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Nifty50analysis

#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 11-15th Nov 2024Nifty Weekly Recap: A Tug-of-War Continues The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,148, marking a 150-point decline from the previous week's close. It oscillated within a tight range of 24,537 and 23,816, as predicted. While the VIX index shows signs of cooling down, the Nifty is expected to trade between 24,700 and 23,550 , with a potential breakout on either side. The weekly candle suggests a balanced market, with no clear direction. A Cautionary Tale from the Monthly Chart However, the monthly chart paints a different picture. The current pattern bears a striking resemblance to the one observed between April and June 2022. If history repeats itself, the Nifty could face another downward spiral, potentially testing support levels of 23,250 and 21,555. To regain its bullish momentum, the index must decisively close above 24,550, a feat that seems challenging in the current market conditions. US Markets: A Bullish Run Fueled by Trump's Reelection The S&P 500 index soared to an all-time high weekly close of 5,995, reaching a peak of 6,012 and a low of 5,696. Trump's reelection has ignited a rally in the US market, propelling it to new heights. For further upside, the index must sustain above the crucial 6,013 Fibonacci level. If it manages to do so, it could target 6,142, 6,225, 6,376, 6,454, 6,520, or even 6,568. Impact of US Markets on India The question remains: How will the US market's bullish run impact Indian equities? As investors closely monitor global cues, the Nifty's trajectory will depend on a delicate balance of domestic factors and international sentiment.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 4th-8th Nov 2024Last week, the Nifty 50 index concluded at 24,304 points, marking a 125-point surge from the previous week's close. It reached a high of 24,498 and a low of 24,134. As anticipated, the index successfully tested the 24,500 resistance level before settling at its current position. With the India VIX index indicating an upward trend, the Nifty 50 is expected to trade within a broader range of 24,900 to 23,700 in the coming week. A breach of these levels could trigger significant market volatility. The upcoming US elections on November 5th are likely to intensify the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. I'm closely monitoring the 23,511 level (DEMA200) as a potential entry point for NiftyBees. However, it remains to be seen if this opportunity materializes. S&P 500's Weekly Performance and Outlook The S&P 500 index ended the week at 5,728 points, approximately 80 points lower than the previous week's close. It touched a high of 5,850 and a low of 5,702. This week, the index found support at the DEMA50 level. If it dips below 5,702 next week, it could test support levels at 5,637, 5,585, and 5,400, which would have negative implications for global markets. To resume its upward trajectory, the S&P 500 needs to close above 5,700 on consecutive days. This could propel it towards the 5,821, 5,868, and 5,899 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 28-1st Nov 2024. Nifty Nosedives! This week, the Nifty took a dramatic plunge, closing a hefty 700 points down from the previous week at 24,180. The bulls fought valiantly, pushing the index to a high of 24,978, but the bears ultimately prevailed, dragging it down to a low of 24,073. Key Levels Breached and Tested: My predicted range for the Nifty this week (25,550 - 24,350) was unfortunately shattered on the downside. Furthermore, the critical support level of WEMA21 was breached for the first time since October 2023, a potentially bearish sign. Is a Short Squeeze Brewing? With many retail investors now anticipating a continued downtrend, a counter-intuitive uptrend might be on the horizon. This could be a strategic move by the bulls to trap those who are shorting the market. Next Week's Crucial Levels: Buckle up, because next week is a pivotal one for the Nifty. If the index can defend the crucial support zone of 23,900-24,000, we might witness a surge testing resistance levels around 24,500-24,600. However, a breach below 23,900 opens the door for a further decline towards 23,600 and even the psychologically important 200-day moving average (23,500). This is where I, for one, will be getting "greedy" by considering adding Niftybees and some fundamentally strong stocks with favorable risk-reward ratios. Remember the age-old wisdom: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." The time to be greedy for value might be just around the corner! S&P 500: Holding the Line (for Now): Across the pond, the S&P 500 failed to surpass its previous week's high of 5,878 and experienced a correction of more than 1.5% from its weekly peak of 5,866. The silver lining? It managed to hold above the crucial support level of 5,762. The upcoming week will be critical as well. If the S&P 500 can maintain a position above 5,863, it could potentially surge towards a significant Fibonacci retracement level of 6,013, which could also provide a positive tailwind for the Indian markets. However, a dip below 5,700 could trigger a correction ranging from 1.6% to 3.3%, potentially dragging the Nifty down with it. Wishing everyone a very happy & prosperous Diwali. Enjoy
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY 50 ---- MAYBE NIFTY support level looks between 24000-23890 and also RSI of NIFTY is close to oversold. Expectation for next week, we may see more dip till support level which will push RSI to oversold zone, and from there bounce back is expected. If you see the history of NIFTY 50, it has never stayed in oversold zone for more than 2-3 days, only if we have global crisis. This is just a study based on technical indicators and experience, My study can go wrong. Hope for the Best.
NSE:NIFTY
by Abdul-Rahim
1
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 21-25th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,854, a 110-point decline from the previous week's close. Despite hitting a high of 25,212 and a low of 24,567, the index remained within its expected trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. Looking ahead, I anticipate the Nifty to continue trading between 25,400 and 24,300. A breakdown below 24,486 , the WEMA21 support level, would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to a decline towards 23,400 or 23,300 . Conversely, a sustained move above 25,144 could pave the way for a rally to 25,500-25,600. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index achieved a new all-time high weekly close of 5,864, up approximately 40 points from the previous week. This suggests a potential upward move of 2-2.5% from its current level, targeting the significant Fibonacci level of 6,013. It remains to be seen if this positive momentum in the U.S. market will translate into a recovery for the Indian stock market."
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 14th-18th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,964, a 50-point decline from the previous week. While it touched a high of 25,234, it also dipped to a low of 24,694. As predicted last week, the index remained within the range of 25,600 to 24,400. Looking Ahead: A Cautious Outlook For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. However, the low of 24,694 is a crucial support level. If the Nifty breaches this, the next strong support lies at 24,400-24,350. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential decline towards 23,300. A Bullish Monthly Perspective Despite the recent volatility, my monthly outlook for the Nifty remains bullish. Therefore, I will follow a "buy on dips" strategy. S&P 500: A Positive Sign As mentioned previously, the S&P 500 has successfully reached its first Fibonacci target of 5820. To initiate the next leg of its upward movement, it needs to sustain above this level. If it can do so, we could see it touch 5899 or even 6012 (a significant level). This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also provide support to Indian equities.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 7-11th Oct 2024The Indian stock market had a volatile week, primarily driven by the escalating Iran-Israel conflict. The Nifty 50 index closed at 25,014, down 1,170 points from the previous week's close. The index made a high of 26,134 and a low of 24,966 during the week. For the coming week, the expected range for the Nifty 50 is 25,600 to 24,400 . A breach of these levels could lead to further volatility. The crucial support level is at 24,450, which is the WEMA21 support. If the index breaks below this level, a correction towards 23,000 is possible. On the other hand, the S&P 500 index closed at 5,751, forming a bullish hammer candle, which is a positive sign for the US market. If the S&P 500 can sustain above 5,800 next week, it could rise further to 5,820, 5,899, or even 6,012. A strong performance in the US market could help Indian markets recover. Overall, the market outlook for the coming week remains uncertain due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions. However, there is a possibility of a bounce in the market, especially if the S&P 500 continues to show strength.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 30-4th Oct 2024#Nifty50 surged to a new all-time high of 26178, closing the week up nearly 400 points. The index oscillated between 26400 and 25200, as predicted. For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 26750 to 25800 . A breakout beyond these levels could trigger significant price movements. Fibonacci support lies at 25800; if breached, 25600 becomes a critical level to watch. A puzzling question remains: Why are many stocks in investor portfolios underperforming despite the Nifty's record highs? Typically, stocks require catalysts or news to rally, which are currently scarce. If the Nifty reaches 27000, large-cap stocks could outperform mid-cap and small-cap equities. Niftybees or ETFs might also be attractive options to capitalize on the Nifty's upward momentum. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly high at 5738 and appears poised for further gains. Surpassing the 5767 high could propel the S&P 500 to 5821, 5899, or even the significant level of 6013. This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also benefit the Indian market.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 23-27th Sept 2024The #Nifty50 soared to a new all-time weekly high of 25,791, gaining a remarkable 430 points from the previous week's close. It reached a peak of 25,849 and a low of 25,285. As predicted, the Nifty has been trading within the 25,810-24,750 range. For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 26,400-25,200 . A breach of these levels could ignite significant market volatility. As highlighted last week, the strong Fibonacci level of 25,810 is crucial. If the Nifty closes above this level next week, be prepared for a potential rally towards the next magical level of 26,990 or 27,000. Although reaching these levels may take some time, it's essential to be positioned for such a move. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 finally broke through the strong resistance of 5,637, thanks to the Federal Reserve's rate cut. If it can maintain above this week's high of 5,733, we could see further gains towards resistance levels of 5,800, 6,000, or even 6,140. Since the S&P 500 has surpassed a significant Fibonacci level, it's poised to potentially reach another strong Fibonacci level of 6,959, which is 20% higher than current levels. Such a move would likely propel the Nifty towards 27,000. A breakdown below this week's low of 5,604 would indicate a failed breakout and could lead to a test of support levels at 5,445 or 5,432. Exciting times are ahead!"
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
NIfty50 outlook for upcoming week 16-20th Sept 2024#nifty50 Stellar Climb: The Nifty index has reached a new all-time high weekly close of 25,356, surpassing its previous peak of 25,433. Despite a bearish engulfing candle last week, the Nifty managed to rebound, thanks to a strong performance in the US market. As predicted, the index remained within the anticipated range of 25,500 to 24,150. Looking Ahead: For the coming week, I expect the Nifty to remain within the range of 25,810 to 24,750 . If the index can successfully break above the crucial Fibonacci level of 25,810 , it could potentially test 25,965 , although this may be challenging. However, below 24,750, the DEMA50 support level at 24,624 could act as a strong demand zone. Global Market Outlook: The S&P 500 rallied this week, driven by better-than-expected inflation data and expectations of interest rate cuts. The index closed at 5,626, just below the important Fibonacci level of 5,637. On a weekly timeframe, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a W pattern. If it can close above 5,637 for consecutive days, it could open the door to a significant uptrend, targeting 5,806, 5,900, and even 6,005. Such a move could propel the global market, including India's Nifty, towards new all-time high levels of 25,800 or 25,950. However, if the S&P 500 falls below 5,535, there could be selling pressure, leading to potential support levels at 5,493, 5,390, and 5,270.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty50 analysis for next week 2nd Sept-6th Sept 2024#Nifty surged to a new all-time high of 25236 this week, gaining nearly 400 points from the previous week's close. As predicted, the market remained within the 25500-24200 range. For the coming week, I anticipate Nifty to trade between 25850 and 24600 . A break above or below these levels could trigger significant price movements. If Nifty can sustain above 25300, it might reach 25400, 25568, 25650, or even 25809 (a crucial resistance level). While the weekly RSI is showing signs of a bearish M pattern, I believe Nifty needs to reach 25500 or 25800 before a significant decline. Overall, for coming week market remains bullish. The S&P 500 closed just above the important Fibonacci level of 5637. A break above 5670 could lead to gains towards 5700, 5806, or even 6142, which would likely benefit Indian markets. However, a breakdown below 5550 could trigger a sell-off, with potential support levels at 5486, 5373, and 5180. Such a scenario would have negative implications for global markets, including India.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
#nifty50 analysis for next week 26-30th Aug 2024Nifty surged nearly 300 points last week, closing at 24,823. It reached a high of 24,867 and a low of 24,522. As predicted, Nifty remained within its 25,200-23,900 range. For the coming week, I anticipate a Nifty range of 25,500 to 24,200. Breaking these levels could trigger significant market movements. If Nifty closes above the strong resistance of 24,860 this week, it could pave the way for levels like 25,500 and 25,800 in the near future. However, Monday's opening is crucial. If it equals the daily high or reaches 24,825, bearish sentiment might return, potentially leading to support levels at 24,625, 24,486, 24,346, and 24,200 being tested. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 closed at 5,634, up 70 points from the previous week. Interestingly, it closed right at the important Fibonacci level of 5,637. If it can close above this level for two consecutive days, the path to 5,700, 5,806, and even 6,142 could be open, potentially benefiting Indian markets as well.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ssudhirsharma11
How the FII-DII Tug of War Could Shape Nifty 50's Future Good Afternoon TV Family, Summary: The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting and potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, global equity markets could experience a shake-up. In this idea, we delve into how a U.S. rate cut might trigger foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to rethink their allocations and the crucial role domestic institutional investors (DIIs) and retail flows will play in stabilizing Nifty 50. Let's explore the dynamic between FII outflows and DII buying, and how this tug-of-war could impact the Indian equity market. Lets Deep Dive : 1. Jackson Hole Meeting and Rate Cuts: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25-50 basis points, it would signal an accommodative stance aimed at supporting economic growth or preventing a slowdown. Lower interest rates generally boost equity markets because they reduce the cost of borrowing and make risk assets like stocks more attractive compared to bonds or cash. US Equities: A rate cut would likely be bullish for the US stock market. Lower rates improve corporate profitability, make borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, and reduce the yield on bonds, encouraging investors to shift to equities. This should lift major indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. 2. Impact on Global Markets: Global Spillover: A strong rally in the US equity markets often leads to positive sentiment spilling over to global markets. Optimism in the US can create a "risk-on" environment where investors globally are more willing to take risks in equities and emerging markets. Currency Impact: A rate cut might weaken the US dollar, which could benefit emerging market currencies, including the Indian rupee. A weaker dollar generally supports emerging markets by making their debt cheaper to service and boosting exports. 3. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) Impact: Capital Reallocation: A rate cut in the US could lead to a reallocation of capital by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). If US markets become more attractive due to lower rates and expectations of better returns, FIIs could redirect funds from emerging markets like India back to the US. Risk of FII Outflows: Historically, when the US markets become more attractive, FIIs tend to pull capital from riskier emerging markets to take advantage of the safer and more promising environment at home. If FIIs reduce their exposure to India, we could see short-term pressure on Indian equity markets. FIIs vs. DIIs: The Balancing Act FII Dominance: Historically, FIIs have had a significant impact on Indian equity markets due to their sheer scale. Large-scale selling by FIIs can cause downward pressure on the markets, and in periods of uncertainty or risk aversion, they often pull out capital quickly. DII Counterbalance: On the flip side, DIIs (including mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds, etc.) have grown stronger in recent years. While they may not match the FIIs in volume, their growing influence means they can absorb some of the selling pressure. In fact, DIIs often act as stabilizers when FIIs sell aggressively. 4. DII Firepower and Their Role DIIs’ Buying Capacity: DIIs have been steadily increasing their presence in the market, supported by growing retail participation via mutual funds and SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) inflows. Monthly SIP inflows in India have consistently been hitting record levels (e.g., over ₹15,000 crores). This gives DIIs a significant pool of funds to deploy, which can offset some of the FII selling pressure. Insurance and Pension Funds: In addition to mutual funds, large domestic players like insurance companies (e.g., LIC) and pension funds have deep pockets and tend to be more long-term focused. They can step in to support the market during periods of FII outflows. 5. FII Selling vs. DII Buying: Historical Context In recent years, there have been several instances where FIIs have sold heavily, but DIIs have stepped in to absorb some of the selling pressure. For example, during periods of global uncertainty (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic or geopolitical tensions), DIIs have been active buyers when FIIs were selling. However, the degree of balance between FIIs and DIIs is critical. If FIIs engage in a prolonged or aggressive selling spree, it could overwhelm the DIIs' ability to absorb all the outflows. In such cases, the market could still see a downward correction, albeit potentially less severe due to DII intervention. 6. Retail Investor Participation Growing Retail Participation: While individual retail investors may not have the power to single-handedly stop a market decline, their cumulative impact through mutual funds and SIPs is growing significantly. Retail participation has become more pronounced in the Indian markets, with a steady flow of domestic savings being funneled into equities. SIP Flows: Monthly SIP inflows have created a steady and predictable stream of liquidity for the market. Even during periods of FII outflows, DIIs can rely on these inflows to buy equities and stabilize the market. While this might not entirely counterbalance FII selling, it provides consistent support and can cushion downside moves. 7. Role of Mutual Funds and SIPs Mutual Funds and SIPs: With SIP flows providing a reliable source of funds, DIIs can manage their buying strategies more effectively, especially during periods of volatility. This has been one of the reasons why the Indian markets have remained relatively resilient in the face of global shocks. SIP Inflows’ Resilience: SIPs are typically long-term, driven by retail investors who are less likely to pull out during short-term corrections. This means that mutual funds have a steady flow of capital to deploy, which can help support the market over time, even if FIIs sell off in the short term. 8. Indian Market Reaction: Short-Term Negative Impact: The Indian markets might see a negative reaction in the short term, particularly due to potential FII outflows and global investors reallocating capital to US equities(not a must but a possibility). However, this will depend on the scale of the US market rally and how much FII sentiment is swayed by the rate cut. Longer-Term Outlook: In the longer term, India remains a strong emerging market story with robust growth potential. So, while there might be short-term downside due to FII outflows, domestic factors like earnings growth, reforms, and economic resilience could offset the impact over time. 9. Potential Limits of DII Support Magnitude of FII Selling: If FIIs engage in heavy and sustained selling (e.g., billions of dollars in outflows), DIIs may not have the capacity to fully absorb the impact. In such cases, the market would likely see a correction, and DIIs would focus on selectively buying stocks where they see long-term value. Global and Domestic Factors: DIIs’ ability to support the market also depends on the broader domestic economy, liquidity conditions, and global sentiment. For instance, if global markets are in turmoil, even DIIs might become more cautious, limiting their ability to counteract FII outflows. 10.Other Considerations: Sectoral Impact: Some sectors in the Indian market, such as IT services, might benefit from a weaker US dollar and stronger US growth prospects, while rate-sensitive sectors (like financials) could face pressure from FII outflows. Central Bank Response: The RBI may also factor in the Fed’s decision when considering its own interest rate policy. If FIIs withdraw capital, the RBI might need to adjust its stance to support the rupee and maintain financial stability. 11. Sectoral Impact Different sectors of the Indian economy could experience varying effects based on these developments: IT Sector: Indian IT companies could benefit from a weaker dollar, as a strong US growth outlook would drive demand for IT services and outsourcing, positively impacting the sector's earnings. Financials: Rate-sensitive sectors like financials could face short-term pressure due to FII outflows, but DIIs and retail inflows could stabilize them in the medium to long term. Export-Oriented Sectors: Export-driven sectors such as pharmaceuticals, textiles, and automobiles could see a boost from a stronger rupee and weaker dollar, enhancing their competitiveness globally. Summary & Conclusion: A. Short-Term Risk: A Fed rate cut could lead to short-term selling pressure on Indian markets due to FII outflows, as investors chase better returns in the US. B. Global Risk-On Sentiment: However, if global sentiment improves significantly, emerging markets might benefit indirectly from stronger global growth prospects. C. Domestic Strength: India’s strong domestic fundamentals should eventually provide support, even if there is an initial dip due to global factors. D. DIIs can provide significant support to the market and act as a counterbalance to FII selling, especially due to consistent retail inflows via mutual funds and SIPs. However, the extent to which DIIs can offset FII outflows depends on the magnitude of the FII selling. In a severe selling spree, even strong DII buying might not fully prevent a market downturn, though it could cushion the impact. E. Retail investors, through mutual funds and SIPs, have become a crucial source of liquidity, helping DIIs stabilize the market, but the balance between FII outflows and DII inflows is key to determining market direction. Thank you for reading, Now let's just brush up on technical's : 1. If the index moves up which is only possible above 24900 zone then we have : 25460 to 25560 which is immediate upside levels, above that it might move further upside as per chart around 29K. 2. If breaks down and starts declining then : 24350 to 24400 zone should be a immediate support, if breaks below then 24180,23630,23180 worst case will be 22730. Let's see how this all works out. Once again Thank you for taking your time to read. If I am wrong any where please do leave a comment to correct me. PS: The above idea and thoughts are purely educational and do not consist of any financial advise or investment. Please do consult your financial advisor for any investment.
NSE:NIFTY
by Tron029
2
#Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 19-23rd Aug 2024#Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a positive note, climbing 174 points to settle at 24,541. The index danced within the anticipated 25,150-23,800 range, as predicted in the previous analysis. For the upcoming week, a similar trajectory is expected, confined between 25,200 and 23,900 . A breakout from either end could ignite significant volatility. The broader bullish trend persists on both weekly and monthly charts, offering a comforting backdrop. A decisive daily close above 24,700 would be a key indicator, potentially propelling the Nifty towards 24,860, 24,950, or even the all-time high of 25,078. However, breaching the 25,200 level appears challenging at this juncture. The S&P 500 also mirrored a positive week, gaining 210 points to close at 5,554. Intriguingly, this settlement is near the July 26th high, a level that previously triggered selling pressure. A sustained position above 5,570 could pave the way for a move towards 5,620 or 5,637. A consecutive close above the crucial Fibonacci level of 5,637 would open doors to 5,700, 5,806, and ultimately, 6,142, potentially boosting Indian equities. The bottom line remains unchanged: as long as the Nifty holds above the 24,000 mark, the bullish outlook prevails.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 12-16th Aug 2024The Nifty index concluded the week at 24,367, shedding 350 points from the previous close. The index touched a high of 24,419 and a low of 23,893. A global market downturn, ignited by the unwinding of yen-funded positions, sent shockwaves through financial markets worldwide. Looking ahead, the Nifty is projected to oscillate between 25,150-23,800. A breach below the crucial 23,800 support could trigger a deeper correction towards 23,500. On the upside, 24,700 is a key resistance level to watch, representing a potential gap fill. Short-term chart patterns hint at a bullish reversal, supported by the positive outlook on weekly and monthly timeframes. Also remember next week is truncated due to 15th Aug holiday so it will be a 4 day week for Indian markets. The S&P 500 found support near the DEMA 200. To sustain its upward momentum, the index must hold above 5,400, opening the door to potential targets at 5,433, 5,500, and 5,566. Conversely, a dip below 5,233 could reignite the downtrend, with support levels at 5,180, 5,088 (DEMA 200), and 5,016 exerting downward pressure on global markets. Prepare for continued market volatility.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 29th July-2nd Aug 2024Nifty roars to new heights, scaling a weekly peak of 24,830, a sizzling 300 points above the prior week's close. This bullish run, marked by a high of 24,861 and a low of 24,074, was anticipated by many. As predicted, the Union Budget unleashed a wave of volatility, with the Nifty diving 2% initially due to increased LTCG, STCG, and the removal of indexation benefits. Yet, the index swiftly recovered, mirroring the market's resilience. This volatility created golden opportunities for savvy investors. Stocks like IRFC and IRB plunged by 20-30% on budget day, only to rebound sharply, indicating a rush to capitalize on these dips. Nifty has been tightly confined between 25,000 and 23,950, a range it's respected diligently. For the upcoming week, I expect a trading band of 25,400 to 24,300. A breakout from either end promises exciting fireworks. While the daily chart shows some weakness, the weekly and monthly trends remain robust. A decisive close above 24,900 next week could ignite a rally towards 26,300. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th casts a shadow, potentially triggering another round of selling. Until then, the bullish undercurrent is likely to persist.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
#Nifty50, S&P500 analysis for upcoming week 22-26th July 2024#Nifty50 ended the week flat, hovering within the predicted 25000-23950 range. Buckle up, because next week's Union Budget on July 23rd promises high volatility. Expect a wider trading range of 25250-23800. A breakout from these levels could ignite significant price movement. Remember my July 6th blog post? It highlighted Nifty's historical correction trend around late July/early August. This year could be no different, offering a potential discount window for savvy investors to enter their favorite stocks at attractive prices. Stay prepared! Meanwhile, the #S&P500 failed to breach a crucial resistance level (5638) and dipped 3% from its high. If it breaks below this week's low (5509), support levels at 5430/5368/5293 could be tested. A decline in the S&P 500 could also exert pressure on the Indian market.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY) AnalysisBased on the daily chart for the Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY), here is the summary and analysis: Key Levels: - Current Price: 22,488.65 - 50% Retracement Level: 22,458.10 - 61.8% Retracement Level: 22,324.60 - Target Price: 23,600 Chart Analysis: 1. Upward Trend: The chart shows an overall upward trend, with the index making higher highs and higher lows. 2. Retracement: The index is currently in a retracement phase, falling from its recent high of 22,705.75. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and is approaching the 61.8% level. 3. Support Zone: The blue shaded area represents a significant support zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This zone could provide strong support and potential for a rebound. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario: - If the index finds support at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and rebounds, it could continue its upward trend towards the target price of 23,600. - Confirmation of a bullish trend would come with a strong bounce from the support zone and a move back above the previous high of 22,705.75. 2. Bearish Scenario: - If the index breaks below the 61.8% retracement level, it could indicate a deeper correction. - A break below this level could lead to further downside, possibly testing lower support levels not shown in the current chart. Trading Strategy: 1. Watch for Support: Monitor the price action closely around the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. Look for signs of a reversal or strong buying interest in this zone. 2. Buy Position: Consider entering a long position if the index shows a strong bounce from the support zone with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns. 3. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement level to manage risk in case of a further decline. 4. Target: Aim for the target price of 23,600 for the long position. Conclusion: - The Nifty 50 Index is currently in a retracement phase within an overall uptrend. The 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are critical support zones to watch. A strong rebound from this zone could lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the target of 23,600. Conversely, a break below the 61.8% level could signal further downside. Monitoring the price action and volume around these key levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by The90sTraderOfficial
NIFTY Prediction Levels, Whats Next?Here is an interesting chart of NIFTY in 15 min time frame. I am currently in a nice profitable SHORT position. However, markets are very unpredictable around the election results, so I may lose all profits thats currently unrealized. I am willing to take that risk after coming from a 1300+ points BankNifty points gain and 600+ nifty points gain. Let's see the firework thats gonna start soon in the market. Disclaimer: Because election results are very near, please be careful with your position sizing. All the best.
NSE:NIFTY
by ProfitsNinja
Technical Analysis: NIFTY 50's Recent Shifts and Future ProspectHello, TradingView community! Today, we're diving into a detailed technical analysis of the NSE:NIFTY index, which has shown some interesting movements lately. We'll break down the technical signals, look at the potential implications, and discuss what to watch out for in the coming days. 🔍 Overview of Recent Trends The NIFTY 50 has been following a well-defined upward trend channel over the past several months, making consistent gains each time it hit the upper boundary. However, recent patterns suggest a change in dynamics, which we need to scrutinize closely. 🔁 Current Technical Setup Most notably, the NIFTY 50 recently deviated from its usual pattern by not reaching the upper boundary of the trend channel before reversing its direction towards the lower boundary. This could be an early sign of weakening bullish momentum. 📉 Significance of the Double Top Pattern The formation of a potential Double top, a classic bearish reversal indicator, adds weight to concerns about a bearish shift. While this pattern is not yet confirmed—since we haven't seen a definitive breakdown below the neckline—it's a development that warrants attention. 📊 Intersection with the 100-day SMA The recent drop of -1.5% in the NIFTY 50 brought it down to the lower boundary of the trend channel, which coincidentally aligns with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This SMA has historically served as a strong support level, often triggering rebounds. 🔄 Potential Outcomes Bounce Back: If the 100-day SMA and the lower boundary of the trend channel hold up, there's potential for the NIFTY 50 to rebound towards the mid or upper boundary of the channel. Bearish Reversal: A decisive close below the 100-day SMA & Neckline of Double Top could indicate a more significant Bearish Trend or the start of a consolidation phase. 🌐 Broader Market Context Quarterly Earnings: The index is feeling the pressure from non-impressive Q4 results for 2024. Lackluster corporate earnings can dampen investor sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of stock valuations. Volatility Index Rise: The NSE:INDIAVIX , which measures market volatility, is on the rise. This indicates increased uncertainty among investors, as they price in a higher potential for market swings. FII Activity: There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs), contributing to downward pressure on the index. FII flows are crucial as they represent substantial investment volumes and can influence market direction. US Federal Reserve's Stance: The hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve, signaling potential interest rate hikes, is also a critical factor. Higher US interest rates can lead to capital outflows from emerging markets like India as investors seek higher returns in US assets. These points illustrate how external factors are intricately linked with the movements of the NIFTY 50 index and should be considered when analyzing its future direction. 📈 Trading Strategy Recommendations For those actively monitoring the NIFTY 50, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the 100-day SMA and the lower trend line of uptrend channel. These areas serve as critical junctures that could determine the market's short-term direction. "In the world of Market, it's not about how much you know, but how well you understand what you know and how you apply it in uncertain times." To conclude, while the NIFTY 50 presents an intriguing technical setup, traders should proceed with caution given the current uncertainties and the index's recent behavior. This analysis is intended to enhance understanding and encourage informed decision-making. Keep watching these indicators and adapt your strategies accordingly to navigate through these potentially choppy waters. Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes, Follows & comments. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
NSE:NIFTY
by AfnanTAjuddin
Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024 Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024 Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Overall: The Nifty 50 closed at 22,213 on February 23, 2024, marginally down by 0.02% from the previous day's close. Despite the minor dip, the index has been on an upward trajectory since February 19th, gaining around 1.3% in the last five days. This positive movement suggests a potential bullish trend, supported by a healthy recovery from the 21-day EMA and higher highs formation. Key Technical Indicators / Technical Analysis: The Nifty 50 is in an overall uptrend. Moving Averages: The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a possible uptrend in the near future. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 53.8, indicating that the index is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that there could be further upside potential. MACD: The MACD is currently above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum. The MACD indicator is positive, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend in the medium to long term. The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), indicating a bullish trend. Key observations: The Nifty has been following a trendline since January 20, 2024, suggesting a potential upside. The 22,150-22,200 range remains a major resistance zone, while 21,000 is a crucial support level. A breach above 22,300 could lead to further gains towards 22,500 and 22,600. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: The immediate hurdle for the Nifty 50 is seen at 22,300, followed by 22,500. Immediate Support: The immediate support is at 22,000, with a crucial level at 21,875, which coincides with the 20-day EMA and Thursday's low. Expert Opinions: Several technical analysts believe that the Nifty 50 has formed a bullish reversal pattern on the daily chart, suggesting a potential move above 22,500. However, some experts caution that the 22,300 level could be a significant short-term obstacle and recommend waiting for a confirmation breakout before taking any aggressive positions. Overall, the technical analysis of the Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of February 23, 2024, suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook. While the index faces some immediate hurdles, the overall trend appears to be bullish. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any trading decisions. Important to remember: This information is based on past data and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is important to do your own research before making any investment decisions. I hope this information is helpful. Please let me know if you have any other questions. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this information should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayurdhagiya