NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 13-Mar-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 13-Mar-2025
Chart Reference: Nifty is currently trading near 22,468, with price showing rejection from near-term resistance. Multiple levels such as 22,435, 22,496, and 22,600 are key zones to watch.
Let’s break down the trading approach into opening scenarios 👇
✅ 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points above previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or above the Opening Resistance Zone – 22,600 to 22,626 :
📍 This zone has acted as a supply area earlier, and a gap-up into this area could trap late buyers if not sustained.
🟧 Scenario 1 – Rejection at Resistance:
🔻 If NIFTY opens within this resistance zone and shows early weakness (such as a bearish engulfing, evening star, or rejection wick), short trades can be considered.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,496 (Initial Support)
➤ 22,435 (Next Support)
🟩 Scenario 2 – Breakout Above 22,626:
✅ A strong 15-min bullish candle above 22,626 with volume confirmation can trigger a long entry.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
🧠 Tip: In gap-up opens, avoid immediate entries. Wait 15–30 mins for the market to establish direction. If upside sustains with strength, trail using VWAP or 5-min EMA.
⚖️ 2. FLAT OPENING (within ±100 points)
If NIFTY opens between 22,435 – 22,496:
This region is the Opening Support/Resistance Zone , meaning both bulls and bears will be active here. The key is to observe who dominates.
🟩 Long Setup:
If NIFTY holds above 22,496 and gives a breakout above 22,600, it will confirm bullish strength.
🎯 Upside Targets:
➤ 22,680
➤ 22,800
🟥 Short Setup:
If price fails to hold above 22,435 and breaks below it with momentum:
🎯 Downside Targets:
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Intraday Support)
🧠 Tip: Use option strategies like straddles or strangles near this flat zone if expecting a breakout or expansion in volatility. Avoid naked directional trades unless there is strong confirmation.
🔻 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points below previous close)
If NIFTY opens near or below 22,319 (Opening Support):
📍 The area between 22,319 – 22,208 is critical for support. Watch closely for price action.
🟩 Reversal Setup:
If NIFTY opens near 22,208–22,319 and holds this support with signs of strength (bullish pin bar, morning star, or strong bullish volume), a reversal trade can be taken.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,435
➤ 22,496
🟥 Breakdown Setup:
If support at 22,208 breaks with a large red candle and follow-through, short trades can be initiated.
🎯 Targets:
➤ 22,140–22,100 Zone (Intraday Expansion Move)
🧠 Tip: Gap-downs can lead to high implied volatility. Be cautious of IV crush if reversal happens. Consider bear put spreads to manage premium risk.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Avoid buying deep OTM options post 12 PM unless there is strong trend confirmation. Always trade with a defined stop-loss. Use 15-min closing basis for better validation. Consider spreads (bull call, bear put) to reduce the impact of theta decay. On volatile days, reduce position size and hedge your trades. Don’t trade immediately after a gap — let the first 15–30 mins settle to avoid traps.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Zones:
➤ 22,600–22,626 (Opening Resistance)
➤ 22,800 (Last Intraday Resistance)
✅ Key Support Zones:
➤ 22,435 (Pivot Zone)
➤ 22,319 (Opening Support)
➤ 22,208 (Last Support Zone)
🎯 Let price action guide your trade around these key levels. Remember — reacting to the market is better than predicting it.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Niftylong
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 11-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 11-Mar-2025
🕘 Time Frame: 15-Min | 📍 Strategy: Market Structure + Zones of Interest
📉 Previous Close: 22,441.10
📌 Consider 100+ points for Gap-Up / Gap-Down thresholds
🔼 1. GAP-UP OPENING (Above 22,541+)
A gap-up opening above 22,541 would place Nifty around or above the Opening Resistance zone. In such cases, the market may attempt to challenge the Last Intraday Resistance at 22,623, and possibly even push into the Major Resistance Zone between 22,706–22,744.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Wait for the price to show reaction around 22,623. If it struggles to sustain above this level and forms a bearish 15-min candle, it's a good risk-reward shorting opportunity.
Targets on the downside could be 22,512, and if weakness persists, then a slide toward 22,441 is possible.
Only if price breaks and holds above 22,744 (hourly candle close), consider going long for a possible extension toward 22,800+.
🔍 Caution: A gap-up directly into resistance zone can cause profit booking and volatility. Don’t chase a runaway rally unless momentum with volume confirms breakout.
🎯 Short Zone: 22,620–22,740 (Rejection candles preferred)
📈 Breakout Long above: 22,744 (With hourly close + volume)
➖ 2. FLAT OPENING (±100 points near 22,441)
A flat open near the previous close of 22,441 keeps Nifty inside a decision zone. It sits between the Opening Resistance (22,512) and the Consolidation Zone (22,321–22,410). This is where early traps often occur.
🧠 Plan of Action:
Let the first 15–30 mins settle. If Nifty bounces from 22,321–22,350, it can be considered a buy with tight SL below 22,321, targeting 22,512–22,623.
On the flip side, if price fails to hold 22,321, wait for a clean breakdown with volume — in that case, shorting opportunities open up toward 22,115.
Avoid overtrading in the consolidation zone — wait for structure to develop clearly.
🟧 Key Zone to Watch: 22,321–22,410 — Acts as possible trap zone with choppy moves.
🎯 Buy on Bounce: 22,321–22,350 (Confirmation needed)
📉 Short below: 22,321 (Strong candle + volume)
🔽 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 22,341)
If Nifty opens below 22,341, it may test or even open inside the Support Zone / Must Try Area for Buyers around 22,115 — which coincides with a key Golden Retracement and past support area.
🧠 Plan of Action:
If Nifty opens near 22,150–22,120, watch for reversal candles like bullish engulfing, morning star, or hammer patterns. If formed, it’s a good risk-reward zone to go long with SL below 22,100.
If price breaks and sustains below 22,100, avoid longs and prepare for further downside toward 21,950–21,880 in upcoming sessions.
Never jump into longs blindly on gap-downs — price action is king.
🟢 Buy Zone on Reversal: 22,150–22,115
🟥 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,100 (Hourly candle close)
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
🕒 Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to pass — let the market reveal its intent. 📉 Use spreads (Bull Call or Bear Put) when trading near volatile zones like resistances or supports. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss — either on premium value or index level (preferably both). 🧠 Avoid emotional trading — don’t average into losing positions. 💼 Trade position size wisely — don't go all-in on a single idea. 🧾 Keep a trading journal to improve your strategy over time.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
🔺 Gap-Up = Watch for weakness near 22,623–22,744 — possible reversal or breakout
🔘 Flat = High chance of whipsaws — trade only after clear setup forms near 22,321 or 22,512
🔻 Gap-Down = Support test likely at 22,115 — potential reversal or breakdown
⚠️ Always respect the market structure and trade with discipline. Avoid predicting — react to what the market shows.
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 10-Mar-2025 NIFTY Closed at: 22,552
Tomorrow's session will be crucial as NIFTY is near key resistance & support zones. We will analyze all three possible opening scenarios and provide actionable trade setups.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (🔼 +100 points or more)
If NIFTY opens above 22,690, it will start near the Opening Resistance Zone (22,635 - 22,690). A strong bullish momentum can push prices higher, but traders should be cautious of potential rejection.
📌 Plan of Action:
If NIFTY sustains above 22,690 for at least 15 minutes, expect a rally towards 22,819 (Last Intraday Resistance). 📈
If price faces rejection at 22,690, wait for a pullback to 22,635. If it holds as support, consider a long position.
If NIFTY falls below 22,635, it could test 22,545. A break below this level may weaken bullish sentiment.
📢 Trading Tip: In a gap-up scenario, avoid aggressive long positions at opening. Wait for price confirmation to avoid FOMO.
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 points around 22,536)
A flat opening indicates an indecisive market, and price action around the Opening Support Zone (22,500 - 22,476) will be crucial for the next move.
📌 Plan of Action:
If NIFTY holds above 22,536 and breaks 22,545, expect bullish momentum towards 22,635, followed by 22,690.
If NIFTY fails to hold 22,500, expect a slide towards 22,476. If this level is broken, expect further downside towards 22,378. 🔻
For long trades, wait for price to reclaim 22,545 after testing support zones.
📢 Trading Tip: Avoid trading in the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market establish a trend before taking positions.
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (🔽 -100 points or more)
If NIFTY opens below 22,476, sentiment may turn bearish, especially if it sustains below this level.
📌 Plan of Action:
If NIFTY opens near 22,378, watch for price action—a strong bounce can lead to a recovery towards 22,476 - 22,500.
If 22,378 breaks, expect further weakness towards 22,299, which is the last major intraday support.
Any recovery will need to cross 22,500 for a trend reversal. Until then, bearish pressure will dominate.
📢 Trading Tip: In a gap-down scenario, avoid catching falling knives. Let support levels hold before attempting a buy.
🎯 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
✅ Use Stop Loss: Always exit a trade if your stop loss is hit. Holding onto losing trades can wipe out profits.
✅ Avoid Trading Big Lot Sizes in uncertain conditions—start small & scale up when trends confirm.
✅ Time Decay Awareness: If buying options, avoid holding near expiry unless confident about a strong move.
✅ Hedge Positions: Consider using hedged strategies like Spreads to reduce risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🔹 Above 22,690 → Bullish towards 22,819
🔹 Between 22,500 - 22,690 → Sideways range, wait for confirmation
🔹 Below 22,476 → Bearish towards 22,378 - 22,299
⚡ Patience & Discipline are key to profitable trading. Wait for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should do their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any trades.
📢 #Nifty #Nifty50 #StockMarketIndia #OptionsTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView #NSE #IndianStockMarket #PriceAction #StockMarketNews 🚀
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 07-Mar-2025
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔴 Resistance Levels: 22,635 | 22,819
🟢 Support Levels: 22,467-22,496 | 22,378 | 22,258
📝 Market Context:
Nifty has shown strong momentum in recent sessions, currently trading near 22,529. The profit booking zone lies around 22,635, while a breakout above this could lead to 22,819. On the downside, key support exists at 22,467-22,496, and a further breakdown may drag prices toward 22,378-22,258.
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,630) 🚀
If Nifty opens above 22,630, it enters the profit booking zone, making further upside dependent on momentum. A clean breakout above 22,819 will signal strength.
Buy above 22,635 🔼
🎯 Target: 22,750 – 22,819
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,550
📝 Plan: If Nifty sustains above 22,635, it can attempt 22,819. Wait for a proper 15-minute candle close above 22,635 before entering. Profit booking is advised near resistance levels.
Rejection at 22,635 ❌
🔽 Sell below 22,630
🎯 Target: 22,500 – 22,467
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,680
📝 Plan: If Nifty struggles at 22,635 and reverses, a short trade can be considered toward 22,467. Volume confirmation is necessary before entering shorts.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (22,450 – 22,550) 📊
A flat opening near 22,450 – 22,550 suggests indecision. The 22,467-22,496 range is a crucial support area.
Buy above 22,550 🔼
🎯 Target: 22,635 – 22,700
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,500
📝 Plan: If Nifty holds above 22,550 and shows strength, an upside move toward 22,635 is likely. Look for bullish price action confirmation before entering.
Sell below 22,467 🔽
🎯 Target: 22,378 – 22,350
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,525
📝 Plan: If Nifty breaks below 22,467 and struggles to reclaim it, selling pressure may drag it toward 22,378. Wait for a sustained breakdown before taking short positions.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 22,429) ⚠️
A gap-down below 22,429 signals weakness, with support at 22,378 and 22,258.
Buy near 22,258 – 22,300 🟢
🎯 Target: 22,440
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,220
📝 Plan: If Nifty stabilizes at 22,258-22,300, a bounce toward 22,440 is possible. Ideal for risk-managed long trades.
Sell below 22,258 🔽
🎯 Target: 22,150 – 22,100
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,320
📝 Plan: If selling pressure persists below 22,258, a further slide is likely. Avoid panic selling; wait for confirmation.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🎯
✅ Theta Decay Awareness: Avoid buying OTM options late in the day.
✅ Stop-Loss Discipline: Always use SL based on technical structure.
✅ Position Sizing: Risk only 2% of capital per trade.
✅ Avoid Overtrading: Trade only high-probability setups.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 📌
🔹 Bullish above 22,635 for 22,819.
🔹 Bearish below 22,258 for 22,150.
🔹 Flat open needs confirmation for direction.
🔹 Key support: 22,467-22,496 | 22,258.
🔹 Key resistance: 22,635 | 22,819.
📢 Trade with discipline, follow the plan, and manage risk effectively!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading. 📊📉📈
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 06-Mar-2025Market Context:
Nifty closed at 22,337, with the following key structural levels:
🔴 Profit Booking Zone: 22,635
🟠 No Trade Zone: 22,356 - 22,462
🟢 Opening Support: 22,200 - 22,230
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 22,165 - 22,057
Considering a 100+ point gap opening, let's analyze the possible trading scenarios for the day.
🟢 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,450)
If Nifty opens above 22,450, it moves into or above the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462).
Sustaining above 22,462 – If the market holds this level with strong momentum, Nifty can rally toward the Profit Booking Zone at 22,635.
Rejection from 22,462 – If price struggles to break above 22,462, it may pull back toward the previous resistance at 22,356, which now acts as support.
If price consolidates inside the No Trade Zone, it signals uncertainty, and traders should wait for a clear direction before taking action.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Go long only if Nifty sustains above 22,462 on an hourly close, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,356 if rejection is observed, with a target of 22,289.
Options traders can consider 22,500 CE for long trades and 22,400 PE if rejection occurs.
🟡 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 22,300 - 22,350)
A flat opening near 22,346 places Nifty in a neutral range, requiring confirmation for the next move.
A move above 22,356 will push the index toward the No Trade Zone (22,356 - 22,462). If sustained, a breakout above 22,462 can open room for higher levels.
A drop below 22,300 brings the price closer to the Opening Support Zone (22,200 - 22,230), making this level crucial for short-term buyers.
If price trades between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for a decisive breakout before entering trades.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Avoid taking trades inside the No Trade Zone and wait for a breakout.
Go long above 22,462, targeting 22,635.
Sell below 22,300 for a move toward 22,200, with stop-loss at 22,356.
Options traders can use 22,400 CE for longs and 22,300 PE for shorts.
🔴 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,200)
A gap-down near 22,200 - 22,057 will bring price into the Opening Support & Last Intraday Support Zones.
Holding 22,200 – If price finds support here, a strong bounce can push Nifty back toward 22,356.
Breaking 22,165 – If selling pressure persists, the next downside target is 22,057, which is the last major support.
If price enters the 22,057 - 22,165 range, this zone could act as a major reversal point based on previous demand zones.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Look for buying opportunities at 22,200 if price shows reversal signals.
If breakdown below 22,165 occurs, wait for confirmation before shorting toward 22,057.
Options traders can use 22,200 PE for breakdown trades and 22,100 CE for bounces.
📊 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
✅ Use Stop Loss on an Hourly Close Basis – Avoid holding options without confirmation of direction.
✅ Avoid Trading in the No Trade Zone – Let price break out before taking a position.
✅ Monitor India VIX – If volatility is high, premiums may decay faster. Avoid unnecessary trades.
✅ Partial Profit Booking is Key – Secure profits at resistance & support levels instead of waiting for full targets.
✅ Avoid Holding Trades Overnight – Unless there is a strong directional bias, overnight positions carry additional risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Scenario: Above 22,462, Nifty can rally toward 22,635.
Neutral Zone: If trading between 22,300 - 22,356, wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Bearish Scenario: Below 22,165, weakness can extend toward 22,057, where a bounce is likely.
🔹 Best Risk-Reward Trades:
Buy near 22,200 if support holds.
Sell below 22,165 for a breakdown.
Buy only on a confirmed breakout above 22,462.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Intraday Trading levels and Plan – 28-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 28, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,763 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,763, it could target the resistance zone of 22,884–22,900. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,884–22,900, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,700–22,663 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,900 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,763 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,884–22,900, aiming for 22,700–22,663. Place a stop-loss above 22,900 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,763 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,884–22,900 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,663–22,700)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,663–22,700, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,700 could drive prices toward 22,884–22,900, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,663 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support levels).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,700 , targeting 22,884–22,900. Use a stop-loss below 22,663 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,663 , targeting 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070. Set a stop-loss above 22,700 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,663–22,700 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,563 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,663), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,663–22,700 could occur.
If 22,356 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,268–22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,356 , targeting a pullback to 22,663–22,700. Use a stop-loss below 22,268 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,356 , targeting 22,268–22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,356 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,356 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,268–22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,884 or 22,356) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,700 → Target: 22,884–22,900.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,663 → Target: 22,510–22,356 or 22,268–22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,663–22,700 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 28, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Intraday Trading Levels and Plan – 27-Feb-2025📌
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY index on February 27, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,070 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,070. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,070 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,070.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY market effectively on February 27, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Feb-2025This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 25, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,240 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,240. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,240 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,240.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 25, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Feb-2025NIFTY 50 Intraday Trading Plan – 24-Feb-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 24, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline structured action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with clarity and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,987 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it indicates strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests buyers are aggressively entering the market, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,987, it could target the resistance zone of 23,138–23,300. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure might emerge due to historical resistance.
If the price faces rejection at 23,138–23,300, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887 (the previous close and support zone).
Should the price break above 23,300 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,400 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,987 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,887 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 23,138–23,300, aiming for 22,764–22,887. Place a stop-loss above 23,300 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening reflects optimism, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky. Waiting for a retest of 22,987 ensures confirmation of bullish intent, while the resistance at 23,138–23,300 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A breakdown from this resistance could signal a false breakout, offering a shorting opportunity.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,764–22,887)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,764–22,887, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,887 could drive prices toward 23,138–23,300, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,764 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,510 (last intraday support) or even 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,887 , targeting 23,138–23,300. Use a stop-loss below 22,764 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,764 , targeting 22,510 or 22,235–22,156. Set a stop-loss above 22,887 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often leads to consolidation, making it tricky to trade without confirmation. The 22,764–22,887 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) before entering positions to avoid fake moves.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,664 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,887), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,510–22,400 (last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,764–22,887 could occur.
If 22,510 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,235–22,156 (buyer’s support zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,510 , targeting a pullback to 22,764–22,887. Use a stop-loss below 22,400 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,510 , targeting 22,235–22,156. Place a stop-loss above 22,510 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can recover if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,510 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 23,138 or 22,510) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,887 → Target: 23,138–23,300.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,764 → Target: 22,510 or 22,235–22,156.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,764–22,887 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 24, 2025. 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan 20-Feb-2025We will analyze three possible opening conditions and strategize accordingly. Key levels are marked for better decision-making.
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens above 23,008 (last intraday resistance):
Sustaining above 23,008 can lead to an upside move towards 23,158 - 23,191 (Profit Booking Zone). If price sustains above this, we may see further bullish momentum.
Watch for rejection at 23,158-23,191—a reversal here could trigger selling pressure, providing a shorting opportunity with a target back to 23,008.
Aggressive traders can look for quick scalping opportunities on breakouts with strict stop-loss.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on breakout & retest of 23,008, targeting 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Short if price rejects 23,158-23,191, aiming for 23,008.
⚠️ Risk Tip: If price consolidates near 23,008, avoid trading immediately—wait for a strong direction confirmation.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,954 - 22,914)
If NIFTY opens within the 22,914 - 22,954 zone (Opening Resistance/Support), this could act as a No Trade Zone due to potential choppiness.
A decisive breakout above 22,954 can lead to a move towards 23,008 and higher levels.
A breakdown below 22,886 (Opening Support) could trigger selling towards 22,795.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,954, targeting 23,008 and 23,158.
✔️ Sell below 22,886, targeting 22,795.
⚠️ Risk Tip: Avoid trading inside the No Trade Zone (22,895 - 22,949) unless a clear breakout happens with strong volume.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,795, it signals weakness.
Immediate support exists at 22,740 - 22,758 (Last Intraday Support). If this holds, expect a possible pullback towards 22,886 - 22,914.
If 22,740 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,636 (Buyer’s Support).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,740, targeting a pullback to 22,886 - 22,914.
✔️ Short below 22,740, targeting 22,636 and lower.
⚠️ Risk Tip: In a gap-down scenario, watch for consolidation before entering. A weak opening doesn’t always mean immediate selling—wait for confirmation.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always use a strict stop-loss to protect capital.
🎯 Take partial profits at key levels to secure gains.
🕰️ Avoid overtrading—wait for clear price action confirmation.
💰 Use proper position sizing to manage risk.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 23,008 → Target: 23,158 - 23,191.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,886 → Target: 22,795 - 22,740.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949 (Wait for breakout).
Trade with a plan, manage risk wisely, and stay disciplined. ✅🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades. 📉📈
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 19-Feb-2025We will analyze potential trade setups for NIFTY based on three different opening scenarios: Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down. The plan is designed to help traders navigate the market effectively while managing risk.
📍 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 22930, we need to carefully assess the price action at key resistance zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If the index sustains above 22950, it may move towards the 23039-23065 resistance zone.
A strong breakout above 23065 can push NIFTY towards 23178. However, watch for rejection signs near resistance.
If price struggles at 23039-23065, it may provide a short opportunity with a downside target of 22895-22949.
🛑 Invalidation: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23065, bearish trades should be avoided.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23178
🔻 Bearish Target: 22895
📍 Scenario 2: Flat Opening
A flat opening near 22,923 requires patience as price discovery takes place.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price remains between 22,895 - 22,949, it's a No-Trade Zone 📌 – avoid choppy action.
A breakout above 22,950 can push the index towards the 23039-23065 resistance area.
A breakdown below 22,895 may lead to a test of the 22,755-22,779 support zone.
If NIFTY takes support at 22,755, it may provide a buying opportunity.
🚨 No Trading in Choppy Zone: Avoid entering positions unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
🎯 Bullish Target: 23039
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,755
📍 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 22,850, it suggests weakness and a test of key support zones.
✅ Plan of Action:
If price holds 22,755-22,779, a bounce-back move can be expected.
A strong breakdown below 22,755 can drag NIFTY towards the 22,648-22,672 weak buyer’s support.
If the market finds demand at 22,648, it could lead to an intraday reversal opportunity.
📢 Watch out for panic selling near support zones – look for reversal signs before going long.
🎯 Bullish Target: 22,923
🔻 Bearish Target: 22,648
🎯 Risk Management & Pro Tips for Options Traders
📌 Avoid buying options immediately after market opens – wait for direction confirmation.
📌 Use stop-loss wisely – protect capital in volatile conditions.
📌 Time decay matters! If trading options, avoid holding losing positions for too long.
📌 Watch for wicks & rejection candles near key levels to time your entries better.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Resistance Levels: 23039-23065, 23178
✅ Key Support Levels: 22,755-22,779, 22,648-22,672
✅ No Trade Zone: 22,895 - 22,949
🚀 Bullish above: 22,950
📉 Bearish below: 22,755
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 💡
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Feb-2025
The market structure and price action suggest a key decision-making zone around 22,990-23,030. Based on the opening price, we will approach the trade accordingly.
🔹 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up above 23,030, it will directly enter the resistance zone. Here’s how to plan:
A rejection from 23,126 can trigger a short trade targeting 22,990. Confirmation is needed via bearish candles.
If NIFTY sustains above 23,126, a further rally towards 23,299 is possible. Look for a breakout retest before entering long positions.
Avoid fresh longs near resistance unless volume confirms breakout strength.
📌 Pro Tip: If opening above resistance, avoid chasing longs immediately; wait for a pullback.
🔹 2. Flat Opening (Near Previous Close: 22,954-22,990)
If price holds 22,990 and bounces, expect a push towards 23,030 and possibly 23,126.
A breakdown below 22,963 can lead to a drop towards 22,847.
Consider sideways movement between 22,990-23,030 as a no-trade zone unless a clear trend emerges.
📌 Pro Tip: Flat opens demand patience—wait for clear directional movement before entering.
🔹 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below Previous Close)
If NIFTY opens below 22,847, it enters the support zone. Here’s how to approach:
A bullish rejection from 22,779 can offer a good long trade towards 22,847-22,963.
If the support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 22,720.
Sideways action in the 22,779-22,847 zone suggests waiting for trend confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t rush into long trades unless price action confirms demand at support.
🔸 Risk Management & Options Trading Tips 🛡️
Keep SL tight, especially if trading near resistance/support zones.
Use option spreads to reduce risk in high-volatility conditions.
Avoid overtrading—stick to planned levels and execution strategies.
Watch open interest data to confirm market direction.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Resistance Levels: 23,030 → 23,126 → 23,299✅ Support Levels: 22,963 → 22,847 → 22,779✅ Trade Carefully in No Trade Zone: 22,990-23,030
🎯 The market is at a crucial level; patience and confirmation-based entries are key! Let the price action guide your trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk! 🚀
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Feb-2025
🔍 Market Context: NIFTY has shown a strong downtrend with critical resistance and support levels forming significant zones. The price action near key levels will determine the direction for the day. Let’s break down possible scenarios.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 22,996) If NIFTY opens above 22,996 , it enters the "Opening Resistance/Support Zone". Sellers may step in around this zone, leading to a possible rejection and downside move toward 22,918 . If the price sustains above 23,135 , bullish momentum could extend toward the 23,359 resistance zone. Profit booking is expected around 23,359 , making it a key level to watch for reversals.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If NIFTY faces rejection at 22,996 , consider short trades with a target of 22,918 .✅ If price sustains above 23,135 , go long with a target of 23,359 .✅ If NIFTY reaches 23,359 , consider partial profit booking.
💡 Tip: In a gap-up scenario, option premiums inflate. Consider spreads instead of naked options to control risk.
2. Flat Opening (Between 22,918 - 22,996) A flat open indicates uncertainty, keeping price inside the No Trade Zone (22,912 - 22,996) . A breakout above 22,996 signals bullish momentum toward 23,135 . A breakdown below 22,918 invites selling pressure toward the 22,743 - 22,677 support zone.
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ Avoid taking trades within 22,912 - 22,996 until a clear breakout occurs.✅ If price breaks 22,996 , go long with a stop-loss below 22,900 .✅ If price breaks below 22,918 , go short targeting 22,743 .
💡 Tip: Flat openings often trap traders. Wait for 15-30 minutes before entering trades.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 22,743) A gap-down opening below 22,743 signals bearish sentiment. The 22,508 level is a critical intraday support – breaking below it can accelerate selling pressure. If NIFTY bounces back from 22,508 , it could trigger an intraday pullback toward 22,743 .
🔹 Action Plan: ✅ If price sustains below 22,743 , go short with a target of 22,508 .✅ If price holds 22,508 and reverses, consider long trades for an intraday recovery.✅ A move above 22,743 can lead to short covering toward 22,918 .
💡 Tip: In a gap-down scenario, IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, making option premiums expensive. Selling OTM call options can be a profitable strategy.
⚠ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
🔹 Always use stop-loss – Never trade without a predefined risk level.🔹 Position sizing is key – Avoid over-leveraging.🔹 Trade with confirmation – Enter only after clear price action signals.🔹 Manage time decay – If buying options, choose ATM or ITM strikes to reduce theta decay.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 22,996 / 23,135 / 23,359
Support: 22,918 / 22,743 / 22,508
✅ Trading Plan Overview:
Gap-Up: Watch for rejection at 22,996 , possible breakout toward 23,135 .
Flat Open: No Trade Zone between 22,912 - 22,996 – wait for breakout.
Gap-Down: If below 22,743 , bearish sentiment dominates with 22,508 as the key support.
💡 Final Tip: Trade with discipline and follow your plan. Avoid emotional decisions – the market rewards patience! 🚀
📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst . This trading plan is for educational purposes only . Please do your own research before taking any trades. 📊
NIFTY - Pre - Budgetary AnalysisHello Traders,
I hope this message finds you well. I am pleased to share an insightful analysis with you, which illuminates the continuation of the market shift in accordance with the budget.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, comprises three phases and bottomed out at 22,786 on January 27, 2025 (~120D) . Given the recent decline, it is considered a correction within a correction, and we anticipate a retracement to higher levels before resuming the trend in a more significant manner.
The analysis is supported by the fact that a crucial time resistance for the down trend lies at 17 February 2025, where the market is anticipated to conclude the ongoing correction phase and initiate a new trend.
Phase I:
Following a brief rally in the pre-open and open periods, the market is expected to decline towards lower levels between 9.15 - 11 AM to the following levels.
SI: 23,300
SII: 23,140 (Stronger)
SIII: 23,041 (Potentially for extension to 23,000)
*Please note that these values are indicative and not actual.
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current interim upward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R 24,120 levels) + static support.
R I – 23,950
RII – 24,120 ~ 24,225
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
**Budget commentary that I expect: **
1. There will not be any change in corporate tax rate.
2. Personal IT may see a small slab change, accompanied by an increase in standard deduction.
3. No changes to STT, LTCG / STCG (revision(s) will undermine the integrity of the decisions from FM).
4. Reduced borrowing costs accommodating leveraged capex.
5. Incentivization (PLI, infra, agricultural & make in india).
6. Semi conductor push.
Overall, I am expecting a neutral budget – Neither hawkish nor dovish.
The markets will do what they have to….!!!
**Important Note:**
This entire analysis holds true only until the market breaks 22,786.90, although I believe not today.
** Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% support level coinciding with the 22,146 ~ 21,245 -support level.
**Strategy:**
Given the implied volatility increase, it is prudent to adapt to changes as they appear to transpire.
1. Sell until phase I.
2. Buy for phase II (Conservatives may await some confirmation with strict SL @ 22,786).
3. Exit any open position after phase II completion and await cues.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has necessitated countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by promoting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 06-Feb-2025📌 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Feb-2025
🔹 Previous Close: 23,685.10
🔹 Important Zones Identified:
🟥 Sharp Profit Booking Zone: 24,065 - 24,154🟥 Opening Resistance: 23,848🟧 Opening Support / Resistance: 23,683 - 23,658🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,567🟢 Buyer's Support: 23,374 - 23,345
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens with a strong gap-up above 23,785, it will move toward the Opening Resistance (23,848) and may attempt to test the Profit Booking Zone (24,065 - 24,154).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,848, expect a continuation towards 24,065 - 24,154.
An ideal entry can be on a pullback towards 23,848, with a stop-loss below 23,750.
🔻 Bearish Reversal Plan:
If NIFTY shows rejection around 24,065 - 24,154, a short trade can be initiated.
Target for shorts: 23,848 - 23,685.
Stop-loss for short trades: Above 24,200.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY opens directly in the Profit Booking Zone, avoid aggressive long positions. Wait for a breakout or a reversal setup.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,683 - 23,658)
A flat opening means NIFTY is near the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (23,683 - 23,658). Patience is required to confirm the direction.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks above 23,685 with strong volume, a long trade can be considered.
Targets: 23,743 - 23,848.
Stop-loss: Below 23,650.
🔻 Bearish Breakdown:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,658, expect a decline towards 23,567.
Short trades can be initiated with a stop-loss above 23,700.
📝 Pro Tip: Flat openings often result in choppy movement for the first 15-30 minutes. Let the market establish direction before entering trades.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,567)
If NIFTY opens below 23,567, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone and may attempt to test the Buyer's Support (23,374 - 23,345).
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A strong bullish reversal from 23,374 - 23,345 can provide a long opportunity.
Target: 23,567 - 23,685.
Stop-loss: Below 23,300.
🔻 Further Breakdown Plan:
If 23,345 is broken, expect further downside towards 23,200.
Short trades can be initiated with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: If NIFTY gaps down but quickly recovers above 23,567, it could be a bear trap—watch for bullish confirmations.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ For Option Buyers: Select ATM (At-the-Money) strikes to avoid time decay. Enter only when price action confirms the trade.
✔ For Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, consider selling OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options near key resistance/support levels.
✔ Always use SL: Protect capital! A good Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio is essential for long-term success.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned setups—don’t force trades.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,685 (Target 23,848+)📉 Bearish below: 23,658 (Target 23,567 - 23,345)⚠️ Watch Key Zones: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area📊 Expect Volatility: Let the first 15-30 minutes settle before aggressive trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 30-Jan-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan for 30-Jan-2025
This trading plan covers all possible opening scenarios (Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down) along with crucial resistance and support levels. Follow these levels carefully to maximize your trades.
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,176)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up, it will likely test the resistance levels. Key focus points:
🔹 Opening Resistance Zone: 23,253 – 23,287 – If price sustains above this level, it can move towards 23,416. Consider call option trades if momentum remains strong with stop-loss at 23,200.
🔹 Major Resistance Zone: 23,416 – This is a crucial level where sellers might become active. Avoid chasing longs here and book profits.
🔹 If Nifty rejects from 23,253, watch for a retracement towards 23,176 before taking fresh trades.
💡 Pro Tip: Always wait for a retest and confirmation before entering a trade in a gap-up market.
📉 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 23,176)
A flat opening means price action will revolve around the Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 23,176 – 23,200. Key levels to monitor:
🔹 If price sustains above 23,200, expect bullish movement towards 23,253, followed by 23,287. Enter call options only after a breakout confirmation.
🔹 If price rejects from 23,176, it may slip towards 23,142, and if this breaks, expect a drop to 23,059. Put options can be considered here.
🔹 Avoid trading in the Opening Support / Resistance Zone unless a clear breakout/breakdown happens.
💡 Pro Tip: Flat openings often create a trap in the first 15 minutes. Let the market settle before taking a position.
⬇️ Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,176)
A bearish gap-down could test support levels. Here’s how to trade it:
🔹 Opening Support Zone: 23,059 – If this zone holds, expect a pullback to 23,176. A strong reversal from this level can provide a good call option opportunity.
🔹 If 23,059 breaks, expect further downside towards 22,983, followed by 22,871 (Golden Retracement Zone). Look for put options with SL at 23,059.
🔹 If price sustains below 22,871, expect high volatility. Avoid aggressive long positions.
💡 Pro Tip: In gap-down markets, avoid catching falling knives. Look for proper support confirmation before entering long trades.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
🔹 Keep a fixed risk per trade (1-2% of capital) to avoid big losses.
🔹 Use ATM (At-the-Money) or slightly OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options for better liquidity.
🔹 Don't overtrade. If your first 2 trades fail, step back and analyze the market.
🔹 Follow proper stop-loss levels to protect capital.
📊 Summary and Conclusion
Resistance Zones: 23,200, 23,253-23,287, 23,416
Support Zones: 23,176, 23,142, 23,059, 22,983, 22,871
Opening Support / Resistance Zone: 23,176 – 23,200 (Wait for breakout/breakdown)
📌 Stick to the plan and manage risk wisely. Market structure matters more than emotions!
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk. 😊
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines:
The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction.
There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend:
Phase I:
The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below):
Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact).
This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances).
RI – 24,254.10
RII – 24,600 ~24,657
RIII – 25,100 ~25,120
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength).
Reference:
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves.
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**Important Dates to Remember: **
Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates:
**January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP).
**January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release.
**January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release.
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**Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level.
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**Strategy: **
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise.
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Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
On December 12, 2024 the Nifty view is BullishUnlike price-level forecasts, time-based analysis allows us to anticipate market trends well in advance. Based on my analysis, I have a bullish outlook on the Nifty for December 12, 2024. Regardless of where the Nifty's price lands, the intraday trend on that date is expected to be bullish.
Please note that this is purely my perspective and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Use this information for educational purposes only, and always trade with a stop-loss in place.
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors:
Key Considerations for the Journey:
1) Economic Growth :
India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth.
Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise.
2) Corporate Earnings :
A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher.
3) Institutional Participation :
Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum.
4) Policy Support :
Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts.
Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth.
5) Global Markets and Trade :
Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important.
Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory.
Risks to Watch :
Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario.
Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
Hi-Tech PipesHi-Tech Pipes: potential for swing trade.
1) 6 month base, broken out with good volume, now falling on low volume.
2) High Relative strength Vs #CNX500
3) Wait for bullish price action and volume confirmation around 170
4) Reasonably good earnings on past quarters
5) FII holding increased
6) Good DII holding