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Nifty50

#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 . Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone. Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels. Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Best buy opportunity before +20% rise.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up every since the June 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Last week it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 27 2023 and this week touched the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it closes the 1W candle inside the Channel Up, the trend will technically remain bullish. The standard rally of the previous Bullish Legs has been +20%. As a result, we can remain bullish for now and target 27500 (just below the +20% mark). If it closes a week below the Channel Up, we may very well see further technical correction until it either hits the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W RSI gets bearish below 40.00 towards the bottom of its 3-year Rectangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradingShot
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
Prospects of Further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. Pretty bad closing by Nifty today which has further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. As you can see we are near the bottom of the pennant structure. If the downside is broken by any chance possibility of further downside can not be ruled out. However if the support of today's low is maintained possibility of upside will open up. Silver lining in the cloud is DII being on buying side and RSI has take an upward turn with closing above yellow line. The supports for Nifty now are at 23463 Bollinger lower band support, 23380 and 23365 (Final Support). Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 23682 (Bollinger mid band), 23722 (Mother line resistance), 23787 (Bollinger upper band), 23889 and finally 23980 (Father line resistance). Above 23980 closing the door for further up side will open. With Medium term targets being at 24073, 24103, 24232, 24302 and finally 24401. Above 24401 closing Bulls can jump back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
LongThe intrinsic value of Reliance Industries is currently estimated at ₹2,481, while the stock is trading significantly lower at ₹1,250. This presents a compelling opportunity for long-term investors, I am long at ₹1,220. Given the strong market capitalization of Reliance and its impressive track record of growth and performance over the years, these current levels appear to be an attractive entry point. As the company continues to expand its footprint in sectors like telecommunications, energy, retail, and digital services, the stock is poised for substantial long-term appreciation. For investors looking to build or add to their positions, the current price levels offer a promising opportunity to accumulate shares at a discount to its intrinsic value, with a potential upside towards ₹2,481 in the medium to long term.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Shivkumar600
longThe outlook for this automotive giant looks extremely promising, especially with the future of the electric vehicle (EV) market in the next 5 years. As EV adoption continues to accelerate globally, this company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. I am currently long at 750 and have a plan to add more to my position if the market pulls back from its current levels. Should we see a dip, I believe it presents a valuable opportunity to accumulate more shares at favorable prices. With the increasing shift toward electric vehicles, the company’s strong market presence and technological advancements should drive substantial growth. Holding for new highs over the next several months and years seems a solid strategy, as the long-term potential remains strong in an evolving, green-focused automotive landscape.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by Shivkumar600
longThe market has recently bounced from the 50% retracement level, presenting a great opportunity for investors to enter long positions. This pullback has created an attractive entry point for those looking to position themselves for future gains. I am currently long at 2,700, with a positive outlook for the coming months and years. If the market experiences any further drops from the current levels, the 2,400 range also provides a solid entry opportunity. This level could act as strong support, offering an ideal spot to accumulate more positions at favorable prices.
NSE:COLPALLong
by Shivkumar600
long Investors should monitor these key levels as potential entry points for long positions, especially if you're positioning for the next bull run. It’s crucial to time your buys carefully and maintain a balanced approach when building long positions. Start accumulating gradually as these levels offer a good risk-to-reward ratio, but be mindful of the market's volatility. Personally, I’m long at 4,700 and looking for further opportunities to scale in as the market develops. Keep an eye on price action around these zones and consider dollar-cost averaging to manage risk effectively.
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by Shivkumar600
Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263. The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are: 1) Mother line resistance near 23775. 2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010. 3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance. When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K. The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel. Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on. Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying. The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibonacci Support & Resistances for Nifty (Medium term outlook).Important Fibonacci support for Nifty drawn on daily line chart of Nifty is at 23349. Below 23349 closing bears can have a field day and can create havoc but that looks less likely as of now. The closing today is 23207 which is just above 200 days EMA or the father line which is a good sign. Father line was at 23700. On the upside the Fibonacci resistance for Nifty seem to be at 23902, 24170 (Important Mother line Resistance) 24236, 24467, 24780 and finally Fibonacci Golden ratio from the current levels is at 25185. It will take some doing from the Bulls to close above this level. This presents the medium time frame outlook for the Nifty. RSI indicator also seems to have taken an upward swing but mid level is yet to be crossed for that indicator. MACD indicator suggests that Moving averages are fighting hard to converge and bring back some bullish momentum into the market to infuse some life into the Bull who are trying to come out of comma. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness. Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open. Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Nifty50 Trendline Retest – What’s Next for Traders?The Nifty50 is at a decisive point, retesting a key breakout level. Here's my take on the key levels to watch and how traders can approach the market Nifty50 Analysis - 5th January What's Happening? Nifty 50 is at a make-or-break point. It recently broke out of a downward trendline, which is usually a good sign for bulls, but now the index is retesting that breakout. How it reacts at these levels will set the tone for the next move. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance Zones: - 24,222 - 24,347 - 24,528 - Support Zones: - 23,990 - 23,897 - 23,790 - 23,592 Possible Scenarios: 1. The Bullish Path: If Nifty holds above 24,057 and shows strength, we could see a move to 24,222, and if the momentum is strong enough, it might even test 24,347 or 24,528. 2. The Bearish Path: If the price drops below 23,897, things could get dicey, with the index likely heading toward 23,790 and 23,592. How to Trade This? - For the Bulls: Look for sustained buying above 24,057 to go long. Targets: 24,222, 24,347. Stop loss: Below 23,897. - For the Bears: If the price slips below 23,897, you might want to short. Targets: 23,790, 23,592. Stop loss: Above 24,057. Final Thoughts: This is one of those moments where patience pays off. Let Nifty show its hand before jumping in. Watch those key levels closely, and always trade with a plan (and a stop loss!). NSE:NIFTY Let me know your thoughts on this setup! Do you think bulls will hold, or will bears take over?
NSE:NIFTY
by thetradeforecast
1
#nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500, 6-10th Jan 2025The Nifty Index this week staged a rally, closing at 24,004, a 200-point surge from the previous week. This bullish move, driven by a classic "W" pattern as predicted, saw highs of 24,226 and lows of 23,460. However, profit-taking by large players triggered a decline, confining the index within my anticipated range of 24,300-23,400. For the upcoming week, I expect a trading range of 24,500-23,400 . A breach below 23,400 could find support at the 23,200-23,300 zone. A weekly close below this level would be a significant bearish signal, potentially triggering further selling pressure towards the 22,250 level. Conversely, a sustained move above 24,770 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, though this scenario currently appears challenging. The S&P 500 also exhibited resilience this week, closing at 5,942 despite breaching the crucial support of 5,850. This formed a long-legged candle, indicating strong demand at lower levels. To reignite its upward momentum, the S&P 500 needs to close consecutively above 6,093. This bullish confirmation could propel it towards 6,142, 6,225, and even 6,376, providing a much-needed boost to global markets
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Mid-Channel Resistance on Hourly charts Stops Nifty. The parallel channel is a channel in which the stock or index travels for a particular period of time. The upper frame of the channel acts as a strong resistance and the lower frame of the index acts as a support. Mid channel works in a dual way. If the price or the index level is above the Mid-Channel it acts as support if the price or the index level is below the Mid-Channel the line acts as resistance. Also on the daily chart of Nifty the level of 24212 was a Mother line Resistance of 50 day's EMA. Nifty today made a high of 24196 and retreated from there so it can be safely said that these 2 levels 24212(Mother line) and 24226 (Mid Channel resistance see in the chart will be most important resistances moving forward into the next week and probably full month. There is also a news of HPMV Virus outbreak in China as Trump resumes Presidency. Quarterly Results have already started flowing in and good results are expected this time around unlike traditionally weak October quarter. Additionally we are near the budget and there are news trickling in about relief to the Middle Class. Which can spark a pre-budget rally. So the signals from international market, technical analysis and on the local front. Next week is very important with perspective of full month of January. Nifty Supports Remain at: 23989, 23902 (50 Hours Mother Line), 23797, 23540 (channel bottom Support) and finally 23279. Below 23279 closing Nifty has potential to fall totally into the bear grip. This does not look likely unless there is a catastrophic global event. Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24086 (200 Hours EMA or the Father line Resistance), 24226 (Mid Channel Resistance), 24348, 24556, 24779, 24919 and finally 25025 (Channel top resistance).
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Blue or Red - Which Alternative Would Play Out in NIFTY50?I see two major possibilities in NSE:NIFTY from Elliott Wave perspective, marked in red and blue. As per blue counts, B of ABC down was done at 24857.75 and we are in C down. The downmove in C so far was corrective W (internally WXYXZ, or triple zigzag) so the bounce this week should be X. X has already retraced more than 50%, though less than 61.8%, so there is a possibility this X is complete and wave Y down within larger wave C will unfold next week. Having said that, X may not be over and might do 61.8% or more so that leaves some more room on the upside followed by Y down. On the other hand, as per red counts, we are still in wave B of ABC down. 61.8% of the A is around 25125 so B might make an attempt towards or beyond that level. Once that's done, C should unfold on the downside. Bigger picture is that, C down is still pending (or already in progress as per blue count) in both scenarios. If we break the low of 23460 then blue wave counts would likely play out. But if we break this week's high of 23226.70 then either blue or red counts could be in play as per the upside levels mentioned in both cases. Let's see on which side camel will sit ...
NSE:NIFTY
by YetAnotherTA
Nifty Stages Massive Comeback. But Will The Mother Line Relent? Nifty has staged a massive comeback today on the back of FII buying today. Nifty made a high of 24226 but Mother line Resistance (50 day's EMA at 24221) pushed it back a bit and it ended the day at 24188. If the mother line relents tomorrow and if we can get a weekly closing above 24221 tomorrow Bulls have potential to take the momentum forward into January with a possibility of Budget rally. The supports for Nifty remain at 23926, 23698 (Father Line Support of 200 day's EMA), 23494 and finally 23238. Below 23238 all hell can break loose and bears will have potential to Pull Nifty further down. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24221 (Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) followed by 24389, 24600 and 24876 before Nifty snatches back 25K levels. Shadow of the candle remains neutral to positive but it can turn neutral or even negative if Mother line resistance comes into play again. The best possibility for Nifty remains if it can get a gap up opening above 24221. This can happen if we get good support from International indices and Gift Nifty tonight. Tomorrow's closing will be very important as it is the first weekly closing for the year. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment