Resistance zone between 22783 and 22755 comes into effect.After making a new high of 22783 there was a bought of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Two important international events of US FED Interest decision and CPI Inflation data are awaited so traders may have thought of being cautious at this juncture. Further bullishness leading to 22800, 22887 and 23026 is also a possibility but for that overcoming this important resistance zone is imperative. Supports for Nifty on the lower side in case of consolidation or further profit booking will be 22544, 22508 and 22358. If 22358 is broken we may see bullish grip weaken a bit and in this scenario bears can drag the Nifty further down to 22200 or even levels below 22000. The zone between 22544 and 22508 is an important support zone for Nifty now.
NIFTY
NIFTY Wait for a 1D MA50 pull-back and buy.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up since late December 2023 and today it hit the April 10 2024 High. That was a Higher High for the Channel Up and the price immediately got rejected.
Based on the 1D RSI, it may rise some more to its Resistance Zone before getting rejected but this sequence is very similar with the February 02 2024 rejection. Both fractals made clear technical Higher Lows at the bottom of the Channel Up and the February one after the rejection, pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before finding Support and new buyers.
As a result, we are only willing to turn bullish again on the 1D MA50 and then target the Channel's standard target of the 1.382 Fib extension at 23100.
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Nifty on the verge of a major breakoutIf Nifty manages to close above 22650 it will successfully cross the double resistance of a trend line and mid channel resistance. The next targets for Nifty in this case will be 22707, 22775.(Major All time resistance.) If this is also crossed successfully we may see new all time highs of 22887 or 23026 and more. Supports for Nifty are at 22544, 22448 and finally 22334. Below 22334 Nifty becomes little weak.
Review and plan for 30th April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan for stocks in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 29-Apr-24 to 03-May-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 29-Apr-24 to 03-May-24
Nifty closed at 22419 (22147) and touched low & high of 22199 & 22623
Nifty was up from the support level and was trading inside the range (22000-22800) provided last week.
RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week(53.75 %(41%) & 64% (<20%) Respectively). Moved up from oversold zone.
All Companies other than IT and Bank are expected to post result in the coming weeks. Hence market may try to take a cue from the bottom line performance (Profits). Banks & Finance companies posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance and Ultratech posted muted growth. Other Major companies results are awaited in coming weeks.
Nifty bank 48201 (47556) - Nifty bank was up marginally inline with nifty last week. Many bank stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bankof Maharasthra ( Can be added) ,Canara bank can be accumulated slowly & more after the Q4 result.
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Ceat & JK tyres can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
Medium term support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips initial target 50000.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on Market, Expected election outcome & Nifty IT.
Nifty 22419- Short & medium term (Neutral)
As insisted in the last month, Market need to decisively close above 22800 to move up further. As expected last week for come back rally market went up.As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 two weeks before (Fibonacci extended resistance target) and started falling ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 and again trying to cross it.
Short term support 22230 (MA 50)/22000/21800
Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue.
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000.
Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quanties till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results.
Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT broke the Major support at 34918 /34000 two weeks before and went upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.
Review and plan for 29th April 2024Nifty future, banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Delicately placed near the support zone.Nifty is delicately placed above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA support zones (Mother and Father support) which are at 22404 and 22316 respectively. This zone can act as a buffer and should provide proper technical support to Nifty. In case 22316 is broken Nifty can further fall to the levels of 22201 or even 21972. Worst case scenario as of now looks like 21784. If supports of 22404 and 22316 are respected we may see the Nifty rising upwards with resistances at 22458, 22545, 22625, 22692 and 22775. Shadow of the candle looks neutral with slightly positive bias.
What does Arrow in the chart of Nifty say? Arrow in the chart of Nifty is pointing in the direction of which Nifty intends to go in the long term. There may be some slip-ups in the short run but in the long run Nifty will be seen travelling in the direction the arrow is pointing.
Today Nifty returned from an important trendline resistance of 22625. crossing the same will be a little bit of a challenge. If we get a weekly closing above 22625 Nifty can quickly make new highs in the coming days with resistance at 22692 and 22775.
In case the mid arrow support is broken tomorrow we may see a down side with supports at 22545, 22481, 22430, 22380 and 22304. Below 22304 Nifty becomes weak again and bears can start calling the shots.
Shadow of the candle is negative to neutral as of now.
22447 to 22481 proving to be a tough resistance to crack.Since yesterday 22447 to 22481 is again and again blocking the Nifty rally. Only after 22481 is crossed and held we will see the rally continue further. Further resistance will be near 22558, 22612, 22692 or even 22780+. In case the resistance proves strong enough the supports will be found at 22376, 22342 and 22290. If 22290 is broken then further supports will be found at 22201, 21972 and finally 22784. Shadow of the candle is still looking positive.
Review and plan for 25th April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and Plan for 24th April 2024Nifty /banknifty and stocks analysis, and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Strong resistance around 22447 blocked Nifty rallyA strong resistance around 22447 blocked the bull rally of Nifty today. If this resistance is not crossed the Nifty will try to re-test the supports. There is a strong support in the range of 22279 and 22312 region which includes 50 EMA, 200 EMA (Mother Father lines) and a trend line support. If these supports are broken we can see weakness which can lead Nifty further down to 22201 or even 21972 levels. If the Nifty successfully crosses and closes above 22447, further resistances will be found at 22510, 22612, 22692 and 22780. A frantic Bull-Bear tussle is going on and it will be interesting to see which side is able to call the shots during reminder of the week.
Very Positive close by Nifty indicating more bullishnessMore up move is on card baring there is no further bad news related to Iran and Israel conflict and other news surrounding the Middle East and Levant nations. The closing above 50 and 200 EMA hourly indicates that there might be more bullishness in store for Nifty with resistances at 22430 and 22517. If these 2 levels are crossed easily then we may see 22692, 22780 and even 23K+ levels in Nifty in the coming weeks or months. Supports on the lower side for Nifty in case there is some negativity remain at 22201, 21972, 21784 and 21716. Below 21716 bears again take control of Nifty.
Plan for 23rd April 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
#Nifty Trading Important levelsOn 1 Hour Timeframe, NIFTY trading important levels. Time to wait for either breakout or Breakdown (reversal) for the Nifty.
Breakdown Move
- Confirmation for breakdown will be if Nifty starts trading and sustain below 22220 level
- Downside rally nearly 500 points expected in case of breakdown
- Intermediate support expected near 21880- level
- Short Trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading above 22250 level
Breakout move
- Long side movement expected in case Nifty starts trading and sustain above 22250 level
- Above this level Nifty can go upto the 22760+ level.
- Intermediate resistance expected near 22580 level
- Long trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading below 22220 level.
Nifty Intraday for 22 April We saw a V-shaped recovery in Friday's trading session, but it came after a considerable downfall throughout the week, so it was hard to trust this recovery. It might be a dead cat bounce or a trap; however, as intraday traders, we must engage in trading regardless of the market's behaviour. Only rule-based traders can thrive in this bearish market.
NIFTY: Another Upmove Starts!Nifty
Nifty is overall Bullish in Weekly timeframe. Some corrections may come, but now it is standing on below support trendline.
Wait for some bullish pattern when it retests the Support Trendline and then you can go for an upmove.
Bullish pattern
1. Bullish engulfing
2. Hammer
Nifty took a critical support at 21777. (A number to watch)Nifty fell like a hot knife going through butter slab reacting to Iran Israel news. There was some respite today as Nifty has takena support at 21777 and bounced back to close the week at 22147 staging a remarkable recovery. 21777 will remain a critical support to watch for reminder of the month. In case this support is not held further supports will be only between the range of 21157 and 20973. If 20973 is further falls casualty to any escalation between Iran and Israel, we still have a strong support near 20592 which is also a Mid channel support. If by chance mid channel support is broken there can be a free fall towards 20237 or even 18878 levels if situation worsens. On the positive side of it if 21777 is respected we can further see resistances near 22318, 22514 and ATH resistance near 22775 levels. Things are delicately poised but let us hope peace prevails and we see nifty bouncing back drastically in the coming week or weeks. Local sentiments still remain good except for the fact that some FIIs are not happy with tax heavens status withdrawal from Mauritius. Global factors specially related to Israel and Iran are governing the global sentiments currently.