NIFTY
Nifty Weekend Update...alert!!!!Hey guys, currently nifty this week fall more then 4%, due to holidays FII are selling highly.
If you see the chart you can see nifty currently just above of 50WMA after huge selling pressure it still above the 50WMA, if this will break next week onwards we will enter a bear market for short term period, so in my opinion this is now a crucial moment so keep cash in hand for buying in the dip.
Another scenario if nifty will bounce break from this level or first breaking 50wma then trap all bears and then bounce back above 50WMA that will also good for nifty to continue its trend to 30K.
Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We have tried to draw a Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We will try to understand what is happening as per each indicator and try to get the jist of moves that may occur with a medium to long term perspective.
Indicator 1) Parallel Channel: The parallel channel indicates that after hitting the channel top at 26277 the Nifty is receding and is on a search of it's bottom from where it can launch forward again. That is the case when every time Nifty has it a channel top as you can see in the chart. The Future Channel Top once Nifty picks up the next Bull run seems to be around 29497 as per the parallel channel. Mid channel support of the parallel channel is around 23500 zone which can support Nifty. If we get a weekly closing below 23500 this level will become a resistance. In such a scenario of weekly closing below 23500 Channel bottom seems to be near 21296.
Indicator 2) Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement suggests a bottom near 23263. If this level is broken there is a possibility of Nifty falling to the next fibonacci supports will be at 22506 and 21577. Once the Bull run begins the next resistance levels as per Fibonacci seem to be at 24725, 26777 (Previous high), 27162 and finally 28331.
Indicator 3) Bollinger Band: Support with respect to lower width of Bollinger Band seems to be near 23340. Mid Bollinger band resistance seems to be near 24660 and Bollinger band upper width resistances seems to be near 25981.
Indicator 4) RSI or the Relative Strength Index: RSI currently is at 44.41 and going downwards showing weakness. The RSI support can be found in the zone of 40, 38 or 36. Usually When RSI is below 30 the stock or index is considered oversold and when the stock or index RSI is above 70 it is considered overbought. RSI Below 20 is extremely oversold zone and RSI above 80 is considered extremely overbought.
Indicator 5) MACD or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence: MACD is a combination of Moving averages lines which tend to indicate direction in which stock or index will move and histograms indicate strength or weakness of a rally. As per MACD Nifty right now is in extreme Bear grip and will take a little time to recover. When the Blue line will start moving upwards and when it might cross the red line and continue to move upwards it can be considered as Nifty will come back to Bull Zone. Colour of histograms at that time will also start going Dark Green or light Green.
Indicator 6) 50 and 200 weeks EMA or the Mother and Father line: I have designed a theory called Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. As per this theory the movement of index or a stock in the chart is like a movement of a 3 year old child when it goes to a garden. The movement of 50 EMA is like movement of the mother and movement of the 200 EMA is like movement of a Father of that child. To know more about this theory or other indicators mentioned earlier you need to read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. This book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. It is one of the Highest rated book in the category. Have a look at that book it will help you immensely in your wealth creation journey. Now as per this theory the Nifty right now is at 23587. 50 Weeks EMA is at 23403. 200 Weeks EMA is at 19335. as the Nifty is above these levels both these levels will work as a great support to Nifty and can help Nifty from falling further.
Conclusion: Nifty is approaching multiple supports from where it has potential to turnaround. Mid channel support is around 23500, 50 Weeks EMA support or the Mother line is at 23403. 23340 is the Bollinger band lower band width support. Fibonacci support is at 23263. We can see a turnaround mostly from either of these three supports. If these supports are broken by chance (looks less likely but you can never say never) then the next supports will be at 22507, 21296 or worst case scenario as of now looks like 19335. On the upper side resistances seem to be at 24660 Fibonacci mid resistance, 24725 is the Fibonacci resistance, 25981 is Bollinger band upper width resistance and 26277 is the Fibonacci resistnace which also the previous high of Nifty. Once this zone is crossed in a long term we can reach the targets of 27162 Fibonacci resistance, 28331 Fibonacci golden ratio resistnace and 29497 which is the approximate nex channel top. (This is the Medium to Long term outlook of Nifty).
This is how you can analyse any index or a stock using the 6 indicators mentioned in the writeup. I give top most priority to these 6 indicators in my analysis.
Disclaimer: Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible)
Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE).
Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend.
Possible Wave Counts:
Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend.
Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend.
Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend.
Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1).
Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Can The Major Support Zone Save Nifty From Falling Further?There is a triple Support zone that has been reached by Nifty. The Zone between today's low that is 23870 and 23692 has multiple supports of a trend line and Father Line of 200 day's EMA. Let us see if we have a revival from here. If that will be the case the next resistance zones will be 24019, 24175, 24416(Major Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) and 24529 (Major Trend Line Resistance).
If the support of 23870 is broken we will have to rely upon 23962 that is the major 200 day's EMa of Father line. If we get a closing below 23692 or the Father line. Bears will become more powerful and we may see them control the game. In such a scenario the supports will be at 23350, 23088 and 22828. So very critical weekly closing tomorrow. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to negative.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Plan for 20th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing idea in stock.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
As Expected Mother Line resistance has come into playAs we had expected in Yesterday's message the closing below Mother line yesterday meant that Mother line resistance was supposed to come into play today and it did. Nifty made a high of 24394 and ominous mother line resistance was near by as can be seen in the chart and Nifty got rejected from there. Now Nifty is tossed into bottom searching mode. Today's low that is 24149.85 was a support zone and we saw a closing above it at 24198 which is the silver lining in the cloud. If 24150 is respected tomorrow we can start seeing some range bound upside. If the support of 24150 is not respected and we get a closing below this level the further supports for Nifty will be at 23904, 23803 or Strong Father line support at 23689. If 23689 is broken we can see a low of 23291 or so as of now.
On the positive side if the support of 24150 is respected by Nifty the resistances on the upside will be near 24311, 24435 (Strong Mother line resistance), 24627, 24793 or even 24960. 24960 is a strong resistance to cross but if and when it is crossed we can see more upside as Bulls will start calling shots above this level.
Thus the most critical supports are 24150 and 23689. Most critical resistances will be 24435 as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Review and plan for 18th December 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing trade.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209.
The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.12.2024On Monday, Nifty opened negative, made an initial high of 24781.25 but slipped to a low of 24601.75 during the session. It closed at 24668.25, losing 100 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24180.80 - 24342.50
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (Current price inside the zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147.
The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.12.2024On Friday, Nifty opened on a negative note, dropping to a low of 24180.80, entering the Daily Demand Zone. However, it staged an impressive recovery, reaching a high of 24792.30, testing the 15m Supply Zone, and closed strong at 24768.30, up 219 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) is positive, signalling strength in the short term.
Demand/Support Zones
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24772.60 - 24857.75 (tested)
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
Note:
Resistance at 24700 breached: Nifty crossed this critical level and closed above it, a positive sign. Since Nifty is now trading within the Weekly Supply Zone (24567.65 - 25234.05), staying cautiously optimistic is recommended.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24
Nifty closed at 24677 (last week 4276) , for last 30-40 days nifty was in sideways movement. last week on the last day market touched 24200 and bounced back to 24677 .
RSI at 60.37 ,Macd signal is more than MACD and in positive for last 2 weeks (after 2 months).
But stochastics levels is sustaining above 90%, overbought position for the last 3 weeks.
Buy call on dips was given last week. Market bounced back in the last day and near to key resistances. FII started buying, in positive for Dec month, however not full fledge buying, hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time.
Maharashtra election win and US acquittal of Adani in bribe crime is a positive news and definitely helped Indian market to sustain above 24000. Outgoing RBI governor didnt change the interest rate. Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to move above 26000 to next targets of 27000.
I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term.
Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election .
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE (Currently in22.8) was in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. PE touched 21.5 and bounced back.
Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period , further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time.
Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyse and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile.
Nifty 24768 (PrevWeek 24677 ) Short term
Nifty short term resistance at 24800 0.5 Fib Resistance, once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target.
Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000
Medium Term next target is , if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance)
Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance).
Support at 21240
Daily Market UpdateFriday 13 December 2024
Gift Nifty was showing a 100 points gap down opening for the index. Nifty opened with 50 points gap down and fell 186 points (-0.76%) in the first hour. In the second hour, the index fell another -0.71% to 24180, the day’s low from where the recovery started. The second hour closed with a loss of 74 points (-0.30%) at 24278, just above the support of 24250. Then the market rallied in the third hour. It rose 281 points (1.16%) in the third hour and then continued to rise with every passing hour. Day’s high was 24792 and the index closed the day with a gain of 219 points (0.89%) at 24768. I mentioned in my report on 4 December 2024 that till 24100 is intact, this is a buy on dips market. Today was a confirmation of that.
All the sectoral indexes had a similar pattern on the hourly and daily charts.
Even Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 had a similar pattern. For Midcap, I wrote yesterday that “It closed below the rising trendline from which it fell on 7 November 2024. After a one way upside move, there is a possibility for the index to retrace to 58000/57500 (-1.69%/-2.54%).” Midcap 100 bounced from the low of 58012, just above the first support of 58000. It closed the day flat.
For the Smallcap 100, yesterday I mentioned that “It is possible for the index to retrace to the level of 19000/18930 (-2.39%/-2.75%) before making a fresh upside move.” 19047 was the low for the day and it closed with a loss of -0.30%.
Biggest sectoral gainers for the day were FMCG 1.29%, Infra 1.19%, Private Bank 0.80%, IT 0.64%, Auto 0.48% and Energy 0.46%. Whereas the biggest losers were Metal -0.72%, Media -0.59%, Realty -0.44%, Pharma -0.32% and PSU Bank -0.18%.
Reliance was down -1.22% in the opening hour. In the second hour, it made a doji with the low at 1239. Then the stock rallied and closed at 1272, near day’s high, which was 1275. It gained 0.79% for the day and closed in green for the first time this week.
Nifty is again a rising star..We today saw Nifty rising like a Phoenix to close the day at 24768 after making a low of 24180. In one of the most volatile session Nifty gained 588 points from day's low. The rise was from the right side bud of the star formation which gave superlative support to Nifty on the weekly chart. The weekly candle formation is of the shape of Thor's hammer which means further upside cannot be ruled out subject to Nifty closing above 24860. In such a scenario further resistances for Nifty will be at 25240 and 25514.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor. Link to buy my book from Amazon is available below in my signature.
25514 is the sigma resistance of the Star which can be little difficult to conquer but in case this level is conquered by Bulls further upside of 25665, 25919 and finally 26K+ levels cannot be ruled out. Supports for Nifty remain at 24500, 24184, 23907, 23396 (Mother line of 50 Weeks EMA) and finally 23187 which is the channel bottom support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.12.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened negative, attempting a recovery with a high of 24675.25, but succumbed to selling pressure, hitting a low of 24527.95. It closed at 24548.70, losing 93 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) stays positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 24330.20 - 24368.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (30m): 24140 - 24187.05
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24772.60 - 24857.75
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (Tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
Resistance at 24700: Nifty is struggling to break this level. A failure to sustain above it may lead to a drop toward the 24370 zone or lower.
Wave C down in NIFTY seem to have started ...NSE:NIFTY is in ABC correction mode and seem to have completed B and now starting C down. The minimum requirement for C is around 23000 which is 61.8% of wave A. Other important levels are around 22500 and 22000, 78.6% and 100% of A respectively.
There might be pullbacks on the way down but all major swing highs should hold from here till we do at least 23K.
Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode. Trendline sending Nifty in consolidation mode for last few days. The positive thing is that Nifty is still holding above 50 hours EMA which we call Mother Line. The Mother line is at 24545 and the closing we got today is 24548. So Mother line still remains support. There is an additional support at 24500 too in addition to Father line which is 200 Hours EMA is also a very important support. Father line is at 24364. Below 24364 Nifty will become weak again and we can see it fall to the levels of 24100, 23907 and 23187. Resistances for Nifty remain at 24723, 24904, 25240 and finally 25514. 25514 will be a strong resistance. If we get a closing above 25514 Bulls have potential to grip the market very firmly and take it to previous highs if not new highs.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Good consolidation by Nifty. Getting ready for another jump?The positive close today and the movement inside the star is indicative of a small or medium jump before it takes another break for consolidation if Nifty can continue to hold ground and close above critical resistance of 24743. Crossing and closing above 24743 is very important for this to happen. If we get a closing above 24743 the next resistances will be at the levels of 24904, 25240 and 25514. 25514 region looks again like a strong resistance zone which will require another consolidation or strong Bullish momentum to cross that zone.
If Nifty is not able to close above 24743 then the current rally can become weak or we can even see fizzling out of the same. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 24422 (50 EMA Strong Mother line support on daily candle chart), 24294 and 24100. Below 24100 there is a strong support zone between 23907 Star base support, 23648 (200 days EMA very strong Father line support on daily chart), 23187. (Which is a very very strong support as it has the star bottom coinciding with Channel bottom support.)(This seems to be the worst case scenario as of now in unlikely circumstances).
If you want to learn more about charts, Candle stick analytics, Fundamental analysis, Mother and Father line importance, How to book profits, how to find a balance between Technical and fundamental analysis through Happy Candles Numbers, understand behavioural Finance and other interesting topics by learning which you can make your money work harder you should read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION which is available on Amazon in paperback and kindle version. E-version of the same is available on Google Play Books too. The link to purchase the book is available at the bottom of this page in the signature section.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.