Regression Channel - Nifty - Day & 1hr timeframe1. Change in the regression trend at day timeframe, 1st Dec 23
It occurred with Gap formation, which will act as good support
2. Another Regression channel can be observed at 1hr time frame
3. Spinning Top Formation at the weekly timeframe, implicates bearish sentiment in the last week's price movement
Another "change in the trend" is expected
Niftyoutlook
Nifty live prediction for today 3rd Jan 24As we have discussed, Nifty has been moving upwards in the channel. Now, it has broken down to the lower channel, which shows a bearishness in the NIFTY behavior. There is a high probability that it will now continue in the lower channel as a bearish trend. OI data also confirms its bearish nature with PCR = 0.70. it will be bearish for now.
Reasons:
It has entered the bearish channel side. Now, fall might be sharp. (Bearish)
Price < EMAs that show the bearishness in the market. also it has given crossover(ema(13,50)) which always shows reversal of the trend.
RSI = 40 shows the weak bulls and might enter <40 that will be the start of heavy bearishness.
if we see the OI data PCR = 0.70 which shows bearishness in the market.
21500 will be acting as a nice support level to the downside. Upside 21600 will be acting as a nice resistance zone; OI data also confirms that.
Verdict:
Bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 21550 CE and hedge it with a small CE premium.
Weakness can continue if important levels breached. Two key levels for Nifty to hold on in this market weakness triggered by some global events and Profit booking are 21555 and 21450. Closing below 21450 can lead to further weakness and Nifty can fall to the levels of 21242, 20951 or even 20768. The worst case scenario visible as of now seems to be 20592. In case 20592 is breached Bears will start calling the shots and pull Nifty back levels of 19809 are possible but not probable. (Major Negative News). In case Nifty takes support at 21555 or 21450, form a bottom and bounce resistance will be near 21751, 21839. Closing above 21839 will open the door towards channel top area which can lead Nifty to 22K or even 22363 levels.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -27/12/2023Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21460 level and then possible upside rally up to 21580 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21430 level then the downside target can go up to the 21310 level.
Nifty continues good show, ends above mid-channel resistanceNifty continues good show and ended the day above mid-channel resistance. Nifty right now looks pretty fairly placed to touch the previous high or end making a new high. Top of the currently looks near 21800. The resistances on the way towards top of the channel are at 21483, 21541 and 21592. Crossing and closing above 21592 will open the doors for 21800. Supports on the down side are near 21397, 21303 (Major Support 50 Hours EMA), 21113 and finally channel bottom near 20980. Trend will change to negative if we get a closing below 20696.
NIFTY--@Golden Zone??After a strong rise price is given us retracement to enter long again....
Price is exactly closed in the golden zone.
there is no sign of reversal....
If consolidation happens at bottom side,
we have more chance of liquidity grab below 20800.
Ma be after clearing that liquidity price goes upside...keep looking for buy if price comes below this level.
If consolidation happens again at ATH, chances of breaking topside is more.
Keep safe before short.
NIFTY prediction for today 20 Dec 23As we discussed, nifty will be forming a double top. It has completed the double top, and 21500 worked a nice resistance. Now, for today, 21500 will be acting as a nice deciding line. If it breaks above and consolidates upside, then it might go higher; otherwise, 21500 might work as a turning reversal point for Nifty.
Reasons:
DOUBLE Top formation is already completed. In the last 30 minutes, there was a lot of pressure from sellers with great power. (Bearish)
Ascending triangle pattern completion is there, which shows the trend might continue.
OI has PCR 0.99, is bullish, and 21400 has quite nice additional PE writing. (bullish)
RSI is 40-60, which means it is mostly sideways.
Price > EMAs(13,50,200) shows bulls are still having market control. (Bullish)
21300 will be providing a nice price action support point.
If it breaks to the upside, 21650 will provide a nice target point.
Verdict:
If it breaks to the upside, Sideways or Bearish might go bullish.
Plan of action:
Observe 15-minute candles and be on the selling side. Follow the analysis.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 12 Dec 23As we discussed yesterday, NIFTY did take resistance from the given resistance line and was sideways the whole day. For tomorrow, Nifty is expected to move into the inner zone. Two possible cases are explained in the chart. In case 1, it will be sideways in close range. If case 2, it might give you a little momentum to the downside.
Reasons:
EMA 50 is providing a nice support.
on the upside trendline provides a nice resistance trendline.
20850 will be acting as a good Price action support point.
PCR 0.93, which is bullish, but if we check OI the whole day, it was more of a round-off. Few new positions were created. People are waiting unless it's direction to be decided.
RSI is 40-60, which is mostly sideways.
according to OI 21000, it is working as MAX Pain, which is also a good psychological level.
Price > EMAs, which means bulls are strong.
Verdict :
Sideways
Plan of action:
Sell 21000 CE and protect it with hedging.
Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip is overdue Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip towards 20500 or 19900 is overdue now. The RSI is indicating overbought zone requiring a time consolidation or correction. In case of correction the supports for Nifty will be around 20851, 20708, 20506 (Strong Support), 20259 or 19903 (Major Support). If Nifty manages to close below 19903 this month Bears can write their own comeback story. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026, 21292 and 21436. Long Term Target for Nifty in 2024 will be 22746.
Much needed consolidation for Nifty at the top.Nifty is giving a much needed consolidation at the top before shifting gears and moving towards 21K or even 22K in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index of Nifty is still 82 which indicates things are pretty hot to handle still and need of more cooling down. Little bit of consolidation/correction would be ideal for a strong rally. But as said earlier market can remain irrational more than a an investor can remain rational. Closing of the week tomorrow will be important. Supports on the lower side remain at 20852 (Strong support), 20715, 20518 and 20315. Resistance on the upper side are at 20961, 21068, 21132 and 21183.
NIFTY Bull prediction for tomorrow As in my last analysis we discussed, NIfty has given the breakout to bulls side it has broken the highest high. Now it's expected to move higher HIGH. most levels have been marked on chart.
I am exxpecting it to retrace to 20200 levels and then once bulls take the charge nifty is going to touch above resistance trendline. It's having mild Bearish deivergence. but that can be fixed during consolidation or retesting the 20200 level.
I am expecting it to retest and than move to 20500.
Reasons:
NIFTY has aleady given the breakout. trading all time high. (Bullish)
PCR = 1.19 (Bullish)
20200 is having huge PE writing means good strong support level. (Bullish)
Upside we have good CE writing at 20400. So, traders are waiting for retest to sell lower point. (Bullish)
RSI is already in the Bullish zone. (Bullish)
Verdict:
Strong Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 20200 PE and Buy 20250 CE once Bull trend confirms after retest.
Nifty Give a Breakout of Life time.Nifty has given a proper lifetime breakout on Friday. This Breakout has opened channel which can take Nifty towards 20700+. Resistances on the way will be at 20445 and further at 20734. Supports for Nifty will be at 20013 and 19675 on a weekly chart. These projections will be valid if Election results will be similar to Exit Poll results. If there are results which are against the popular trend and in antithesis to the Exit Poll results, we can see a mild or massive sell off too. So be watchful of the Assembly Election results.
Nifty Bearish ViewNifty Elliottwave Count
It seems like the market is nearing the top.. it's just a tentative view as there is no confirmation yet to take positions according to this.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution.
NSE:NIFTY NSEIX:NIFTY1! NSE:NIFTY1!
📈 Nifty's Current Situation: A Simple BreakdownToday, Nifty, the benchmark index of the Indian market, made a noteworthy move, inching close to its all-time high. Let's break it down: went up by more than 1%, coming close to its all-time high. Here's a closer look:
What's Up with the Market 📊:
Nifty's recent jump got it close to its highest-ever levels. Sounds good, right? But there's a challenge—it's right at a powerful supply zone where the market often faces a tough time.
What the Charts Are Saying 📈:
The quick climb has made Nifty stretch a bit from its average Price (EMA20). History says Nifty usually comes back to EMA20 after a speedy rise. So, brace yourself—a correction might be on the way. Looking deeper, it seems Nifty has a habit of taking a breather near its EMA20 after moving up fast. This time seems no different, hinting at a possible slowdown.
What to Expect 🎯:
In simple terms, be ready for a possible cool-down from the Supply zone. While quick rises catch eyes, a steadier climb is usually better for a strong trend. But here's the twist—if Nifty breaks through this tough Supply zone, we might be in for more highs.
🚨 Watch Your Steps:
Nifty is benchmark index of the Indian market, Since Nifty is close to this tricky zone, it's wise to be careful. Set your safety nets (stop-loss) smartly, based on how much risk you're comfortable with.
Final Words & Reminder 📝:
Interpreting market signs is part skill, part instinct. This guide is here to help you learn, not as professional advice (I'm not a SEBI registered analyst). Just sharing insights for you to learn. Keep it smart out there!
Trade Smart, Navigate Cautiously! 💹✨
Lastly, Thank you for your support! Your likes & comments . Feel free to share your thoughts and feedback in the comment section.
NIFTY--Trading in a channel??Keep in long even if price comes down.
as long as price is in a channel keep in long side only....
no sign of bearishness as of now in nifty...
If 19700 holds then it will soon touch the ATH.
If price breaks the channel then will thin of short side, after a retest is done.
Thanks for your support and Encouragement. Trade safe.
NIFTY--19600 or 19950 ??I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels play a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
They serve as key reference points for technical analysis.
After taking the liquidity at 19600 levels.. price have the chance moving upside, to test 19950 levels...keep safe before short below 19600...
Nifty Facing Trend line Resistance but looking strong Nifty is facing trendline resistance zone between 19830 and 19875. Nifty today made a high of 19829 and closed blow 19800 at 19783. Looks like tomorrow again Nifty will try to close above the 19875. If it does we can see further rally till 19992 and 20100+ levels. However crossing this hurdle is little tough. It can become easy if Nifty opens gap up above the trendline resistance. If Nifty fails to cross the resistance the supports at lower level will be at 19751, 19667, 19584 and finally 19498. But overall scenario still remains positive despite the resistance.
Nifty Faced Channel top resistance on an Hourly chartNifty retreated sfitly from top of yesterday that was 19875 to close the day at 19765 because it faced the channel top resistance as seen in the chart. This zone between 19816 to 19877 will be tough to conquer however Nifty will make an attempt again to close the week on a high. supports on the lower side for Nifty remain at 19714, 19627 and 19571 (Mid channel Support). Below 19571 the stock can fall to 19527 or 19453 which is a 50 and 200 EMA on hourly chart respectively. Crossing and closing above 19877 will open the gates towards 20K again.
Nifty Short-Medium-Long Term View- 13-Nov-23 to 17-Nov-23Nifty Short/Medium/Long Term View- 13-Nov-23 to 17-Nov-23
Nifty closed at 19525(19230 )and touched low & high of 18312and 19550
"Resistance at 19529 ( Fib Resistance) and also inclined resistance show with arrow mark 19550-19450 range"
Market exactly followed the resistance provided as mentioned above last week and closed on danteras at resistance ( target) provided at 19550.
Market going to be highly volatile, please read the comments at bottom. As mentioned before ( past 1 month) continue to book 30% profit in the high valued stocks and be ready with cash.
Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result iand projected growth is necessary.
RSI and stochastics levels recoverered from oversold zone in last 2 weeks.
Market saw a steep correction 2 weeks before and after hitting the Medium Term Support ( 18800 level) it bounced backto 19550.
Nifty- Short Term
Nifty need to close deicisively above 19550 and move towards 19800-20000.
Resistance at 19692 ( Fib Resistance)
Else it will tend to lower down to 19327 support and 19160 ( Fib Support Levels) followed by 19000.
Strong Support between 18427 ( Fib 0.5 Resistance) & 18800
Also there is a long term inclined support running from covid low which is around 18400- 18600 shown in the chart. MA 200 is at 18649. Hence buying slowly at these levels for long term can be initiated.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term -
Market need to decisively close above 20000 to reach 20500 target.
Resistance 20000/ 20200 ( Prev. HIgh)/ 20500
below 18427 support, the next supports are at 18274/18000
Oct 23 & NOv-23
Comment :
There will be up/down in india atleast till Mar Apr. 19800- 20500 it will be g it will raise up due to elections. Global Situations( War) still ongoing. crude pricehave recovered from steep and lowered to 80$.
Same thing happened in 2014, crude price trend, economy related issues till Pre poll survey-Election/ May 2014 and the crude fell after that drastically and economy of all countries started recovering, hence expect more volatality in markets till pre poll survey.
As far as results are concerned little average except banks. Companies are affected by interest rates and to move a notch above the sequential previous Quarter ( i.e results are flattening).
Q2 & Q3 Results Pre Budget in Feb and followed by q4 results also will give a path.
This also will lead to high volatality in coming weeks.
NIFTY--@Manipulation??I am sharing the important levels of Support and Resistance. These levels play a crucial role in trading decisions, as they act as reliable markers of price movements.
------>>Support levels are price points where an asset tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further.
---->Resistance levels, on the other hand, are points where selling pressure typically prevents the asset from rising higher.
They serve as key reference points for technical analysis.
Still it has some more bullishness before going to fall...Early shorts (sellers) will be out with this move...Keep safe on bottom demand lies at 360 zone as marked yesterday...if tomorrow comes looks for buy only... .