NIFTY - Trend ContinuationAs it happens there seems to be some strength left in the bullish cycle.
This is based on the fact that the trendlines that were resisting till now can't hold it anymore & need much stronger resistance which is where the market is headed (to 24,300 levels)
All of this analysis is attributed to the development of interim weekly correction that collapsed the overall wave analysis done earlier (it calls for an additional 3 waves --> UP-DOWN & UP)
Strategy:
Long only if the market stays above 23,680 with a limited position only
SL: 23,620
Niftyintradaytradesetup
Nifty Intraday (01-07-2024)The image displays a trading chart for the Nifty 50 Index, showing a 15-minute interval, as observed on July 1, 2024. Here are the key features of the chart:
Candlestick Format: Each bar represents a 15-minute trading interval with indications of opening, high, low, and closing prices.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A blue line represents the 20-period EMA, providing insight into the trend's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Trading Signals:
-Buy Signal: A green arrow suggests buying if the Nifty moves above 24,035, with an open target above 24,150.
-Sell Signal: A red arrow indicates a selling position if the index drops below 23,950, aiming for a target of 23,825.
Technical Overview: The chart captures the intraday movement of the Nifty index, illustrating volatility and potential trading zones based on the EMA and past performance.
Nifty Intraday (26-06-2024)Price Levels: The Nifty is trading at 23,721.90, with the high and low for the session being 23,754.15 and 23,715.30, respectively.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A 20-period EMA is plotted on the chart with a value of 23,656.26.
Support and Resistance Levels: The chart displays several horizontal lines indicating key levels:
23,731.65
23,665.85
23,570.05
23,385.50
Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: "Buy Above 23,750; Target Open for 24,000" indicated by a green arrow pointing upward.
Sell Signal: "Sell Below 23,665; Target 23,500" indicated by a red arrow pointing downward.
The chart is likely used for intraday trading strategies, providing specific levels to enter buy or sell positions based on the Nifty 50's price movements.
NIFTY - High probability Correction ahead..!!!The move testing the highs of 21st JUN is about to conclude, following which the correction begins in one larger degree. the trendlines & supports can be seen in the charts
Important points of support will be,
SI - 22,665
SII - 22,535 to hold temporarily
SIII - 22,130 ~ 21,830
SL - Any higher moves beyond 23,750
PS: The correction has equally arguable alternate probabilities, to be exact 2.
1. The correction from 20MAR'23 (16,828 levels) - A LP Outcome
2. The Possibility of an extending triangle - meager probable outcome.
*The discussed outcome is highly probable among all these. However, the data from the market's forthcoming sessions are mandatory for confirming the same - to eradicate the alternatives!!!
Short positions can be taken from 23,690 ~ 23,700 levels
Trade Accordingly.
NIFTY - A clear Swing correctionAs mentioned before the logic remains valid for today. the market is expected to inch higher to the levels mentioned below & after which the correction progresses. The levels
RI - 23,526 (1.382 FE)
R II - 23,580 ~ 23,598 (TL (mid) Intersection - very strong); a SHORT trade here is rewarding!!!
RIII - 23,636 (1.414 FE); highly unlikely to be tested in this move
SL: Any surge above 23,640 will make the trade void (however, the confidence is so strong that this will not be the case).
TP: will be updated in succeeding posts(the presence of ambiguity due to 2 possibilities, progression in correction will help to sort it out!).
Trade accordingly
NIFTY - On the verge of a correction There is a possibility that the market is being interrupted by the intersection of two strong resistances (mid-trend line intersection) which calls for a correction in the monthly time frame.
However, the penultimate move is yet to be completed.
The market is about to test the previous day's low @23,442.60 & after that, there will be a struggling upward move testing again at 23,664. The correction progresses from there to the 21,280 ~ 21,200 levels
Today support for the upcoming penultimate move will be,
SI - 23,442.60
SII - 23,435 ~ 417
SIII - 23,382
NO recommended SL for this trade setup (Any substantial increase above 22,664, calls off the trade).
The resistance to the final move is 23,664 & is expected to surpass the said levels by a minimum margin.
Trade accordingly.
NIFTY - An interim correction in the finalk moveThe market is facing an interim correction from today's high (as we can infer the pattern completion in Hourly charts (11-3-&7). It will fall to the areas through the supports as mentioned below,
The support will be as follows 23318,23157 & 23,035 (strong)~22960.
Apart from these, the coincidental areas can be found between trendlines & retracement as projected in the chart
Understanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: AnalysisUnderstanding the Bullish Momentum in S&P CNX NIFTY: A Detailed Analysis
The S&P CNX NIFTY, a crucial benchmark index in the Indian stock market, is currently exhibiting significant bullish momentum. With its spot price hovering around 22,957.1, close to the pivotal 23,000 strike price, there’s a clear indication of robust market activity and investor confidence. In this blog, we’ll delve into the specifics of this movement, examining the data on traded contracts, open interest, and changes in call options, to provide a comprehensive understanding of what this means for traders and investors.
Key Data Points
- **Spot Price:** 22,957.1
- **Strike Price:** 23,000
- **Max Traded Contracts:** 4,860,989
- **Call Open Interest (OI) (All Strike Prices):** 98,551.95 K
- **Call Turnover % Change (All Strike Prices):** 152.79%
- **Call Contracts % Change (All Strike Prices):** 150.70%
- **% Change in OI (All Strike Prices):** 62.43%
Breaking Down the Numbers
Spot Price vs. Strike Price
The spot price of the S&P CNX NIFTY is at 22,957.1, just shy of the 23,000 strike price. This proximity to a significant psychological and technical level suggests that traders are closely watching this threshold. It often acts as a key battleground for bulls and bears, influencing trading strategies and market sentiment.
Maximum Traded Contracts
A whopping 4,860,989 contracts traded at the 23,000 strike price underscores the high trading activity and interest. This volume signifies that a large number of traders are actively participating at this level, betting on the direction of the NIFTY.
Call Open Interest (OI)
With call open interest standing at 98,551.95 K across all strike prices, there’s a clear indication that traders are predominantly taking long positions in call options. This high open interest reflects expectations of further price increases, as call options provide the right to buy at a predetermined price, benefiting from upward movements.
Surge in Call Turnover
The 152.79% increase in call turnover points to a significant rise in the value of call options traded. This surge is likely driven by increased buying activity, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment. Traders are willing to pay more for call options, anticipating that the NIFTY will continue its upward trajectory.
Increase in Call Contracts
The number of call contracts traded has jumped by 150.70%. This substantial increase reinforces the bullish sentiment, indicating that more traders are entering the market with a positive outlook. The rise in call contracts suggests growing confidence in the market’s upward potential.
Change in Open Interest
The open interest has risen by 62.43%, showing that a large number of new positions are being created. This increase in OI is a strong signal of market engagement, with traders committing capital in anticipation of further price movements. High open interest typically correlates with increased liquidity and market depth.
Conclusion
The data paints a picture of a bullish market sentiment for the S&P CNX NIFTY. The close proximity of the spot price to the 23,000 strike price, coupled with high trading volumes and significant increases in call turnover, contracts, and open interest, all point towards a market poised for upward movement. Traders and investors are clearly optimistic about the NIFTY’s prospects, positioning themselves for potential gains as the index approaches and potentially surpasses the 23,000 mark.
Market Sentiment and Future Outlook
The bullish outlook on the NIFTY could be driven by several factors, including strong economic indicators, positive corporate earnings, or favorable market conditions. However, it’s essential for investors to remain vigilant, considering broader market trends and potential risks. While the data suggests optimism, market dynamics can shift rapidly, influenced by global events and domestic policies.
Disclaimer
This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Understanding market trends and data is crucial, but so is considering your risk tolerance and investment goals.
By keeping an eye on these indicators and understanding the underlying market sentiment, traders and investors can make more informed decisions, leveraging the bullish momentum of the S&P CNX NIFTY to their advantage.
Flying Index, Strolling Future!Nifty FUT does not seem keen to move up and that is a little worrisome. We are at striking distance to ATH but the timing is not to brilliant. Election results are still a couple of weeks away. We could move up a little and then retrace to consolidate near the 50% mark. This looks like a logical scenario. But informed institutions could take big positions and that could go against any narrative. Will trade only after watching for a while.
Trap!Looks like Nifty has walked straight into a spot marked with a big X like in the KGF2 movie. And is waiting to be shot down by bear cartel. This is the narrative that played out in my head.
Nifty could either consolidate OR fall from here.
On the contrary of Nifty Gaps up OR there is fresh buying in some heavy weights, good enough to make 22500 sellers run for cover, then we could see an unprecedented rally.
Rise to be sold into!The higher the Gap up today, the mor confident I shall be to sell on the first tick. There is one stop NIFTY missed in this pilgrimage downhill: "21800". When she realizes it, she would turn around and rush to make that final downward journey before continuing up to where she belongs.
A gap down opening is when things will become tricky. In this case there might or might not be a retracement to gather longs before falling.
NIFTY Next Week Target Prediction (May 16, 2024)Nifty 15m has conquered the EMA 100 at the end of the hour today.
We were able tp capture both the PE and CE side momentum using Risological Indicators.
Hopefully next week, we will see Bullish days.
On a Daily timeframe, chart looks BEARISH. So, we might also see a BIG gapdown on Monday morning.
Trade safe. have a happy weekend!
Bears... stay a little longer. Will be interesting to see where we open. A gap up will my ideal scenario where we could short with a tight SL from the word "GO...". A neutral opening, again if we plan to go short, the position size will have to be significantly smaller. In case of Gap down opening, I shall wait for a retracement to sell into. That's the plan.
NIFTY 780+ Points and RunningGUY!
Look what I ve been able to catch!
780+ points on NIFTY and still running.
Closed position partially. 25% still open position, Iam gonna let it run till the price crosses above the Risological Astra dotted line.
The Risological astra shows there is a little more room for a dip before a reversal.
Let's wait and watch.
Furthermore, the election results are round the corner, so expecting crazy moves soon.
I will update with fresh opportunities. Watch this space or follow my profile to catch moves.
Analysis for Nifty Swing Position
We have a Fresh 3H Demand which is the Source of the Uptrend till the Destination Fresh Weekly Supply.
Further in lower timeframe we will check for a confirmation
We see how the price has been moving making new lows ands new Highs until it reaches the 3H Demand and after reacting to the 3H Demand we see that Price has violated its previous high and now we also have a fresh Demand in 1H chart.
This 1H Demand is the Potential Trade Demand with an Amazing Reward to Risk Ratio.
But the Price where it reaches the Weekly Supply we are looking for a big downward move from this Weekly Supply hence make sure to exit on time.