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Nifty Analysis EOD – August 8, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 8, 2025 – Friday 🔴 From Yesterday’s Glory to Today’s Gloom — Bulls Knocked Off the Board Today’s market was a textbook case of how quickly momentum can flip. Yesterday’s 289-point bullish surge was completely erased, with Nifty ending deep in the red and closing at the day’s low. Sellers clearly had the upper hand, leaving little room for bulls to breathe. 🗞 Nifty Summary Friday opened with a 65-point gap-down — right below the crucial 24,580 support zone — and that level instantly showed rejection. In the first 45 minutes, Nifty slipped 150 points from the day high and 200 points from the previous day high. The key Fibonacci retracement level from yesterday’s range — 24,406 ~ 24,412 — played the role of intraday savior multiple times, offering support and holding the market within a narrow zone for most of the day. However, the bulls’ defense cracked after 3:00 PM. The support broke, triggering a sharp slide below 24,380 and even the Previous Day Low (PDL). The upside was capped by 24,470 ~ 24,460, while 24,406 ~ 24,412 remained the battleground for most of the day until the breakdown. In a single session, yesterday’s dramatic 289-point recovery rally was completely erased — with Nifty closing at the bottom of the PDL and CDL. Today’s close is now below the low of 12th May, marking a 64-session (88-day) low. Now the question for Monday: will bearish momentum extend, or will some positive news bring bulls back into play? 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels Intraday Walk 🔻 Gap-down open below major support at 24580. ⏳ First 45 minutes: Steep drop of 150 points from the day high. 🛡️ Fib support at 24406–24412 holds multiple times… until the late break. 🔻 Post 3 PM: Support collapse leads to fresh lows below PDL. 📉 Close near day’s low — erasing yesterday’s bullish rally. 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,544.25 High: 24,585.50 Low: 24,337.50 Close: 24,363.30 Change: −232.85 (−0.95%) Structure: Real Body: 180.95 pts (Red Candle — Close < Open) Upper Wick: 41.25 pts Lower Wick: 25.80 pts Interpretation: Strong bearish sentiment — sellers maintained control from open to close. Very small lower wick — indicates conviction from sellers in closing near the low. Wiped out prior day’s gains — buyers have lost the short-term edge. Candle Type: Bearish Marubozu (near-full body) — signals decisive selling pressure, often a continuation pattern after weakness. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart 🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 210.45 IB Range: 134.05 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trade Summary: 10:35 AM – Short Entry → SL Hit 📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction Below 24,400: Bearish momentum likely to extend toward 24,250–24,200. Above 24,470: Only a strong reclaim can shift bias back to neutral. Gap-down/weak open on Monday may accelerate selling; bounce attempts will face resistance at 24,400–24,470. 🔍 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 24,406 ~ 24,412 24,460 ~ 24,470 24,500 24,580 Support Zones: 24,315 24,280 24,240 ~ 24,225 24,185 💬 Final Thoughts "Markets don’t turn on hope — they turn on price. Respect the levels, and let price lead the story." Bulls had the glory on Thursday, but Friday flipped the script completely. The market now sits at a multi-month low — momentum favors bears, but Monday’s open will decide if we see follow-through selling or a sharp dead-cat bounce. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 6, 2025 – Wednesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 6, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴 A Day of Noise, Not Direction: Will the Squeeze Explode Soon? Nifty started flat with indecisive vibes, struggling initially around the 24,660 ~ 24,675 zone. After multiple failed attempts to hold, it slipped toward 24,580 — a cluster of PDL + S1 + Key Support — and broke below, forming the IB Low. A quick bounce followed, but the index was firmly rejected near the VWAP + CPR + Fib zone, pushing it to a new day low at 24,544. Repeated intraday bounces faced selling pressure around 24,620, while 24,540 provided solid support — creating a tight intraday range. Despite a perfect CPR setup for breakout, the market moved within just 132 points, the narrowest range in the last 4 sessions. A compression phase is building; breakout traders may soon get their moment. 📉 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🗣 Voice of the Intraday Option Buyer Trend direction flipped multiple times — bearish to bullish and vice versa. PDL + S1 zone experienced repeated fakeouts. Low conviction moves on both sides frustrated momentum setups. RBI event also not enough strong or trigger to guide directional bias. Bank Nifty broke IB Low → IB High, closed strong; Nifty stayed muted. Weekly expiry ahead — theta decay took control. Many traders, including myself, anticipated a double inside bar breakout — but the trap continued. Last 4 sessions (since Aug 1) have been painful for intraday option buyers — but it's all part of the game. 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,641.35 High: 24,671.40 Low: 24,539.20 Close: 24,574.20 Change: −75.35 (−0.31%) Candle Structure: Real Body: Red candle (67.15 pts) Upper Wick: 30.05 pts Lower Wick: 35.00 pts Interpretation: Attempted upside early on but couldn’t hold. Both wicks show intraday tug-of-war; red close confirms sellers still in control. Repeated rejection from 24,660–24,675 highlights weak bullish attempts. Candle Type: Bearish indecision candle — resembles an Inverted Hammer, indicating weakness despite dip buying attempts. 🔍 Nifty Short-Term View – As of August 6, 2025 Last 5 sessions show directional fatigue and failed bullish attempts above 24,700. Two consecutive inside bars signal tight range and pending breakout. Lower closes and long lower wicks = sellers dominate, but buyers defend dips. Break below 24,535 = fresh selling. Close above 24,660 = potential short-covering rally. 📌 Conclusion: Nifty is coiling — a strong breakout may soon end this sideways-to-weak grind. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 195.66 IB Range: 91.70 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trade Summary: ⏱ 10:35 AM – Short Entry → SL Hit ⏱ 12:15 PM – Long Entry → SL Hit 📏 Today's CPR Setup presenting... Value Relationship: Inside Value → Breakout-Ready Avg CPR Width: 37.54 Today’s CPR Width: 8.10 (🟠 21.58%) CPR Type: Narrow → Perfect setup for big expansion ⚠️ Today’s setup didn’t deliver, but backtests show such narrow CPRs often explode in the following session. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels 🔼 Resistance Zones: 24,620 24,660 ~ 24,675 24,725 ~ 24,735 24,780 ~ 24,795 24,860 ~ 24,880 🔽 Support Zones: 24,542 ~ 24,535 24,500 24,470 ~ 24,460 🧠 Final Thoughts The market is in consolidation mode with narrowing range. The double inside bar setup points to an imminent move — be prepared for a breakout trade soon. Don’t lose patience; big days often follow tough ones. 🛡 Disclaimer This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not trading advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Always trade with proper risk management.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.08.2025 If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend. If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NSE:NIFTY
by AATHIE
Nifty Extends Losing Streak: Is a Dead Cat Bounce Coming?The Nifty 50 dropped for the fifth week in a row, losing around 1.5%. Sectors like banks, IT, and consumer stocks are under pressure, and there are no big positive news to lift the market right now. ◉ Why is the Market Falling? ● Poor Q1 Results Many big companies, especially in banking and IT, reported weaker-than-expected earnings. This disappointed investors and led to selling. ● U.S.–India Trade Trouble The U.S. has added a 25% tax on Indian exports starting August 1. The two countries couldn’t agree on some trade issues, especially related to agriculture and dairy. This is bad news for export-focused companies. ● Weak Rupee The rupee is near record lows against the U.S. dollar. This is because foreign investors are pulling money out of India. A weak rupee hurts sectors like IT and pharma, which earn in dollars. ◉ What the Charts Say? The market has had a tough 5 weeks, but now it’s near a strong support level. This means a short-term bounce (dead cat bounce) is possible — a small recovery before another fall. ● Support at 24,500 There’s a large number of put option writers at this level. This means many traders are confident that Nifty won’t fall below 24,500 — so they’re willing to take that risk. This builds a strong support zone. ● Resistance at 24,700–24,800 There’s heavy call writing in this range. That means traders are betting Nifty won’t go above these levels. As a result, this area acts like a short-term ceiling or resistance. Expect the Nifty to stay between these levels coming week unless some major news changes the game. ◉ Suggested Strategy ● For Traders: Stay cautious. Avoid aggressive long positions unless Nifty reclaims 25,000 decisively. Look for shorting opportunities near resistance zones with strict stop losses. ● For Investors: Stick to quality. Defensive pockets like FMCG, utilities, and select pharma may offer stability amid broader volatility.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 2, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 2, 2025 – Friday 🔴 Trapped at the Top, Slammed at the Close – Bulls Burnt Out! 🗓️ Nifty Summary With the continuation of yesterday's hidden weakness, today's session gave early hope but ended with a bearish surprise. Nifty opened near the key support zone of 24,735 ~ 24,725, hovered indecisively, then suddenly rallied to 24,780, trapping bulls just under resistance. But the trap was set. A sharp reversal followed as Nifty broke not just the day’s low, but also the previous day’s support zone of 24,660 ~ 24,675, pulling the index lower into the 24,565.35 close — the second lowest close since May 12. A fierce 2–3 hour tug-of-war between bulls and bears took place in a tight 40–50 point range until 2:50 PM, when bulls gave up—leading to a 100+ point fall in the last half-hour. shocked many traders, especially those fatigued from the earlier choppy action. Much like yesterday, both sides of the trade were available today. Did you catch them? Zoom Out View : Today’s close is just 23 points above the June 3 close, wiping out nearly 59 sessions (81 days) of gain. Will the zone of 24460 ~ 24542 provide support again, or are we headed for a retest of the 24000 ~ 23800 and 23200 ~ 22800 (Pattern Target and Virgin) range? Yes, you read correctly 23200 ~ 22800…! Not so soon…but eventually…! wish you tell me crazy and hope I am wrong…! 📈 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,734.90 High: 24,784.15 Low: 24,535.05 Close: 24,565.35 Change: −203.00 (−0.82%) Candle Structure 🔴 Large bearish body (169.55 pts) ☁️ Moderate upper wick (49.25 pts) ⬇️ Short lower wick (30.30 pts) Interpretation Opened lower, climbed early but failed at 24,780+. Selling dominated the rest of the session, closing near lows. Moderate upper wick shows early bullish attempt was rejected. Candle Type Bearish Marubozu-like – clear seller dominance. Key Insight Sellers defended 24,780–24,800 zone. Closing near 24,560 keeps the short-term bias bearish. Next support: 24,500, 24,470 ~ 24460 ⚠️ Bulls must reclaim 24,735+ on closing basis to neutralize sentiment. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 212.37 IB Range: 87.55 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trades Triggered 🕙 10:05 AM – Long Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (R:R – 1:1) 🕚 11:09 AM – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (R:R – 1:2) 🔍 Trade Summary Both sides were offered—clean hit on long and solid breakdown on short. A Gladiator’s delight. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels 🔼 Resistance Zones 24620 24660 ~ 24675 24725 ~ 24735 24780 ~ 24795 24860 ~ 24880 🔽 Support Zones 24,542 ~ 24,535 24,500 24,470 ~ 24,460 24,380 💬 Final Thoughts "Traps are laid where confidence is highest. Stay alert, stay flexible." A textbook day where patience paid off — those who didn’t force trades were rewarded with clean moves in both directions. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 29, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 29, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴 Bulls Strike Back After Trendline Trap & Break Nifty started below the previous day's low, and after marking day low at 24,598.60, it rose to 24,725 where it faced the trendline and CPR zone. A sharp rejection from there quickly pushed Nifty back to the day's open level. A base-building process began, characterized by a low-range but high-volatility phase. Gradually, Nifty crossed the VWAP and the trendline again, breaking the day's high and CPR zone, ultimately reaching R1 and closing near the highest point at 24,830.40. In the first half, both long and short traders got trapped in fast swings—refer to the chart for visual cues. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🔄 Trend & Zone Update 📈 Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,110 ~ 25,090 📉 Support Zone Shifted To: 24,520 ~ 24,480 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,609.65 High: 24,847.15 Low: 24,598.60 Close: 24,821.10 Change: +140.20 (+0.57%) 🕯Candle Structure Breakdown: Real Body: Green candle (Close > Open): 24,821.10 − 24,609.65 = 211.45 pts (large bullish body) Upper Wick: 26.05 pts (small) Lower Wick: 11.05 pts (very small) 🕯Interpretation: Market opened lower but found strong buying support, rallying to nearly 24,850. Closed near the day’s high—bulls dominated. Tiny lower wick shows hardly any selling pressure after the open. 🕯Candle Type: Bullish Marubozu-type — strong signal of reversal or continuation, indicating control by buyers. 🕯Key Insight: Strong bounce from sub-24,600 back above 24,800 has improved short-term sentiment. If 24,830–24,850 breaks in the next session, potential upside till 24,920–24,995. Support now shifts to 24,700–24,720. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 202.98 IB Range: 128.5 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trades Triggered: 🕒 11:10 AM – Long Entry → Target Hit 🎯 (1:3 Risk:Reward) 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 24,815 ~ 24,830 24,850 24,920 24,995 Support Zones: 24,725 24,693 24,660 ~ 24,650 🧠 Final Thoughts “Volatility shakes the weak hands; structure empowers the patient.” Today’s session was a textbook example of how the market tests conviction. After trapping early traders with sharp intraday swings, Nifty rewarded those who respected structure and waited for confirmation. The reclaim of the trendline, VWAP, and CPR zone reinforced the strength of bullish intent. If the momentum continues above 24,850, we may be entering a fresh leg of the uptrend—stay nimble, but don't lose sight of the bigger picture. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🔴 ⚡️ Bears Bite Back After a Hopeful Morning Surge 📊 Nifty Summary Nifty opened with a minor gap-down of 32 points and slipped an additional 67 points in the first 3 minutes, testing the critical support zone of 24,755 ~ 24,729. After marking a day low at 24,732.70, it witnessed a sharp recovery breaching key levels — CDO, Gap, PDC — and touched the CPR BC level. Rejection from there caused a retracement to the mean, followed by another successful attempt breaching CPR BC and IB High. However, it couldn’t sustain above, as profit booking and pressure from a higher time frame bearish trendline dragged the index below the CPR zone and even past the PDL. Support at 24,780 offered brief relief, but a bearish triangle formed between the HTF trendline and that support and The breakdown at 12:40 led to a clean move, with the pattern target achieved. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🔁 Trend & Zone Update 📍 Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,100 ~ 25,120 📍 Support Zone Shifted To: 24,520 ~ 24,480 🧭 What If Plans – 29th July Outlook 🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup) If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,700 ~ 24,729, → Potential targets: 24,780, 24,815, 24,840 🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation) If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,830 ~ 24,815, → Aim for: 24,780, 24,720, 24,640, 24,580 🔄 On-the-Go Plan If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range, → Wait for IB formation and act based on structure & S/R levels. 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,782.45 High: 24,889.20 Low: 24,646.60 Close: 24,680.90 Change: −156.10 (−0.63%) 🕯 Candle Structure Breakdown: Real Body: 101.55 pts (Red candle, bearish) Upper Wick: 106.75 pts (Long — rejection from highs) Lower Wick: 34.30 pts (Defended slightly) 🕯 Interpretation: Tried to rally above 24,880 but faced aggressive selling. Closed well below open, forming a bearish rejection candle resembling a shooting star. Bears clearly took control after the intraday bounce attempt. 🕯 Key Insight: Selling pressure visible from 24,880–24,900 zone. Close below 24,700 keeps bearish tone intact. Next Support: 24,650–24,620. Bulls' challenge: Reclaim and close above 24,850. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 197.91 IB Range: 122 → Medium Market Structure: Imbalanced Trades Triggered: 09:27 – Long Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:1.5 R:R) 12:40 – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.5 R:R) 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 📍 24,729 📍 24,780 📍 24,815 ~ 24,830 📍 24,850 📍 24,920 Support Zones: 📍 24,640 📍 24,580 📍 24,520 ~ 24,480 💭 Final Thoughts 🧠 “Every breakout starts with hesitation — but not every hesitation leads to a breakout.” Today’s structure showed strong indecision, but sellers used it to dominate. Monday’s triangle breakdown proved that structure plus patience = power. Keep your bias flexible and trust your levels. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday 🔴 "When the tide goes out, you discover who’s been swimming naked." – Warren Buffett Nifty GapDowns Below Key Support and Slips Further The market opened with a sharp GapDown, breaching the previous day's low and instantly shedding 150 points within the first hour. Nifty attempted to find footing near the crucial 21st July low zone of 24,850–24,880, but the support gave way, slipping an additional 50 points. The day mostly drifted around these lower levels with bearish dominance. Though bulls made an effort to recover late in the session, it lacked strength. The index finally settled at 24,837, decisively closing below the 21st July low — signalling a deeper structural breakdown. 📉 Trend & Zone Update Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,144 ~ 25,155 Support Zone Shifted To: 24,729 ~ 24,755 📊 What If Plans – 28th July Outlook 🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup) If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,815 ~ 24,850 Then potential targets are 24,920, 24,965, and 25,020 🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation) If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,965 ~ 24,995 Then aim for 24,850, 24,815, 24,780, and 24,730 ⏸️ On-the-Go Plan If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range Then wait for the Initial Balance (IB) to form and act based on structure and S/R levels. 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,010.35 High: 25,010.35 Low: 24,806.35 Close: 24,837.00 Candle Structure Body: Strong red candle (−173.35 pts) Upper Wick: None (open = high) Lower Wick: 30.65 pts Interpretation: A textbook bearish Marubozu — shows sellers had control throughout. Bears stepped in immediately from open, preventing any bullish response. Minimal lower wick implies limited buyer defense even at the session low. Key Insight: Bears are in command; bulls must reclaim 25,000+ quickly to prevent further downside. If 24,800–24,820 breaks, eyes shift to 24,700–24,750 zone next. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 192.95 IB Range: 87.4 → Medium Market Structure: Imbalanced Trades Triggered: 🕙 10:10 AM – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.4 R:R) 🧭 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones 24,920 24,965 24,995 ~ 25,018 25,080 25,140 ~ 25,155 Support Zones 24,780 24,755 ~ 24,729 24,640 📌 Final Thoughts When strong candles appear back-to-back with no meaningful recovery in between, it’s not just a correction — it’s a statement. In this market phase, reacting to price structure rather than assumptions will keep you on the right side. Stay nimble, stay prepared. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Pressure Builds on Nifty Before ExpiryThe Nifty traded in a tight range for most of the week but eventually slipped below the 25,000 mark, ending on a weak note. With the monthly expiry approaching, the index is likely to remain under pressure, and volatility may pick up in the coming sessions. Key resistance levels are seen at 25,200 and 25,500. A decisive move above 25,500 could trigger an upside breakout. On the downside, support is expected around 24,500 and 24,400. Given the current structure, traders are advised to stay cautious, focus on selective opportunities, and avoid aggressive positions until a clearer trend emerges.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Weekly Market Update – Brace for Bearish Momentum? Nifty ended the week at 24,837, down 131 points from last week’s close. It made a high of 25,246 and a low of 24,806, staying perfectly within my projected range of 25,400–24,500. As highlighted earlier, Nifty has now formed an inverted hammer on the weekly chart — a classic bearish reversal candlestick. 🔍 📅 Flashback: On 6th July, I mentioned giving bulls 10–15 days of playtime. That phase seems to be ending. The monthly time frame remains bearish, and now the weekly chart is aligning, indicating a stronger downside risk. 🔮 What’s Next? 👉 Expect Nifty to trade between 25,300–24,400 in the coming week. 👉 A break below 24,400 could open doors to 23,900. 👉 If 24,400 holds, bulls may still have a chance to regroup. 🧠 Pro Tip: Only Nifty Pharma is showing resilience. Those looking for long trades should focus on strong pharma stocks — the rest of the sectors are showing bearish signs. Meanwhile in the US: S&P 500 hits another all-time high, closing at 6,388, up 90 points from last week. My long-standing target of 6,568 now looks well within reach. But here’s the catch — despite US strength, it’s not supporting Indian markets. If US markets correct, expect intensified selling pressure in India. 🎯 Strategy for Indian investors: Let the bears rule till 7–8 August. Stay alert, and be ready to grab high-quality stocks at bargain prices. This is not the time to panic, but to prepare smartly.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 24, 2025 – Thursday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 24, 2025 – Thursday 🔴 📉 A Surprise Expiry Collapse – When Strength Turns into a Sucker Punch Today’s session was an unexpected twist. Nifty opened above the previous day’s high, giving early hope to the bulls—but within the first hour, it slipped to 25,155 and formed its IB. What followed was a sharp 136-point fall, breaking not just yesterday’s low, but also the July 22nd low. This sudden bearish momentum was completely news-driven, and expiry-day long unwinding only added fuel to the fire. Despite a strong close yesterday, today’s fall erased all of July 23rd’s gains and brought us right back to July 22nd’s close—neutralizing the recent upward effort. The day closed at 25,062, marginally above key support. Technically, today’s low respected the 0.618 Fib retracement level drawn from July 21st’s low to July 23rd’s high—so a dead cat bounce is possible if no further bad news hits. But if we open below 25,050 tomorrow, expect more downside pressure toward 24,960–24,890 zones. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,243.30 High: 25,246.25 Low: 25,018.70 Close: 25,062.10 Change: −157.80 (−0.63%) Candle Structure Analysis: 🔴 Body: Large red body (181.2 pts) shows strong intraday selling. ☁️ Upper Wick: Tiny (2.95 pts) → sellers dominated from the start. 🌊 Lower Wick: Moderate (43.4 pts) → small recovery near close. Candle Type: Almost a bearish Marubozu — clear domination by sellers with barely any upper shadow, signaling intense sell pressure. Key Insight: Bulls lost control after open. Bears took charge below 25,155. Close near support, but bias cautious. Bulls must reclaim 25,150+ for recovery, else 25,000 may give way. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 185.97 IB Range: 83.55 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trades Triggered: ⏰ 10:05 AM – Short Entry → SL Hit ⏰ 11:10 AM – Short Entry → Target Hit (1:3.6 Risk:Reward) 📊 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 25,125 25,155 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,233 Support Zones: 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,020 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,967 ~ 24,959 24,882 🔮 What’s Next? A gap-up or stable open may trigger a dead cat bounce toward 25,150–25,180. A gap-down below 25,050 confirms bearish continuation → next targets: 24,960 / 24,890. Watch price action around the 25,020–25,060 zone closely. 🧠 Final Thoughts “Markets are never wrong – opinions often are.” — Jesse Livermore Today was a reminder of how expiry day surprises and news flows can flip the narrative. Stay flexible, and keep a bias—but not a blind one. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 23, 2025 – Wednesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 23, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴 “Confidence climbs the ladder – bulls push past key levels.” Nifty opened with a Gap Up of 78 points and initially retraced 54 points, finding solid footing around the CPR Zone. Once reclaimed VWAP, the index climbed in a methodical, low-volatility uptrend, breaking one resistance after another: CDH, R1, 25150, PDH, and the key zone 25200~25212 — finally touching the anticipated resistance at 25333, and closing just below that at 25219.90, close to the day’s high. 📌 Flashback from Yesterday's Note: “If this is truly a retracement, 25K must hold in upcoming sessions, and bulls will need to reclaim 25,200 to regain their grip.” 👉 This expectation played out to perfection today — gradual yet confident bullish strength led Nifty to reclaim 25200 and close above it. 🔍 Today’s close of 25220 is higher than the last 7 sessions, suggesting a bullish shift in structure. However, bulls now face the real test — breaching the 25300 ~ 25350 resistance zone. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,139.35 High: 25,233.50 Low: 25,085.50 Close: 25,219.90 Change: +159.00 (+0.63%) Candle structure analysis: Real body: Green body = 80.55 pts → strong bullish body Upper wick: 13.60 pts → very small Lower wick: 53.85 pts → moderate Candle Interpretation: The session opened stable, dipped to 25,085, but strong buyers showed up, helping price climb throughout the day and close near high. A firm green candle, signaling buyers in control. Candle Type: A Bullish Marubozu–like candle, not perfectly clean but represents strong continuation momentum. Key Insight: Close above 25200 confirms a bullish grip If price holds above 25220–25250, next push could be towards 25280–25330 Immediate support now moves to 25,120–25,140 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 181.35 IB Range: 64.35 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trades Triggered: ⏱️ 10:45 AM – Long Entry → Trailing SL Hit (1:2.65 RR) 🔁 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,233 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 25,340 ~ 25,322 (Gap Zone) Support Zones: 25,168 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,037 🧠 Final Thoughts “Momentum is not magic—it’s built one level at a time.” Bulls showed strength with control and consistency today. With 25200 reclaimed, they now hold the ball — next challenge lies at the gates of 25300–25350. Will they break through or pause for breath? Tomorrow holds the answer. ✏️ Disclaimer: This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Wkly Market Wrap: Nifty Under Pressure, S&P 500 Hits Record HighThe Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,968, down 180 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a tight range, posting a high of 25,255 and a low of 24,918—perfectly aligning with the range I’ve been tracking between 25,600 and 24,700. As I’ve been highlighting over the past few weeks, the monthly chart continues to show weakness, and now even the weekly chart is starting to reflect bearish signals. This growing weakness is a notable concern. What to Watch for Next Week: If Nifty sustains above 25,100, we could see a potential rebound toward the 25,400–25,450 resistance zone. However, a breakdown below this week's low of 24,918 opens the door to a retest of key support near 24,500. What’s interesting is that, despite Nifty’s indecision, the number of bullish stocks on the monthly time frame has increased significantly. Last week, there were 18 such stocks on my radar; now that number has jumped to 26, even after excluding about 10 others that showed bullish patterns but had high volatility. This divergence—index showing weakness while quality stocks turn bullish—could indicate a possible bear trap being set by institutional players. If true, we might see a sharp short-covering rally after a final shakeout. Nifty Outlook: For the upcoming week, I expect Nifty to remain range-bound between 25,400 and 24,500. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this range could lead to sharp directional movement, so traders should stay alert. Global Markets: S&P 500 Soars to New Highs The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,296, with a weekly high of 6,315 and low of 6,201. The index remains in strong uptrend mode. A breakout above 6,315 could see it testing 6,376, 6,454, and potentially 6,500 in the coming sessions. My next major Fibonacci target is 6,568. As long as 6,149 holds on a weekly closing basis, I continue to view every dip as a buying opportunity. Final Thoughts: The Indian markets are sending mixed signals, with the broader index showing caution while individual stock strength is quietly building. This divergence warrants a tactical approach—stay nimble, respect levels, and be ready for sharp reversals or breakouts. Next week could be crucial. Stay focused, stay disciplined.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty Closes Below 25,000 — What Lies Ahead?The Indian market's recent uptrend appears to be losing momentum, as the benchmark Nifty index extended its decline for the third consecutive week, ending just below the important 25,000 mark. This pullback has been largely driven by weakness in the Financial and IT sectors, with major players like NSE:TCS , NSE:HCLTECH , and NSE:AXISBANK posting disappointing earnings. From a technical perspective, the index is now approaching a key support zone near 24,900. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a further slide towards 24,500. Open Interest (OI) data reinforces this view, with the 25,000–24,900 zone seeing the highest put writing, marking it as an immediate support area. On the upside, strong call writing at 25,100 and 25,200 on Friday suggests these levels will act as immediate resistance. Given the current structure, the outlook for the coming week remains neutral to bearish. Traders are advised to stay cautious, manage risk effectively, and keep a close watch on these crucial levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday 🔴 “Deep Dive Below 25K – Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?” As we discussed yesterday, a big move was on the cards — and Nifty delivered. The index started flat to negative, and from the opening tick, sellers took firm control. It sharply broke through multiple key supports: PDC, PDL, S1, the important 25,080–25,060 support zone, swing low, 25,000–24,980, and even 24,965. Buyers finally showed up near 24,920, a crucial level, and pulled off a modest 86-point recovery. The session ended at 24,968.40, still below the psychological 25,000 mark and the fractal swing low of July 14. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🔍 Mixed Signals: ✅ Positive: Today’s low aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement from the June 13 low to June 30 high — potential support zone. ✅ Positive: RSI(3 of 3) shows bullish divergence — early reversal sign? ❌ Negative: Closed below July 14 swing low — weak structural signal. ❌ Negative: Below 25,000 — psychological breakdown. ❓Now the big question: Will this bearish move continue, or is it a fakeout before reversal? You're still bullish on the overall daily trend, but tactically bearish for intraday until a close above 25,125 confirms strength. 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart For Additional View 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,108.55 High: 25,144.60 Low: 24,918.65 Close: 24,968.40 Change: −143.05 (−0.57%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 140.15 pts → Large red bearish body Upper Wick: 36.05 pts → rejection near early highs Lower Wick: 49.75 pts → dip buying near 24,920 🔍 Interpretation Mildly negative open with early strength attempt near 25,140 Sharp decline through major support zones Buyers stepped in at 24,920, but recovery lacked follow-through Close below 25K and key swing low confirms steady intraday selling pressure 🕯 Candle Type Strong Bearish Candle with both wicks — sellers dominated, but not without some resistance from buyers at the lows. 📌 Key Insight Short-term bearish momentum confirmed 24,920–24,890 is next critical support; breakdown may extend to 24,882–24,825 Bulls need to close above 25,125+ to reclaim control 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 181.56 IB Range: 126.45 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced 🟢 Trades Triggered: 09:42 AM – Short Trade → ✅ Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1 : 3.87) 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,125 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels: 24,965 24,894 ~ 24,882 24,825 24,800 ~ 24,768 💭 Final Thoughts “Sometimes markets fall not to reverse, but to recharge.” Today’s drop pierced major support zones, but the bounce from 0.618 Fib hints at possible resilience. Structure needs clarity — Monday’s session will reveal whether this was a trap or fuel for bears. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 17, 2025 – Thursday 🔴 📉 Sellers Grip Expiry Day — Big Move Loading? Nifty started again with an OH (Open = High) formation and slipped down 94 points before 10:30 AM, marking the day’s low at 25,144. During this fall, it broke the support zone of 25,212 ~ 25,180. Although a retracement followed, it couldn’t sustain above the mean and eventually broke below the previous day’s low (PDL), closing at 25,111.45. The weekly expiry was wild and volatile — especially from 12:30 to 2:30 PM. Interestingly, if we consider the total range of the last three sessions, it is just 166 points — well below average. This suggests a phase of consolidation. A significant move may emerge once Nifty decisively breaks the broader zone of 25,000 to 25,255. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 📊 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,230.75 High: 25,238.35 Low: 25,101.00 Close: 25,111.45 Change: −100.60 (−0.40%) Candle structure breakdown: Real body: Red candle (Close < Open): 25,230.75 − 25,111.45 = 119.30 points → Decent-sized bearish body Upper wick: 25,238.35 − 25,230.75 = 7.60 points → Very small Lower wick: 25,111.45 − 25,101.00 = 10.45 points → Small Interpretation: Nifty opened slightly lower, made a weak attempt upward, then saw consistent selling throughout the day, closing near the session’s low. The negligible wicks indicate that sellers were in full control, and buyers had little room to fight back. Candle Type: A strong bearish candle (almost Marubozu) with very small wicks → Clear dominance by sellers. Key Insight: The test of the 25,100 zone again shows weakening bullish strength. If the next session breaks below 25,100, the fall may extend toward 25,000–25,050. For bulls to regain short-term momentum, a close above 25,200–25,220 is necessary. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 176.62 IB Range: 60.85 → Medium IB Market Structure: Balanced Trades Triggered: 🕒 10:53 AM – Long Trade → Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1:0.42) 🧭 What’s Next? / Bias Direction The market is coiling within a narrow range across multiple sessions, hinting at a potential breakout move. 📌 Watch Zone: 25,000 to 25,255 🔻 A break below 25,000 may open 24,950–24,900 🔺 A close above 25,260 could drive price toward 25,350+ Bias remains neutral-to-bearish unless bulls reclaim 25,220 decisively. 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Levels 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 🧠 Final Thoughts "Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt." Three sessions of compression hint at expansion soon — stay alert and trade level-to-level with discipline. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴 "Bounce Back with Caution: Bulls Show Up, But Still Not in Full Control" Nifty started the day on a flat note, but the opening candle turned out to be the day’s high, and from there, it quickly lost 91 points, marking the day’s low at 25,121 within the first hour. The early pressure gave a bearish opening tone, but bulls gradually stepped in. Around 11:45 AM, Nifty broke above the VWAP–Day Low range, crossed the CPR zone, and then pushed toward PDH. It did make one attempt to break PDH, but failed, resulting in a slow drift downward toward VWAP and CPR into the close. The day ended at 25,212.05, nearly at CPR — a zone of indecision. 📉 The structure shows sharp reversal from the lows, but also clear hesitation near resistance zones. The session was volatile, forming a typical pre-expiry pattern with mixed sentiment. Bulls must take charge tomorrow by crossing the 25,250–25,260 zone to regain strength. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,196.60 High: 25,255.30 Low: 25,121.05 Close: 25,212.05 Change: +16.25 (+0.06%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 15.45 points → small green body Upper Wick: 43.25 points Lower Wick: 75.55 points → significant downside recovery 🔍 Interpretation Market opened flat, dropped quickly to test 25,120 zone Strong buying emerged after initial fall Buyers lifted the index above CPR, but failed to hold breakout above PDH Candle closes with long lower wick → buyers defended dip, but lacked closing dominance 🕯 Candle TypeSpinning Top with Long Lower Wick — often a neutral to mildly bullish candle, suggesting buying interest at lower levels, but with uncertain momentum. 📌 Key Insight Bulls clearly defended the 25,120–25,125 support zone Momentum will only resume above 25,250–25,260, leading to targets around 25,300–25,315 Failure to hold 25,120 could reopen downside toward 25,000–25,050 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 180.99 IB Range: 91.20 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced Trades Triggered 11:34 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved, Trailed SL Hit (R:R 1:2.42) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 💭 Final Thoughts “Structure is forming — but conviction is lacking. Let expiry day bring clarity. Above 25,260 we fly, below 25,120 we fall.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 15, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 15, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴 "Buyers Step Back with Conviction, Reclaim Lost Ground" Nifty began the session with a flat-to-positive tone, and the first 5-minute candle confidently added 60 points, pushing the index toward 25,150 – aligning with the Previous Day High (PDH). However, the level couldn't hold on the first attempt and Nifty slipped back to the day's open. After a brief consolidation, bulls made a strong comeback. The second push broke through the PDH, Day High, and the resistance zone of 25,180–25,212, and extended the move up to mark the day’s high at 25,245.20. Post that, the index hovered above the breakout zone and closed solidly at 25,195.80, showing strength and follow-through. 📈 The day’s structure was clean and directional — a healthy bounce and hold above critical levels, reinforcing the idea that buyers are regaining control after last week’s consolidation and weakness. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,089.50 High: 25,245.20 Low: 25,088.45 Close: 25,195.80 Change: +113.50 (+0.45%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 106.30 points – strong green bullish body Upper Wick: 49.40 points – profit-taking or resistance at highs Lower Wick: 1.05 points – negligible dip from open 🔍 Interpretation Opened flat and quickly built momentum. Temporary pullback in first 15 minutes was bought into strongly. Closed with a clean green body, showing clear intraday bullish intent. Holding above the 25,180–25,212 zone is a big win for bulls. 🕯 Candle Type Bullish Marubozu-like (strong green body with minimal lower wick) — shows conviction and potential start of a new upswing post recent chop. 📌 Key Insight 25,080–25,100 is now a key base and must be protected. If Nifty can break and hold above 25,240–25,250, a move toward 25,295–25,315 looks likely. Failure to hold above 25,180 would be first sign of hesitation. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 186.18 IB Range: 67.35 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🟢 Balanced Trades Triggered 10:30 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved, Trailed SL (R:R 1:2.48) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 💭 Final Thoughts "Trend is nothing without follow-through — today buyers showed up, but tomorrow they must push past 25,250 to prove it wasn't just a bounce." ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty has taken support at 25K but can the support hold?Nifty today took a meaningful support at 25001 and bounced close to 25082. However ending the was in the negative by 67.55 points. RSI today went as low as 13.52 indication of oversold market. IT was a major drag after result that market did not like. Now the resistances in front of Nifty are at 25106, Father Line Resistance at 25106, 25234, Mother Line Resistance at 25297, 25403 and finally 25543. Supports for Nifty remain at 25K, 24866 Chanel Bottom support and finally 24752. Below 24752 Bears can totally take control of the market if we reach there. Things are in balance right now with Mid-cap, Small-cap starting to see some buying. If IT can hold the levels we will see growth from here. If IT index further caves in and other indices do not support we can see a down side. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 11, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 11, 2025 – Friday 🔴 "Smooth Slide, Silent Pressure – Bulls on the Edge" Nifty opened with a 60-point gap-down, and despite an initial attempt to fill the gap with a 40-point bounce, the index couldn’t sustain. What followed was classic, smooth selling pressure — a slow bleed marked by 16 consecutive 5-minute candles that never broke the previous candle’s high. There was no panic, just a persistent drift downward. The day’s structure was a silent yet firm rejection from higher levels, with 25,150 acting as an anchor for most of the session, eventually closing near 25,140. 📉 This session marks a revisit to the breakout zone of June 26–27. Is this a false breakout or a healthy retest? Only time — and a bounce or breakdown from 25,080–25,060 — will tell. ⚠️ If we close below 25,000, the entire bullish move from late June might be invalidated. But a sharp bounce from the 25080–25060 zone could spark a hopeful reversal setup. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,255.50 High: 25,322.45 Low: 25,129.00 Close: 25,149.85 Change: −205.40 (−0.81%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 105.65 points – clean bearish body Upper Wick: 66.95 points – buyers rejected Lower Wick: 20.85 points – weak defense at bottom 🔍 Interpretation Price opened weak and stayed weak. An intraday push to 25,320 was sharply sold into. Closing near the day’s low shows full bear control. Minimal bounce from day low indicates lack of bullish confidence. 🕯 Candle Type A Bearish Rejection Candle – resembles an inverted hammer in a downtrend; suggests sellers still strong and bulls hesitant 📌 Key Insight The zone of 25,320–25,350 has turned into firm intraday resistance. 25,100–25,130 is the immediate make-or-break support — below that lies 25,000–25,050. For bulls to breathe again, we need a bounce and hold above 25,250–25,300. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 193.17 IB Range: 78.45 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced Trades Triggered 10:21 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trailing SL Hit (R:R 1:2.41) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,125 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 💭 Final Thoughts "It wasn’t a crash, it was a quiet rejection — and that makes it more dangerous. If bulls don’t show up now, bears might get bolder from here." ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Nifty Dips, Suggests Range-Bound Movement AheadIndian markets ended the week with a decline of nearly one percent, driven by lingering concerns over global tariffs and a weak start to the earnings season. The 25,500 level has now turned into a strong resistance zone, marked by heavy call writing, while 25,000 continues to act as a solid support level backed by significant put writing. Given these dynamics, the index is likely to enter a consolidation phase, with upcoming earnings announcements expected to keep sectoral volatility elevated.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone: What to Expect Next Week Markets eMarkets ended the week under pressure, with the Nifty 50 closing at 25,149, down 312 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight band, hitting a high of 25,548 and a low of 25,129 — perfectly respecting the 25,900–25,000 range mentioned in last week’s analysis. Now, Nifty finds itself at a crucial support level near 25,000. A rebound from this zone could trigger a short-term rally towards 25,500–25,600, which will act as immediate resistance. However, traders should proceed with caution, as the monthly chart remains neutral to bearish, indicating that this could just be a temporary bounce rather than a sustained uptrend. Looking ahead, expect Nifty to trade within a range of 24,700 to 25,600. A breakdown below 24,700 could open the gates for deeper cuts, while a breakout above 25,600 needs to be backed by strong volume and participation to confirm a trend reversal. Sector Watch: Reliance Shines Amidst Caution Among the large caps, Reliance Industries stands out as the only stock showing strength on the monthly chart, while other heavyweights and key sectors continue to lack momentum. This narrow leadership is a red flag for broader market sustainability. Global Markets: S&P 500 at a Crossroads Globally, the S&P 500 closed at 6,259, down slightly from last week. What’s more important is the formation of a Doji candle — a classic sign of indecision. A move above 6,300 could lead to upside targets of 6,376 / 6,454 / 6,500, which would likely boost sentiment in global and Indian equities. However, if the index slips below 6,150, it would mark a failed breakout, potentially triggering a global correction — a risk that Indian markets can't ignore. Final Word We’re at a critical juncture. While technicals suggest a potential bounce in Nifty from 25,000, the lack of confirmation on higher timeframes and uncertain global cues call for prudence over aggression. 👉 I’ll be staying out of the market this week. The setup doesn’t offer a favorable risk-reward, and in trading, patience is often the best position. Let the charts speak. We’ll act accordingly.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
RenderWithMe | Nifty 50-Forecast Upcoming Week July 7–11,2025 ~~NIFTY 50 Analysis for Next Week (July 7–11, 2025)Current Market ContextRecent ~~ Performance: As of July 4, 2025, the NIFTY 50 closed at 25,461, Up 55 points from the previous session, The index has been trading within an ascending channel, with a weekly decline of -0.45% but a monthly gain of 3.67% and a yearly increase of 4.48%. # Global Cues: Mixed signals from global markets are influencing sentiment. U.S. markets are hitting record highs, while Asian markets like Japan’s Nikkei 225 (+600 points) and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-0.42%) show varied trends. Rising oil prices and geopolitical concerns, along with expectations of new U.S. tariff announcements under the Trump policy roadmap, are creating caution. # Domestic Factors: Strong institutional buying from Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) (net buyers of ₹3,036 crore) contrasts with Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) being net sellers (₹1,561 crore). This dynamic suggests domestic support but potential headwinds from foreign outflows. ~~ Technical Analysis ~~ Key Levels:Support: Immediate support lies at 25,000–25,150. A break below 25,000 could signal short-term weakness, with further support at 24,982 and 24,622. Resistance: Resistance is seen at 25,650–25,750, with a strong barrier at 25,690–25,760. A breakout above 25,750 with volume confirmation could push the index toward 26,000 or higher (potentially 28,435). Trend: The NIFTY is in a positive trend but showing signs of consolidation. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 67.3 suggest upward momentum but caution as it nears overbought territory. Chart Patterns: A "Cup and Handle" pattern is forming on the daily timeframe, indicating a bullish continuation if the index breaks above 25,655. However, a failure to sustain above 25,400 could lead to a pullback toward 25,320–25,000. Moving Averages: The index remains above key moving averages (5 DMA: 24,908.6, 10 DMA: 24,934.2, 20 DMA: 24,862.07), reinforcing a bullish bias as long as it holds above 25,338 (daily closing stop-loss). Sectoral OutlookPositive Sectors: Nifty Metal (+0.23%) and Nifty Pharma (+0.30%) showed gains, suggesting resilience. Banking remains strong, with Bank Nifty hitting a new high of 57,614.50 despite recent profit booking. Weak Sectors: Nifty IT (-0.01%) and Nifty Financial Services (-0.47%) faced selling pressure, with key constituents like Kotak Bank (-1.96%) and Bajaj Finance (-1.39%) dragging performance. Focus Areas: Watch banking and pharma for potential leadership, while IT and financials may remain subdued unless buying interest returns. Key Factors to WatchGlobal Markets: U.S. and Asian market trends, particularly U.S. tariff policies and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, will influence sentiment. Macroeconomic Data: Domestic indicators like inflation, GDP revisions, or RBI policy updates could sway the market. FII/DII Activity: Continued DII buying could offset FII selling, but a reversal in FII flows will be critical for sustained upside. Geopolitical Risks: Rising oil prices and U.S.–India trade developments may create volatility. Technical Breakouts: Monitor for a breakout above 25,750 or a breakdown below 25,000 to confirm the next directional move. Trading StrategyBullish Case: If NIFTY sustains above 25,650, consider buying call options or index futures targeting 25,760–26,000. Use a stop-loss at 25,000. Bearish Case: If NIFTY falls below 25,000, short positions or put options could target 24,982–24,622, with a stop-loss at 25,450. Range-Bound: If the index trades between 25,450–25,750, adopt a neutral strategy like selling iron condors to capitalize on low volatility. Risk Management: Use strict stop-losses and avoid over-leveraging, as volatility is expected due to global and domestic triggers. Forecast for the WeekExpected Range: 25,000–25,750, with potential for a breakout toward 26,000 if resistance is cleared. Bias: Sideways to moderately bullish, with risks of profit booking or volatility mid-week. Probability:Bullish breakout (above 25,750): 40% Consolidation (25,000–25,750): 50% Bearish pullback (below 25,000): 10% Long-Term Outlook (July 2025)Predictions suggest NIFTY could reach 26,055–26,484 by August, with a gradual climb to 28,400 by November 2025, driven by economic growth and sectoral strength. However, these are speculative and depend on sustained bullish momentum. Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
NSE:NIFTY
by renderwithme
1