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NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 24-Jan-2025📈 NIFTY Trading Plan for 24-Jan-2025 📊 Below is the comprehensive trading plan for NIFTY for all opening scenarios on 24-Jan-2025. Follow the levels carefully and adapt to market conditions. 🚀 🌟 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points) 🌟 If NIFTY opens above 23,325 : 📌 Look for resistance near 23,475-23,541 (Profit booking zone). 🔼 If it sustains above 23,541 , expect further upside momentum towards 23,650 . 🔄 Watch for a reversal or profit-booking signal near the resistance levels for short opportunities. 📉 If it fails to sustain above 23,325 , the market may retest the support zone at 23,217-23,198 . 💡 Tip: 🛑 Avoid aggressive entries at higher levels; wait for confirmation of breakout or reversal patterns. 📏 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (±50 Points) ⚖️ If NIFTY opens between 23,217-23,198 : 👀 Monitor the Opening Support Zone: 23,123-23,158 . ⚠️ A breakdown below 23,123 could drive the index to 23,039 (next support zone). 🟢 For bullish trades, wait for clear rejection signals at 23,123 or a breakout above 23,325 for upward momentum. 🔄 Be cautious in the no-trade zone, as the market might consolidate before giving a clear direction. 💡 Tip: During flat openings, focus on managing risk and allow the market to define its trend for the day. ✅ 📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points) 🛑 If NIFTY opens below 23,123 : 🛡️ Immediate buyer support is expected near 22,897-22,930 . Watch for reversal candles or accumulation at this level to enter long trades. 📉 If it fails to sustain above 22,897 , a further downside towards 22,800-22,750 is possible. 🔼 On the upside, the Opening Resistance Zone: 23,123-23,158 will act as a critical area for the reversal. 💡 Tip: ⚡ Use smaller lot sizes in gap-down scenarios and avoid overleveraging, as the market might experience high volatility. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 📌 🧮 Always define your risk before entering a trade. Limit your exposure to 2-3% of your trading capital per trade. ⛑️ Use stop-loss orders for all trades, especially in volatile markets. 🌙 Avoid holding positions overnight without a hedge. Intraday traders should square off positions if levels are not respected. 💡 Focus on ATM (At-The-Money) or slightly OTM (Out-The-Money) options for better liquidity. 🔍 Summary and Conclusion 📊 🎯 The key resistance for the day is 23,325 , with a target of 23,541 on the upside. 🛡️ Strong buyer support is expected near 22,897-22,930 . ⚖️ Avoid trading in consolidation zones and wait for breakout/reversal confirmation. 📈 Remember, successful trading comes from proper planning and disciplined execution. 🚀 ❗ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and discretion. 😊
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Good closing by Nifty signaling chances of revival. We got a closing by Nifty today above 23200 levels at 23205 which has confirmed the chances of Revival. Two minor and 2 major hurdles remain in front of it right now before we can confirm that bear run is over. The minor resistance in front of Nifty now are 23270 and 23424. These are not strong resistances however any resistance can not be taken lightly when FII sell is selling like there is no tomorrow. after we get a closing above 23424 there will be father and Mother line resistances at 23652 and 23825. These 2 will be major resistances. Post we get a closing above 23825, 24000 and 24203 will me major hurdles. Only a closing above 24203 will bring bulls out of ICU. So we have a long way to go before complete revival. Today we have gained an important additional support near 23090. Supports on the lower side for Nifty will be at 22935 (This is a strong trend line support.) Below 22935 the supports is at 22425. Tomorrow will be an important day. If we get a positive closing tomorrow the momentum can be carried forward into the next week. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Price Action : Nifty opened flat and 1st half of session traded sideways and tested previous day’s low to find some buying around 23000 levels and bounced to close above 23150. Technicals: Nifty was calm for most of the day and consolidated around 23000 levels and bounced in last part of session to close above 23150 (near term Resistance) around day’s high, which is a positive take away for the day. The index formed a kind of Bullish Harami Nifty trading below 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index improved to 39, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists. Support/Resistance Major Support 22800 Immediate Support 22950 Immediate Resistance 23300 Major Resistance 23450 Trend: Nifty is in bearish trend very weak. Options Data: Weekly Options data suggests huge Call build up at 23200-23300 and 23500 levels suggesting major Resistance Put Writing seen at 23000 and 23100 levels suggesting Support. PCR improved to 0.8 Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio came down to 17.5% Nifty Futures saw marginal increase with increase in Open Interest suggesting Long addition Outlook for Next Session: Nifty might consolidate and try to head higher if Short covering/Buying energes above 23150, till 23350 taken out can go Short at higher levels for tgt 23000. Approch: Long above 23350 Short at 23200 for tgt 23050-100 Short below 22950 for tgt 22700 Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction My Trades & Positions: Long in Feb Series CE
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Jan-2025Trading Plan for NIFTY: 23-Jan-2025 📌 Educational Trading Plan for All Opening Scenarios This plan considers various market opening scenarios with 100+ points gap. Be prepared to adapt to changing trends and price levels with a disciplined approach. Let's analyze: 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens near the 23,200–23,325 zone (Opening Resistance and Intraday Resistance) : Monitor price action around 23,200 . If a rejection occurs, look to short with targets at 23,127 and 23,074 . A breakout above 23,325 with strong bullish candles could lead to further upside. If sustained, consider long trades targeting 23,400+ . Keep a stop-loss just above 23,325 for shorts or below 23,200 for longs. 📈 Pro Tip: Gap-up days can trap traders; wait for 15–30 minutes of price action confirmation before entering a trade. 2. Flat Opening If NIFTY opens between 23,127–23,200 : Observe the movement within this NO Trade Zone (23,127–23,176) . Avoid trades until a breakout or breakdown is clear. A breakout above 23,176 can signal bullish momentum toward 23,200 or 23,325 . Go long if strength persists. On the flip side, a breakdown below 23,127 could lead to bearish momentum toward 23,074 or 23,017 . 📉 Pro Tip: Stick to smaller lot sizes when trading within tight ranges or zones. 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens near the 23,017–22,851 zone (Buyer’s Support Zones) : Watch for a bounce around 23,017–23,074 . If a bullish reversal forms, consider long trades targeting 23,127 and 23,200 . If this zone is breached and NIFTY moves below 22,851 , expect further downside with targets near 22,800 and 22,700 . Initiate shorts cautiously. 📈 Pro Tip: Volatility in gap-down scenarios can be high. Trade with stop-losses and avoid revenge trading. 💡 Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading Trade only with a defined risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better). Avoid over-leveraging. Use a maximum of 10–15% of your capital for a single trade. In volatile markets, stick to ATM (At-The-Money) strikes for better liquidity and lower premiums. Use trailing stop-losses to lock profits in trending markets. Don’t hesitate to stay out if levels aren’t clear or if the market is choppy. Summary & Conclusion Key levels to watch: 23,200 (Resistance) , 23,127 (Critical Zone) , and 22,851 (Support) . Stick to the plan and avoid emotional trading. Be patient and wait for clear confirmations before initiating positions. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and consult with a financial advisor. ✨ Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
1
Good closing today by Nifty but Bull market not yet in sight. Good recovery by Nifty today closing above the mid channel line but there is long way to go before Bulls are back in business. We do not know if today's bounce was a dead cat Technical bounce after the rout yesterday. The resistances that Nifty now faces are at 23176, 23424, 23657 (Father line resistance), 23850 (Mother line resistance), 24518 and finally channel top resistance near 24799. Above 24800 closing bulls can come back in business and take Nifty North wards to 25299+ levels. Supports for Nifty remain at 22935, 22465, 21866 and finally 21232. Below 22935 is a pure Bear territory. We are terribly close to the bear territory. Shadow of the candle is neutral. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Price Action : Nift saw a Gap-up opening with positive overnight ques but failed to sustain higher levels and saw huge selling from opening. Today’s session was very volatile which saw a quick bullback from 23150 levels to agin find sellers at 23400 levls. Nifty finally tested below 23000 levels after 6-7 months closing at 6 month low. Technicals: Nifty was very volatile, couldn’t trade past even 10DEMA also. The index formed a strong bearish candle trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI (Relative Strength Index at 35), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness still persists. Support/Resistance Major Support 22800 Immediate Support 22950 Immediate Resistance 23150 Major Resistance 23400 Trend: Nifty is in bearish trend very weak. Options Data: Weekly Options data suggests huge Call build up at 23500 23300 and 23200 levels suggesting major Resistance Put Writing seen at 23000 and 22800 levels suggesting small Support. PCR improved to 0.74 Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio came down to 17% Nifty Futures was negative with huge increase in Open Interest suggesting Shorts addition Outlook for Next Session: Nifty might see lower levels below 22950 Approch: Short at every rise and below 22950 Wait for today’s Low to break for further direction My Trades & Positions: holding Shorts
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
Nifty Trapped in Downward Parallel Channel. Fear grips D-street.Nifty post today's closing just above 23K has officially closed below Mid Channel within the downward channel. This is not a great news for bulls. The only silver lining in the cloud is that the closing is above 23K at 23024. Bollinger band is suggesting a support near it's lower band width that is 22936. Other supports for Nifty will be at 22785, 22465, 21886(Bottom of Parallel Channel) and 21232. Resistance on the upper side seem to be at 23355, 23542 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 23662 Father Line resistance of daily chart, 23878 Father line resistance of daily chart and finally 24148 (Channel top and Bollinger band top resistance). When channel top will be crossed and we get a closing above the same the next resistances will be at 24799 and 25134. Thus signs are looking ominous with RSI at 35.37. RSI support will be near 30 range. Nifty has once again entered Extreme Fear zone on Ticker tape index which shows it currently at 27.21. The zone below 30 is Extreme fear zone and long term investors tend to make much profit when they invest in these Extreme fear zone. The budget is around the corner. Donald Trump has taken oath and is taking decisions in a fast-forward T-20 mode. The momentum can shift any time. Global peace is also seeing green shoots with Israel and Palestine conflict ceasefire deal taking shape. We hope that Ukraine and Russia will also see a peaceful resolution. The hour before the dawn is the darkest. This looks like that zone for Global markets including India. Yes hardball tactics will be played by Trump and things will not come as easily as they were coming for India. We had once said that Trump will be good for the world as Biden was softer towards India on the outer surface. In the long run we will soon begin to see light at the end of the tunnel. Little more pain may be left for Indian indices. Result season so far has been a mixed bag that is adding fuel to the wild-fire set by bears. Budget/ Quad meeting later this year and world moving towards peace can set the ball rolling for Bulls sooner than later. Once again I emphasize that sensibel investments done in the extreme fear zone yield to the best results in the long run. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 22-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 22-Jan-2025 📊 Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 23,097–23,201, Last Intraday Resistance: 23,330 Support Zones: 22,962, 22,689 (Last Intraday Support) 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens above 23,201: Watch for price action near the Last Intraday Resistance (23,330). A rejection from this level could offer a short trade opportunity with a target towards 23,201. A sustained breakout above 23,330 can signal strong bullish momentum, and a long trade with a trailing stop-loss could be beneficial to ride the trend higher towards the next possible profit-taking zone near 23,435. 📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups above resistance zones can often trigger profit booking or reversal patterns. Always wait for a confirmation candle before entering any trades. 2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 22,962–23,097) Focus on the reaction at the Opening Resistance Zone (23,097). If Nifty fails to sustain above this zone, shorting the market with a target towards 22,962 could be favorable. Conversely, if Nifty holds above 23,097, a long trade targeting 23,201 may be considered, with a tight stop loss below 23,052. A breakdown below 22,962 may signal bearish momentum, opening short trades towards the Last Intraday Support at 22,689. 📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity for observing market sentiment. Let the market settle for the first 15–30 minutes for better clarity before making any trade decisions. 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens near 22,689 or below: Look for a reversal near the Last Intraday Support (22,689–22,830). A strong bounce here could provide a long trade targeting 22,962 or higher. However, if Nifty sustains below 22,689, it might indicate further bearishness, and shorting the market with a target toward 22,600 could be considered. 📌 Educational Insight: Gap-down openings often lead to panic or aggressive buying at support levels. It is essential to wait for confirmation through price action and volume before entering trades. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Use defined stop-loss levels and avoid over-leveraging during volatile market conditions. Trade spreads (like bull/bear spreads) to limit potential losses during high implied volatility (IV) conditions. Keep an eye on hourly candle closures for added confirmation of trend direction. Avoid entering trades within the first 15 minutes of the market opening. Let the market settle to avoid false breakouts or breakdowns. 🔍 Summary & Conclusion: Gap-Up: Watch for action near 23,201–23,330. Focus on rejection or breakout opportunities. Flat: Key action zone around 23,097; observe for potential breakouts or breakdowns. Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities near 22,689, but be cautious of further bearish trends if support is broken. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own analysis before trading.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Good Closing by Nifty just above Mother Line. Nifty today did well to close just above Mother line of hourly chart. The closing we got was at 23344 and 50 EMA or the Mother line is at 23330. This bring the hope of recover towards 23.5K and further towards 24K+ levels in the medium to short duration. The resistances for Nifty right now remain at 23390, 23460, 23589 and 23703. Closing above 23703 will be very good for Bulls as they can drag the index in this scenario towards 23821, 24021 and 24231 levels. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 23330 (Mother line support, 50 EMA), 23172 and 23046. Closing below 23046 can lead to Bears coming back to pull nifty further down. As of now shadow of the candle is positive. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 21-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 21-Jan-2025 📊 Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 23,404–23,435 (Important Intraday Resistance), Profit Booking Zone: 23,525+ Support Zones: 23,375 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), 23,245 (Buyer’s Support Zone), 23,114 (Golden Retracement Support) 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,435) 📍 Analysis: A gap-up above 23,435 signals strong bullish sentiment. However, the profit booking zone above 23,525 can lead to selling pressure. 📌 Action Plan: If Nifty consolidates below 23,525, look for rejection signs. A reversal from this zone provides a short trade opportunity targeting 23,435. If Nifty breaks and sustains above 23,525 with strong volume, initiate a long trade, targeting 23,600 or higher. Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits. Avoid trading immediately after the opening; observe the market's behavior for at least 15 minutes to confirm direction. 📚 Educational Insight: Gap-up openings often trigger profit booking near key resistance levels. Always wait for rejection or breakout confirmation to reduce risk. 2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,344–23,375) 📍 Analysis: A flat opening suggests indecision in the market. The range between 23,344–23,375 will act as a critical zone for direction. 📌 Action Plan: If Nifty struggles to hold above 23,375 and shows signs of rejection, consider a short trade targeting 23,304 or 23,245. If Nifty sustains above 23,375, initiate a long trade targeting 23,404 and then 23,435. Ensure confirmation through volume and price action. A decisive breakdown below 23,344 may indicate bearish sentiment, providing a shorting opportunity toward 23,304. 📚 Educational Insight: Flat openings provide the best opportunity to analyze market sentiment. Allow the first 15–30 minutes to settle before entering trades for better clarity. 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points near or below 23,245) 📍 Analysis: A gap-down near the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,245) or Golden Retracement Support (23,114) can trigger either panic selling or strong buying interest. 📌 Action Plan: Look for reversals near 23,245 or 23,114. A strong bounce from these levels can provide a long trade opportunity targeting 23,304 or 23,375. If Nifty sustains below 23,114 with high selling volume, initiate short trades targeting 23,050 or lower. Avoid rushing into trades during a gap-down; wait for clear signs of reversal or breakdown for better risk management. 📚 Educational Insight: Gap-down scenarios often create volatility. Support zones like 23,245 and 23,114 can act as reversal points, but their failure may amplify bearish momentum. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: ✅ Use strict stop-loss levels to minimize losses in volatile markets. ✅ Avoid trading in the first 15 minutes after the opening, as it often exhibits unpredictable price movements. ✅ Consider using strategies like spreads (bull/bear spreads) in high-IV conditions to cap potential losses. ✅ Monitor hourly candle closures for confirmation before entering high-risk trades. ✅ Never over-leverage; trade with an amount you are comfortable risking. 🔍 Summary & Conclusion: Gap-Up: Watch price action near 23,525; trade rejections or sustained breakouts. Flat: Observe the reaction within 23,344–23,375; trade breakouts or breakdowns accordingly. Gap-Down: Look for buying opportunities at 23,245 or 23,114, but respect bearish momentum if these levels fail. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor or conduct your own research before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Jan-2025🔖 Nifty Trading Plan for 20-Jan-2025 📊 Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 23,318–23,334, Profit Booking Zone: 23,405–23,435 Support Zones: 23,113–23,201, 23,007, 22,962 1️⃣ Gap-Up Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens above 23,334: Look for consolidation or rejection near Profit Booking Zone (23,405–23,435). If rejected, consider a short entry with a target towards 23,334 or 23,269. Sustained breakout above 23,435 may lead to a rally. Use trailing stop-loss to ride the momentum. 📌 Educational Insight: Gap-ups often signal bullish momentum, but profit booking zones can act as reversal points. Observe price action carefully. 2️⃣ Flat Opening (Within 23,201–23,203) Monitor opening price reaction within the Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201). If Nifty holds 23,201, it’s a signal to go long with a target towards 23,318–23,334. Break below 23,113 could indicate bearish momentum. Short below this level with a target towards 23,007. 📌 Educational Insight: Flat openings are ideal for price action-based trades. Let the first 30 minutes settle before taking positions for the best risk-reward setup. 3️⃣ Gap-Down Opening (100+ points) If Nifty opens near 22,962–23,007: Look for bullish reversals within the Trending Shift Zone (22,962–23,007). Go long if strong buying is observed, targeting 23,113. A breakdown below 22,962 could lead to further weakness. Short positions below this level with a target of 22,880. 📌 Educational Insight: Gap-downs often create opportunities for sharp reversals or continuation trends. Wait for confirmation before entering trades. 📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Use hourly candle close as confirmation before entering trades. For directional trades, avoid over-leveraging and use defined stop-loss. Hedge positions using spreads to limit risk in volatile markets. Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) while trading options; high IV can inflate premiums. 🔍 Summary & Conclusion: For 20-Jan-2025, focus on the key zones: Watch Golden Retracement Zone (23,113–23,201) for flat openings. Look for rejection or breakout near 23,405–23,435 in case of gap-ups. Keep an eye on 22,962–23,007 for possible reversals in gap-down scenarios. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with financial advisors before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Closing above Mother line & Pitchfork median line unsuccessful.Nifty tried hard to close above Mother line of 50 Weeks EMA and Pitchfork median line this week but was unsuccessful. Closing above 23433 is imperial for Nifty to gain a bullish momentum. Pitchfork is used to determine the long term trend of Nifty. In this particular chart the Pitchfork starts from 2021 and extends till 2026 end. The upper side has lot of potential as you can see the top is leading towards 32.5K+. Even the Median line is leading towards the target close to 29K. Supports for Nifty in the medium term because of the current bearish trend are at 22.8K, 21.8K, 21.2K, 20.2K and finally 200 Weeks EMA or the Father line at 19.5K.(This looks improbable as of now on chart as these levels are even below the pitchfork trend channel.) Usually the tops and bottoms of Pitchfork channel are not easy to break hence the worst case scenario as of now looks like 20.2K. Looking at the bigger picture IMF has declared a robust outlook for India for the next 3 years with GDP growing at an average of 6.63% for the next 3 years. (2025-6.5%, 2026-6.7% and 6.7%). However actual GDP growth can be much higher if the Government remains stable for a sustained period of time. The IMF estimates should be taken with a pinch of salt. Long term investors can utilise every fall to add some blue chips. Remain selective in Mid and Small cap space as the PE in some of the Mid and small cap companies are still at unsustainable levels even after this fall. For Bulls to be back in business we need a weekly closing above Pitchfork median and Mother line at 23433. Weekly Closing above 23433 would have potential to take us near 24.5K or even above 25.5K levels in the short to medium term. Closing below 22.8K can bring little more wait and pain for investors. Good effort by Nifty this week but closing was not good. We need a strong move next week for Bulls to be back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results. Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results and closed 98 points up at 23311. Real test is the level of between 23377 (Mother Line) and 23398 (Important Resistance). This includes today's high and Mother line resistance and another important resistance. After closing above this zone the next resistances will be at 23469, 23598, 23736 and finally 23770 (Father Line resistance of Hourly chart.) Supports for Nifty on the lower side now remain at 23267, 23147 and 23053. If we get a poor result for Reliance these levels will be tested once again and there will be pressure on Bulls and Bears will again try to overpower Nifty. The tussle has reached a delicate stage now and thing can give. (Either a Breakout of Breakdown). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
23K has emerged as a good support zone for Nifty. As of now the 2 day's positive closing has given hopes of 23K levels being a good support zone. However there are 4 major hurdles in the path of Nifty before it can move ahead with full force. Reliance result tomorrow can be of some help to Nifty if at all it is positive. On the other hand if Reliance result is negative it can be a major hurdle looking at the weightage of the script in the index. US Inflation data to be announced later tonight can also give a direction to the markets all over. FII selling pressure can diminish if Dollar falls and Rupee starts making a steady gain. After making a high of 86.69 2 days back USD is currently at 86.34 declining a bit which has increased optimism in the mood of market. Market Mood index is at 33.25 and has recovered from Extreme fear zone and has entered the fear zone. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23053, 22663 and 22376 levels. Below 22376 Bears can drag Nifty further down by another 400 to 1000 points. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 23283, 23397 (Mother line resistance), 23598, 23803 (Father line resistance), 24198 and finally 24802 levels. Bulls can be back in the game truly after closing above 24802 level only. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 14-Jan-2025Trading Plan for 14-Jan-2025 This structured plan outlines potential strategies for different opening scenarios. Follow it step by step to make informed decisions and manage risk effectively. Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 23,091) 🟢 A gap-up opening often indicates strong bullish momentum, but it’s crucial to watch for resistance at key levels. Key Levels: Focus on 23,239 (Immediate opening resistance) and 23,374 (Last intraday resistance). Plan of Action: If Nifty opens near 23,239 and shows signs of rejection, wait for a bearish confirmation candle. Enter a short trade targeting 23,091 . If it sustains above 23,239 , consider a long trade with a target of 23,374 . Place a stop loss below 23,239 . Risk Management Tip: For options, use call spreads instead of naked call buying to reduce time decay losses. Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 23,091) 🟡 Flat openings indicate neutral sentiment, often requiring more patience for market direction. Key Levels: Monitor the No-Trade Zone (23,048 - 23,091) . Plan of Action: Avoid trading within the No-Trade Zone unless a breakout above 23,091 or a breakdown below 23,048 occurs. Above 23,091 : Initiate a long trade with a target of 23,239 . Place a stop loss below 23,091 . Below 23,048 : Go short with a target of 22,900 . Stop loss above 23,048 . Risk Management Tip: Avoid impulsive trades. Let the market establish direction first. Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,048) 🔴 A gap-down opening suggests bearish sentiment. Look for opportunities near strong support levels. Key Levels: Focus on 22,825 - 22,689 (Buyer’s Try Zone). Plan of Action: If Nifty approaches the Buyer’s Try Zone and shows a bullish reversal, initiate a long trade with a target of 23,048 . Stop loss below 22,689 . If it sustains below 22,689 , consider a short trade targeting 22,600 . Risk Management Tip: Use option strategies like put spreads to limit risk in highly volatile markets. Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading: ✔️ Avoid trading aggressively during the first 15 minutes of market opening. Let volatility settle. ✔️ Focus on spreads (e.g., bull call spread or bear put spread) to control risks better. ✔️ Use proper position sizing: Limit risk to 2-3% of your total capital per trade. ✔️ Adjust positions dynamically as levels are tested or broken. Summary and Conclusion: The market is poised for volatile movement on 14-Jan-2025. Stick to the plan and respect the No-Trade Zone for flat openings. Use the Buyer’s Try Zone for potential reversals in case of a gap-down opening. Patience, discipline, and effective risk management will be your key to success. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Weekly Chart Analysis – Elliott Wave Insights 📊 This chart highlights the Elliott Wave corrective structure currently in play. The market is in Wave C correction, providing critical zones for potential opportunities. Let’s dive into the details: 🔍 Wave Analysis Breakdown Wave A – Impulsive Phase The initial bullish rally marked strong upward momentum. This move laid the foundation for the current corrective phase. Wave B – Corrective Pullback A partial retracement of Wave A, showcasing indecision and consolidation. Wave C – Ongoing Correction Prices are now completing the corrective Wave C, which typically ends in critical support zones: Primary Zone: 23,054 – 22,742 Extended Zone: 21,893 – 21,618 These zones act as potential reversal levels for a new bullish wave. 📉 Key Scenarios to Monitor Bearish Scenario – Breakdown Risks If the price closes below 21,100 on the weekly chart, it would signal a deeper bearish continuation. In this case, expect a drop toward 19,400 – 19,200, which aligns with long-term support levels. Bullish Scenario – Reversal Opportunities If prices find support within Wave C completion zones, a reversal toward 23,500 – 24,000 could materialize. A sustained move above 23,500 would confirm the beginning of a new bullish wave, targeting 25,000 – 26,000. 📌 Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: Zone 1 (First Completion Zone): 23,054 – 22,742 Zone 2 (Extended Completion Zone): 21,893 – 21,618 Critical Level: 21,100 (break below signals bearish trend). Resistance Levels: First Target: 23,500 – 24,000 Higher Targets: 25,000 – 26,500 (if reversal holds). 💡 Strategy for Investors Short-Term Trading Plan Entry Points: Look for price action confirmation within 23,054 – 22,742 or 21,893 – 21,618. Watch for bullish candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing) or RSI oversold conditions. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below 21,100 to limit risks. Target Zones: First Target: 23,500 – 24,000. Trail stop-loss for higher targets at 25,000 – 26,000. Long-Term Investment Plan Accumulation Strategy: Use laddered buying within 21,893 – 21,618 and add positions closer to 21,200 if prices dip further. Stop-Loss: Place below 21,000 on all positions. Exit Strategy: Gradually exit at 24,000 and above, holding part of the position for 25,500 – 26,500 if the bullish trend resumes. 🔑 Key Observations Wave C Correction in Progress: Prices are nearing completion zones, creating opportunities for both traders and investors. Confirmation is Key: Wait for bullish signals before entering long positions. Avoid premature entries. Break Below 21,100: This would invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside, with targets around 19,400 – 19,200. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Position Sizing: Invest gradually as prices approach the support zones. Avoid Overleveraging: Use a small portion of your capital per trade to minimize risks. Strict Stop-Losses: Stick to the 21,100 threshold to protect against large losses. 🚀 Final Takeaway This Wave C correction offers significant opportunities near the support zones, but patience and confirmation are essential. A strong rebound could set the stage for the next bullish cycle, while a breakdown below 21,100 could lead to deeper corrections. Stay disciplined and follow your trading plan! 📈
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty is close to Bottom!!!In my view Nifty is close to Bottom around 23K or we are headed for a structural bear market with targets of 18K or so.....and I don't believe the second is possible given that we are in good shape as an economy. My hypothesis - dooms day isn't around: - at around 23200 there is a double bottom pattern and markets could rebound from here - In my view there is a head shoulder pattern visible on Nifty and the neck line is around 23K and if this is broken then the downside is all the way down to sub 20K - which is a doom's day scenario and that won't happen - Like I mentioned before very bullish on RIL and IT sector to ensure we don't go into dooms day!! Fingers crossed and I think its time to start deploying if you are in cash!!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by nyk255678
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. Preliminary Analysis Overview: The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines: The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction. There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend: Phase I: The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below): Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact). This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances). RI – 24,254.10 RII – 24,600 ~24,657 RIII – 25,100 ~25,120 *These values are not actual but merely levels. Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength). Reference: Phase II: Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves. --- **Important Dates to Remember: ** Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates: **January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP). **January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release. **January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release. --- **Final Verdict: ** The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level. --- **Strategy: ** Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise. ------ Fellow Traders, The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article. Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors! Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan