Again Nifty facing important Trendline resistance. 2024 first month has seen volatile, erratic, sudden tide to ebb and ebb to tide behaviour of Nifty which is at it's unpredictable best. The zone starting from 21741 to 21839 is having many resistances both small and big in addition to the trendline resistance. if Nifty is able to close above 21850 further journey towards 21966 and 22124+ is possible. Supports for Nifty are available at 21593 and 21464. If we get a closing below 21464 the Nifty may fall further to 21354, 21245 or 21136 levels. Usually budget days are marked with high volatility. Adding fuel to fire is the US FED meeting tonight. Do not take many / any high risk decisions tomorrow.
NIFTY
Nifty Head and Shoulder on fifteen mins tfNifty has once again given a chance. Head and Shoulder pattern has formed in a 15-minute time frame. Given that it is Budget tomorrow, there is a high chance that we will achieve the targets and then reverse from their trapping bulls like last year. I am going to be very quick in booking profits intraday.
Review and plan for 31st January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 31/01/2024BUY ABOVE - 21580
SL - 21530
TARGETS - 21670,21760,21840
SELL BELOW - 21470
SL - 21530
TARGETS - 21400,21300,21250
NO TRADE ZONE - 21470 to 21580
Previous Day High - 21813
Previous Day Low - 21530
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
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Trendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty downTrendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty down. This only shows that the strength of rally decreasing with extreme increase in volatility. There was a news of situation escalating in Middle East and US striving to take some action against the mess created by some disruptive forces in the Red sea. With this news there was selling and profit booking seen specially from the FIIs and Retail investors however DII remain net buyers and gave support to the market near 21500. How much support they can provide going deeper into the week is the question.
Nifty Supports will be at: 21500, 21448 (Major Support 200 hours EMA), 21258 and finally 21152. Below 21152 bears will start licking their fingers.
Nifty Resistances are ate: 21562 (Major resistance 50 hours EMA), 21660, 21723 (Major trendline resistance) and 21800-21820 range.
Nifty Trapped between good support and strong resistance. Nifty again finds itself trapped between strong resistance zone which present between 22415 and 22488. Above 22488 Nifty can fly towards 21522, 21660 or even 21743 within this week. But crossing the 50 and 200 hours EMA at 22415 and 22448 (Mother and Father line will not be easy). On the lower side there is a strong support zone between 21258 to 21152. Below 21152 closing bears can take control of the market and thrash it further down. Nifty is interestingly poised. Nifty Shadow is positive but there was a news of Three US Marines killed in a Houthi attack on US Navy vessel. The possibility of US retaliation and escalating tension with Iran is a clear and present possibility so investors have to keep a keen eye on that development.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21352 ( Prev Close 21571 ) and touched low & high of 21136 & 21736.
RSI and stochastics levels ( 47% & 21 % Respectively). Stochastics is in oversold zone.
Market saw huge volatility in the last two week of around 1000 Points, especially fluctuated after results of HDFC bank.
Nifty IT (36496) -To hold. major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank ( 44866) if further move down support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty- Short Term ( Bearish)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was majr support last week.
Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155
Support at 21300 ( trend line Support), 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
however if Q3 results are good, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (28-Jan-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
Review and plan for 29th January 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Swing trade idea for Monday in Nitin Spinners x
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -25/01/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21480 level and then possible upside rally up to 21600 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21430 level then the downside target can go up to the 21310 level.
Very good Daily candle showing the fightback of NiftyWe saw a very good Daily candle showing the fightback of Nifty a closing above important résistance of 21421 indicates that we might be heading towards 21500+ tomorrow if global factors keep the things bright. In this case the resistance that Nifty will face will be at 21582(Major resistance), followed by 21684 and 21772. On the lower side the supports for Nifty will be at 21412, 21137 and 21080 (Major support 50 days EMA and Mid-Channel resistance). Things are poised interestingly with shadow the candle looking slightly positive for the start tomorrow.
Review and plan for 25th January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -24/01/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21260 level and then possible upside rally up to 21380 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21220 level then the downside target can go up to the 21100 level.
Strong Resistance ensures steep fall in Nifty. Strong Resistance zone of 21607 to 21857 sends Nifty in a downward spiral and makes it topple towards 50 days EMA(Mother Line). This has lead to frantic fall in RSI of Nifty. On 15th January the Rsi of Nifty was 73.88 today it is 44.88. Still little bit of cool down in RSI can not be ruled out. The immediate support for Nifty is near 21218. This is a weak support which may not hold but you never exactly know. The next support if 21218 is broken will be near 21065. 21065 in not only the Mother Line (50 days EMA) but also the mid channel support on the daily chart making it a very strong support. If 50 EMA does not hold the bears will tighten the grip on the stock market and may try their best to bring the Nifty to 20794. Holding 21065 or 20794 will be very important and the levels to watch out for. If these do not sustain we may see 20297, 19849 or even 19738.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -23/01/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21600 level and then possible upside rally up to 21720 level & this rally can extend another 100-120 points if market gives breakout 21740 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21570 level then the downside target can go up to the 21450 level.
Plan for 23rd January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-23-Jan-24 to 25-Jan-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-23-Jan-24 to 25-Jan-24
Nifty closed at 21571 21894(Prev Cloase 21710 ) and touched low & high of 21293 & 22126.
RSI and stochastics levels ( 53% & 35 % Respectively). Stochastics is moving towards oversold zone.
Market saw huge volatility last week of around 850 Points, especially fluctuated after results of HDFC bank.
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up. last week IT was little down along with the Nifty Index.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 5-7%.Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
Nifty IT had a good run in last month with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up. Expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies, certain bank stocks market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash will be useful to pick the right stocks.
Stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral-Moderately Bearish)
Resistances are at 21650 ( MA 21 days) ,21762 (MA 7 days), 22000, 22117, 22155
Support at 21422 (fib Resistance), 21300 ( trend line Support),
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( neutral)-
22308, Can achieve 22521 target
Support at 21422 ( Fib Support), 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Long Term
market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
however if Q3 results are good, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Nifty positional making money.Monday intraday<>
Mild gap up or flat opening will be good to go longs and resistance should hit first before it takes support once again.
Huge gap down will be neglected the view.
IMPORTANT-20300-20500 gap will fill before budget or after the budget it may fill depending on financial news.
>Just follow the trend you will never be in loss.
>Don't predict before closing levels for traps.
>Wait for the retest level which will be secure
and can avoid huge losses.
>Profit bookings according to your capital %.
>Don't use indicator on daily basis as stop loss can hit easy.