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NIFTY

Market Outlook: Israel and Iran Conflict continues to haunt. After taking a drastic beating due to Israel and Iran conflict Nifty today has taken a support near Mother line (50 EMA). There is also a trend line support at the same place. If there is no bad news in next one or two days we might see a reversal in Nifty in favor of Bulls. In case there is some more bad news we may see bears tightening the grip over the market. Right now main factors driving the market are global. One in global inflation and commodity prices (Specially metals/ Precious metals and crude oil) and Israel and Iran conflict. Local factors are firmly looking good and no changes seen. If there is a full scale war the imp act will be Global and no market will remain insulated from the same. But India because of local factors and neutral stance (which might be challenged as well) will be the first or the fastest to bounce back. Supports for Nifty are at 22113, 21722, 21145 and finally 20767. Resistances for Nifty will be at 22214, 22306, 22421 and 22513. Disclaimer: The Purpose of this analysis is purely for Education. Any decision to invest in shares of F&O should not be taken based on it. This is just to show you how technical analysis works.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market Outlook:Market Outlook: The factors related to Israel and Iran Conflict will e the leading cause for market and moves rather than other local or Techincal factors for the next few days it seems. However the Support and Resistance levels seem to be as under. Nifty Resistance: In case there is some positive news of tension related to conflict decreasing will be at 22424, 22534 and 22620. Nifty Supports: In case there is further escalation in conflict which looks more likely will be at 22622, 22112(Major support from where Nifty can bounce), 22008, 21711.3. If 21711.3 is broken we can see the levels of 21149 or even 20753. Shadow of the candle is negative and anyway Global factors specially Iran and Israel will be decisive force driving the Nifty for next few days it seems.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty broke a major support and is near a crucial support. As depicted in the last message. Nifty was near a crucial resistance zone which is between 22770 and 22808. Nifty fell sharply from these levels triggred by possibility of a major 3rd World War like crisis due to Iran and Israel conflict. Now Nifty is below a major resistance that is 22567 and just above a major support level near 22511. Any further escalation in war has potential to make Nifty plunge into a nose dive towards 22416 or 22309 levels. If 22303 levels are broken Nifty can further fall quickly towards 22K levels or below. However if there is de-escalation we can see a relief rally in Nifty with resistances at 22567, 22622 and 22689 levels. In case of Nifty rising this week again 22770 to 22808 zone will be a very nasty resistance to cross. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now and anything can happen due to global factors. Local factors are in favour of investors and fall if any can be used to invest and bottom fish.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24 Nifty closed at 22519 (22513) and touched low & high of 22435 & 22782 Nifty touched new high last week and reduced 1 % due to global cues on last day. Global tension caused mild drop in last working day of market. Depends the situation market will react next week. Expecting a mild fall till 22000 and may raise afterwards. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week(57% & 71% Respectively). Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35018(35250) - Nifty IT marginally decreased last three weeks. To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 48565 (48535) - As expected Nifty Bank increased in the last month gaining near to 6.5%. Nifty touched the near time target provided at 48618 & touched new high of 49063. Medium term support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips. Nifty 22519- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty moved up in the last week touched new high 22782. As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) iwhich is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000. Short term support 22000/21900 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank in nearing the target provided (48600). Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Again Nifty reaches a difficult resistance Zone. Again Nifty has reached a difficult resistance zone which is between 22773 and 22808. This is a difficult zone to cross as it has a fibonacci resistance as will as the ATH Resistance. If we get a gap up opening and a nice sustenance there after above this resistance it can resolve the problem of the resistance band. In this case further resistances will be in the range of 22898 and 23018. In case the zone acts as a difficult zone to conquer the supports for Nifty will be near 22622, 22561 and 22422. Shadow of the candle is neutral but momentum is positive so it will be an interesting day Bulls and Bears both will try to snatch the initiative. Also weekly closing has potential to keep things more interesting.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Profit Booking seen after Nifty makes new high. Nifty in the early morning trade made a high of 22768.4 thereafter there was profit booking seen as expected post most highs. While receding the Nifty has taken support at 22622 and closed the day at 22642.75. These 2 levels will be important levels going forward. In case of further continuation of bull rally if we get a closing above 22769 the New targets or resistance zone for Nifty will be zone between 22769 to 22808. Closing above 22808 will open the doors for 22898 and 23000+ targets. In case the resistance zone between 22769 and 22808 is too tough to cross the support zone will be 22622, 22509, 22422, 22309 and finally 22250. Below 22250 Nifty becomes weak and Bears will try to snatch the control. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral today.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 08-Apr-24 to 12-Apr-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 08-Apr-24 to 12-Apr-24 Nifty closed at 22513 (22335 ) and touched low & high of 22335 & 22606 Nifty Still undecisive need to cross all time high firmly. RSI and stochastics levels was up and retaining same position like prev week(61% & 86% Respectively). Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35250(35042) - Nifty IT marginally decreased last two weeks. To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 48535 (47118) - As expected Nifty Bank increased in the last 3 weeks gaining near to 5% . It is nearing the initial Target 48618 (All time high). support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips. Nifty 22513- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty moved up in the last week touched new high 22618. As mentioned for the past three weeks, nifty next target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000. Short term support 22000/21900 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank in nearing the target provided (48600). Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty can scale further highs if it sustains above previous ATH.Nifty bounced back but pretty well after confirming a near term bottom around 21710. right now facing mid-channel resistance. Daily closing firmly above 50 days EMA is another positive sign. Right now Nifty will face or is facing mid channel resistance which is near Friday's high of 22180. Nifty next week crossing and closing above 22180 will ensure that Nifty has closed not only above mid channel resistance but also trend line resistance which is in the same range. This dual resistance can be little stiff to cross. If it is crossed and held, next resistances will be at 22301, 22449 and finally 22526. In case the hurdle of Mid-channel resistance is not crossed the support levels for Nifty will be at 21877 (50 days EMA), 21710 and finally 21544. Shadow of the candle is neutral with positive bias indicating consolidation in the range or a further up move.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
BankNifty Eyeing All-Time Highs, Targets 51KThe BankNifty is showing strong momentum as it aims to surpass its previous all-time high levels and move towards the target of 51K. Analysis of the charts indicates a breakout of the triangle pattern, suggesting bullish sentiment. However, confirmation will be established if the price successfully breaches the all-time high of 48636.40 and maintains above this level. In such a scenario, fresh buying interest can drive the index towards the 51K mark. The target is derived from Fibonacci extension analysis. It's important to remain vigilant as the setup could be invalidated if the price retreats and breaks below the support level of 47300. Your feedback, suggestions, and requests are highly valued. Feel free to comment if you find this analysis helpful and consider following for more updates. Any input or advice from your end is warmly welcomed. Disclaimer: The views expressed here are solely my own and for educational purposes only. Make sure you consult your Financial advisor before investing, as I won't be responsible for any losses incurred.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by Kaushik_Karnale
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