Resistance Zone approaching. Can the bulls defy the odds?Nifty is rallying for the last few days along with global markets due to relief provided by US President Donald Trump due to Tariff pause but we are approaching a zone where the maniac rise might halt or it might take some time to relax and catch a breath or two.
The zone of concern starts from Father line of daily chart which is near 23360. Once we get a closing above this point the zone between 23569 and 23893 will be little difficult to cross as it has the trend line resistance. Once we get a closing above 23893 the Bulls can be in very strong space where they can try to pull the market further 500/800 points upwards.
However we comment about it when we reach there. The support for Nifty in case the Father line or the Resistance zone of 23569/23893 plays a spoil sport will be 23174, 23039 (Strong Mother Line Support of Daily chart).
If the Mother line is broken and we get a weekly closing below the same Bears will come back into action and can try to drag the Nifty towards 22675, 22353 and finally 21737.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty Analysis EOD – 16th April 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 16th April 2025 🔴
Market Recap + Levels + Strategy
📌 Background
Nifty opened the day at 23,344, right at the crucial resistance zone where it was repeatedly rejected in the last two sessions. As mentioned in our Telegram group, the plan was simple — either wait for a retracement or let the Initial Balance (IB) form before acting.
Today was about patience and observation, especially considering the weekly expiry is due tomorrow and Friday is a market holiday.
📌 Structure Talk: 15th vs 16th April
To truly understand today's movement, we need to visually compare the last two intraday structures:
15th April: The session was imbalanced post-gap-up, yet showed very tight movement after IB formation. Candle sizes were small (avg 8–15 pts). A silent, non-directional day.
16th April: The structure was more balanced (even with 22 points upside imbalance), but the price action was much noisier. Average candle size was higher, showing stronger intra-candle reactions.
This contrast matters. It shows increasing volatility without directional conviction.
📌 Today’s Price Action
Post-open, Nifty took support at CPR, and resisted at PDH/CDH zone (~23,400) multiple times — 4 rejections, in fact.
Eventually, broke out of 23,400–23,430 and closed at 23,434.
However, there’s no follow-through strength after the breakout. Most of the action felt like position adjustments ahead of expiry.
Important to note: The last 4 sessions' average high-low range is just 170 points — that’s pretty compressed for Nifty.
📌 What Next?
Tomorrow’s weekly expiry + a holiday on Friday = high chance of rangebound expiry day.
Even if we get a gap-up due to global cues or news, I’m not expecting a breach above 23,500.
Rather than forcing trades, the focus remains on intraday setups. Positional trades can wait.
📌 Levels to Watch
🔼 Resistance Levels
23,500
23,660 ~ 23,710
23,820
🔽 Support Levels
23,400 ~ 23,430
23,340
23,200 ~ 23,190
23,130
23,080 ~ 23,040
22,975 ~ 22,940
22,800
22,550 ~ 22,540
📌 Final Thought
The market is gearing up for something — volatility is rising, but price isn't running yet.
Stay nimble. Observe how price reacts around 23,500 tomorrow.
Let the market show its hand.
🧘 Discipline > Prediction. Execution > Expectation.
Nifty Futures Daily Trend analysis for April 17, 2025As mentioned in my post yesterday (April 15, 2025), we have been eyeing the Nifty Futures resistance level at 23,460. Today, the price is approaching this level. Our Masters Cycle has confirmed a buy signal today, with a stop-loss set at 21,859.
Now, how should we approach intraday trading for tomorrow (April 17, 2025)?
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, our Future Candle Reversal Projection indicator has signaled a reversal day for April 17. Additionally, the Dynamic Candle Reversal indicator (note the small blue line plotted today) has confirmed an intraday bearish setup for tomorrow.
Considering these signals, we will focus on intraday shorting opportunities for April 17. However, for positional trades, we continue to maintain a bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
The views shared here reflect my personal analysis and are intended for educational purposes only. Market conditions may differ in real-time. If you are a trader, please conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Always ensure that you trade with a proper Stop-Loss in place.
Nifty Futures Daily Trend AnalysisNifty Futures has been in an uptrend since closing above the SSL level at 23,018. The MastersCycleSignal indicator is currently acting as resistance at 23,460. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the next resistance at 23,801.
The Future Candle Reversal Projection indicator highlights potential upcoming intraday opportunities that contrast with the intraday trend of the day prior to the reversal. This is my personal view and shared for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own technical analysis and always trade with a stop-loss.
Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility AheadThe Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923.
As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum.
Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414.
On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities.
Pro Tip:
Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.
Nifty in the Short Term can try to stage further recovery. After the drastic Trump Tariff war shock Nifty is trying to recover it's lost territory closing at 22828. Right now the Nifty is trapped between Mother and Father lines of its Hourly chart. The supports for Nifty remain at 22761 (Mother Line Support), 22675, 22353 and 21859. Below 21859 Nifty becomes very week again. The resistance for Nifty on the upper side remain at 22924 (Strong Father line Resistance), 23174 (Strong Trend line Resistance), 23384, 23569 and finally 23783. Above 23783 closing Nifty will become very Bullish.
Recovery by Nifty, Resistance zone ahead. (Economic commentary)Nifty has given a strong closing amidst global uncertainty. The uncertainty and heavy volatility will remain in the market so traders are requested to be very cautious especially with regards to Futures and Options. Any positive news can trigger a huge upside at the same time any negative news can trigger a huge downside as well.
India is silently staying neutral and trying to chart it's own deal should be seen as a positive view for long term investors. The focus of Indian investors should remain on companies which procure local raw material and supply it locally these will be the safest bets. MET has predicted a normal Monsoon for India with 103% rainfall which can another shot in the arm for Local markets. FMCG, Specialty Chemicals and Fertilizers, Banks and Financial services should be the sectors to focus.
Along with these sectors commodities and Consumption and can also be the theme as these are dark horses which can benefit from volatility. As Crude is sliding down the companies related to energy and those which are dependent on Oil & Gas, Energy for power and raw material can also benefit. The choice of the stocks should be smart at this juncture to reap rewards.
Long term investors should use this opportunity to invest in Blue chips and High Dividend Yield PSUs and other companies if they are sitting on cash. If not you can use these times to reshuffle your portfolios and align them as per the changing needs of the time. Neutral stance from India can even benefit it by getting FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) if Indian Governments plays it's cards smartly. Too much fog, mist and clouds around on global economy currently for investors to get a clear vision of sunrise sectors. Geo-political uncertainties are also blinding and making the objects in front of us look fuzzy. Investors need to keep patience, avoid speculation and let the dust settle. Even after reconsideration of changing global scenarios Indian GDP will still clock 6%+ so do not have much to worry in the long term. This volatility too shall pass and horizon will definitely be visible in the near future.
To know about how to select good companies to invest in read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. It will help you in making solid triumphant decisions during these uncertain times. It teaches you Behavioural Finance, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Profit Booking and many such important topics. The book is one of the highest rated in it's category. The book is available in Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. You can also contact me directly for getting the same.
Nifty supports remain at: 22270, 21743 (Channel Bottom Support), 21281 (52 week Low support), 20745 and 20236. Below 20236 weekly closing the bears can try to Bring Nifty down to 200 Weeks EMA or the FATHER LINE which is at 19893.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22913, 23249 MOTHER LINE which will be a (Major resistance), 23499 (Strong Trend line resistance), Above 23499 Bulls can become more active and try to Pull Nifty upwards towards 23894, 24334, 24831 and 25419. After we get a monthly closing above 25419 we can think of regaining 26K levels.
Short Term Outlook : Brace for massive volatility.
Medium Term Outlook: Range Bound Nifty.
Long Term Outlook: Still Very Strong.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD - 11th April 2025📌 Background
After yesterday’s holiday, global cues were positive—especially from the US markets. SGX Nifty indicated a strong gap-up. As expected, Nifty opened at 22,695, right around the previous session’s high and within our marked Resistance Zone.
📌 Today’s Price ActionNifty opened with a sharp gap-up, and the Initial Balance (IB) high was formed at 22,875. The price managed to breach the IB high briefly, triggering a trade signal and filling the gap between 4th and 7th April sessions.However, the index failed to sustain above 22,875–22,900. Momentum fizzled out post-breakout, and Nifty retraced toward the opening zone.
🧊 Intraday range was 228 points, out of which 165 points occurred during the IB phase. Most of the move was already baked in early on.
📉 Despite gaining +429 points intraday, Nifty closed at 22,828, slightly below the previous week’s high of 22,857—which hints at a pause or temporary exhaustion.
📌 Technical OutlookNifty is still playing between supply and demand zones. Today’s rejection from above 22,900 and close below the weekly high indicates a need for further strength or a catalyst to push beyond 23,000 convincingly. A clean break above 22,900–23,000 remains key.
📌 Important Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones
22,857 (Weekly High)
22,900–23,040
23,182
23,340
🔽 Support Zones
22,668 (Breakout Zone)
22,337
22,082 (Previous Lowest Swing Close)
🧠 Strategy Going ForwardIf no negative news flow arises, a retest of 23,000–23,040 is likely. Traders should wait for sustained price action above 22,900 for fresh longs.Avoid aggressive shorts unless the price breaks down below 22,668 with momentum.
📋 Quick Recap✅ Gap-up opening on global cues✅ IB High breached and gap filled✅ 228-point range; majority in IB✅ Resistance at 22,900 held firm✅ Closed below weekly high
🧘 Patience is power. Wait for confirmation beyond resistance.
India along with the globe stages a recovery. Indian markets staged a recovery along with it's global peers. Although the market moved 374 points upwards. After making a high of 22697 the market closed at 22535 which is 162 points down. Which means it has formed a Bullish Doji. Now Doji candle irrespective of the colour means uncertainty, until we clear the Doji top further upside will not be possible. The doji top resistance is at 22697 and Doji bottom support is at 22270.
Doji works like a cage. The bird will fly either side once the cage is broken.
To know more about the kind of candles, Mother, Father lines, behavioural finance, Technical analysis, fundamental analysis read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation.
Nifty Supports remain at: 22270 (Doji cage support), 21743 current low of Trump Tantrum, 21289, 20790 (Channel Bottom support) and 20320.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22697 (Doji cage resistance), 23061 Mother line resistance, 23376 Father line resistance and 23894 recent market high.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Daily view on Friday (April 11, 2025)According to my analysis, the Nifty is still bearish on a daily basis. However, I foresee an opportunity in the bullish signals on April 11, 2025. Since I am considering the gaps on the either direction, traders should follow technical analysis before entering into trades.
The Nifty spot weekly analysisBased on my analysis, the Trend Trading indicator continues to signal a bullish outlook, with a strong support level at 22,150. However, if Nifty Spot closes below this level on a weekly basis, the next potential support could be around 20,241. Considering the influence of the time factor on price movements, market bearishness may persist until the end of June 2025, with a possible positive shift beginning in July.
Nifty’s Make-or-Break Zone: Will Bulls Charge or Bears Bite?www.tradingview.com
---
### 🧠 **1. Context at-a-glance**
- Recent bounce from a **Demand Zone (D1 Key Level)** around **21,800**.
- Strong bullish rally into a **Supply Zone (~22,600–22,750)**.
- Price is currently showing **hesitation within this resistance**, with smaller-bodied candles forming → potential reversal signals.
- The oscillator has **crossed bullish** from oversold but is nearing a decision zone.
---
### 🔮 **Future Move Scenarios**
#### 🟥 SCENARIO A: **Rejection from Supply Zone** (Most Likely Short-Term)
- **Why?** Price has hit a resistance with fading momentum and no breakout confirmation.
- **What happens?**
- Price retraces toward **22,200**, potentially even **21,800–21,900**.
- Retest of BOS level possible before the next directional leg.
- **Watch for:** Bearish candle formations (engulfing / long wicks), oscillator stalling below 50.
---
#### 🟩 SCENARIO B: **Bullish Breakout Above 22,750**
- **What confirms it?**
- A strong bullish candle closing above 22,750 with follow-through.
- **Next Targets:**
- 🔼 **23,000** (round level and minor resistance)
- 🔼 **23,300–23,500** (old supply zone)
- Eventually back to **23,750+**
- **Oscillator support:** If the indicator crosses 50+, bullish momentum could sustain.
---
### 📉 Oscillator Hints:
- Still below 50 — **recovery in progress**, not full momentum yet.
- If price rejects and oscillator drops → **Bearish divergence** possibility.
---
### 🧭 **Your Playbook**
| Zone | Action Idea | Trigger to Watch |
|------------------|-------------------------------|----------------------------------|
| 22,600–22,750 | Short / Hedge | Rejection candle, loss of momentum |
| 22,200–22,300 | Potential buy zone (aggressive) | Bullish candle or bounce confirmation |
| Break > 22,750 | Buy on Retest or Momentum | Breakout candle + volume |
| < 21,800 | Bearish continuation | Break of demand zone + close below |
---
Nifty is not going north anywhere till 2026This is completely based on neowave time rules.
Nifty may go down slow and steady towards16900 by Dec 2026
Nifty May go up and make a new high and will fall back to 20900 by Dec2026
Nifty may get restricted going down much or up. Will settle at 18850 by Feb 2026.
We are in double formation from top. 1st Phase is in progress. 2nd Phase of selling may start from Late Aug or Early Sep.
Labels are hidden on purpose.
IS NIFTY ON TRACK TO HIT 19,500? HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOWNifty Continues Downtrend: Big Players Capitalizing on Every Bounce
We recommended selling Nifty near 23,800 with a stop-loss at 23,920, and those who took the trade are likely sitting on impressive profits.
Looking ahead, we anticipate Nifty heading toward the 19,500 level by June 2025.
Stay ahead of the market – follow us on TradingView for real-time updates and insights on Nifty and BankNifty.
Regards,
OptionsDaddy Research Team
Nifty Wkly Outlook: Market Volatility, Supprt Lvls & Possible
Nifty ended the week at 22,904, marking a significant decline of 600 points from the previous week’s close. The index reached a high of 23,565 and a low of 22,857. As anticipated, the dragonfly doji formation from last week, coupled with concerns over Trump’s new tariff measures taking effect from April 2nd, contributed to global market jitters. These factors spooked investors and led to heightened volatility across the board.
My initial forecast for Nifty's trading range this week was 24,000-23,000, but the lower end of that range was breached by 150 points, indicating increased downside pressure. Looking ahead, there is potential for Nifty to find support around the 22,600/22,400 zone, where it may consolidate and form a base to attempt a rebound towards the 24,000 level. However, if the index were to break below the critical support level of 21,964 (which, frankly, seems unlikely), a deeper correction towards 19,700 could unfold. * That said, I believe most of the negative news has already been priced in, and we could see a market recovery within the next 10-15days, depending on how the bulls respond to this pullback .*
In the global markets, the S&P 500 has closed below its 100-week exponential moving average (WEMA) at 5,074, and if it falls below this week’s low of 5,069, we could see a further slide towards 4,750/4,800, representing a 6% drop from current levels. Should Nifty also correct by 6% from its current position, this aligns with a potential support zone around 21,900/22,000, making it an interesting technical level to watch.
It will be crucial to monitor if the wounded bulls can stage a comeback or if the market will continue its downward trajectory. Stay tuned!
Head & Shoulder Pattern in Making in NIfty 50 IndexI can see a clear Neck & shoulder Pattern in Making.
all international Markets are down and now on their Support Area.
Mostly all international Market should bounce back from here.
Nifty 50 once touches 22800 and if takes a support from here it should then proceed toward 23800 to complete H&S pattern.
There is a resistance @ 23800. If market break that resistance then 23800 should act as a Support and Market should Advance for 24800 levels.
"Otherwise"
if Market Crashes below 22800 and doesn't take support here next major support will be 22000 but this is less likely.
Hope for the best!
Nifty Futures intraday trend analysis on April 7th & 8thAccording to my Trend Analysis, on 7th Nifty Futures is likely to bounce back and the raise will not sustain on April 8th. The levels provided in the chart are calculated without taking Gaps into account. In the first 15mts on 7th April, there is a bullish candle formation. Trade with Stop-Loss.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/04/2025Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23200 level then expected sharp downside upto 23050 level in opening session. Upside 23450 level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any bullish side rally can reversal from this level.
Nifty is holding on above the Father line but by a thin margin.After reaching a weekly high of 23869 Nifty decided to fall back in search of its support zone. Currently it is holding above the Father line in the daily chart which is at 23406. Below the Father line there is Mother line waiting to support Nifty at 23114 in case the weakness seen on Friday persists. We will be in trouble again in case we get a daily or weekly closing below this level. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 22827, 22294 and 21939. In case the Nifty is able to gain momentum again the resistances it will face will be near 23536, 23671 and 23864. Closing above 23869 will enhance the short term momentum in Nifty which can lead it to 24K+ levels.
To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same.
Things are slightly off balance with shadow of the candle just slightly in favour of bears as of now but Bulls will definitely try and retake the advantage back to their side given a slight opportunity. So the Bull and Bear tussle to continue into April and may escalate given Trump Tarif announcements and upcoming result season.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.