#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 23-27th Dec 2024The Nifty experienced a tumultuous week, plummeting roughly 1200 points to close at 23587 after reaching a high of 24781 and a low of 23537. This sharp decline was largely attributed to a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve, triggering a sell-off in the US market and prompting significant Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling in India. The 5% correction from its peak has brought the Nifty dangerously close to the crucial WEMA50 support level at 23426. However, there are signs of a potential bullish reversal forming a 'W' pattern. Sustaining above 23426 will be critical for a market turnaround.
Next week, I expect a volatile trading range between 24100 and 23000 . A breach of these levels could lead to significant market moves. The monthly Nifty chart also indicates weakness, suggesting further downside potential towards the 22250 support level, representing a 5.7% decline from current levels.
This presents a valuable opportunity for investors to prepare a watchlist of their preferred stocks and strategically accumulate positions during any further market correction
Nifty50index
#NIfty50 Outlook for upcoming week 9-13th Dec, Nifty Rallies, Bu
The Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a high note, closing at 24,677, a significant 550-point surge from the previous week. The index oscillated wildly, touching a high of 24,857 and a low of 24,008. As predicted, the index faced selling pressure around the 25,000 level, a critical resistance zone that triggered a downward trend in late October.
For the upcoming week, the Nifty is expected to trade within a range of 24,100 to 25,000. A sustained break above 25,000 could propel the index towards 25,250. However, a pullback to retest support levels is likely before the next upward move.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index gained 1% to close at 6,090. Key resistance levels for the S&P 500 are 6,142 and 6,225, while support levels are 6,013 and 5,963.let's see if US market this week also support world market or not.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 11-15th Nov 2024Nifty Weekly Recap: A Tug-of-War Continues
The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,148, marking a 150-point decline from the previous week's close. It oscillated within a tight range of 24,537 and 23,816, as predicted. While the VIX index shows signs of cooling down, the Nifty is expected to trade between 24,700 and 23,550 , with a potential breakout on either side. The weekly candle suggests a balanced market, with no clear direction.
A Cautionary Tale from the Monthly Chart
However, the monthly chart paints a different picture. The current pattern bears a striking resemblance to the one observed between April and June 2022. If history repeats itself, the Nifty could face another downward spiral, potentially testing support levels of 23,250 and 21,555. To regain its bullish momentum, the index must decisively close above 24,550, a feat that seems challenging in the current market conditions.
US Markets: A Bullish Run Fueled by Trump's Reelection
The S&P 500 index soared to an all-time high weekly close of 5,995, reaching a peak of 6,012 and a low of 5,696. Trump's reelection has ignited a rally in the US market, propelling it to new heights. For further upside, the index must sustain above the crucial 6,013 Fibonacci level. If it manages to do so, it could target 6,142, 6,225, 6,376, 6,454, 6,520, or even 6,568.
Impact of US Markets on India
The question remains: How will the US market's bullish run impact Indian equities? As investors closely monitor global cues, the Nifty's trajectory will depend on a delicate balance of domestic factors and international sentiment.
#Nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 21-25th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week at 24,854, a 110-point decline from the previous week's close. Despite hitting a high of 25,212 and a low of 24,567, the index remained within its expected trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. Looking ahead, I anticipate the Nifty to continue trading between 25,400 and 24,300.
A breakdown below 24,486 , the WEMA21 support level, would signal a bearish trend, potentially leading to a decline towards 23,400 or 23,300 . Conversely, a sustained move above 25,144 could pave the way for a rally to 25,500-25,600.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index achieved a new all-time high weekly close of 5,864, up approximately 40 points from the previous week. This suggests a potential upward move of 2-2.5% from its current level, targeting the significant Fibonacci level of 6,013. It remains to be seen if this positive momentum in the U.S. market will translate into a recovery for the Indian stock market."
Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY) AnalysisBased on the daily chart for the Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY), here is the summary and analysis:
Key Levels:
- Current Price: 22,488.65
- 50% Retracement Level: 22,458.10
- 61.8% Retracement Level: 22,324.60
- Target Price: 23,600
Chart Analysis:
1. Upward Trend: The chart shows an overall upward trend, with the index making higher highs and higher lows.
2. Retracement: The index is currently in a retracement phase, falling from its recent high of 22,705.75. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and is approaching the 61.8% level.
3. Support Zone: The blue shaded area represents a significant support zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This zone could provide strong support and potential for a rebound.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the index finds support at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and rebounds, it could continue its upward trend towards the target price of 23,600.
- Confirmation of a bullish trend would come with a strong bounce from the support zone and a move back above the previous high of 22,705.75.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the index breaks below the 61.8% retracement level, it could indicate a deeper correction.
- A break below this level could lead to further downside, possibly testing lower support levels not shown in the current chart.
Trading Strategy:
1. Watch for Support: Monitor the price action closely around the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. Look for signs of a reversal or strong buying interest in this zone.
2. Buy Position: Consider entering a long position if the index shows a strong bounce from the support zone with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns.
3. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement level to manage risk in case of a further decline.
4. Target: Aim for the target price of 23,600 for the long position.
Conclusion:
- The Nifty 50 Index is currently in a retracement phase within an overall uptrend. The 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are critical support zones to watch. A strong rebound from this zone could lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the target of 23,600. Conversely, a break below the 61.8% level could signal further downside. Monitoring the price action and volume around these key levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
The India bubbleDisclaimer: My charts reflect my own analysis and opinions which could be wrong; do not take anything here as investment advice because it is not.
I've been watching the Nifty and Sensex indices for a while, noticing their absolutely insane. Since 2004 the Nifty has run over 1200%. Even in the best scenarios, these moves eventually come to an end and have to correct to at least some degree, because such growth cannot be sustained indefinitely.
What caught my attention was not just the sheer gains but what in my eyes look like the same identifiable sections that nearly every market cycle forms which I have labeled in this chart. Note: I'm aware that my eyes may be deceiving me, but this is what I feel that I see. And the fact that there is a massive bearish divergence on RSI, the stochastic, and the macd, on the monthly time frame, supports my suspicion. Not to mention the Adani group news that broke right at what I believe is the top, to catalyze a move down.
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contion
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