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NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 08-Nov-2024Previous Day’s Chart Overview: On 07-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a bearish movement with opening tick , with a clear consolidation phase after the breaking mentioned support zone. The chart highlights significant levels for both support and resistance that are likely to influence price movements on 08-Nov. The Yellow trend represents the sideways movement, the Green trend indicates a bullish scenario, and the Red trend shows potential bearish paths. --- Trading Plan for 08-Nov-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens above 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) and holds, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near this level. A sustained move above could target 24,460.00 , the next intraday resistance. Should Nifty face resistance near 24,460.00 and fail to break above, consider short opportunities for a quick pullback to 24,358.00. Watch for a potential breakout above 24,460.00 which could trigger a move towards the 24,643.00 – 24,714.00 zone, where sideways resistance may impact the uptrend. Book profits or trail stops in this range. Flat Opening (within ±50 points): If Nifty opens near 24,190.60 and finds support above 24,174.95 (Opening Support) , consider long positions targeting 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) . A failure to hold 24,174.95 could signal weakness; watch for a potential test of 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , a strong support level for intraday buyers. If Nifty consolidates between 24,174.95 and 24,106.25, remain cautious with small trades until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens near or below 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , observe if it finds support. A strong buying interest here could provide an opportunity to target the 24,174.95 - 24,190.60 zone. A breakdown below 24,106.25 may lead to a bearish trend toward 23,970.00 , the next critical support level. Traders can consider short positions here with strict stop-losses. If Nifty tests and breaks below 23,970.00 , the next “Do or Die” level for buyers is at 23,700.00 , where a trend reversal may occur if supported by volume. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Always use stop-loss orders, especially when trading near resistance and support levels. Limit your position size to a maximum of 2-3% of your total capital to manage risk efficiently. For option trades, consider hedging strategies such as spreads or using out-of-the-money options to minimize premium risks in volatile markets. Summary & Conclusion: Tomorrow’s market could present significant trading opportunities given the current setup, especially around key support and resistance zones. Be cautious near the “Do or Die” level for buyers at 23,700.00, as it may lead to a trend reversal. Focus on risk management to protect capital in volatile conditions. --- Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 07-Nov-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 07-Nov-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Nifty displayed a strong bullish movement, trading near resistance zones and showing signs of potential reversals. The key levels for today's session include the profit booking zone at 24,841 , opening resistance at 24,583 , and opening support around 24,407 . The chart’s yellow trend lines indicate potential sideways movement, green represents bullish scenarios, and red highlights bearish trends. Opening Scenarios: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above): If Nifty opens with a gap up above 24,583 , closely monitor price action around the 24,781 - 24,841 profit booking zone. A strong breakout above 24,841 could indicate further bullish momentum, creating an opportunity for long entries with a stop-loss below 24,583 . However, if resistance at this level holds, expect a retracement towards 24,583 . This can signal a potential reversal, allowing for short trades targeting the opening support near 24,407 . Flat Opening: If Nifty opens near 24,493 , focus on the levels at 24,583 (opening resistance) and 24,407 (opening support). Observe these zones for directional clues: A move above 24,583 could test the profit booking area ( 24,781 - 24,841 ), creating a favorable long opportunity. A rejection at 24,583 could suggest a sideways trend between 24,583 and 24,407 . In this range-bound scenario, consider small scalp trades with defined stop-losses. Breaking below 24,407 may drive the index lower, with a potential target at 24,273 (buyer’s support at retracement). Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below): If Nifty opens below 24,407 , look for support around 24,273 . A bounce from this level may provide an opportunity for a quick recovery trade towards 24,407 . Should 24,273 fail to hold, bearish pressure could take Nifty towards 24,160 or even the last buyer's support at 24,108 . This scenario would favor short positions with stop-losses above immediate resistance. If Nifty rebounds above 24,407 post-gap down, look for a potential pullback rally targeting 24,583 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Define stop-loss levels based on critical support/resistance areas ( 24,583 , 24,407 , 24,273 ) to limit risk. Avoid aggressive trades during high volatility; keep position sizes manageable. Use hedged strategies, such as spreads, to control premium outlay and reduce risk. Continuously trail stop-losses in favor of the trend to secure partial profits. Summary and Conclusion: The main levels to watch for Nifty on 07-Nov-2024 are 24,583 (opening resistance), 24,407 (opening support), and 24,273 (buyer’s support). Stay vigilant around these areas to capture potential breakout or reversal trades, and adhere to disciplined risk management in options trading to safeguard against volatility. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical observations and personal insights. Please perform your due diligence or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trading actions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY Soars Higher – All Eyes on Key Targets on RisologicalNIFTY Index Analysis: NIFTY’s long trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe has already hit TP1 at 24,403.10. With positive momentum, we are now looking for it to reach the next targets, with TP2, TP3, and TP4 firmly in sight. NIFTY Key Levels: Entry: 24,178.95 Stop Loss (SL): 23,997.55 NIFTY Targets: TP1: 24,403.10 (Achieved) TP2: 24,765.90 TP3: 25,128.65 TP4: 25,352.85 Technical Indicator Confirmation: The Risological Dotted Trendline continues to show a bullish trend, supporting further upward movement towards TP2 and beyond. With TP1 already achieved, NIFTY traders should stay alert as we anticipate further gains towards the remaining targets. Watch closely for potential breakthroughs at each level!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ProfitsNinja
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 06-Nov-2024**Trading Plan for NIFTY on 06-Nov-2024** Intro: In the previous trading session, NIFTY showed a bullish momentum from the important levels highlighted in yesterday's Trading plan. The chart indicated multiple resistance and support levels, with specific zones highlighted for different scenarios. Yellow lines represent potential sideways movement, green lines indicate a bullish trend, and red lines signify a bearish trend. Observing the market's opening tomorrow in relation to these levels will guide the trading approach. --- Trading Plan Scenarios: For 06-Nov-2024, here are trading strategies for various opening scenarios: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points): If NIFTY opens with a significant gap up above 24350 (Opening Resistance), watch for signs of strength to sustain above this level. - If it holds above 24350 , wait for a breakout confirmation before entering a long position. Target levels would be 24581 and 24682 , keeping in mind the Last Resistance for Intraday. - If it fails to sustain above 24350 , be cautious of a pullback towards the Opening Support at 24156 . - Watch for sideways movement (yellow trend) if NIFTY consolidates between 24350 and 24156 . Avoid trades during this sideways movement unless a clear direction emerges. Flat Opening Near 24156 - 24144 Zone: If NIFTY opens flat around the Opening Support levels, monitor the price action closely. - A quick rejection from 24156 could indicate a reversal opportunity towards 24350 (Opening Resistance). Enter long if the price breaks above and sustains. - In case of a breakdown below 24144 , NIFTY may test the lower support at 24020 . Consider short trades if there’s a clear break below this level, aiming for the "Best Buy Zone" near 23725 . - Keep an eye on sideways movement in this range. Avoid trades if the trend remains unclear within this zone. Gap Down Opening (100+ Points): If NIFTY opens with a significant gap down, near or below the "Buyer's Support at Retracement" at 24020 , trade cautiously. - If NIFTY shows buying interest around 24020 , it may present a buying opportunity, targeting 24156 as a recovery level. - If the gap down leads to a breakdown below 24020 , watch for support around 23725 and 23579 in the "Best Buy Zone". Enter short if the bearish trend persists. - Avoid early entries without confirmation of direction, as a gap down could lead to volatility. Use strict stop-loss levels. --- Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Stick to defined entry and exit points based on these levels and trends to avoid chasing price. - For long positions, consider buying at-the-money calls if the price breaks resistance levels or sustains a bullish trend. - For short positions, consider buying at-the-money puts near resistance rejections or if NIFTY trends down after a gap down opening. - Use stop-loss orders consistently to manage potential losses. Avoid doubling down on losing positions in highly volatile market conditions. --- Summary & Conclusion: Focus on these key levels to navigate the trading day effectively. Monitor the price reaction to opening levels, as it will guide trade direction. Sideways movement could indicate a consolidating market, while breaks above or below specified zones may present entry opportunities. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and consult with a certified professional before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 05-Nov-2024On 04-Nov-2024, Nifty showcased a strong downward trend followed by some consolidation. The session closed near 23,990, with critical support levels between 23,725 and 23,579, indicating a potential for a bounce in the coming session. Resistance is seen at 24,021, with a significant zone near 24,163. The Yellow trend indicates potential sideways movement, while the Green trend shows bullish prospects and the Red trend represents a bearish path. Trading Plan for 05-Nov-2024: Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a 100+ point gap-up above 24,021, we could see a bullish move towards 24,163 (Intraday resistance). It’s essential to watch if prices sustain above this zone, as crossing this level could target the last intraday resistance of 24,319. If Nifty fails to sustain above 24,163, expect a sideways move back towards 24,021. Traders should exercise caution here as any rejection from higher levels might signal a potential reversal. Actionable Plan: Buy on a sustained move above 24,163, with a target of 24,319. Stop Loss: Below 24,021 on a 15-minute candle close. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens flat around 23,990, the focus will be on the reaction near 24,021 (opening support/resistance). A clear breakout above this level could push Nifty into a bullish zone, aiming for 24,163 and beyond. However, failure to break this level will lead to a sideways consolidation (Yellow trend) or a possible retest of lower supports near 23,725. Actionable Plan: Buy on breakout above 24,021, targeting 24,163. Sell below 23,953, with a target towards 23,725. Stop Loss: Place tight stop losses at 23,990. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a gap-down near 23,725 or below, the Best Buy Zone comes into play. Watch for bullish price action around this support level. Any strong bounce from here could lead to a recovery back to 23,953 or higher. In case Nifty fails to hold 23,725, a further decline towards 23,579 could be on the cards, with a potential for a deeper correction. Actionable Plan: Buy near 23,725 with a target of 23,953. Sell below 23,725, aiming for 23,579. Stop Loss: Below 23,725 on a 15-minute candle close. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Always use strict stop losses, especially on volatile days. Avoid holding positions overnight unless there’s a strong directional bias. For options traders, consider entering at-the-money or slightly out-of-the-money options to benefit from quick price moves while managing risk. Summary and Conclusion: The key levels for 05-Nov-2024 are 24,021 for intraday resistance and 23,725 for strong support. A gap-up or flat opening should be monitored closely for breakouts above these resistance levels. A gap-down could provide an excellent buying opportunity near 23,725. Traders should stay cautious and respect the support/resistance zones, waiting for confirmation before taking trades. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely based on technical analysis and psychological theories. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 04-Nov-2024Intro for Previous Day's Chart Pattern: In the previous two session, Nifty demonstrated a balanced movement with multiple attempts to break the support and resistance zones, suggesting potential consolidation. The chart highlights key areas where demand and supply forces are likely to react. Yellow trend indicates Sideways movement, Green trend shows a Bullish trend, and Red represents a Bearish trend. --- Trading Plan for 04-Nov-2024: Opening Scenarios: Gap Up Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a significant gap up around 24,489 or higher: - Watch for resistance near the ChCoCh Zone (Change of Character) at 24,489-24,533. If Nifty sustains above 24,533, it could indicate strong bullish momentum towards the 24,616 zone, marked as the “Last Intraday Resistance.” - In case of a rejection from 24,489, wait for confirmation before initiating short trades, as prices may retest lower support levels. - For conservative traders, it’s advisable to wait for a retracement back toward 24,286-24,265 levels before considering long entries. Flat Opening: If Nifty opens flat around 24,300: - Focus on the immediate support level at 24,286. A successful defense of this support could trigger a bounce towards the 24,489-24,533 resistance area. - If prices struggle to break through 24,286, look for opportunities to enter long trades near the “No Trading Zone” at 24,163. - For intraday shorts, wait for bearish signals near 24,533 or if Nifty falls below 24,265, targeting the lower support at 24,020. Gap Down Opening (100+ points): If Nifty opens with a gap down around 24,163 or lower: - Monitor the support levels at 24,020 and 23,958. These zones represent “Last Buyer’s Support for Intraday.” A break below 23,958 may trigger further downside pressure towards lower levels. - If 24,020 holds, it could offer a buying opportunity with a potential target toward 24,286. - For intraday trades, be cautious of volatility and await clear price action before entering positions, especially in gap-down scenarios. --- Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Limit your position sizes and keep a strict stop-loss in volatile conditions, especially post-Diwali. - Monitor implied volatility as it can affect options premium significantly during high volatility sessions. - Avoid chasing options trades if premiums have already inflated substantially post-market opening. - Stay cautious around key levels to avoid whipsaws and consider taking partial exits at defined target levels to lock in profits. --- Summary and Conclusion: The 04-Nov-2024 session may witness reactions at critical support and resistance zones, presenting opportunities for both intraday and swing traders. Wait for a clear break of levels to confirm direction. Sideways consolidation could occur near the mid-range, so be prepared for both trend-following and range-bound strategies. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please conduct your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of consolidation and upward momentum, with notable resistance zones tested near 24,594 . Key levels for 31-Oct-2024 have been identified, with trends marked as follows: yellow for sideways movement, green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish sentiment. This plan provides strategies for different opening scenarios. Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens 100+ points above the previous close, it may test the First Resistance/Consolidation Zone near 24,594 . If the index sustains above this level, we may see a push towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . However, if it struggles to hold above 24,594 , expect a retracement towards the Opening Support/Resistance level at 24,320 . – A reversal from the resistance levels could prompt a move back to the Support at Retracement at 24,163 . Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) For a flat opening, the key level to watch is 24,349 . Sustaining above this point could lead to a breakout, targeting 24,594 and possibly extending towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . Conversely, if momentum fails above 24,349 , Nifty might move sideways around 24,320 or even test the lower support at 24,285 . – A downside break below 24,285 could increase bearish pressure, with potential support found at 24,163 . Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down scenario, initial support may be found near 24,285 . A rebound from this level could bring the price back toward 24,349 . If the index sustains above 24,349 , bullish momentum could retest the resistance at 24,594 . However, if 24,285 fails to hold, a decline towards Support at Retracement near 24,163 is likely. – Persistent weakness below 24,163 might drive further downside towards the Last Intraday Support at 24,040 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Manage your position sizes wisely, especially when volatility is high. Consider deploying trailing stops near major resistance/support levels to protect gains. Options spreads can limit risk exposure, which is particularly useful in a choppy market. Summary and Conclusion The primary focus for 31-Oct-2024 remains on the resistance at 24,594 and support at 24,163 . Traders should stay flexible with these levels and use disciplined stop-loss strategies to manage risks. Observing the price action after the opening will provide better insight into the day’s trend. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous day, Nifty displayed a upward movement from the provided levels in yesterdays trading plan and minor fluctuations within key levels. The chart illustrates potential sideways movement in yellow , an expected bullish trend in green , and a bearish trend in red . For today's trading, we will observe various opening scenarios and outline strategies accordingly. Trading Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens with a 100+ points gap up, it is likely to face resistance near the 24,453 - 24,563 range, which is marked as the Opening Resistance / No Trade Zone . Observe price action here. If Nifty sustains above 24,563 , it may target the Profit Booking Zone around 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to break above the resistance, expect a potential retracement towards the Opening Support at 24,282 . – In case of strong selling pressure, Nifty could pull back further, aiming toward 24,162 as a potential support. Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) With a flat opening, focus on the initial 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment. If prices sustain above the 24,453 level, we may see a push toward 24,563 . A breakout above 24,563 will likely lead to a bullish trend targeting Profit Booking Zone at 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to sustain above the No Trade Zone , expect sideways movement or a dip toward 24,282 . – Any move below 24,282 could potentially extend towards 24,162 , testing the Last Intraday Support level. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,282 level as the immediate support. If it holds, Nifty may attempt to retest the Opening Resistance Zone around 24,453 . A breakout above this level could bring sideways or bullish momentum up to 24,563 . Failure to reclaim 24,282 may lead to further downside pressure, potentially pulling prices to the Last Intraday Support at 24,162 . – Watch for price stability around 24,162 if it is reached, as this may serve as a potential reversal point. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Consider setting a defined stop-loss for each options position based on volatility levels; hourly candle closes can be useful for managing intraday risk. Avoid over-leveraging. In options trading, position sizing should reflect the inherent risk and potential for quick price changes. Utilize trailing stops to lock in profits if Nifty moves favorably. This is particularly effective in highly volatile sessions. Summary and Conclusion Today, focus on the key zones: 24,453 - 24,563 as resistance and 24,282 as support. A break above or below these levels could set the day's trend. Use a balanced approach, aligning with the prevailing sentiment indicated by the chart structure. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on personal views and technical parameters. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY Bears Roar! TP2 Hit, Momentum Building for More!NIFTY 15m time frame Short Trade Entry: 24,827.10 Current Price: 24,565.50 – TP2 completed, moving closer to TP3 and TP4 Key Levels: Stop-Loss (SL): 24,902.70 – Protecting against reversals above resistance. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24,733.70 – Hit, confirming downtrend initiation. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24,582.50 – Hit, trend acceleration seen. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24,431.30 – Approaching the next key target. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24,337.85 – Final target for this move. Trade Outlook: NIFTY continues its downward journey, with TP2 successfully hit. Bearish pressure remains strong, and we anticipate the next targets being met as the market sustains its downtrend.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
Nifty Plummets! All Targets Achieved in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: Nifty – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade) Nifty provided a clear short trade setup with an entry at 25006.45 on 16th October at 2:45 PM. The trade has been highly successful, with the price reaching all designated profit targets. Key Levels Entry: 25006.45 – The short position was initiated here following a strong bearish signal. Stop-Loss (SL): 25032.75 – Placed above recent resistance to manage risk against a potential reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24973.90 – The first target was quickly reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24921.30 – Further downside pressure pushed the price to this level. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24868.70 – The bearish trend continued, achieving this target. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24836.20 – The final target, marking a complete and successful trade. Trend Analysis The price stayed firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The sustained selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong market momentum in favor of sellers. The short trade on Nifty has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 24836.20. The precision of the entry and the guidance of the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
NIFTY Market Insights: Anticipating significant shiftsDear Traders, I trust this message finds you well in both your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am pleased to present a compelling opportunity through a new NIFTY analysis that indicates an imminent significant market shift. The recent upward surge in the market has prompted concerns, as my analysis over the past two months has consistently pointed to an anticipated correction owing to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical details: I. Resistance I: 25,388 ~ 25,430 (Extended trend line from 17th JUN'22) II. Resistance II: 25,490 ~ 25,510 ~ 25,526 (Conj. Extended trend line from 24 JAN'24 & 24 JUN'24) III. Resistance III: 25,590 (Extended trend line from 29 FEB'16 – Long & strong Resistance) Please note that these values serve as indicative levels of support and resistance. The wave patterns depicted in the diagram, signal completion of the trend. Additional observations: Time series Forecasting: Top - Top - Today (04/09/2024) = 1690 D from 20jan'20 (1710 = 360*4 + 270) = 1053 D from 19oct'21 (1080 = 360*3) = 644 D from 01dec'22 (630 = 360+270) = 356 D from 15sept'23 (~360) Bottom – Top - Today (04/09/24) = 1626 D from 24mar'20 (1620 = 4*360+180) = 811 D from 17jun'22 (810 = 720 + 90) = 315 D from 26oct'23 (exactly an important angle) = 535 D from 20mar'23 (540 = 360 + 180) Given these short and long-term observations, the time resistance(s) are notably robust. Historical Repetition: The ongoing 14-day winning streak, continuously setting new records, typically precedes short-term corrections ranging from 3% to 24%, as historically observed. For instance, in May 2006, Nifty’s non-stop 9-day rally culminated in a 24% index decline in the subsequent month, while a similar trend in February 2000 resulted in an 11% decline in the subsequent month. Consequently, a market breather is anticipated, with profit booking potentially driving the market to deeper levels before embarking on a new uptrend (anticipated correction in the monthly scale, evident in the 3M time frame). Further details will be provided as the market unfolds. A correction of this magnitude is expected to materialize, with the following scenarios: The initial focus is to prioritize the trend line-based correction scenario. The primary support levels are identified at 23,100. Any subsequent breakout will result in distinct scenarios. Scenario 1: From 15,183.40, retracement towards 21,500 = 4,000 pts (38.2%R) (-12 to 15%), highly probable given the aforementioned reasons. Scenario 2: From 16,828, retracement towards 21,100 levels = 4,400 pts (50%R) (-13% to 17%), also plausible within the realm of reality. One of these scenarios is poised to unfold as the market progresses into correction. Fed and Markets: Considering the correlation between interest rates and market fluctuations, it is wise to take them into account. Typically, their relationship is inversely proportional. However, the Fed has been delaying the easing process due to economic conditions such as employment and inflation data. This month may bring many surprises. If everything goes according to plan, interest rates will be reduced, theoretically boosting investment in gold and stock markets. On the other hand, if the dovishness in the rate decision continues, it will likely unsettle the markets, at least in the short term. Further data releases this month will help in forming a consensus. IMPORTANT DATES TO REMEMBER!!! Sept - 5, 6, 11, 12, 18 (FOMC) Strategy: 1. Being bullish beyond this point is not recommended. 2. Bearish bets are prudent from 25, 300 – 350, 400 for FOMO traders. Risky traders may consider waiting for the 25,500 levels to be tested. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Your feedback is genuinely appreciated, and I would encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section. I am committed to engaging with each response. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by liking and following me. Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
NIFTY Podcast 17 Sep 2024Today, only 1 trade was taken. - Initially the market was sideways, as 5m candles closed both below and above Opening Price - 25409 - The OI data was positive, but 2 departments were Bullish, so after taking look at the closer look at the strikes 25400 and 25450, the Put Writers increased, which gave us confidence to take the trade. - The risk to reward wasn't 1:1, instead the target was Thick line, and with 5 points buffer the target was 25441 Notes: - In such sideways market, it would be better to take Short Selling Price Action strategy to aim for 1% target and 1% stoploss.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by gupshupblog
NIFTY on the cusp for potential correction!Dear Traders, I trust this message finds you well in both your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am pleased to present a compelling opportunity through a new NIFTY analysis that indicates an imminent significant market shift. The recent upward surge in the market has prompted concerns, as my analysis over the past two months has consistently pointed to an anticipated correction owing to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical details: I. Resistance I: 25,388 ~ 25,430 (Extended trend line from 17th JUN'22) II. Resistance II: 25,490 ~ 25,510 ~ 25,526 (Conj. Extended trend line from 24 JAN'24 & 24 JUN'24) III. Resistance III: 25,590 (Extended trend line from 29 FEB'16 – Long & strong Resistance) *** Please note that these values serve as indicative levels of support and resistance. The wave patterns depicted in the diagram signal the completion of the trend. imgur.com Additional observations: Time series Forecasting: Top - Top - Today (04/09/2024) = 1690 D from 20jan'20 (1710 = 360*4 + 270) = 1053 D from 19oct'21 (1080 = 360*3) = 644 D from 01dec'22 (630 = 360+270) = 356 D from 15sept'23 (~360) Bottom – Top - Today (04/09/24) = 1626 D from 24mar'20 (1620 = 4*360+180) = 811 D from 17jun'22 (810 = 720 + 90) = 315 D from 26oct'23 (exactly an important angle) = 535 D from 20mar'23 (540 = 360 + 180) Given these short and long-term observations, the time resistance(s) are notably robust. Historical Repetition: The ongoing 14-day winning streak, continuously setting new records, typically precedes short-term corrections ranging from 3% to 24%, as historically observed. For instance, in May 2006, Nifty’s non-stop 9-day rally culminated in a 24% index decline in the subsequent month, while a similar trend in February 2000 resulted in an 11% decline in the subsequent month. Consequently, a market breather is anticipated, with profit booking potentially driving the market to deeper levels before embarking on a new uptrend (anticipated correction in the monthly scale, evident in the 3M time frame). Further details will be provided as the market unfolds. A correction of this magnitude is expected to materialize, with the following scenarios: The initial focus is to prioritize the trend line-based correction scenario. The primary support levels are identified at 23,100. Any subsequent breakout will result in distinct scenarios. Scenario 1: From 15,183.40, retracement towards 21,500 = 4,000 pts (38.2%R) (-12 to 15%), highly probable given the aforementioned reasons. Scenario 2: From 16,828, retracement towards 21,100 levels = 4,400 pts (50%R) (-13% to 17%), also plausible within the realm of reality. One of these scenarios is poised to unfold as the market progresses into correction. Fed and Markets: Considering the correlation between interest rates and market fluctuations, it is wise to take them into account. Typically, their relationship is inversely proportional. However, the Fed has been delaying the easing process due to economic conditions such as employment and inflation data. This month may bring many surprises. If everything goes according to plan, interest rates will be reduced, theoretically boosting investment in gold and stock markets. On the other hand, if the dovishness in the rate decision continues, it will likely unsettle the markets, at least in the short term. Further data releases this month will help in forming a consensus. IMPORTANT DATES TO REMEMBER!!! Sept - 5, 6, 11, 12, 18 (FOMC) Strategy : 1. Being bullish beyond this point is not recommended. 2. Bearish bets are prudent from 25, 300 – 350, 400 for FOMO traders. Risky traders may consider waiting for the 25,500 levels to be tested. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Your feedback is genuinely appreciated, and I would encourage you to share your thoughts in the comments section. I am committed to engaging with each response. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by liking and following me. Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
Nifty Positional Trading PlanThe market continued to consolidate while maintaining its upward momentum for the ninth consecutive session and hit a new Nifty 50 closing high on 28th August. The rise of 0. 14 per cent to 25,052 points formed a doji like candlestick pattern indicating consolidation and indecision among buyers and sellers on future market trends. US stock markets fell across the board overnight and Asia opened today with a correction, creating instability in the domestic market. The bulls may weaken after consecutive rallies and the market is expected to remain consolidated on the monthly F&O expiry date. Important resistance above is at 25, 100 pips, while short-term key support appears at 24,950 pips, at 5-day EMA level. Nifty Options For call option data, the highest number of open positions is at 25,500 strike, which can act as a key resistance level for Nifty in the short term. In put options, the highest number of open positions is at 25,000 strike, which can act as a key support level for Nifty. August F&O expires and can be shifted to September F&O to open new positions. Longs have shown weakness and remain short for the next few sessions, today one can focus on NIFTY SEP 24500 PE and enter new position at 135-150 with scheduled profit of 15%.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by PJVFINANCIAL