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Nifty50

#Nifty50 Market Update: A Week of Weakness and What Lies Ahead This week, Nifty closed at 23,203, down by 228 points from the previous week's close. It touched a high of 23,391 and a low of 23,047, reflecting a volatile yet cautious market sentiment. The candlestick pattern for the week is indicative of weak market sentiment, signaling growing bearish pressure. As highlighted last week, the market saw a bounce used by institutional players to offload their positions, leading to a sharp pullback. The Nifty was confined within the range of 23,950 to 22,900, as anticipated. Looking ahead, I expect Nifty to continue oscillating between 23,750 and 22,700 in the coming week. From a monthly perspective, the market remains in a selling phase, and until either the monthly or weekly timeframes shift into the buying zone, or Nifty tests key support levels near 22,400/22,300, the bears will likely maintain control. S&P500 Update: Recovery with Caution Over in the US, the S&P 500 has bounced back from the lows of 5,773 and closed just below the critical Fibonacci resistance level of 6,013. If the index manages to stay above 6,013 next week, we could see it testing higher resistance levels around 6,100. However, expect potential selling pressure to kick in on Monday, and if the index dips below 5,900, it could test key support levels at 5,821, 5,773, or even 5,700. Bottom Line: Brace for Volatility Ahead In conclusion, selling pressure is expected to persist in the markets for the time being. Traders should prepare for a bumpy ride as we navigate through these volatile conditions. Stay alert, manage risk, and keep an eye on critical support and resistance levels.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Closing above Mother line & Pitchfork median line unsuccessful.Nifty tried hard to close above Mother line of 50 Weeks EMA and Pitchfork median line this week but was unsuccessful. Closing above 23433 is imperial for Nifty to gain a bullish momentum. Pitchfork is used to determine the long term trend of Nifty. In this particular chart the Pitchfork starts from 2021 and extends till 2026 end. The upper side has lot of potential as you can see the top is leading towards 32.5K+. Even the Median line is leading towards the target close to 29K. Supports for Nifty in the medium term because of the current bearish trend are at 22.8K, 21.8K, 21.2K, 20.2K and finally 200 Weeks EMA or the Father line at 19.5K.(This looks improbable as of now on chart as these levels are even below the pitchfork trend channel.) Usually the tops and bottoms of Pitchfork channel are not easy to break hence the worst case scenario as of now looks like 20.2K. Looking at the bigger picture IMF has declared a robust outlook for India for the next 3 years with GDP growing at an average of 6.63% for the next 3 years. (2025-6.5%, 2026-6.7% and 6.7%). However actual GDP growth can be much higher if the Government remains stable for a sustained period of time. The IMF estimates should be taken with a pinch of salt. Long term investors can utilise every fall to add some blue chips. Remain selective in Mid and Small cap space as the PE in some of the Mid and small cap companies are still at unsustainable levels even after this fall. For Bulls to be back in business we need a weekly closing above Pitchfork median and Mother line at 23433. Weekly Closing above 23433 would have potential to take us near 24.5K or even above 25.5K levels in the short to medium term. Closing below 22.8K can bring little more wait and pain for investors. Good effort by Nifty this week but closing was not good. We need a strong move next week for Bulls to be back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results. Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results and closed 98 points up at 23311. Real test is the level of between 23377 (Mother Line) and 23398 (Important Resistance). This includes today's high and Mother line resistance and another important resistance. After closing above this zone the next resistances will be at 23469, 23598, 23736 and finally 23770 (Father Line resistance of Hourly chart.) Supports for Nifty on the lower side now remain at 23267, 23147 and 23053. If we get a poor result for Reliance these levels will be tested once again and there will be pressure on Bulls and Bears will again try to overpower Nifty. The tussle has reached a delicate stage now and thing can give. (Either a Breakout of Breakdown). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
ShortI am currently reassessing my targets for the Nifty. If the level of 23,080 is breached and the index closes below this support, I will adjust my target to around 20,200, as this would indicate a more significant market correction is underway. This level aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally, which further strengthens the case for this correction. In my view, this level is not only plausible but inevitable, given the current market dynamics. The broader market is signaling a potential major top, which suggests that the risk of further downside is increasing. In this environment, simply averaging into the market can be highly risky, as it may expose investors to larger losses if the market continues to decline. Instead, I recommend adopting a more strategic approach to portfolio construction, focusing on calculated risks. This means selectively building positions based on strong, risk-adjusted opportunities rather than committing large capital indiscriminately. It’s essential to have a clear risk management plan in place, especially in volatile conditions like the current market environment.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Shivkumar600
Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
ShortFor the past three months, I’ve been closely monitoring the market, anticipating a downturn ever since the formation of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. As predicted, the market has indeed experienced a decline. A decisive close below the 20,080 level would likely trigger an accelerated sell-off, pushing the market towards the next key support zone around 21,900. Looking ahead, there’s a strong possibility of a deeper correction, with a potential drop towards the 19,200 range in the coming weeks or months. This correction could present an opportunity for those who are prepared to enter at more favorable levels. It’s crucial to recognize that the current market environment is a classic trap for speculators. The temptation to jump in and chase market moves, especially during volatile periods, can lead to poor entry points and significant losses. Patience is key; it’s far more advantageous to wait for optimal buying levels rather than succumbing to the urge to act impulsively. The most prudent approach now is to stay disciplined, avoid chasing rallies, and instead look for solid entry points when the market shows signs of stabilizing. Risk management should be a top priority, and investors should always be prepared for potential volatility and unexpected market movements. In these types of conditions, making informed decisions based on solid technical analysis and market structure is critical, rather than getting swayed by short-term noise or emotions. The market will offer opportunities in time, but it’s essential to remember that timing and patience often make the difference between success and failure in volatile markets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Shivkumar600
LongThe market has recently experienced a strong rally, successfully completing a W pattern, signaling a bullish reversal. However, given the recent momentum, it is likely that we could see some pullbacks in the near term as the market consolidates. Additionally, the Nifty has shown signs of weakness which could contribute to further corrections. Once a stable bottom is established after this pullback, it would present an ideal opportunity to build long positions. With the broader bullish trend intact and the W pattern indicating a potential continuation, targeting 3800 could be a realistic goal for the next phase of the rally. This target aligns with the measured move from the W pattern, and if the market resumes its upward trajectory, reaching 3800 would seem plausible.
NSE:LUPINLong
by Shivkumar600
#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 . Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone. Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels. Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Best buy opportunity before +20% rise.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up every since the June 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Last week it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 27 2023 and this week touched the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it closes the 1W candle inside the Channel Up, the trend will technically remain bullish. The standard rally of the previous Bullish Legs has been +20%. As a result, we can remain bullish for now and target 27500 (just below the +20% mark). If it closes a week below the Channel Up, we may very well see further technical correction until it either hits the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W RSI gets bearish below 40.00 towards the bottom of its 3-year Rectangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradingShot
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
Prospects of Further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. Pretty bad closing by Nifty today which has further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. As you can see we are near the bottom of the pennant structure. If the downside is broken by any chance possibility of further downside can not be ruled out. However if the support of today's low is maintained possibility of upside will open up. Silver lining in the cloud is DII being on buying side and RSI has take an upward turn with closing above yellow line. The supports for Nifty now are at 23463 Bollinger lower band support, 23380 and 23365 (Final Support). Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 23682 (Bollinger mid band), 23722 (Mother line resistance), 23787 (Bollinger upper band), 23889 and finally 23980 (Father line resistance). Above 23980 closing the door for further up side will open. With Medium term targets being at 24073, 24103, 24232, 24302 and finally 24401. Above 24401 closing Bulls can jump back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
LongThe intrinsic value of Reliance Industries is currently estimated at ₹2,481, while the stock is trading significantly lower at ₹1,250. This presents a compelling opportunity for long-term investors, I am long at ₹1,220. Given the strong market capitalization of Reliance and its impressive track record of growth and performance over the years, these current levels appear to be an attractive entry point. As the company continues to expand its footprint in sectors like telecommunications, energy, retail, and digital services, the stock is poised for substantial long-term appreciation. For investors looking to build or add to their positions, the current price levels offer a promising opportunity to accumulate shares at a discount to its intrinsic value, with a potential upside towards ₹2,481 in the medium to long term.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Shivkumar600
longThe outlook for this automotive giant looks extremely promising, especially with the future of the electric vehicle (EV) market in the next 5 years. As EV adoption continues to accelerate globally, this company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. I am currently long at 750 and have a plan to add more to my position if the market pulls back from its current levels. Should we see a dip, I believe it presents a valuable opportunity to accumulate more shares at favorable prices. With the increasing shift toward electric vehicles, the company’s strong market presence and technological advancements should drive substantial growth. Holding for new highs over the next several months and years seems a solid strategy, as the long-term potential remains strong in an evolving, green-focused automotive landscape.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by Shivkumar600
longThe market has recently bounced from the 50% retracement level, presenting a great opportunity for investors to enter long positions. This pullback has created an attractive entry point for those looking to position themselves for future gains. I am currently long at 2,700, with a positive outlook for the coming months and years. If the market experiences any further drops from the current levels, the 2,400 range also provides a solid entry opportunity. This level could act as strong support, offering an ideal spot to accumulate more positions at favorable prices.
NSE:COLPALLong
by Shivkumar600