Good weekly candle but we are not out of trouble yet. To end the week we got a very good candle so close of the week was good but we are not yet out of trouble till we get a weekly closing above 19600. Resistance on the upper side are 19591 to 19600 zone, 19811 and 19991. The channel top seems to be at 21118. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are at 19226, 19024, 18905, 18629 and 18129 on the lower most side. Below 18129 the bull run might end.
Niftyoutlook
NIFTY--Drop Base Drop or Bullish ??NIFTY index,
3 continuous bullish gaps indicating bullishness...
Gap up opening and filling the gap and again gap up opening ...
this happens in the last 3 successive sessions....
In higher time frame price action is still bearish,
After a strong break above the 19500 levels...
a strong fall is observed up to 19300 levels...
the liquidity grab on bottom side is finished...
and now price is moving in a bullish channel,with 3 continuous bullish gaps....
if this move continuously happens to top side...
tomorrow the liquidity on the topside @19650 levels will be finished soon.
Keep safe...
Nifty delicately placed at Mid-Channel line support. Nifty delicately placed at Mid-Channel line support. Nifty closed below very important 50 days EMA support or the Mother line. 19196 to 19243 is the next support zone. Closing below 19196 will open the floodgates for bears and the next support level will be near 19024. Below 19024 the support zone will be between 18456 and 18861. So the negativity for Nifty looks empowering and impending. However in case there is a reversal from mid-channel line which looks little difficult but in case that happens resistances on the upper side are 19354 and 19405 which are the 50 and 200 Hours EMA respectively.
Nifty on daily chart - ShortNifty daily chart as per ICT prospective:
For swing trading prospective Nifty is in downtrend on daily chart and will face tough resistance in the zone of 19550 till 19900. Hence while Nifty is in 19550-19900 expect consolidation and bias towards down. The long term trend would turn positive ONLY above 19900. Till that time it is sell on rise.
NIFTY--Bullish or Bearish ??After a strong bullish gap...price reversed and entire day is trading in a bullish channel...
at the end of the session broken the channel and retested...
It has broken the trendline as well...
so tomorrow opening is very important for us...to be bullish or bearish...
If opens down and continue will enter short side on retracement...
or opens down and unable to break high then also be on the short side...
If opens up and gives us retracement will be on buy side...up to 19500 levels...
After down opening if price consolidates mean...break down happens...we have bullish gap left below...
Keep safe
NIFTY--Retracement to trendline??Key level of resistance, (broken trendline and retested candle)...
if the index further wants to fall again this has to push the downside...
so keep an eye at this level...
It may again have a chance of test the above level of resistance...
keep look at these 2 levels...
After a breakdown price is giving us some retracement...look for sell in this area...
if breaks above it may clears the liquidity above 19650 levels....
keep safe at this place...without confirmation don't go for any positions...
Nifty's unsuccessfully attempts to break free for down trendNifty's unsuccessfully attempts to break free for down trend was successful in breaking one down trend but the next trend line and resistance near 19584 was too tough for it to conquer. As Nifty was unsuccessful in breaking the trend bears capitalized and brought the nifty below both 50 and 200 hours EMA. Now Nifty rests on delicate support of 19365. This is a weak support and if bears attack again this support may not hold. Next support for Nifty in such a case can be near 19310 and 19252. If 19252 is broken Nifty can yield control to the bears who may try to push it further down to 19164, 19050 or even below 19K by the end of this month. Resistances on the upper side 19437 (Strong Resistance now) followed by 19479 and 19538. But things look a little dull for weekly closing.
In the Background Speech by Powell in US Fed Jackson Hole Symposium tomorrow will be key to future of global markets. Right now things do not look good as the signals are that US FED may continue with the Hawkish stand.
NIFTY--Retracement or Reversal??After a strong fall from the 19500 range price is again retraced back.
If we want to go for short wait until price breaks the trendline and retest....
until don't go for short side...
A fake breakout may also happens at 19500 levels...keep safe.
keep observe this line...
Nifty Outlook:Nifty is taking support at the 50 days EMA and trying to stage recovery from there but 19440 to 19520 is a resistance zone which it is finding difficult to clear. If and when that resistance zone is cleared the next resistance zone is near 19631 and 19786. In case the Nifty breaks 50 EMA and parallel channel bottom support the bears will feel empowered and they can further drag the index down. Supports for Nifty on the lower sides are near 19274, 18900 and finally 18392.
Nifty Just above Major Support Zone. Nifty is just above a major support zone if this support which is a very strong one is broken then we can see further weakness in Nifty. This week is crucial for Nifty. The supports for Nifty are near 19264 (Major Support). 19000, 18900 and Finally the zone between 18400 to 18372 (which seems to be a worst case scenario but is only if 19264 and 19000 are broken. (It will not be easy for bears to achieve this. On the upper side if Nifty jumps from the current support the resistances can be near 19513, 19631, 19786 and finally 19991.
50 days EMA gave proper support. 50 days EMA gave proper support to Nifty supporting our MFSC Theory (Mother, Father Small Child Theory). Till Nifty remains above 50 days EMA all is good. Once / If the support is broken there can be panic and DII who are in the buying mode and supporting the index in every fall also might turn into sellers. That is not the case for now and 19299 and 19250 remain as major supports. Closing below 19250 can take us to the levels like 19079, 18894 and 18637. On the upper side if the recovery continues post major comeback on Monday, the resistances on the upper side are 19524 and 19657. Nifty very interestingly poised after a great fightback from Bulls who helped Nifty close in positive on Monday staging about 177 points recovery.
NIFTY--Liquidity @19650 and @19300 ??Nifty index price is turned to be bearish from a ranging...
now the price is near to its bullish gap...
If this acts as support and trendline breaks price is said to be bullish again...
clears the liquidity @19600-19650 levels...
be on bearish side until price breaks trendline...
If trendline breaks keep on buy side up to 19550 and 19600 levels.
Keep safe before short side...as it is on important level of support @19300 levels.
If price is continue to be bearish then we have a another bullish gap + Demand is located @19150 levels...
before going down it may clears the liquidity on top side...keep safe...
Totally Ranging from 19650-19150 levels.
Critical Final Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. Critical Support Zone For Nifty has arrived. This support zone is between the low of today that is 19412 and 19299.This zone has potential to support Nifty and empower it to cross 200 and 50 hours EMA which are at 19470 and 19538 respectively. Bullish sentiment can return only after closing above 19538. Crossing 19538 the next resistance for Nifty can be near 19597 and 19645. Closing above 19645 will then give psychological edge to the Bulls who will try to pull Nifty above 19800 and eventually 20K+. Closing below 19299 can change the trend in favour of Bears.
NIFTY--@Trendline Break??The Nifty index is now near its trendline...
After taking the support from Right shoulder...it is ready to break the trendline...
if price breaks the trendline, we will observe a good upside move...
If price breaks the trendline tomorrow might be a trending day for nifty.
today price is consolidated in a range...
if it breaks upside this time it will finishes bearishgap...
If it is unable to break the trendline...will look for short side...until keep on buy side...
Nifty Respected our Mother Father Small Child Theory. Nifty on a third attempt today broke the Parallel chanel top and closed comfortably above 50 hours EMA (19568)(Mamma Line). If Nifty sustains above 19568 tomorrow it will turn positive again. In such a scenario the next resistances will be at 19645 and 19684. Crossing and closing above 19684 will open the possibility of Nifty 19798 and 19850+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 19528, 19465 (Pappa Line) and 19423.
Look at the chart and think about our Mother, Father and Small Child theory which says. The small child (Candle sticks) run around like a small child set free in a garden or a play ground. Keeps coming back to Mother line (50 EMA again and again). In case of making new highs or difficult circumstances it comes to meet Pappa line (200 EMA). In case they give 'ashirvaad' or permission to fly it runs away from them with freedom. In case they dont give permission the helpless child will remain below their shadow. Mummy and Papa are strongest supports and strongest resistance for the small child. (small child being the candle sticks, 50 EMA being soft Mamma Line and 200 EMA being Strong Pappa line.
Now again look at the chart. There was a gap down on 2nd August...Mother brought the child under her shadow and told her husband..."The child is becoming very naughty please take care of him for a while...". Pappa has to oblige.
Only 4th August the child was set free by Pappa line after the child pleaded for Freedom but Mamma line this time very disturbed did not allow freedom to the child till 7th August. Again on 8th August Mamma caught hold of the child and gave possession back to Pappa. Today morning Papa again told the child (supported him but also scolded "don't be too mischievous go and play" so the child from then on was set free..). Papa also instructed the mother..."Let the child play". This time in late after noon Mamma has obliged and the child is set free to play again. If the child behaves properly this time and stays above Mamma line...It will fly/run further...
NIFTY--@Neckline Support ??price broken the neckline and retested the neckline and closing is given above the neckline.
if price opens below neckline look for short side...until bullish gap,if acts as resistance.
Look at the bottom side gap is still left,
if price wants to fill the gap it opens gap down and fill the gap and moves up again.
If neckline pushes the price again up,
will be long on break of the zone above neckline. keeping the stop loss below neckline.
If opens gap up above, the zone after filling the gap will initiate a long entry.
keep track the neckline and bullish gap.
NIFTY-- 20500 or 18500 ??Price created a strong bottom at 19300 level...
multiple times the price is taken the support from 19300 level.
This level is crucial for Nifty to sustain above 20K.
if price again creates a strong bullishness from this zone this will break the 20k zone and Reaches 20500 level easily.
the zone @19300 level is the price gives us discount, to enter long for 20500 level.
After a strong break from previous strong resistance @18900 levels,
this fall is a discounted price, those who wants to ride the trend will go for long side..
so, when to enter in long side....
from which place we have to be on the buy side....
look at these analysis... you will get a clear picture
An inverse head and shoulders pattern may form to take the price to reach 20500 levels.
so keep watch this levels by keeping an alerts.
If this fall continue It may reach 18900 and 18600, before reaching this it has to give some retracement.
will see what happens.
Thank you guys for your support and Encouragement.
NIFTY--Bullish Gap or Bearish Gap ??Bullish gap left @19200-19250
Bearish Gap left @19670-19700
when this gap be finished....??
if price continuously falls tomorrow it finishes the bullish gap.
If price showing us bullishness tomorrow,19500 will again acts as resistance..
so in order to go upside, price must be consolidates
and has to create a bullish view and retraces back then only, bearish gap be finished.
Note ::
If we observe a strong bullishness again price will break the bearish gap..