Nifty50
Mother Line comes to rescue for the Nifty today but can it hold?Mother Line or the 50 days EMA comes to rescue for the Nifty today but can it hold? It looks little difficult due to the global Bear onslaught. In such situations we know from the Father, Mother and the small Child story that mostly Father line of 200 days EMA can provide proper support. However before we reach there and not necessarily we reach there as there are some important supports for Nifty. The other supports for Nifty from where it can potentially make a turnaround seem to be at: 23963 (Mother Line provides support again / Support confirmation), 23673 is the mid channel support, 22788 to 22641 is also a good support zone. Below 22641 we have Father line support at 22242. Final support for Nifty is 21879. Resistances on the upper side are now at 24214, 24342 and 24714. Shadow of the candles are still dark red.
To know more about the father, mother and small child story read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and E-book version.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVE;S FOR 05 AUG 2024BUY - 24780
SL - 24710
TARGETS - 24850,24900,24960
SELL - 24710
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24660,24590,24530
NO TRADE ZONE - 24710 to 24780
Previous Day High - 24850
Previous Day Low - 24710
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
#Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 5th-9th Aug 2024#Nifty50 stumbled this week, closing at 24717, a 110-point drop from the previous week. While it danced between 25078 and 24686, staying true to its predicted 25400-24300 range, underlying daily chart weakness is undeniable. Yet, the weekly and monthly perspectives remain bullish. Expect Nifty to continue its tightrope walk between 25000 and 24400 next week. A breakout on either side could ignite significant volatility. A potential support level of 24400 might be a sweet spot for new long positions. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th could trigger another selling wave. Until then, cautious optimism and controlled positions are key.
Meanwhile, the S&P500 experienced a 5% correction from its 5566 peak, finding support at the WEMA21 level of 5300. If this support holds, a fresh upward rally towards 5400, 5433, 5500, or even 5566 could be on the cards, potentially buoying Indian markets.
Let me know your views in the comments section. thanks for reading
Major Global Events unfolding. Be Alert!Major Global Event 1): Conflict in the Middle East is heating up with possibility of direct conflict between Iran and Israel increasing by every hour.
Major Global Event 2): Japan has increased the interest rate by 0.25%. This is just the second hike in 17 years. Now US FED increases or decreases rates to control and Monitor inflation this happens and it has global consequences. Similarly Bank of Japan's move is huge. The money that Japanese investors were investing (And Japan has big investors) was almost at 0 to negligible interest rate. Now there is a possibility that they sell big across the globe.
Consequences on Indian Market: India is in much better position to tackle these events economically but still we can not be immune to such events of mass scale. There is a very big chance of temporary effect on Indian indices. Over the long run these uncertainties will have less effect. In the medium to long run India is a bull market and will remain so. Panic selling should be avoided but keep your stop losses in place to protect the capital. Keep Trailing stop losses in place to guard your profits. Cash and money in hand is also a good position sometimes in the market.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24407, 23960 is the 50 Days EMA or mother line, 23283 and 22224 is the 200 days EMA or Father line. Below this line Bears can absolutely over power Bulls. Final Support For Nifty will be at 21879.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24904, 25037 and recent high of 25078.
This message is not to instill fear or knee jerk reaction but it aims to make you conscious about the Macro events that can affect your portfolio.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
As mentioned yesterday Profit Booking was seen post new High. As we had discussed in yesterday's message after making a new high of 25078 there was strong profit booking in many stocks specially Mid, Small and Micro caps. Market breadth turned negative with 784 advances Vs 1588 declines. This is a natural phenomenon and we cant surely say how long the profit booking can go on. Nifty actually did well to close above 25K at 25010. 25037 was mentioned as a strong resistnace. Nifty momentarily went above it but could not sustain the levels. Nifty made a low of 24956 and bounced back.
We had again indicated that 24957 was a good support. (yesterday's Message). Same level is the key as Nifty can again try to confirm it's bottom for consolidation. In case 24957 is it's temporary bottom Nifty can rise further and again take an aim at closing above previous high of 25078.
Supports for Nifty remain at 24957, 24887 and the zone between 24833 and 24806(Mother line). If we get a closing below 24806, 24773 or 24661 might come in play. Resistances for Nifty remain at 25037, 25078 and 25116.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -01/08/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 25000 level and then possible upside rally up to 25120 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 24950 level then the downside target can go up to the 24830 level.
Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K.Good Positive move by Nifty today trying to clear deck for 25K. Nifty right now is in no mood to stop but traders and investors should be very clear with the stop losses and Trailing stop losses as we have seen that when a new Peak or significant Psychological target is achieved there can be a bout of profit booking. Nifty may again dive downwards to find and confirm it's significant support. Investors should keep this in mind.
Supports For Nifty right now seem to be near: 24942, 24887, 24833, 24773, 24741 (Very important Mother Line Support of 50 hour's EMA), below Mother line we have mid channel support at 24661. Below 24661 bears can awaken from coma and have potential drag the nifty till 24496 or even 24375. The final support zone for Nifty is between Father line (200 Hour's EMA) at 24282 and Channel bottom near 24250. Below 24250 can be pure bear territory.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: Zone near previous high between 24985 to 24999 crossing which the next resistance will be near 25037. If we get a closing above 25037 Nifty can reach 25116. Major trend top as well as channel top seems to be between 25174 to 25200 range.
Trade and invest with caution. Stoplosses are our friends which protect our capital. Trailing stop losses are our best friends which protect our Profits. To know more about Mother Father line and their significance and to learn Techno Funda analysis we recommend you read the book The Happy Candles Way. Which is available on Amazon on paperback version. Kindle version of the same book is also available on Amazon Kindle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty again tried to conquer 25K but unsuccessful Nifty again today tried to conquer 25K but fell short and reversed from 24971. Twice unable to conquer 25K has formed a temporary Double top type structure indicating weakness not massive but just a little bit. Weakness can creep in if the 24833 and 24773 are broken. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24887, 24957, 24999 and 25037. If 24773 is broken Nifty becomes meaker and then the supports remain at 24676 (Mother Line or 50 EMA Support). 24599 will be the mid channel support. Below 24599 the major supports will be at 24496, 24375 and 24234 (200 EMA support or Father line support.) Below 24234 Bears will totally try to dominate the proceeding.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 31 JULY 2024BUY - 24860
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24930,25000,25080
SELL - 24780
SL - 24930
TARGETS - 24710,24660,24590
NO TRADE ZONE - 24780 to 24860
Previous Day High - 25000
Previous Day Low - 24780
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. 24773 is a critical support to watch going forward. If that support is not broken tomorrow or later this week we can see upside once again with resistances at 24871, 24957, 24999 (today's high) and finally 25037. Supports at the lower side are at as mentioned 24773, 24661, 24606 (50 hour's EMA (Mother Line) merging with Mid channel support. Making this support as another major critical support after 24773. Below 24606 bears will get back to business and can further drag the Nifty to 24496 or even 24375. The rally can turn around and loose steam completely if we get a closing below the final support zone of 24218 and 24186(200 hour's EMA father line). Channel bottom is also round about that area.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 30/07/2024BUY ABOVE - 24860
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24930,25000,25080
SELL BELOW - 24780
SL - 24930
TARGETS - 24930,25000,25080
NO TRADE ZONE - 24780 to 24860
Previous Day High - 25000
Previous Day Low - 24780
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Fibonacci sequence drawn on recent peak/bottom shows upsideThe Fibonacci sequence when drawn on recent peak and valley is showing a decent upside still if a major trend line resistance near 24967 is crossed and we get a closing above it. In such a scenario the peak of the current up trend seems to be near 25593. We have got a decent closing above an important fibonacci level of 24707. This becomes an important support now. Below 24707 the significant support levels are 24091, 23931, 23757 (50 days EMA, Mother line)(Read my book The Happy Candles Way available on Amazon to understand more about the Mother father and the small child concept/story.) If we get a closing below 23757, 23400 and 22814 are major support before we hit 200 day EMA or father line at 22088(Below which Bears will be in full power but we are far away from that zone as of now).
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 29TH JULY 2024BUY ABOVE - 24860
SL - 24780
TARGETS - 24930,25000,25080
SELL BELOW - 24780
SL - 24930
TARGETS - 24930,25000,25080
NO TRADE ZONE - 24780 to 24860
Previous Day High - 24860
Previous Day Low - 24440
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty On Upside On Daily ChartThis is the daily timeframe chart of Nifty where Nifty50, and Indian index stayed in consolidation for almost and month, and now, after the breakout, it is ready to balloon as the recent candle (at the time of publishing this idea has formed a full strong green candle which indicates a positive momentum in the index.
However, any rally without corrections seems to be unhealthy as the market might not digest the rally and calm down such movement.
H&S PATTERN - CHEMICAL HOT STOCK - AARTI INDAarti Industries Ltd, the flagship company of the Aarti group, manufacturing organic and inorganic chemicals at its major facilities in Vapi, Jhagadia, Dahej and Kutch, in Gujarat and in Tarapur in Maharashtra. The company has a strong market position in the NCB-based specialty chemicals segment.
Fundamentally : Neutral
Technically : Neutral to bullish
Happy Trading :)
SWANENERGY BREAKOUTSwan Energy Limited (SEL) was originally incorporated in 1909 as Swan Mills Ltd. (SML), a manufacturer and marketer of cotton and polyester textile products in India. Over the years, it has diversified into real estate and is developing a floating storage and regasification unit-based liquid natural gas (LNG) import terminal at Jafrabad in Gujarat.
FUNDAMENTALS
Pros
Strong sales growth of 249%.
Significant profit growth of 584%.
Good liquidity with a current ratio of 3.13.
Manageable debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55.
Diversified business into real estate and LNG.
Long-standing market presence since 1909.
Cons
High P/E ratio of 76.2, suggesting overvaluation.
Low dividend yield of 0.01%.
Modest return ratios: ROCE 8.28% and ROE 7.03%.
High price-to-book ratio of 3.65.
Total debt of ₹3,440 crore.
Exposure to industry volatility in the LNG sector.
Overall financial strength : 73/100
TECHNICALS
Prices are above 21, 50, 200 day EMA and 200 day MA.
Stock corrected nearly 40%+ from the top.
Weak Correction is suggesting that the supply is fading.
RSI : 63; indicating buying momentum.
MACD Crossover on Daily & Weekly time frame.
Stock was trading in a range for 4 months and finally broke out and retested the level of 680–665.
A teeny-tiny rounding bottom pattern formation.
ACTION
Above 750, it's a big base breakout, so one can capitalise on the momentum for a target of 795 (short-term positional).
For a little longer horizon, can hold it for 892.65 and 987 levels (fundamentally good company)
Aggressive traders can deploy small portion of capital above 750 if crosses with good volume spike.
Safe ones can wait for a retest at 747–755 level.
Now as per technical analysis, SL should be placed at around 645–650ish, but the RR isn't too fair for short term traders, so they can either place SL below the 21-day EMA.
This is just my analysis and research. I shall not be responsible for anyone's loss.
Happy Trading :)
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 29th July-2nd Aug 2024Nifty roars to new heights, scaling a weekly peak of 24,830, a sizzling 300 points above the prior week's close. This bullish run, marked by a high of 24,861 and a low of 24,074, was anticipated by many. As predicted, the Union Budget unleashed a wave of volatility, with the Nifty diving 2% initially due to increased LTCG, STCG, and the removal of indexation benefits. Yet, the index swiftly recovered, mirroring the market's resilience.
This volatility created golden opportunities for savvy investors. Stocks like IRFC and IRB plunged by 20-30% on budget day, only to rebound sharply, indicating a rush to capitalize on these dips. Nifty has been tightly confined between 25,000 and 23,950, a range it's respected diligently. For the upcoming week, I expect a trading band of 25,400 to 24,300. A breakout from either end promises exciting fireworks.
While the daily chart shows some weakness, the weekly and monthly trends remain robust. A decisive close above 24,900 next week could ignite a rally towards 26,300. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th casts a shadow, potentially triggering another round of selling. Until then, the bullish undercurrent is likely to persist.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 26TH JULY 2024BUY ABOVE - 24440
SL - 24360
TARGETS - 24530,24530,24590
SELL BELOW - 24360
SL - 24440
TARGETS - 24310,24230,24160
NO TRADE ZONE - 24360 to 24440
Previous Day High - 24440
Previous Day Low - 24230
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Positive from today: RSI getting stronger, Trendline crossed.Support and resistances for Nifty almost remain the same after action today but the positives are that RSI is getting stronger, Trendline resistance is crossed and an additional support at 24210 is gained. The obstacle still remains at Mother Line that is 50 hours EMA currently at 24455. For Nity to be bullish we need a closing first above 24455 and then above 24525.
Supports For Nifty: 24307, 24210 and zone between 24094 and 24074 is very strong support zone as it includes Father line (200 Hours EMA.)
Resistances for Nifty: 24455 (50 hours EMA or Mother Line), 24525, 24584, 24686 and finally 24842.
Note:-
To know more about Father mother and the small child story and it's connection to 50 and 200 EMA read The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.