Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty saw Selling from opening in line with global cues and continued sell off till day’s close
Technicals:
Nifty was weak from the start and close at day’s low forming a strong Bearish candle closing convincingly below 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. saw some profit booking at day’s high of 23270 (10 Dema) closing just at the wedge line.
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index improved to 33, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists.
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22700
Immediate Support 22800
Immediate Resistance 23000
Major Resistance 23350
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish but short term Nifty is bit positive if trades above 22300
Options Data:
Weekly Options data suggests huge Put unwinding seen at 23000 and Call Build up seen at 23000 suggesting Resistance
PCR improved to 0.7 which is Bearish
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 22%/78%
Nifty Futures price was in neagative, a decrease in price alongside an increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates a build-up of short positions in the market, which is generally considered a bearish signal as more traders are betting on the price to fall further
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty might consolidate and side ways
Approch:
Long only above 23270
avoid shorts till 22800 taken down convincingly
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
still holding Long in Feb Series CE
Niftylevels
NIFTY : Analysis, levels, Prediction and next aheadThis chart provides an analysis based on Elliott Wave theory (Modified with psychological behavior), showing how the NIFTY 50 index has moved through different phases and highlighting important levels where price actions suggest significant market behavior.
Initially, prices consolidated around 21174-22469, forming the base of a larger upward move referred to as Wave C which was started from 15290 on weekly chart. This phase is significant because it shows the market finding strong support, where buyers stepped in to absorb selling pressure. This type of consolidation often indicates the foundation of a bullish rally. From here, the index began its upward journey, reaching an extended Wave C completion zone between 25,096 and 26,641 which was predicted on 30-Aug-2024 when prices were trading at 25151 .
from this range, prices started to lose strength, which is typical when markets approach exhaustion zones in an extended trend. The selling pressure increased, leading to a reversal.
charts.fyers.in
After hitting this extended resistance zone, the market entered a correction phase, forming Wave A. This phase is marked by a sharp decline, with prices finding support at 23,263, a significant 50% retracement of the previous move. Retracements like this are crucial because they represent a balance point where the market pauses to decide its next move. The 50% retracement is also a key Fibonacci level, often considered a strong resistance / support area. from retracement zone prices started decline again to complete its structure of ABC (Correction wave)
Currently, the index is trading in the first corrective Wave C zone between 22,762 and 23,061. This range is critical because it represents a decision point for the market. If prices hold here, it could signal the end of the correction and the start of a new upward wave. If the market fails to sustain this level, it could move further downward toward the extended correction zone at 21,617–21,893. This area is identified as a potential bottoming-out zone where strong support is expected. Historically, such zones offer good buying opportunities for traders looking for a trend reversal.
However, if prices fail to hold even this extended correction zone and break below 21,174, it would confirm a decisive bearish trend on both weekly and monthly charts. A breakdown like this would suggest a prolonged sideways or negative trend, meaning the market could struggle to recover for some time.
In summary, the chart highlights key areas to watch for potential market reversals. If prices hold above 22,762, there’s a good chance of a bullish recovery, and this could be a buying opportunity. On the other hand, if prices break below this level, the next significant support lies around 21,617–21,893. A failure to hold even that zone would shift the outlook to bearish, signaling the end of the bullish trend and a move toward a deeper correction. Understanding these levels and their significance helps traders and investors make informed decisions about when to enter or exit the market.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 27/01/2025Nifty will open gap down in today's session. After opening if nifty starts trading below 22950 level then expected strong downside movement in market upto 22700 level in today's session. Any upside movement only possible if nifty sustain above 23050 level. Upside 23250 level will act as a strong resistance for the nifty.
Indecisive candle Nifty looking for a Breakout on either side. Like last week this week to Nifty has remained indecisive could not go up with the momentum and could not break the critical support on the down side. Such things happen generally when Nifty is in search of bottom or it has formed the bottom.
If Nifty has already formed the bottom and support at 22935 holds we can see an up side where the resistances will be at 23270, 23419 (Mother line on Weekly charts, very strong resistance), 23806 and 24203.
If Nifty dives down searching for a bottom we have supports at 22935, 21886 (Channel bottom support) and finally 21232 major support which is also pretty close to the lows of June 2024 Election result day lows which was at 21281. things hanging by the thread and shadow of the candle is Neutral to negative. Hoping for a short covering / Technical bounce anytime next week. Everything depends on the budget now. If the budget is good we can see a comeback rally in Nifty if not we will see it forming a bottom in mid or end February 2025.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY: Trading levels and Plan for 27-Jan-2025📈 NIFTY 50 Trading Plan for 27-Jan-2025 📈
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Opening Support Zone: 23,055-23,161
Intraday Resistance Zone: 23,178-23,284
Last Intraday Resistance: 23,405-23,442
Final Profit Booking Zone: 23,540
Buyer’s Strong Support Zone: 22,867-22,762
🌟 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,178) 🌟
If NIFTY opens significantly above 23,178:
✅ Wait for Retest: Avoid rushing into trades after a gap-up. Allow the index to retest the 23,178-23,161 support zone for confirmation of strength.
📈 Action Plan: If a bullish candle forms during the retest, initiate a long trade targeting 23,284 initially and extend to 23,405-23,442 . Keep a stop-loss below 23,150.
🚫 Caution Zone: If the index stalls near 23,405-23,442, it might indicate profit booking. Avoid fresh longs in this area unless there’s a breakout above 23,442.
💡 Pro Tip: Use a bull call spread strategy to capture the upside while managing risk effectively.
🚨 Risk Note: Avoid over-leveraging after a significant gap-up. Monitor the price action closely.
🔄 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 23,090) 🔄
If NIFTY opens flat or within the No Trade Zone: 23,055-23,161:
⚪ Avoid Immediate Trades: This range is a no-trade zone due to indecision. Wait for a breakout above 23,178 or a breakdown below 23,055.
🔼 Breakout Strategy: If the price breaks above 23,178, go long targeting 23,284 and extend to 23,405. Use a stop-loss below 23,150.
🔽 Breakdown Strategy: If the index drops below 23,055, short trades can be initiated targeting 22,867-22,762. Maintain a stop-loss above 23,100.
💡 Pro Tip: Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits during trending moves.
🚦 Options Strategy: Consider selling straddles near the no-trade zone to take advantage of time decay, but hedge positions to avoid unlimited risk.
🌧️ Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,055) 🌧️
If NIFTY opens below 23,055:
📉 Focus on Buyer’s Support Zone: The 22,867-22,762 zone is critical for potential reversals. Look for bullish price action in this area.
✅ Action Plan: If a reversal pattern (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) forms near 22,867, enter long trades targeting 23,055. Use a stop-loss below 22,740.
🔥 Aggressive Selling Levels: If the price sustains below 22,762, further downside to 22,700 or lower is possible. Initiate shorts with tight risk management.
⚠️ Avoid Overtrading: Gap-down scenarios can be volatile. Wait for clear patterns and don’t rush into trades.
💡 Pro Tip: Use long straddle strategies to benefit from increased volatility in gap-down scenarios.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips 💡:
🔥 Never risk more than 2% of your capital on a single trade.
🎯 Stick to stop-loss levels and avoid emotional trading.
📈 Use option strategies (e.g., spreads, straddles) to limit risk in uncertain market conditions.
🧘 Stay patient. Avoid forcing trades if setups don’t align with your plan.
📝 Summary & Conclusion:
Key Zones to Watch: 23,055 (support) and 23,178 (resistance).
Gap-ups favor longs above 23,178 ; gap-downs focus on support zones like 22,867 .
Strictly adhere to risk management principles.
Use options wisely to hedge your positions and reduce exposure to volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . All views shared are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/01/2025Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. Expected opening above 23250 level. After opening if it's sustain above this level then possible upside rally upto 23450+ in today's session. Any further downside movement expected below 23200 level.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 24-Jan-2025📈 NIFTY Trading Plan for 24-Jan-2025 📊
Below is the comprehensive trading plan for NIFTY for all opening scenarios on 24-Jan-2025. Follow the levels carefully and adapt to market conditions. 🚀
🌟 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points) 🌟
If NIFTY opens above 23,325 :
📌 Look for resistance near 23,475-23,541 (Profit booking zone).
🔼 If it sustains above 23,541 , expect further upside momentum towards 23,650 .
🔄 Watch for a reversal or profit-booking signal near the resistance levels for short opportunities.
📉 If it fails to sustain above 23,325 , the market may retest the support zone at 23,217-23,198 .
💡 Tip: 🛑 Avoid aggressive entries at higher levels; wait for confirmation of breakout or reversal patterns.
📏 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 Points) ⚖️
If NIFTY opens between 23,217-23,198 :
👀 Monitor the Opening Support Zone: 23,123-23,158 .
⚠️ A breakdown below 23,123 could drive the index to 23,039 (next support zone).
🟢 For bullish trades, wait for clear rejection signals at 23,123 or a breakout above 23,325 for upward momentum.
🔄 Be cautious in the no-trade zone, as the market might consolidate before giving a clear direction.
💡 Tip: During flat openings, focus on managing risk and allow the market to define its trend for the day. ✅
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points) 🛑
If NIFTY opens below 23,123 :
🛡️ Immediate buyer support is expected near 22,897-22,930 . Watch for reversal candles or accumulation at this level to enter long trades.
📉 If it fails to sustain above 22,897 , a further downside towards 22,800-22,750 is possible.
🔼 On the upside, the Opening Resistance Zone: 23,123-23,158 will act as a critical area for the reversal.
💡 Tip: ⚡ Use smaller lot sizes in gap-down scenarios and avoid overleveraging, as the market might experience high volatility.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 📌
🧮 Always define your risk before entering a trade. Limit your exposure to 2-3% of your trading capital per trade.
⛑️ Use stop-loss orders for all trades, especially in volatile markets.
🌙 Avoid holding positions overnight without a hedge. Intraday traders should square off positions if levels are not respected.
💡 Focus on ATM (At-The-Money) or slightly OTM (Out-The-Money) options for better liquidity.
🔍 Summary and Conclusion 📊
🎯 The key resistance for the day is 23,325 , with a target of 23,541 on the upside.
🛡️ Strong buyer support is expected near 22,897-22,930 .
⚖️ Avoid trading in consolidation zones and wait for breakout/reversal confirmation.
📈 Remember, successful trading comes from proper planning and disciplined execution. 🚀
❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and discretion. 😊
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 23/01/2025Flat or slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty gives reversal from 23150 level then possible downside movement upto 23000 level in today's session. Further upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above the 23200 level in today's session.
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nifty opened flat and 1st half of session traded sideways and tested previous day’s low to find some buying around 23000 levels and bounced to close above 23150.
Technicals:
Nifty was calm for most of the day and consolidated around 23000 levels and bounced in last part of session to close above 23150 (near term Resistance) around day’s high, which is a positive take away for the day. The index formed a kind of Bullish Harami
Nifty trading below 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs.
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index improved to 39, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists.
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22800
Immediate Support 22950
Immediate Resistance 23300
Major Resistance 23450
Trend:
Nifty is in bearish trend very weak.
Options Data:
Weekly Options data suggests huge Call build up at 23200-23300 and 23500 levels suggesting major Resistance
Put Writing seen at 23000 and 23100 levels suggesting Support.
PCR improved to 0.8
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio came down to 17.5%
Nifty Futures saw marginal increase with increase in Open Interest suggesting Long addition
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty might consolidate and try to head higher if Short covering/Buying energes above 23150, till 23350 taken out can go Short at higher levels for tgt 23000.
Approch:
Long above 23350
Short at 23200 for tgt 23050-100
Short below 22950 for tgt 22700
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
Long in Feb Series CE
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Jan-2025Trading Plan for NIFTY: 23-Jan-2025
📌 Educational Trading Plan for All Opening Scenarios
This plan considers various market opening scenarios with 100+ points gap. Be prepared to adapt to changing trends and price levels with a disciplined approach. Let's analyze:
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens near the 23,200–23,325 zone (Opening Resistance and Intraday Resistance) :
Monitor price action around 23,200 . If a rejection occurs, look to short with targets at 23,127 and 23,074 .
A breakout above 23,325 with strong bullish candles could lead to further upside. If sustained, consider long trades targeting 23,400+ .
Keep a stop-loss just above 23,325 for shorts or below 23,200 for longs.
📈 Pro Tip: Gap-up days can trap traders; wait for 15–30 minutes of price action confirmation before entering a trade.
2. Flat Opening
If NIFTY opens between 23,127–23,200 :
Observe the movement within this NO Trade Zone (23,127–23,176) . Avoid trades until a breakout or breakdown is clear.
A breakout above 23,176 can signal bullish momentum toward 23,200 or 23,325 . Go long if strength persists.
On the flip side, a breakdown below 23,127 could lead to bearish momentum toward 23,074 or 23,017 .
📉 Pro Tip: Stick to smaller lot sizes when trading within tight ranges or zones.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens near the 23,017–22,851 zone (Buyer’s Support Zones) :
Watch for a bounce around 23,017–23,074 . If a bullish reversal forms, consider long trades targeting 23,127 and 23,200 .
If this zone is breached and NIFTY moves below 22,851 , expect further downside with targets near 22,800 and 22,700 . Initiate shorts cautiously.
📈 Pro Tip: Volatility in gap-down scenarios can be high. Trade with stop-losses and avoid revenge trading.
💡 Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading
Trade only with a defined risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better).
Avoid over-leveraging. Use a maximum of 10–15% of your capital for a single trade.
In volatile markets, stick to ATM (At-The-Money) strikes for better liquidity and lower premiums.
Use trailing stop-losses to lock profits in trending markets.
Don’t hesitate to stay out if levels aren’t clear or if the market is choppy.
Summary & Conclusion
Key levels to watch: 23,200 (Resistance) , 23,127 (Critical Zone) , and 22,851 (Support) .
Stick to the plan and avoid emotional trading.
Be patient and wait for clear confirmations before initiating positions.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and consult with a financial advisor.
✨ Happy Trading!
Good closing today by Nifty but Bull market not yet in sight. Good recovery by Nifty today closing above the mid channel line but there is long way to go before Bulls are back in business. We do not know if today's bounce was a dead cat Technical bounce after the rout yesterday.
The resistances that Nifty now faces are at 23176, 23424, 23657 (Father line resistance), 23850 (Mother line resistance), 24518 and finally channel top resistance near 24799. Above 24800 closing bulls can come back in business and take Nifty North wards to 25299+ levels.
Supports for Nifty remain at 22935, 22465, 21866 and finally 21232. Below 22935 is a pure Bear territory. We are terribly close to the bear territory. Shadow of the candle is neutral.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nift saw a Gap-up opening with positive overnight ques but failed to sustain higher levels and saw huge selling from opening. Today’s session was very volatile which saw a quick bullback from 23150 levels to agin find sellers at 23400 levls. Nifty finally tested below 23000 levels after 6-7 months closing at 6 month low.
Technicals:
Nifty was very volatile, couldn’t trade past even 10DEMA also. The index formed a strong bearish candle trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI (Relative Strength Index at 35), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists.
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22800
Immediate Support 22950
Immediate Resistance 23150
Major Resistance 23400
Trend:
Nifty is in bearish trend very weak.
Options Data:
Weekly Options data suggests huge Call build up at 23500 23300 and 23200 levels suggesting major Resistance
Put Writing seen at 23000 and 22800 levels suggesting small Support.
PCR improved to 0.74
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio came down to 17%
Nifty Futures was negative with huge increase in Open Interest suggesting Shorts addition
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty might see lower levels below 22950
Approch:
Short at every rise and below 22950
Wait for today’s Low to break for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
holding Shorts
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 22-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,097–23,201, Last Intraday Resistance: 23,330
Support Zones: 22,962, 22,689 (Last Intraday Support)
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 23,201:
Watch for price action near the Last Intraday Resistance (23,330). A rejection from this level could offer a short trade opportunity with a target towards 23,201.
A sustained breakout above 23,330 can signal strong bullish momentum, and a long trade with a trailing stop-loss could be beneficial to ride the trend higher towards the next possible profit-taking zone near 23,435.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups above resistance zones can often trigger profit booking or reversal patterns. Always wait for a confirmation candle before entering any trades.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 22,962–23,097)
Focus on the reaction at the Opening Resistance Zone (23,097). If Nifty fails to sustain above this zone, shorting the market with a target towards 22,962 could be favorable.
Conversely, if Nifty holds above 23,097, a long trade targeting 23,201 may be considered, with a tight stop loss below 23,052.
A breakdown below 22,962 may signal bearish momentum, opening short trades towards the Last Intraday Support at 22,689.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity for observing market sentiment. Let the market settle for the first 15–30 minutes for better clarity before making any trade decisions.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 22,689 or below:
Look for a reversal near the Last Intraday Support (22,689–22,830). A strong bounce here could provide a long trade targeting 22,962 or higher.
However, if Nifty sustains below 22,689, it might indicate further bearishness, and shorting the market with a target toward 22,600 could be considered.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-down openings often lead to panic or aggressive buying at support levels. It is essential to wait for confirmation through price action and volume before entering trades.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use defined stop-loss levels and avoid over-leveraging during volatile market conditions.
Trade spreads (like bull/bear spreads) to limit potential losses during high implied volatility (IV) conditions.
Keep an eye on hourly candle closures for added confirmation of trend direction.
Avoid entering trades within the first 15 minutes of the market opening. Let the market settle to avoid false breakouts or breakdowns.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
Gap-Up: Watch for action near 23,201–23,330. Focus on rejection or breakout opportunities.
Flat: Key action zone around 23,097; observe for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities near 22,689, but be cautious of further bearish trends if support is broken.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own analysis before trading.
Good Closing by Nifty just above Mother Line. Nifty today did well to close just above Mother line of hourly chart. The closing we got was at 23344 and 50 EMA or the Mother line is at 23330. This bring the hope of recover towards 23.5K and further towards 24K+ levels in the medium to short duration.
The resistances for Nifty right now remain at 23390, 23460, 23589 and 23703. Closing above 23703 will be very good for Bulls as they can drag the index in this scenario towards 23821, 24021 and 24231 levels. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 23330 (Mother line support, 50 EMA), 23172 and 23046. Closing below 23046 can lead to Bears coming back to pull nifty further down. As of now shadow of the candle is positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 21-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,404–23,435 (Important Intraday Resistance), Profit Booking Zone: 23,525+
Support Zones: 23,375 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), 23,245 (Buyer’s Support Zone), 23,114 (Golden Retracement Support)
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,435)
📍 Analysis: A gap-up above 23,435 signals strong bullish sentiment. However, the profit booking zone above 23,525 can lead to selling pressure.
📌 Action Plan:
If Nifty consolidates below 23,525, look for rejection signs. A reversal from this zone provides a short trade opportunity targeting 23,435.
If Nifty breaks and sustains above 23,525 with strong volume, initiate a long trade, targeting 23,600 or higher. Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits.
Avoid trading immediately after the opening; observe the market's behavior for at least 15 minutes to confirm direction.
📚 Educational Insight: Gap-up openings often trigger profit booking near key resistance levels. Always wait for rejection or breakout confirmation to reduce risk.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,344–23,375)
📍 Analysis: A flat opening suggests indecision in the market. The range between 23,344–23,375 will act as a critical zone for direction.
📌 Action Plan:
If Nifty struggles to hold above 23,375 and shows signs of rejection, consider a short trade targeting 23,304 or 23,245.
If Nifty sustains above 23,375, initiate a long trade targeting 23,404 and then 23,435. Ensure confirmation through volume and price action.
A decisive breakdown below 23,344 may indicate bearish sentiment, providing a shorting opportunity toward 23,304.
📚 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity to analyze market sentiment. Allow the first 15–30 minutes to settle before entering trades for better clarity.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points near or below 23,245)
📍 Analysis: A gap-down near the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,245) or Golden Retracement Support (23,114) can trigger either panic selling or strong buying interest.
📌 Action Plan:
Look for reversals near 23,245 or 23,114. A strong bounce from these levels can provide a long trade opportunity targeting 23,304 or 23,375.
If Nifty sustains below 23,114 with high selling volume, initiate short trades targeting 23,050 or lower.
Avoid rushing into trades during a gap-down; wait for clear signs of reversal or breakdown for better risk management.
📚 Educational Insight: Gap-down scenarios often create volatility. Support zones like 23,245 and 23,114 can act as reversal points, but their failure may amplify bearish momentum.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
✅ Use strict stop-loss levels to minimize losses in volatile markets.
✅ Avoid trading in the first 15 minutes after the opening, as it often exhibits unpredictable price movements.
✅ Consider using strategies like spreads (bull/bear spreads) in high-IV conditions to cap potential losses.
✅ Monitor hourly candle closures for confirmation before entering high-risk trades.
✅ Never over-leverage; trade with an amount you are comfortable risking.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
Gap-Up: Watch price action near 23,525; trade rejections or sustained breakouts.
Flat: Observe the reaction within 23,344–23,375; trade breakouts or breakdowns accordingly.
Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities at 23,245 or 23,114, but respect bearish momentum if these levels fail.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own research before trading.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 20-Jan-2025
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones: 23,318–23,334, Profit Booking Zone: 23,405–23,435
Support Zones: 23,113–23,201, 23,007, 22,962
1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 23,334:
Look for consolidation or rejection near Profit Booking Zone (23,405–23,435). If rejected, consider a short entry with a target towards 23,334 or 23,269.
Sustained breakout above 23,435 may lead to a rally. Use trailing stop-loss to ride the momentum.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups often signal bullish momentum, but profit booking zones can act as reversal points. Observe price action carefully.
2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,201–23,203)
Monitor opening price reaction within the Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201).
If Nifty holds 23,201, it’s a signal to go long with a target towards 23,318–23,334.
Break below 23,113 could indicate bearish momentum. Short below this level with a target towards 23,007.
📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings are ideal for price action-based trades. Let the first 30 minutes settle before taking positions for the best risk-reward setup.
3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near 22,962–23,007:
Look for bullish reversals within the Trending Shift Zone (22,962–23,007). Go long if strong buying is observed, targeting 23,113.
A breakdown below 22,962 could lead to further weakness. Short positions below this level with a target of 22,880.
📌 Educational Insight: Gap-downs often create opportunities for sharp reversals or continuation trends. Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use hourly candle close as confirmation before entering trades.
For directional trades, avoid over-leveraging and use defined stop-loss.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit risk in volatile markets.
Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) while trading options; high IV can inflate premiums.
🔍 Summary & Conclusion:
For 20-Jan-2025, focus on the key zones:
Watch Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201) for flat openings.
Look for rejection or breakout near 23,405–23,435 in case of gap-ups.
Keep an eye on 22,962–23,007 for possible reversals in gap-down scenarios.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY50 @ 200 Day SMAToday we are plotting the US Dollar Index vs NIFTY50 (the top 50 Market Cap stock from India). India was one of the favourite in 2023 and 2024 has fallen out of favour. As the Dollar index is making new highs, NIFTY50 is making 20-Day, 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day Simple moving average . But 200-Day SMA has acted as a support and the index has jumped up form those price points. Will this time it will be different ? The Dollar index is going from a risk reversal and heading downwards. So this can be a tailwind for NIFTY50.
Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results. Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results and closed 98 points up at 23311. Real test is the level of between 23377 (Mother Line) and 23398 (Important Resistance).
This includes today's high and Mother line resistance and another important resistance. After closing above this zone the next resistances will be at 23469, 23598, 23736 and finally 23770 (Father Line resistance of Hourly chart.)
Supports for Nifty on the lower side now remain at 23267, 23147 and 23053. If we get a poor result for Reliance these levels will be tested once again and there will be pressure on Bulls and Bears will again try to overpower Nifty. The tussle has reached a delicate stage now and thing can give. (Either a Breakout of Breakdown).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision.
23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
ShortI am currently reassessing my targets for the Nifty. If the level of 23,080 is breached and the index closes below this support, I will adjust my target to around 20,200, as this would indicate a more significant market correction is underway.
This level aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally, which further strengthens the case for this correction. In my view, this level is not only plausible but inevitable, given the current market dynamics.
The broader market is signaling a potential major top, which suggests that the risk of further downside is increasing. In this environment, simply averaging into the market can be highly risky, as it may expose investors to larger losses if the market continues to decline.
Instead, I recommend adopting a more strategic approach to portfolio construction, focusing on calculated risks. This means selectively building positions based on strong, risk-adjusted opportunities rather than committing large capital indiscriminately. It’s essential to have a clear risk management plan in place, especially in volatile conditions like the current market environment.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will face resistance at 23350 level and expected reversal from this level towards the downside movement upto 23050 level. This downside can be extend for further strong sell side if nifty starts trading below 23000 level. Any major upside rally only expected if nifty gives the breakout and sustain above the 23400 level.