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NIFTY

23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. Preliminary Analysis Overview: The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines: The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction. There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend: Phase I: The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below): Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact). This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances). RI – 24,254.10 RII – 24,600 ~24,657 RIII – 25,100 ~25,120 *These values are not actual but merely levels. Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength). Reference: Phase II: Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves. --- **Important Dates to Remember: ** Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates: **January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP). **January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release. **January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release. --- **Final Verdict: ** The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level. --- **Strategy: ** Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise. ------ Fellow Traders, The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article. Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors! Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Best buy opportunity before +20% rise.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up every since the June 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Last week it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 27 2023 and this week touched the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it closes the 1W candle inside the Channel Up, the trend will technically remain bullish. The standard rally of the previous Bullish Legs has been +20%. As a result, we can remain bullish for now and target 27500 (just below the +20% mark). If it closes a week below the Channel Up, we may very well see further technical correction until it either hits the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W RSI gets bearish below 40.00 towards the bottom of its 3-year Rectangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradingShot
Bearish or Bounce Ahead? Here’s my detailed analysis and outlook for Nifty based on daily and weekly charts: Daily Chart Insights Trend: Nifty is in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lows since breaking 24,000. Currently consolidating near 23,500, which acts as a critical support zone. Volume Profile: High selling volume on down days shows persistent institutional pressure. Buyers are defending 23,500, but no strong confirmation of reversal yet. Key Levels: Resistance: 23,800-23,850: Immediate resistance with heavy Call OI. 24,050: Higher timeframe resistance. Support: 23,500: Immediate support. 23,400-23,350: Breach could lead to more downside. Indicators: RSI: Near oversold (~40), but no bullish divergence. Moving Averages: Below 50-DMA and 200-DMA, confirming bearish momentum. Weekly Chart Insights Trend: Downtrend continues, with Nifty failing to reclaim critical levels like 24,200. Last week’s bearish candle shows sellers remain dominant. Volume Profile: Increased selling volume on red candles confirms institutional sell-off. Buyers look weak below 23,500. Key Levels: Resistance: 24,000-24,200: Strong supply zone. 24,400: Major resistance for any upside rally. Support: 23,400-23,350: Breakdown could lead to 23,000. 23,000: Psychological and historical support zone. Indicators: RSI: Around 35, nearing oversold territory but with downside room. MACD: Bearish crossover confirms momentum on the downside. Prediction for the Month Bearish Case (High Probability): Failure to reclaim 23,800 could continue the downtrend. Breach of 23,500 may lead to: Target 1: 23,350. Target 2: 23,000. Bullish Case (Low Probability): Breakout above 23,800 could trigger a short-term rally: Target 1: 24,050. Target 2: 24,400. Outlook: The market remains moderately bearish for the next month unless strong buying emerges at 23,500 or a breakout above 23,800 occurs. What’s your view? Let’s discuss! Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please trade responsibly.
NSE:NIFTY
by thirdeyecs
Prospects of Further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. Pretty bad closing by Nifty today which has further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. As you can see we are near the bottom of the pennant structure. If the downside is broken by any chance possibility of further downside can not be ruled out. However if the support of today's low is maintained possibility of upside will open up. Silver lining in the cloud is DII being on buying side and RSI has take an upward turn with closing above yellow line. The supports for Nifty now are at 23463 Bollinger lower band support, 23380 and 23365 (Final Support). Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 23682 (Bollinger mid band), 23722 (Mother line resistance), 23787 (Bollinger upper band), 23889 and finally 23980 (Father line resistance). Above 23980 closing the door for further up side will open. With Medium term targets being at 24073, 24103, 24232, 24302 and finally 24401. Above 24401 closing Bulls can jump back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.01.2025On Wednesday, Nifty opened with a gap-up and touched a high of 23,751.85. However, it couldn’t sustain the momentum and dropped to a low of 23,496.15. It managed to close at 23,688.95, losing a modest 19 points over the previous close. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, reflecting indecision in the market. Demand/Support Zones Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 23,496.15 - 23,559.20 Near Support Level: 23,263 (low of 21st November 2024) Far Support Level: 23,189.88 (61.8% FIBO retracement) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,966.95 - 24,054.30 Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24,164.90 - 24,210.30 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,149.85 - 24,394.45 (tested) Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,567.65 - 25,234.05 (tested) Outlook Despite a gap-up start, Nifty struggled to hold gains. Watch for a breakdown below the support at 23,189 for potential bearish action. On the upside, crossing 24,400 could signal recovery.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPalan
Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263. The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are: 1) Mother line resistance near 23775. 2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010. 3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance. When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K. The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel. Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on. Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying. The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 08.01.2025On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap-up but traded within a narrow range, touching a high of 23,795.50 and a low of 23,637.80. The index ended the session at 23,707.90, gaining 92 points over the previous close. Both, the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. Demand/Support Zones Near Support Level: 23,263 (Low of 21st November 2024) Far Support Level: 23,189.88 (61.8% FIBO retracement) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,966.95 - 24,054.30 Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24,164.90 - 24,210.30 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,149.85 - 24,394.45 (tested) Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,567.65 - 25,234.05 (tested) Outlook After recent volatility, the Nifty appears to be consolidating within a narrow range. A break above the 24,400 resistance could trigger further upside, while support at 22,900 - 23,200 remains critical for bulls to defend. Watch these levels for potential breakout or breakdown opportunities.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPalan
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness. Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open. Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Nifty Intraday and Swing Trade Analysis For 06/01/25 And weekly In this post, I’m sharing my detailed analysis of Nifty 50’s recent price action, focusing on intraday and swing trades. This setup incorporates technical patterns, volume confirmation, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify high-probability trade opportunities. Key Observations Bearish Momentum Across Timeframes: Both daily and intraday charts show strong bearish trends validated by supply zones and volume spikes. Critical Levels Identified: Resistance: 24,200 - 24,400 (Supply Zone). Support: 23,950 (Intraday) and 23,700 - 23,500 (Swing Levels). Volume Profile: Volume spikes on breakdowns confirm institutional involvement. Trade Plan: Intraday Scenario 1: Sell Below 23,950 Entry: Below 23,950 (confirmed breakdown). Stop Loss: Above 24,050. Target 1: 23,900. Target 2: 23,850. Rationale: Break below 23,950 signals bearish continuation with strong seller dominance. Scenario 2: Buy Above 24,050 Entry: Above 24,050. Stop Loss: Below 23,950. Target 1: 24,100. Target 2: 24,150. Rationale: Reclaiming 24,050 indicates a potential bullish reversal. Confidence Level: Moderate (requires strong buying volume). SWING TRADING Scenario 1: Swing Sell Below 23,900 Entry: Below 23,900. Stop Loss: Above 24,150. Target 1: 23,700. Target 2: 23,500. Rationale: A breakdown below 23,900 aligns with the long-term bearish structure and supply rejection. Scenario 2: Swing Buy Above 24,200 Entry: Above 24,200. Stop Loss: Below 24,000. Target 1: 24,400. Target 2: 24,600. Rationale: Clearing the supply zone at 24,200 would confirm a trend reversal. Confidence Level: Moderate. Advanced Concepts Used Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Supply Zone: 24,200 - 24,400. Demand Zone: 23,700 - 23,500. Liquidity Trap: Below 23,950. Volume Confirmation: Selling volume spikes during breakdowns confirm bearish moves. Low-volume retracements suggest weak buying interest. Indicators: RSI: Below 50 on daily charts, supporting bearish momentum. MACD: Bearish crossover on daily charts aligns with the trend. Moving Averages: Price below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA reinforces bearish bias. Why This Trade Setup Stands Out This analysis combines the best of price action, volume confirmation, and advanced SMC tools. Each level and decision is backed by data and market behavior, ensuring a methodical approach to trading. Disclaimer The views and trade ideas shared in this post are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not financial advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial instruments. Trading involves significant risk, and you should carefully consider your financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by thirdeyecs
2