Nifty--Demand Zone and Liquidity @23400 Nifty index is broken the strong resistance at 23800 levels and taken the liquidity at 24220 levels...
now price action is sideways or trading in a range bound market.
expecting some pullback for further continuation....
wait for buyers exhaustion before short...
we have a clear demand zone at 23400 levels...
when price confirms the bullishness here, after the liquidity grab below the demand will observe a strong up move again...
there are bullish gaps @22800 levels...price has to give pullback for further upside move...
the above one is a clear buying plan for the targets of 24800 and 25200 liquidity.
--->>still we have no sign of bearishness is seen in Nifty.
Niftyoptionstrategy
Nifty 24200CE intraday analysis for April 21, 2025On Nifty 24200CE 15minutes interval, Scalper indicator has confirmed Buy entry at 19.15 with Stop-loss at 11.85 and still continuing its bullish trend. I am still bullish on this Call options. Fresh trades are not suggested at this point unless there is a technical reconfirmation with proper stop loss. Traders are advised to follow own technical study before taking the trades. Trade with Stop-Loss.
Nifty’s Make-or-Break Zone: Will Bulls Charge or Bears Bite?www.tradingview.com
---
### 🧠 **1. Context at-a-glance**
- Recent bounce from a **Demand Zone (D1 Key Level)** around **21,800**.
- Strong bullish rally into a **Supply Zone (~22,600–22,750)**.
- Price is currently showing **hesitation within this resistance**, with smaller-bodied candles forming → potential reversal signals.
- The oscillator has **crossed bullish** from oversold but is nearing a decision zone.
---
### 🔮 **Future Move Scenarios**
#### 🟥 SCENARIO A: **Rejection from Supply Zone** (Most Likely Short-Term)
- **Why?** Price has hit a resistance with fading momentum and no breakout confirmation.
- **What happens?**
- Price retraces toward **22,200**, potentially even **21,800–21,900**.
- Retest of BOS level possible before the next directional leg.
- **Watch for:** Bearish candle formations (engulfing / long wicks), oscillator stalling below 50.
---
#### 🟩 SCENARIO B: **Bullish Breakout Above 22,750**
- **What confirms it?**
- A strong bullish candle closing above 22,750 with follow-through.
- **Next Targets:**
- 🔼 **23,000** (round level and minor resistance)
- 🔼 **23,300–23,500** (old supply zone)
- Eventually back to **23,750+**
- **Oscillator support:** If the indicator crosses 50+, bullish momentum could sustain.
---
### 📉 Oscillator Hints:
- Still below 50 — **recovery in progress**, not full momentum yet.
- If price rejects and oscillator drops → **Bearish divergence** possibility.
---
### 🧭 **Your Playbook**
| Zone | Action Idea | Trigger to Watch |
|------------------|-------------------------------|----------------------------------|
| 22,600–22,750 | Short / Hedge | Rejection candle, loss of momentum |
| 22,200–22,300 | Potential buy zone (aggressive) | Bullish candle or bounce confirmation |
| Break > 22,750 | Buy on Retest or Momentum | Breakout candle + volume |
| < 21,800 | Bearish continuation | Break of demand zone + close below |
---
Risk-Managed Option Selling Strategy: Nifty50 23900 CallMarket Outlook:
I hold a highly bearish view on the Nifty50 23900 Call Option with an expiry date of 26th December 2024. This outlook is based on a detailed analysis of market trends and proprietary indicators.
Entry and Stop-Loss Levels:
Entry Level: Ready to sell the 23900 Call option at or above ₹142.40.
Stop-Loss: Maintain a strict stop-loss at ₹202.10 to manage risk effectively.
Additional Criteria:
This strategy involves a specific criterion that is integral to trade execution but will not be disclosed openly.
Risk Management:
This strategy is designed with a focus on controlling potential losses through predefined stop-loss levels.
Option selling involves substantial risk, including the possibility of unlimited losses. Therefore, ensure appropriate margin and capital allocation based on individual risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is shared for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Options trading involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before executing trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 24th DecemberNifty opened with gap-up around 23740 and after consolidating Nifty went up but 23870 acted as strong rejection zone and we saw more than 200 points fall from day high.
Tomorrow, Buy Nifty if sustains above 23830 for the targets of 23880 and above marked level. On the other side, Sell Nifty if sustains below 23650 for the targets of 23590 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 23830
Sell Below - 23650
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Nifty 50 hero zero trade for 19 December 2024 expiry Trading Guidance for NIFTY50 index options
In the world of trading, greed and fear are your worst enemies. Trading without full knowledge and proper back testing—whether of your own trades or the advisors' suggestions—is a recipe for disaster.
Important Note: Read and understand everything in this post and any accompanying images before taking any trade action.
Nifty 25000 Call Option
Current Scenario: There's a gap in the Nifty 50 index which could drag the index towards 24720 around expiry (possibly on Friday when Sensex has its weekly expiry). This is a high-risk, high-reward trade (hero or zero).
Buying Price: ₹5.10
Maximum Potential: ₹235
Target Price: Set the final target at ₹184, as the price is expected to drop sharply after reaching between ₹140 and ₹235.
Profit Strategy: If the price hits ₹140, it's wise to take some profits. Don't be greedy.
Loss Strategy: Cut half the trade amount if it drops to ₹3 in loss or reaches ₹10 in profit, whichever comes first.
Best Timing: Aim to enter or exit trades during high market activity periods to maximize gains and minimize losses.
Capital Management
Divide Your Capital: If you're following my trading suggestions, divide your total capital by 40. No single trade should exceed 1/40 of your capital.
Risk Management: Only trade with money you can afford to lose. Avoid going all-in to ensure you have funds for future trades in case one fails.
Market Conditions
Stay updated with the latest market trends and news that could impact the Nifty 50 index.
Learning Resources
For those looking to deepen their understanding, consider reading books on options trading, attending webinars, or following reputable market analysts.
Risk Disclaimer
Remember, trading options involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for every investor. Always trade responsibly.
For more information about money management for options trading, feel free to contact me. I'll provide all the details you need. Remember, prudent management of your capital is crucial to long-term trading success.
Stay informed and trade wisely!
Nifty Intraday trend forecast for tomorrow December 13, 2024On December 13, 2024 the Nifty spot is likely to close on a bullish note. If the given resistance 2 is broken, then it may move further up. However, the Nifty range may be around 150 points.
This is only for educational purposes. Any trade without a stop-loss is highly emotional and invalid.
Nifty moments for option and future trading 02/Dec/2024Nifty moments for option and future trading 02/Dec/2024
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Nifty levels and targets for tomorrow 29/Nov/2024Nifty Prediction for 29th November 2024
Nifty bank levels and targets for tomorrow.
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On the November expiry day, the benchmark index Nifty50 extended its losses, closing at 23,914.15 with a 1.49% decline, weighed down by weakness in IT and auto stocks. The market sentiment was dampened by concerns stemming from U.S. inflation data, which signalled a slower-than-expected trajectory for future rate cuts—a factor that particularly impacted the IT sector.
On the daily chart, the Nifty erased earlier gains, filling the gap from the election results day. However, it managed to hold key support levels around the Middle Bollinger Band and a horizontal trendline. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD remain on a positive trajectory, suggesting a favorable outlook in the near term.
Traders are advised to closely monitor global events, foreign institutional investor (FII) activity, and rollover data to better understand the market's direction in the upcoming series. On the downside, the index has strong support at 23,800 and 23,650 levels, while resistance is expected at 24,100 and 24,350 levels.03:56 PM
Nifty Prediction for 26th November 2024Nifty Prediction for 26th November 2024
nifty moments for intraday and option trading
The benchmark index showed significant upward momentum, driven by gains across all sectors. This rally was largely influenced by the NDA's victory in the Maharashtra state elections, which boosted investor confidence. On Monday, the
Nifty index surged by 314 points, closing at 24,221.90. The session began with an upside gap, and early buying extended the pullback rally. However, the index lost some of its election-driven momentum, retreating slightly from its intraday high of 24,351 and forming like a Doji candlestick pattern on the daily chart.
Despite the slight retreat, the Nifty confirmed a breakout of the Falling Channel pattern with a gap-up opening and sustained levels above the Middle Bollinger Band, indicating a bullish setup for the near term. Momentum indicators further supported this outlook, with the RSI recovering sharply from the oversold zone and showing a positive crossover. Additionally, the MACD exhibited a positive crossover, reinforcing the potential for a reversal.
Traders are advised to maintain a positive bias as long as the Nifty remains above the 24,000 mark. On the upside, if the index sustains levels above 24,350, it could potentially move higher toward the 24,500 and 24,700 levels.
NIFTY Podcast 26 Aug 2024Again on NIFTY, took only 1 trade with Gap up/down strategy.
1:1 target achieved right away in the second candle itself.
Notes:
- Closed early due to peer pressure of reaching or closing the targets. Next time, will mute all groups or channels to focus on the trade itself.
- There was another entry based on podcast strategy, but neither it hit the target nor it hit the stoploss. Second trade can always be debit spread or credit spread to avoid loss in the decay in the premiums of naked buying options.
Nifty Expiry Analysis and Outlook(29-08-24)In the last week (14th August Expiry), Nifty traded within a narrow range, largely hovering around the CPR (Central Pivot Range) calculated for the expiry. This week, we saw Nifty open above the Pivot, signaling a bullish reversal. The index then tested the Pivot before surging to R4, forming a strong green expiry candle.
This upward move was anticipated following a week of range-bound activity. Looking ahead to next week, if history is any guide, we might expect a range-bound movement after such a strong surge. However, it's wise to remain on the long side of the market while observing how the market behaves tomorrow. I'll provide updates as the situation evolves.
Nifty Index View [Expiry: 08-08-2024]After a notable expiry week characterized by significant activity, the current Nifty expiry week commenced under less favorable conditions. This analysis explores the Nifty Index from both the expiry candle and options technical perspective to provide a comprehensive view of the market dynamics.
Expiry Candle Analysis:
This week's expiry candle started at the pivot point but closed below it, suggesting an initial bearish momentum. If the downtrend continue, the next support could be expected around 24,575, which aligns with S1 of the expiry pivot. Further decline might test the S2 at 24,415 - a pivotal level as it also corresponds to last week's expiry low. In terms of resistance, Pivot, TC (Top Central), and BC (Bottom Central) could serve as key barriers in the short term. The analysis leverages Fibonacci pivot calculations based on the expiry OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) data.
Historically, a relatively quiet week often follows a highly active expiry week. Given this pattern, the current week might lean towards a neutral or slightly negative close, echoing the subdued sentiment post-high volatility periods.
Options Analysis:
Instead of focusing on volume or open interest, this review emphasizes a technical assessment of the options chain. Technical ratings added to the monthly expiry options reveal that:
Call Options: Moving Averages are indicating a strong sell signal, with Oscillators showing a mix of neutral and sell signals, suggesting bearish expectations.
Put Options: Moving Averages are mostly neutral while Oscillators are leaning towards buy signals, indicating some expectation of upward price movements yet underscored by caution.
Near Term Options Outlook(Current Expiry):
Call Side: Signals are overwhelmingly negative, pointing towards bearish market expectations.
Put Side: Presents mixed signals, which could imply uncertainty or a potential for slight recovery, but the overall sentiment remains cautiously pessimistic.
Conclusion:
Both the expiry candle and technical indicators from the options chain suggest a market leaning towards a neutral to negative closure for the current expiry period. Traders should consider integrating additional data and analyses to corroborate these findings and refine their market strategies.
Dynamics of NIFTY50 21750 March 2024 Call OptionDate: 20-03-2024
As a seasoned derivatives trader, I find myself constantly immersed in the intricate dance of market movements, option data, and technical analysis. Today, I delve into the world of NIFTY50 futures and options, particularly focusing on the March 2024 contract. Join me as I unravel the insights gleaned from my custom-built software, MRISKA DTS5, and share my perspective on the probable expiry level in terms of the strike price for this contract.
Let's embark on this journey by stepping back to the 29th of February 2024, the day the Nifty50 February 2024 contract expired. On that date, the Nifty50 spot settled at 21982.80, setting the stage for our analysis. One of the key observations from my data exploration was the significant short buildup in the 21750 call option .
The 21750 call option caught my attention with its last traded price of 626.10 and a stop loss level of 922.30, valid until 28th March 2024. Tracking its performance from 29-02-2024 to 20-03-2024, the option saw its highest high at 915.00 on 06-03-2024. Fast forward to today, the Nifty50 spot closed at 21839.10, while the 21750 call option stood at 262.40.
At this juncture, two distinct possibilities emerge. The first scenario entails the 21750 call option hitting the stop loss level of 922.30 by 28th March 2024. This outcome would signify a substantial move in the market, reflecting the dynamic nature of derivatives trading.
Conversely, the second scenario revolves around the Nifty50 spot settling below 21750 by the contract's expiry. This scenario hinges on various factors such as market sentiment, economic indicators, and global events that can influence market movements.
It's crucial to emphasize that my analysis and views are purely educational and should not be construed as trade recommendations. Derivatives trading demands a comprehensive understanding of risk management, market dynamics, and thorough research, which are essential for informed decision-making.
In conclusion, navigating the complexities of NIFTY50 futures and options requires a blend of data-driven insights, technical expertise, and a nuanced understanding of market behavior. As we approach the expiry of the March 2024 contract, the unfolding dynamics will offer valuable lessons and opportunities for traders and investors alike. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to explore the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets.
NIFTY 22 FEB 2024 viewIf we look at derivative data
0.80% % DECREASE, with a 3.6% addition in open interest.
if we look at volume, there is a 23% rise compared to yesterdays volume
iv down by 4 points , pcr is at low point of week and IVP AT 89 percentile .
support now at 21930-21960 while after todays cool offnow 22250 -22280 likely to act as a resistance zone
Nifty50 Weekly Observations to assist with Options StrategyThe insight:
Here's an analysis of 9 years of data of Nifty50, showing that Nifty50 gave a weekly gain >3.5% 19 times (i.e in 19 individual weeks). This is roughly 2 times a year, or 4% of times.
Ideas to apply the insight:
Credit spread, Iron Condor, etcetera etcetera. It helps to know what is the "maximum likely movement" that Nifty50 will give on a weekly closing basis to select the right "Call strike prices" to sell.
Using this insight, one can short Call Option strikes that are >3.5% away from current price at the end of the week (for next week's expiry). This is a simple way to get 1-2% returns a week.
A simple modification is to wait for Monday's day closing, and select a strike price 3.5% away from Friday's closing (to get higher premiums if Monday's closing is higher than Friday's closing).
Why this can work:
Option Sellers (usually) earn when market movements are not wild in 1 direction. Simply put, this is due to options decay (theta) and subsequent Out-of-the-money expiry of the strike price that Option Seller has shorted. We see that Nifty gives >3.5% close only about 2-3 times a year (avg of 9 years). Therefore, in theory, we are likely to make profits for 49 out of 52 weeks in a year if we choose to short "Call" strike prices that are 3.5% away from closing price on Friday.
Word of caution:
The analysis is for Nifty50 gain (i.e >3.5% move). This does not apply to Nifty50 crash. We should be mindful that crash intensity is stronger than gain intensity (because fear is greater than hope). So strong downside movements (crashes greater than 3.5% will require different analysis).
It's a fool's errand to sell naked Call Options and hold overnight, as the losses can be huge (even though temporarily). Be gentle on your heart. It is advised to always hedge a Call Option short (which is why strategies like Credit Spread, etc. exist).
Disclaimer:
This is neither backtested on softwares/tools nor tested with live trades. This idea/insight is to help build/improve your strategy based on your trading style.
Trade with poise.
NIFTY ABOUT TO RETRACE 700 points.
Price has reacted to a Monthly Supply in the left side, after reacting to the Monthly Supply Price has confirmed downward potential in the Daily chart forming a Supply and there is a Fresh Monthly Demand formed and Price has to retrace into this Fresh Demand hence downmove of 700 plus points.
ENJOJY THE RIDE ! ! !