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Niftyindia

Global Markets crack fearing Trump Tariff plans.Global markets cracked downwards today fearing the tariff imposed by the new Government in US. The action has strengthened already strong USD$ as US is trying to flex it's financial muscle. How long this strength in USD can sustain is a question as it is looking far away from support having given an ATH against Rupee. The Tariffs as of now have been imposed by US on Canada, Mexico and China but other countries can also receive a similar treatment including India. So that space has to be watched continuously. Under such global perfect storm Nifty actually did pretty well to close at 23361 after making a low of 23222 which is a remarkable 139 points recovery. This might be due to the Budget announcements. There is also a talk that RBI might go for a rate cut. This can further give some strength of Financial and Banking and some other stocks. Global factors and FII selling are the main issues along with strength of Dollar that are hampering the Indian market. The results so far have been below par compared YonY but better than some market experts expectation. So even on that front it is a mixed bag. Supports for Nifty are at: 23222, 23136 and 22976. If we get a closing below 22976 Nifty can fall in a total Bear territory and fall further to 22797, 22316 or further down. Resistances for Nifty are at: 23381, 23555, 23618 (Father Line Resistance), 23660 is the (Mother line Resistance). After we get a weekly closing above 23660 we can think of getting back to the more bullish territory of 23745, 23883 and finally 24K+ zone. Shadow of the candle right now seems to be neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Superb closing above Mother and Father Line Resistance. We had a very good closing today by Nifty at 23739 which is above Mother and Father line of resistance but there is a trendline resistance now at 23745 which Nifty was not able to cross today after briefly hovering above it as it made a high of 23762. The next resistances in line for Nifty if it is able to cross 23745 swiftly will be at 23883 and 24108. Closing above 24108 can bring the Bulls back into the game and take us to the next resistances at 24281, 24596, 24898 and finally 25K+ levels. Supports for Nifty are at 23663 (Mother Line support), 23619 (Father line support), 23421 and 23222. Below 23222 Nifty will become weak again and in such a scenario Nifty can fall to below 23K levels of 22976, 22797 or even 22316. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Superb weekly closing with Bullish Engulfing candle by Nifty. Superb weekly closing at 23508 with a closing above 50 Weeks EMA (Mother line) which was at 23423. This came along with Bullish Engulfing candle by Nifty now all eyes on Nirmalaji (Indian FM) to deliver a great budget and turnaround this bullish candle into a proper Bull rally. Now the only thing that can stop us and fizzle the rally would be a dank budget. Supports for Nifty remain at 23136 and 22838. Below 22838 the rally can fizzle out into the bear territory again. In such a scenario Bears can drag Nifty further down to 22316, 21869. Below 21869 major support will be near 200 Weeks EMA at 19578. Historical resistances for Nifty based on previous Peaks and Valleys can be at 23883 (Trend line resistance), 24281 and 24904. After getting a closing above 24904 market can think of regaining 25K or even 26K levels. RSI is entering the Bull Zone as well with closing this week at 45.60. RSI Resistance is at 47.49 that is something to look at. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Bulls Make a major counter attack to Pull Nifty upwards. Today the Bulls fought back very well and against all odds were able to close Nifty much above Mother line of hourly chart. Nifty closed at 23163 and the Mother line support now is at 23108. If Bulls are able to keep Nifty aflot above this level and drive it higher they will have potential to make a come back into the game which was dominated one-sidedly by Bears since a long time. Not only Nifty we saw Mid and Small cap index also fight back today. The negative observation is that there is a trendline resistance just near today's high as you can see in the chart at 23183. So closing much above that level tomorrow will be really helpful. The supports for Nifty now remain at: 23108 (Mother Line Major support), 23032, 22919, 22776 (Major trend line support), 22465 and 22100 will be the channel Bottom support. The Resistances for Nifty now will be at: 23183 (Major Trend line resistance), 23354, 23465 (Major Father line Resistance of 200 hours EMA), 23542, 23726, 23892 (Major Channel top resistance). If channel top resistance is broken in the current rally Bulls will be back in the game and can drag the index further upwards towards 24060 and 24226. Above 24226 monthly closing there is Nifty landing again in Pure Bull territory. Good come back by bulls. Shadow of the candle now is neutral but it can become positive if we get a closing above 23183 tomorrow. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty spirals down yet again in full flow. Where is the bottom?As Nifty Spirals down in a full flow investors have following questions in mind: Q1 Where is the bottom? Q2 How much more pain left in the system? Q3 When will the recovery start? Answer to all the questions is interlinked. Answer 1) Predicting exact top and exact bottom is very difficult but with MMI at 23.71 it is clear that extreme fear has gripped investors. Those who invest during extreme fear zone make profit in a long run that is very clear cut long term scenario. FII have withdrawn enmasse in search of greener pastures. HNI investors and retail investors are worried that FII is going away. Also they feel the fear of increased taxation while budget 2025 is about to arrive supports for Nifty which can act as bottom are at 22740 (near lower bandwidth of bollinger band), 22465, 22175 and 21886 (Channel bottom support). Any of these levels as of now can act as support for Nifty. Answer 2) As the levels suggest short covering can happen anytime alter this week as market looks oversold. Current RSI 28.66 is and RSI support is at 22. So we can expect a technical bounce upto 23K or 23.2K any time soon. Only if the Nifty closes 23550 we can see a momentum build up which can take Nifty further up towards 24K or 24.2K as of now. Answer 3) Short term recovery can start very soon probably later this week. Long term recovery and march towards 25K or 25K+ will take some time and might start in end of Q1 or mid Q2 2025. As per the charts.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Indecisive candle Nifty looking for a Breakout on either side. Like last week this week to Nifty has remained indecisive could not go up with the momentum and could not break the critical support on the down side. Such things happen generally when Nifty is in search of bottom or it has formed the bottom. If Nifty has already formed the bottom and support at 22935 holds we can see an up side where the resistances will be at 23270, 23419 (Mother line on Weekly charts, very strong resistance), 23806 and 24203. If Nifty dives down searching for a bottom we have supports at 22935, 21886 (Channel bottom support) and finally 21232 major support which is also pretty close to the lows of June 2024 Election result day lows which was at 21281. things hanging by the thread and shadow of the candle is Neutral to negative. Hoping for a short covering / Technical bounce anytime next week. Everything depends on the budget now. If the budget is good we can see a comeback rally in Nifty if not we will see it forming a bottom in mid or end February 2025. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good closing by Nifty signaling chances of revival. We got a closing by Nifty today above 23200 levels at 23205 which has confirmed the chances of Revival. Two minor and 2 major hurdles remain in front of it right now before we can confirm that bear run is over. The minor resistance in front of Nifty now are 23270 and 23424. These are not strong resistances however any resistance can not be taken lightly when FII sell is selling like there is no tomorrow. after we get a closing above 23424 there will be father and Mother line resistances at 23652 and 23825. These 2 will be major resistances. Post we get a closing above 23825, 24000 and 24203 will me major hurdles. Only a closing above 24203 will bring bulls out of ICU. So we have a long way to go before complete revival. Today we have gained an important additional support near 23090. Supports on the lower side for Nifty will be at 22935 (This is a strong trend line support.) Below 22935 the supports is at 22425. Tomorrow will be an important day. If we get a positive closing tomorrow the momentum can be carried forward into the next week. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good closing today by Nifty but Bull market not yet in sight. Good recovery by Nifty today closing above the mid channel line but there is long way to go before Bulls are back in business. We do not know if today's bounce was a dead cat Technical bounce after the rout yesterday. The resistances that Nifty now faces are at 23176, 23424, 23657 (Father line resistance), 23850 (Mother line resistance), 24518 and finally channel top resistance near 24799. Above 24800 closing bulls can come back in business and take Nifty North wards to 25299+ levels. Supports for Nifty remain at 22935, 22465, 21866 and finally 21232. Below 22935 is a pure Bear territory. We are terribly close to the bear territory. Shadow of the candle is neutral. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Closing by Nifty just above Mother Line. Nifty today did well to close just above Mother line of hourly chart. The closing we got was at 23344 and 50 EMA or the Mother line is at 23330. This bring the hope of recover towards 23.5K and further towards 24K+ levels in the medium to short duration. The resistances for Nifty right now remain at 23390, 23460, 23589 and 23703. Closing above 23703 will be very good for Bulls as they can drag the index in this scenario towards 23821, 24021 and 24231 levels. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 23330 (Mother line support, 50 EMA), 23172 and 23046. Closing below 23046 can lead to Bears coming back to pull nifty further down. As of now shadow of the candle is positive. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Stages Massive Comeback. But Will The Mother Line Relent? Nifty has staged a massive comeback today on the back of FII buying today. Nifty made a high of 24226 but Mother line Resistance (50 day's EMA at 24221) pushed it back a bit and it ended the day at 24188. If the mother line relents tomorrow and if we can get a weekly closing above 24221 tomorrow Bulls have potential to take the momentum forward into January with a possibility of Budget rally. The supports for Nifty remain at 23926, 23698 (Father Line Support of 200 day's EMA), 23494 and finally 23238. Below 23238 all hell can break loose and bears will have potential to Pull Nifty further down. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24221 (Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) followed by 24389, 24600 and 24876 before Nifty snatches back 25K levels. Shadow of the candle remains neutral to positive but it can turn neutral or even negative if Mother line resistance comes into play again. The best possibility for Nifty remains if it can get a gap up opening above 24221. This can happen if we get good support from International indices and Gift Nifty tonight. Tomorrow's closing will be very important as it is the first weekly closing for the year. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty after multiple efforts not able to close above 23900.Nifty again tried to climb up and made a high of 23915 however there was tremendous selling pressure at that level and not only it could not sustain 23900 but also it failed to sustain 23800 or even 23650 levs. Nifty closed at 23644 levels. This is a closing below the Father line (200 days EMA) which was at 23693. This closing is indicative of weakness. Shadow of the candle has turned negative as of now. There is a strong support at 23567. If this support is broken the door way towards 23273 or even 22800 will open up. Relative strength index is 37.40 and RSI support is at 30 and 27.54 levels. Incase of positive closing tomorrow which looks little difficult as of now the resistances will be at 23650, 23693 (Father Line), 23809, 23961 and finally 24159 and finally Mother line (50 Days EMA) Resistance at 24266. So as of now it looks like we will have a modest close for the year. It has been an year for Nifty which Amplifies with 'what could have been'. Right now we are around 10% of the peak and at 9% yearly gains as compared to yearly closing. Hoping that law of averages catches up next year and we reach new highs next year and close the year robustly. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
A Smart Comeback by Nifty but is it a dead cat bounce?Today we saw a smart comeback by Nifty but a confirmation candle and a positive closing to the week an ensure if it is not a dead cat bounce (Only a Technical bounce before Nifty falls again). Further ground has to be covered by Nifty before we reach the Bull territory. The closing today was good above the Father line and indicates positivity but whether the bounce sustains or not is a question that will be answered later in the week. Right now the supports for Nifty remain at: 23691 (200 days EMA) or the Father line, 23588, 23258 (Mid channel support), 22499 and 21572. Resistances on the upper side are at: 23871, 24053, 24183, 24359 (50 day's EMA) or the Mother line resistance, 24552 and finally 24721 (Important Fibonacci resistance). Bulls can get a prominence only after we get a closing above this level. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Can The Major Support Zone Save Nifty From Falling Further?There is a triple Support zone that has been reached by Nifty. The Zone between today's low that is 23870 and 23692 has multiple supports of a trend line and Father Line of 200 day's EMA. Let us see if we have a revival from here. If that will be the case the next resistance zones will be 24019, 24175, 24416(Major Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) and 24529 (Major Trend Line Resistance). If the support of 23870 is broken we will have to rely upon 23962 that is the major 200 day's EMa of Father line. If we get a closing below 23692 or the Father line. Bears will become more powerful and we may see them control the game. In such a scenario the supports will be at 23350, 23088 and 22828. So very critical weekly closing tomorrow. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
As Expected Mother Line resistance has come into playAs we had expected in Yesterday's message the closing below Mother line yesterday meant that Mother line resistance was supposed to come into play today and it did. Nifty made a high of 24394 and ominous mother line resistance was near by as can be seen in the chart and Nifty got rejected from there. Now Nifty is tossed into bottom searching mode. Today's low that is 24149.85 was a support zone and we saw a closing above it at 24198 which is the silver lining in the cloud. If 24150 is respected tomorrow we can start seeing some range bound upside. If the support of 24150 is not respected and we get a closing below this level the further supports for Nifty will be at 23904, 23803 or Strong Father line support at 23689. If 23689 is broken we can see a low of 23291 or so as of now. On the positive side if the support of 24150 is respected by Nifty the resistances on the upside will be near 24311, 24435 (Strong Mother line resistance), 24627, 24793 or even 24960. 24960 is a strong resistance to cross but if and when it is crossed we can see more upside as Bulls will start calling shots above this level. Thus the most critical supports are 24150 and 23689. Most critical resistances will be 24435 as of now. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Mother Line supported Nifty to bounce back from day's low. Nifty made a high of 24677 but then felt heat of the resistance and fell over 167 points until Mother Line supported Nifty to bounce back from day's low. Nifty closed flat to slightly negative at 24610. Closing -8.95 points in the negative. Closing above Mother line again is a positive sign with indices like Realty, IT, PSU Banks, Metal, Finance, MNC, FMCG, services ending in the positive. The laggard indices were PSE, Auto, Pharma, Consumption, Capital Goods, meida, infra and Energy. Nifty Supports remain at: 24584, 24501 (Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA), 24328 (Father Line support of 200 Hours EMA), 24172 (Mid channel support), 24005 and finally 23869 closing below which bears can take control of Nifty. Nifty Resistances remain at: 24641, 24693, 24759, 24858 and finally 24981 (Chanel top resistance) Above 24981 closing there can be another massive bullish breakout in Nifty. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Long Term Nifty Outlook with Macro and Micro Economic commentaryNifty after making a new high is in volatile consolidation and correction mode. FIIs are selling big on every rally and DIIs and Retail are seeing this opportunity to consolidate their position in Indian market. Amidst all the volatility Nifty managed to close the month at 24131. Every investor is seeking answer to one question which when will FII return to Indian market. There are too answers to this. Simple answer is they will return eventually sooner rather than later. A more based answer is that when opportunity to earn more return elsewhere will diminish and there will be sort of global stability. Right now Ukraine and Russia conflict has opened another chapter of uncertainties. Stimulus package from China to stabilize its economy is also in an ongoing phase. Iran and Israel conflict is also contributed to environment of global uncertainties. On the other hand Maharashtra Election result has tried or is trying its best to comfort DII and retail investors. Bond yield in US and surge in crypto post US election and China stimulus has provided a temporary oppenturnity for FIIs to make big money elsewhere. These are the Macro and Micro economic changes which led to FIIs searching better greener pastures elsewhere. Thus when the dust settles a bit and Indian companies again start giving attractive Q on Q results, FIIs will come back. Results this quarter from India Inc in a traditionally weaker Quarter were a little below par. GDP growth was seen at 5.4% which is again slightly below par which can send Nifty into further consolidation mode. So there will be recovery from here but pointing out the timeline is a tough call even for seasoned economists. Now coming to the Technical chart, Support and resistance levels. We can not say for sure if the bottom has already been made when earlier this month which was 23263 was the exact bottom or not but it will be an important level going below which we can see free fall in Nifty. So that will be a level to watch. On Daily candlestick chart there is currently a Cup shaped recovery in progress. There are clear trend lines suggesting that top of the channel is somewhere between 28K or 30K in the long run. Base support of the trend line includes 23263 hence that level is of prime importance. Mother line major resistance going forward will be 24367. Father Line major support will be at 23572. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23890, 23263 to 23230 zone, 22783, 22369, 21845 and 21310. Resistances for Nifty Remain at: Zone between 24367 to 24570, 25214, 25653 and 26277. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Massive Gap-up on expected lines, Which way will Nifty go now?After Maharashtra results as expected Nifty gave a gap up opening and sustained above an important level to close the day but can the rally sustain or will it fizzle out. If Nifty can consolidate in the range and cross the important resistance of 24360 while holding the ground above 200 hours EMA of Father line at 24213 we can see a really very bullish rally in Nifty. The supports for Nifty remain at 24213, 24135, 23948 and finally 23821. Below 23821 which is the 50 Hours EMA or the Mother line the rally may Fizzle out and bears will again dominate the scene. Resistnace for Nifty remain at 24369 important trend line resistance, 24530, 24673 and 24893 before we gain 25K levels and we can move ahead. Above 25K we will be in a predominantly Bullish territory again. To know more about Mother and Father lines, trend lines and supports and resistances mentioned in the message and to find them on your own in addition to knowing more about Techno-Funda investing in a nutshell you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Kindle and Google Playbook in E-version and on Paperback edition on Amazon. It is one of the highest rated books in that category. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that. 1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump). 2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version. 3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days. These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action. Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory. Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA. If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels. On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook. As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass. Three Major Supports for Nifty are: 1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542. 2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352. 3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845. Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones. Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be: 1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance. 2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608. 3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436. 4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High) 5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705. To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment