading cause for market and moves rather than other local or Techincal factors for the next few days it seems. However the Support and Resistance levels seem to be as under.
Nifty Resistance: In case there is some positive news of tension related to conflict decreasing will be at 22424, 22534 and 22620.
Nifty Supports: In case there is further escalation in conflict which looks more likely will be at 22622, 22112(Major support from where Nifty can bounce), 22008, 21711.3. If 21711.3 is broken we can see the levels of 21149 or even 20753.
Shadow of the candle is negative and anyway Global factors specially Iran and Israel will be decisive force driving the Nifty for next few days it seems.
Nifty broke a major support and is near a crucial support. As depicted in the last message. Nifty was near a crucial resistance zone which is between 22770 and 22808. Nifty fell sharply from these levels triggred by possibility of a major 3rd World War like crisis due to Iran and Israel conflict. Now Nifty is below a major resistance that is 22567 and just above a major support level near 22511. Any further escalation in war has potential to make Nifty plunge into a nose dive towards 22416 or 22309 levels. If 22303 levels are broken Nifty can further fall quickly towards 22K levels or below. However if there is de-escalation we can see a relief rally in Nifty with resistances at 22567, 22622 and 22689 levels. In case of Nifty rising this week again 22770 to 22808 zone will be a very nasty resistance to cross. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now and anything can happen due to global factors. Local factors are in favour of investors and fall if any can be used to invest and bottom fish.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24
Nifty closed at 22519 (22513) and touched low & high of 22435 & 22782
Nifty touched new high last week and reduced 1 % due to global cues on last day.
Global tension caused mild drop in last working day of market. Depends the situation market will react next week. Expecting a mild fall till 22000 and may raise afterwards.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week(57% & 71% Respectively).
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome.
Nifty IT 35018(35250) - Nifty IT marginally decreased last three weeks. To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000.
Nifty bank 48565 (48535) - As expected Nifty Bank increased in the last month gaining near to 6.5%. Nifty touched the near time target provided at 48618 & touched new high of 49063.
Medium term support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips.
Nifty 22519- Short & medium term (Neutral)
Nifty moved up in the last week touched new high 22782. As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) iwhich is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000.
Short term support 22000/21900
Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue.
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000.
Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions.
Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000.
Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank in nearing the target provided (48600). Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Continue to buy on dips.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
Review and plan for 15th April 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Again Nifty reaches a difficult resistance Zone. Again Nifty has reached a difficult resistance zone which is between 22773 and 22808. This is a difficult zone to cross as it has a fibonacci resistance as will as the ATH Resistance. If we get a gap up opening and a nice sustenance there after above this resistance it can resolve the problem of the resistance band. In this case further resistances will be in the range of 22898 and 23018. In case the zone acts as a difficult zone to conquer the supports for Nifty will be near 22622, 22561 and 22422. Shadow of the candle is neutral but momentum is positive so it will be an interesting day Bulls and Bears both will try to snatch the initiative. Also weekly closing has potential to keep things more interesting.
Review and plan for 12th April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 10th April 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT